L’École des cotes

Tigres v Mazatlán FC

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-25 23:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

53 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Tigres (Local)

Prévision 79.04%1.27cote équitable
EV -5.16%
Avantage -4.30%
Kelly -25.78%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
76.32%78.88%79.04%80.91%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.101.161.171.2090.91%86.05%85.47%83.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Mazatlán FC (Visiteur)

Prévision 7.59%13.18cote équitable
EV +13.81%
Avantage +0.921%
Kelly +0.987%
Croissance +0.136%

avec la cote maximale 15.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
6.36%7.58%7.70%9.51%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
9.5012.3612.0015.0010.53%8.09%8.33%6.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 13.38%7.48cote équitable
EV +0.319%
Avantage +0.043%
Kelly +0.049%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 7.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
12.69%13.55%13.26%16.24%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
5.506.706.757.5018.18%14.93%14.81%13.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (53 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Svenska Spel1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -6.74%E -5.71%K -37.43%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.36%EV +13.81%E +0.921%K +0.987%G +0.136%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.73%EV +0.319%E +0.043%K +0.049%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-23 19:29
ATG (SE)1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -6.74%E -5.71%K -37.43%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.36%EV +13.81%E +0.921%K +0.987%G +0.136%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.73%EV +0.319%E +0.043%K +0.049%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-23 19:24
Betsson1.19I 84.03%NM 78.86%EV -5.95%E -5.00%K -31.30%G +0.000%14.50I 6.90%NM 6.47%EV +10.02%E +0.691%K +0.742%G +0.074%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.66%EV -14.39%E -2.25%K -2.67%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 01:14
NordicBet1.19I 84.03%NM 78.86%EV -5.95%E -5.00%K -31.30%G +0.000%14.50I 6.90%NM 6.47%EV +10.02%E +0.691%K +0.742%G +0.074%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.66%EV -14.39%E -2.25%K -2.67%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 01:15
Coolbet1.20I 83.33%NM 79.55%EV -5.16%E -4.30%K -25.78%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.82%EV +6.22%E +0.445%K +0.479%G +0.030%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.64%EV -6.37%E -0.910%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-23 01:20
Unibet1.16I 86.21%NM 80.09%EV -8.32%E -7.17%K -51.98%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.64%EV +6.22%E +0.445%K +0.479%G +0.030%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.27%EV -6.37%E -0.910%K -1.06%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-15 23:04
Unibet (NL)1.16I 86.21%NM 80.09%EV -8.32%E -7.17%K -51.98%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.64%EV +6.22%E +0.445%K +0.479%G +0.030%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.27%EV -6.37%E -0.910%K -1.06%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-15 23:04
Unibet (SE)1.16I 86.21%NM 80.09%EV -8.32%E -7.17%K -51.98%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.64%EV +6.22%E +0.445%K +0.479%G +0.030%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.27%EV -6.37%E -0.910%K -1.06%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-15 23:04
Grosvenor1.16I 86.21%NM 80.09%EV -8.32%E -7.17%K -51.98%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.64%EV +6.22%E +0.445%K +0.479%G +0.030%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.27%EV -6.37%E -0.910%K -1.06%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-15 23:05
Casumo1.16I 86.21%NM 80.09%EV -8.32%E -7.17%K -51.98%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.64%EV +6.22%E +0.445%K +0.479%G +0.030%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.27%EV -6.37%E -0.910%K -1.06%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-15 23:04
betPARX1.16I 86.21%NM 80.09%EV -8.32%E -7.17%K -51.98%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.64%EV +6.22%E +0.445%K +0.479%G +0.030%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.27%EV -6.37%E -0.910%K -1.06%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-15 23:05
PlayUp1.19I 84.03%NM 77.92%EV -5.95%E -5.00%K -31.30%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.62%EV +6.22%E +0.445%K +0.479%G +0.030%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.45%EV -19.74%E -3.29%K -3.95%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-23 01:19
BetRivers1.15I 86.96%NM 80.23%EV -9.11%E -7.92%K -60.72%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.59%EV +6.22%E +0.445%K +0.479%G +0.030%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.18%EV -6.37%E -0.910%K -1.06%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-15 23:04
TABtouch1.14I 87.72%NM 80.37%EV -9.90%E -8.68%K -70.70%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.54%EV +6.22%E +0.445%K +0.479%G +0.030%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.09%EV -6.37%E -0.910%K -1.06%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-23 19:24
LeoVegas (SE)1.13I 88.50%NM 80.12%EV -10.69%E -9.46%K -82.22%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.47%EV +6.22%E +0.445%K +0.479%G +0.030%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.41%EV -9.71%E -1.44%K -1.69%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-23 19:24
