La escuela de los momios

Tigres v Mazatlán FC

Inicio: 2026-04-25 23:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

53 corredores (16 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Tigres (Local)

Predicción 79.04%1.27momio equitativo
EV -5.16%
Ventaja -4.30%
Kelly -25.78%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.20

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
76.32%78.88%79.04%80.91%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.101.161.171.2090.91%86.05%85.47%83.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Mazatlán FC (Visitante)

Predicción 7.59%13.18momio equitativo
EV +13.81%
Ventaja +0.921%
Kelly +0.987%
Crecimiento +0.136%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 15.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
6.36%7.58%7.70%9.51%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
9.5012.3612.0015.0010.53%8.09%8.33%6.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 13.38%7.48momio equitativo
EV +0.319%
Ventaja +0.043%
Kelly +0.049%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 7.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
12.69%13.55%13.26%16.24%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
5.506.706.757.5018.18%14.93%14.81%13.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (53 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Svenska Spel1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -6.74%E -5.71%K -37.43%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.36%EV +13.81%E +0.921%K +0.987%G +0.136%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.73%EV +0.319%E +0.043%K +0.049%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-23 19:29
ATG (SE)1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -6.74%E -5.71%K -37.43%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.36%EV +13.81%E +0.921%K +0.987%G +0.136%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.73%EV +0.319%E +0.043%K +0.049%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-23 19:24
Betsson1.19I 84.03%NM 78.86%EV -5.95%E -5.00%K -31.30%G +0.000%14.50I 6.90%NM 6.47%EV +10.02%E +0.691%K +0.742%G +0.074%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.66%EV -14.39%E -2.25%K -2.67%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 01:14
NordicBet1.19I 84.03%NM 78.86%EV -5.95%E -5.00%K -31.30%G +0.000%14.50I 6.90%NM 6.47%EV +10.02%E +0.691%K +0.742%G +0.074%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.66%EV -14.39%E -2.25%K -2.67%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 01:15
Coolbet1.20I 83.33%NM 79.55%EV -5.16%E -4.30%K -25.78%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.82%EV +6.22%E +0.445%K +0.479%G +0.030%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.64%EV -6.37%E -0.910%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-23 01:20
Unibet1.16I 86.21%NM 80.09%EV -8.32%E -7.17%K -51.98%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.64%EV +6.22%E +0.445%K +0.479%G +0.030%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.27%EV -6.37%E -0.910%K -1.06%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-15 23:04
Unibet (NL)1.16I 86.21%NM 80.09%EV -8.32%E -7.17%K -51.98%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.64%EV +6.22%E +0.445%K +0.479%G +0.030%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.27%EV -6.37%E -0.910%K -1.06%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-15 23:04
Unibet (SE)1.16I 86.21%NM 80.09%EV -8.32%E -7.17%K -51.98%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.64%EV +6.22%E +0.445%K +0.479%G +0.030%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.27%EV -6.37%E -0.910%K -1.06%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-15 23:04
Grosvenor1.16I 86.21%NM 80.09%EV -8.32%E -7.17%K -51.98%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.64%EV +6.22%E +0.445%K +0.479%G +0.030%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.27%EV -6.37%E -0.910%K -1.06%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-15 23:05
Casumo1.16I 86.21%NM 80.09%EV -8.32%E -7.17%K -51.98%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.64%EV +6.22%E +0.445%K +0.479%G +0.030%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.27%EV -6.37%E -0.910%K -1.06%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-15 23:04
betPARX1.16I 86.21%NM 80.09%EV -8.32%E -7.17%K -51.98%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.64%EV +6.22%E +0.445%K +0.479%G +0.030%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.27%EV -6.37%E -0.910%K -1.06%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-15 23:05
PlayUp1.19I 84.03%NM 77.92%EV -5.95%E -5.00%K -31.30%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.62%EV +6.22%E +0.445%K +0.479%G +0.030%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.45%EV -19.74%E -3.29%K -3.95%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-23 01:19
BetRivers1.15I 86.96%NM 80.23%EV -9.11%E -7.92%K -60.72%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.59%EV +6.22%E +0.445%K +0.479%G +0.030%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.18%EV -6.37%E -0.910%K -1.06%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-15 23:04
TABtouch1.14I 87.72%NM 80.37%EV -9.90%E -8.68%K -70.70%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.54%EV +6.22%E +0.445%K +0.479%G +0.030%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.09%EV -6.37%E -0.910%K -1.06%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-23 19:24
LeoVegas (SE)1.13I 88.50%NM 80.12%EV -10.69%E -9.46%K -82.22%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.47%EV +6.22%E +0.445%K +0.479%G +0.030%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.41%EV -9.71%E -1.44%K -1.69%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-23 19:24
LiveScore Bet1.13I 88.50%NM 80.12%EV -10.69%E -9.46%K -82.22%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.47%EV +6.22%E +0.445%K +0.479%G +0.030%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.41%EV -9.71%E -1.44%K -1.69%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-23 19:24
Virgin Bet1.12I 89.29%NM 80.26%EV -11.48%E -10.25%K -95.66%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.42%EV +6.22%E +0.445%K +0.479%G +0.030%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.32%EV -9.71%E -1.44%K -1.69%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-23 19:25
LowVig.ag1.19I 84.03%NM 79.99%EV -5.95%E -5.00%K -31.30%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.32%EV -1.36%E -0.105%K -0.114%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +0.319%E +0.043%K +0.049%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 03:24
BetOnline.ag1.19I 84.03%NM 79.99%EV -5.95%E -5.00%K -31.30%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.32%EV -1.36%E -0.105%K -0.114%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +0.319%E +0.043%K +0.049%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 03:24
Unibet (UK)1.17I 85.47%NM 79.55%EV -7.53%E -6.43%K -44.28%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.16%EV -1.36%E -0.105%K -0.114%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -6.37%E -0.910%K -1.06%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-23 08:09
SportsBet1.16I 86.21%NM 79.68%EV -8.32%E -7.17%K -51.98%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.11%EV -1.36%E -0.105%K -0.114%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.20%EV -6.37%E -0.910%K -1.06%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-23 15:24
Bet Victor1.15I 86.96%NM 79.82%EV -9.11%E -7.92%K -60.72%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.06%EV -1.36%E -0.105%K -0.114%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.11%EV -6.37%E -0.910%K -1.06%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-23 11:29
LeoVegas1.10I 90.91%NM 79.75%EV -13.06%E -11.87%K -130.60%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 6.75%EV -1.36%E -0.105%K -0.114%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.50%EV -13.06%E -2.01%K -2.37%G +0.000%14.0%2026-04-15 23:04
PMU (FR)1.10I 90.91%NM 79.75%EV -13.06%E -11.87%K -130.60%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 6.75%EV -1.36%E -0.105%K -0.114%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.50%EV -13.06%E -2.01%K -2.37%G +0.000%14.0%2026-04-15 23:04
Pinnacle1.18I 84.75%NM 79.82%EV -6.74%E -5.71%K -37.43%G +0.000%12.78I 7.82%NM 7.37%EV -3.03%E -0.237%K -0.257%G +0.000%7.35I 13.61%NM 12.81%EV -1.69%E -0.230%K -0.266%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-23 02:24
GTbets1.19I 84.03%NM 78.74%EV -5.95%E -5.00%K -31.30%G +0.000%12.32I 8.12%NM 7.61%EV -6.52%E -0.529%K -0.576%G +0.000%6.86I 14.58%NM 13.66%EV -8.24%E -1.20%K -1.41%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 03:44
DraftKings1.18I 84.75%NM 78.93%EV -6.74%E -5.71%K -37.43%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.76%EV -8.95%E -0.746%K -0.814%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.31%EV -6.37%E -0.910%K -1.06%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-23 05:24
Fanatics1.17I 85.47%NM 79.07%EV -7.53%E -6.43%K -44.28%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.71%EV -8.95%E -0.746%K -0.814%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.22%EV -6.37%E -0.910%K -1.06%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-23 08:08
FanDuel1.17I 85.47%NM 79.07%EV -7.53%E -6.43%K -44.28%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.71%EV -8.95%E -0.746%K -0.814%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.22%EV -6.37%E -0.910%K -1.06%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-23 15:29
Betway1.18I 84.75%NM 78.13%EV -6.74%E -5.71%K -37.43%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.68%EV -8.95%E -0.746%K -0.814%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.18%EV -13.06%E -2.01%K -2.37%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-23 01:15
Bet Right1.18I 84.75%NM 78.13%EV -6.74%E -5.71%K -37.43%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.68%EV -8.95%E -0.746%K -0.814%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.18%EV -13.06%E -2.01%K -2.37%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-23 01:19
Paddy Power1.14I 87.72%NM 78.72%EV -9.90%E -8.68%K -70.70%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.48%EV -8.95%E -0.746%K -0.814%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.81%EV -13.06%E -2.01%K -2.37%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-23 15:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.17I 85.47%NM 76.32%EV -7.53%E -6.43%K -44.28%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.44%EV -8.95%E -0.746%K -0.814%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.24%EV -26.43%E -4.81%K -5.87%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-23 15:25
NetBet (FR)1.10I 90.91%NM 78.55%EV -13.06%E -11.87%K -130.60%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 7.51%EV -12.74%E -1.11%K -1.21%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 13.94%EV -17.07%E -2.75%K -3.28%G +0.000%15.7%2026-04-23 18:54
BetMGM1.20I 83.33%NM 78.46%EV -5.16%E -4.30%K -25.78%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -16.54%E -1.50%K -1.65%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.99%EV -3.02%E -0.417%K -0.484%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-23 01:25