LiveScore Bet1.13I 88.50%NM 80.12%EV -10.69%E -9.46%K -82.22%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.47%EV +6.22%E +0.445%K +0.479%G +0.030%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.41%EV -9.71%E -1.44%K -1.69%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-23 19:24
Virgin Bet1.12I 89.29%NM 80.26%EV -11.48%E -10.25%K -95.66%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.42%EV +6.22%E +0.445%K +0.479%G +0.030%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.32%EV -9.71%E -1.44%K -1.69%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-23 19:25
LowVig.ag1.19I 84.03%NM 79.99%EV -5.95%E -5.00%K -31.30%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.32%EV -1.36%E -0.105%K -0.114%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +0.319%E +0.043%K +0.049%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 03:24
BetOnline.ag1.19I 84.03%NM 79.99%EV -5.95%E -5.00%K -31.30%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.32%EV -1.36%E -0.105%K -0.114%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +0.319%E +0.043%K +0.049%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 03:24
Unibet (UK)1.17I 85.47%NM 79.55%EV -7.53%E -6.43%K -44.28%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.16%EV -1.36%E -0.105%K -0.114%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -6.37%E -0.910%K -1.06%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-23 08:09
SportsBet1.16I 86.21%NM 79.68%EV -8.32%E -7.17%K -51.98%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.11%EV -1.36%E -0.105%K -0.114%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.20%EV -6.37%E -0.910%K -1.06%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-23 15:24
Bet Victor1.15I 86.96%NM 79.82%EV -9.11%E -7.92%K -60.72%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.06%EV -1.36%E -0.105%K -0.114%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.11%EV -6.37%E -0.910%K -1.06%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-23 11:29
LeoVegas1.10I 90.91%NM 79.75%EV -13.06%E -11.87%K -130.60%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 6.75%EV -1.36%E -0.105%K -0.114%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.50%EV -13.06%E -2.01%K -2.37%G +0.000%14.0%2026-04-15 23:04
PMU (FR)1.10I 90.91%NM 79.75%EV -13.06%E -11.87%K -130.60%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 6.75%EV -1.36%E -0.105%K -0.114%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.50%EV -13.06%E -2.01%K -2.37%G +0.000%14.0%2026-04-15 23:04
Pinnacle1.18I 84.75%NM 79.82%EV -6.74%E -5.71%K -37.43%G +0.000%12.78I 7.82%NM 7.37%EV -3.03%E -0.237%K -0.257%G +0.000%7.35I 13.61%NM 12.81%EV -1.69%E -0.230%K -0.266%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-23 02:24
GTbets1.19I 84.03%NM 78.74%EV -5.95%E -5.00%K -31.30%G +0.000%12.32I 8.12%NM 7.61%EV -6.52%E -0.529%K -0.576%G +0.000%6.86I 14.58%NM 13.66%EV -8.24%E -1.20%K -1.41%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 03:44
DraftKings1.18I 84.75%NM 78.93%EV -6.74%E -5.71%K -37.43%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.76%EV -8.95%E -0.746%K -0.814%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.31%EV -6.37%E -0.910%K -1.06%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-23 05:24
Fanatics1.17I 85.47%NM 79.07%EV -7.53%E -6.43%K -44.28%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.71%EV -8.95%E -0.746%K -0.814%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.22%EV -6.37%E -0.910%K -1.06%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-23 08:08
FanDuel1.17I 85.47%NM 79.07%EV -7.53%E -6.43%K -44.28%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.71%EV -8.95%E -0.746%K -0.814%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.22%EV -6.37%E -0.910%K -1.06%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-23 15:29
Betway1.18I 84.75%NM 78.13%EV -6.74%E -5.71%K -37.43%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.68%EV -8.95%E -0.746%K -0.814%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.18%EV -13.06%E -2.01%K -2.37%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-23 01:15
Bet Right1.18I 84.75%NM 78.13%EV -6.74%E -5.71%K -37.43%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.68%EV -8.95%E -0.746%K -0.814%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.18%EV -13.06%E -2.01%K -2.37%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-23 01:19
Paddy Power1.14I 87.72%NM 78.72%EV -9.90%E -8.68%K -70.70%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.48%EV -8.95%E -0.746%K -0.814%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.81%EV -13.06%E -2.01%K -2.37%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-23 15:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.17I 85.47%NM 76.32%EV -7.53%E -6.43%K -44.28%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.44%EV -8.95%E -0.746%K -0.814%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.24%EV -26.43%E -4.81%K -5.87%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-23 15:25
NetBet (FR)1.10I 90.91%NM 78.55%EV -13.06%E -11.87%K -130.60%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 7.51%EV -12.74%E -1.11%K -1.21%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 13.94%EV -17.07%E -2.75%K -3.28%G +0.000%15.7%2026-04-23 18:54
BetMGM1.20I 83.33%NM 78.46%EV -5.16%E -4.30%K -25.78%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -16.54%E -1.50%K -1.65%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.99%EV -3.02%E -0.417%K -0.484%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-23 01:25
Bovada1.17I 85.47%NM 78.52%EV -7.53%E -6.43%K -44.28%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.35%EV -16.54%E -1.50%K -1.65%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.12%EV -6.37%E -0.910%K -1.06%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-23 07:20