Bovada1.17I 85.47%NM 78.52%EV -7.53%E -6.43%K -44.28%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.35%EV -16.54%E -1.50%K -1.65%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.12%EV -6.37%E -0.910%K -1.06%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-23 07:20
BetUS1.17I 85.47%NM 78.52%EV -7.53%E -6.43%K -44.28%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.35%EV -16.54%E -1.50%K -1.65%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.12%EV -6.37%E -0.910%K -1.06%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-23 12:54
BoyleSports1.17I 85.47%NM 77.74%EV -7.53%E -6.43%K -44.28%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.27%EV -16.54%E -1.50%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.99%EV -13.06%E -2.01%K -2.37%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-23 01:15
betfred_uk1.17I 85.47%NM 76.84%EV -7.53%E -6.43%K -44.28%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.17%EV -16.54%E -1.50%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.98%EV -19.74%E -3.29%K -3.95%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-23 01:19
888sport1.17I 85.47%NM 76.84%EV -7.53%E -6.43%K -44.28%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.17%EV -16.54%E -1.50%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.98%EV -19.74%E -3.29%K -3.95%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-23 02:15
William Hill1.17I 85.47%NM 76.84%EV -7.53%E -6.43%K -44.28%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.17%EV -16.54%E -1.50%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.98%EV -19.74%E -3.29%K -3.95%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-23 02:15
888sport (SE)1.17I 85.47%NM 76.84%EV -7.53%E -6.43%K -44.28%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.17%EV -16.54%E -1.50%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.98%EV -19.74%E -3.29%K -3.95%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-23 02:14
Mr Green (SE)1.17I 85.47%NM 76.84%EV -7.53%E -6.43%K -44.28%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.17%EV -16.54%E -1.50%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.98%EV -19.74%E -3.29%K -3.95%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-23 02:15
Everygame1.15I 86.96%NM 77.61%EV -9.11%E -7.92%K -60.72%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.11%EV -16.54%E -1.50%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.28%EV -16.40%E -2.62%K -3.12%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-23 19:18
Betclic (FR)1.13I 88.50%NM 77.46%EV -10.69%E -9.46%K -82.22%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 7.96%EV -16.54%E -1.50%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.59%EV -19.74%E -3.29%K -3.95%G +0.000%14.3%2026-04-23 08:08
Unibet (FR)1.12I 89.29%NM 77.80%EV -11.48%E -10.25%K -95.66%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 7.92%EV -16.54%E -1.50%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.28%EV -18.41%E -3.02%K -3.61%G +0.000%14.8%2026-04-23 23:04
Marathon Bet1.18I 84.75%NM 78.51%EV -6.74%E -5.71%K -37.43%G +0.000%10.75I 9.30%NM 8.62%EV -18.44%E -1.71%K -1.89%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 12.87%EV -3.69%E -0.513%K -0.596%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-24 01:04
1xBet1.19I 84.03%NM 78.21%EV -5.95%E -5.00%K -31.30%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.86%EV -20.33%E -1.94%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 12.93%EV -3.69%E -0.513%K -0.596%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-23 18:54
Winamax (DE)1.15I 86.96%NM 78.13%EV -9.11%E -7.92%K -60.72%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.56%EV -20.33%E -1.94%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.31%EV -9.71%E -1.44%K -1.69%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-23 08:10
Sky Bet1.14I 87.72%NM 77.14%EV -9.90%E -8.68%K -70.70%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.79%EV -24.13%E -2.41%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.07%EV -16.40%E -2.62%K -3.12%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-23 15:25
Ladbrokes (UK)1.18I 84.75%NM 76.58%EV -6.74%E -5.71%K -37.43%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.51%EV -27.92%E -2.94%K -3.28%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.90%EV -13.06%E -2.01%K -2.37%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-23 01:25
Coral1.18I 84.75%NM 76.58%EV -6.74%E -5.71%K -37.43%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.51%EV -27.92%E -2.94%K -3.28%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.90%EV -13.06%E -2.01%K -2.37%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-23 01:24
Winamax (FR)1.13I 88.50%NM 76.49%EV -10.69%E -9.46%K -82.22%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.10%EV -27.92%E -2.94%K -3.28%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.41%EV -19.74%E -3.29%K -3.95%G +0.000%15.7%2026-04-23 08:09
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook1.20I 83.33%NM 81.22%15.50I 6.45%NM 6.29%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.49%2.6%2026-04-24 01:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.20I 83.33%NM 80.95%15.50I 6.45%NM 6.27%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.78%2.9%2026-04-23 18:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.20I 83.33%NM 80.95%15.50I 6.45%NM 6.27%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.78%2.9%2026-04-23 18:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.20I 83.33%NM 80.95%15.50I 6.45%NM 6.27%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.78%2.9%2026-04-23 18:20
Smarkets1.19I 84.03%NM 80.63%14.99I 6.67%NM 6.40%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.97%4.2%2026-04-23 18:20
Kalshi1.20I 83.33%NM 79.11%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.59%7.14I 14.01%NM 13.30%5.3%2026-04-24 03:20