BetUS1.17I 85.47%NM 78.52%EV -7.53%E -6.43%K -44.28%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.35%EV -16.54%E -1.50%K -1.65%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.12%EV -6.37%E -0.910%K -1.06%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-23 12:54
BoyleSports1.17I 85.47%NM 77.74%EV -7.53%E -6.43%K -44.28%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.27%EV -16.54%E -1.50%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.99%EV -13.06%E -2.01%K -2.37%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-23 01:15
betfred_uk1.17I 85.47%NM 76.84%EV -7.53%E -6.43%K -44.28%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.17%EV -16.54%E -1.50%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.98%EV -19.74%E -3.29%K -3.95%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-23 01:19
888sport1.17I 85.47%NM 76.84%EV -7.53%E -6.43%K -44.28%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.17%EV -16.54%E -1.50%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.98%EV -19.74%E -3.29%K -3.95%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-23 02:15
William Hill1.17I 85.47%NM 76.84%EV -7.53%E -6.43%K -44.28%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.17%EV -16.54%E -1.50%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.98%EV -19.74%E -3.29%K -3.95%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-23 02:15
888sport (SE)1.17I 85.47%NM 76.84%EV -7.53%E -6.43%K -44.28%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.17%EV -16.54%E -1.50%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.98%EV -19.74%E -3.29%K -3.95%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-23 02:14
Mr Green (SE)1.17I 85.47%NM 76.84%EV -7.53%E -6.43%K -44.28%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.17%EV -16.54%E -1.50%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.98%EV -19.74%E -3.29%K -3.95%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-23 02:15
Everygame1.15I 86.96%NM 77.61%EV -9.11%E -7.92%K -60.72%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.11%EV -16.54%E -1.50%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.28%EV -16.40%E -2.62%K -3.12%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-23 19:18
Betclic (FR)1.13I 88.50%NM 77.46%EV -10.69%E -9.46%K -82.22%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 7.96%EV -16.54%E -1.50%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.59%EV -19.74%E -3.29%K -3.95%G +0.000%14.3%2026-04-23 08:08
Unibet (FR)1.12I 89.29%NM 77.80%EV -11.48%E -10.25%K -95.66%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 7.92%EV -16.54%E -1.50%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.28%EV -18.41%E -3.02%K -3.61%G +0.000%14.8%2026-04-23 23:04
Marathon Bet1.18I 84.75%NM 78.51%EV -6.74%E -5.71%K -37.43%G +0.000%10.75I 9.30%NM 8.62%EV -18.44%E -1.71%K -1.89%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 12.87%EV -3.69%E -0.513%K -0.596%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-24 01:04
1xBet1.19I 84.03%NM 78.21%EV -5.95%E -5.00%K -31.30%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.86%EV -20.33%E -1.94%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 12.93%EV -3.69%E -0.513%K -0.596%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-23 18:54
Winamax (DE)1.15I 86.96%NM 78.13%EV -9.11%E -7.92%K -60.72%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.56%EV -20.33%E -1.94%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.31%EV -9.71%E -1.44%K -1.69%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-23 08:10
Sky Bet1.14I 87.72%NM 77.14%EV -9.90%E -8.68%K -70.70%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.79%EV -24.13%E -2.41%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.07%EV -16.40%E -2.62%K -3.12%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-23 15:25
Ladbrokes (UK)1.18I 84.75%NM 76.58%EV -6.74%E -5.71%K -37.43%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.51%EV -27.92%E -2.94%K -3.28%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.90%EV -13.06%E -2.01%K -2.37%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-23 01:25
Coral1.18I 84.75%NM 76.58%EV -6.74%E -5.71%K -37.43%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.51%EV -27.92%E -2.94%K -3.28%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.90%EV -13.06%E -2.01%K -2.37%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-23 01:24
Winamax (FR)1.13I 88.50%NM 76.49%EV -10.69%E -9.46%K -82.22%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.10%EV -27.92%E -2.94%K -3.28%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.41%EV -19.74%E -3.29%K -3.95%G +0.000%15.7%2026-04-23 08:09
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook1.20I 83.33%NM 81.22%15.50I 6.45%NM 6.29%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.49%2.6%2026-04-24 01:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.20I 83.33%NM 80.95%15.50I 6.45%NM 6.27%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.78%2.9%2026-04-23 18:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.20I 83.33%NM 80.95%15.50I 6.45%NM 6.27%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.78%2.9%2026-04-23 18:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.20I 83.33%NM 80.95%15.50I 6.45%NM 6.27%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.78%2.9%2026-04-23 18:20
Smarkets1.19I 84.03%NM 80.63%14.99I 6.67%NM 6.40%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.97%4.2%2026-04-23 18:20
Kalshi1.20I 83.33%NM 79.11%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.59%7.14I 14.01%NM 13.30%5.3%2026-04-24 03:20