Language:English
Tigres v Guadalajara
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Tigres (Local)
Prediction 38.15%2.62fair odd
EV -0.820%
Edge -0.316%
Kelly -0.513%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.62%37.99%38.28%39.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.432.432.6044.44%41.22%41.15%38.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Guadalajara (Visit)
Prediction 33.76%2.96fair odd
EV -2.11%
Edge -0.727%
Kelly -1.11%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.90
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.97%33.90%33.72%35.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.682.652.9040.00%37.32%37.74%34.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 28.10%3.56fair odd
EV -1.66%
Edge -0.473%
Kelly -0.663%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.05%28.11%28.00%29.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.283.303.5034.72%30.48%30.30%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Tigres (Local): 38.15%; Guadalajara (Visit): 33.76%; Draw: 28.10%. For Tigres (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.62. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.60, with an expected value of -0.820%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (51 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.62%EV -0.820%E -0.316%K -0.513%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.53%EV -9.53%E -3.56%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.84%EV -3.90%E -1.14%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-11 12:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.79%EV -2.35%E -0.917%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.59%EV -2.78%E -0.966%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 28.62%EV -5.03%E -1.49%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-11 22:45 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.18%EV -2.35%E -0.917%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 2.69I 37.17%NM 35.39%EV -9.20%E -3.42%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.47I 28.82%NM 27.43%EV -2.50%E -0.720%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-11 08:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.90%EV -2.73%E -1.07%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.33%EV -2.11%E -0.727%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 3.36I 29.76%NM 28.77%EV -5.59%E -1.66%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-04-11 19:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.90%EV -2.73%E -1.07%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.33%EV -2.11%E -0.727%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 3.36I 29.76%NM 28.77%EV -5.59%E -1.66%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-04-11 19:25 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.77%EV -3.11%E -1.22%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.51%EV -6.16%E -2.22%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 27.73%EV -2.78%E -0.804%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-11 22:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.88%EV -4.64%E -1.85%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.07%EV -8.86%E -3.28%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.05%EV -1.66%E -0.473%K -0.663%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-11 22:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.88%EV -4.64%E -1.85%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.07%EV -8.86%E -3.28%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.05%EV -1.66%E -0.473%K -0.663%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-11 22:45 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.33%EV -4.64%E -1.85%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.22%EV -10.55%E -3.98%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -4.47%E -1.31%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-11 14:14 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.52%EV -5.40%E -2.18%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.11%EV -10.55%E -3.98%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -4.47%E -1.31%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-11 22:49 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.52%EV -5.40%E -2.18%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.11%EV -10.55%E -3.98%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -4.47%E -1.31%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-11 22:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.52%EV -5.40%E -2.18%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.11%EV -10.55%E -3.98%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -4.47%E -1.31%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-11 22:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.52%EV -5.40%E -2.18%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.11%EV -10.55%E -3.98%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -4.47%E -1.31%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-11 22:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.52%EV -5.40%E -2.18%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.11%EV -10.55%E -3.98%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -4.47%E -1.31%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-11 22:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.52%EV -5.40%E -2.18%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.11%EV -10.55%E -3.98%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -4.47%E -1.31%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-11 22:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.37%EV -6.54%E -2.67%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.57%EV -5.48%E -1.96%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.06%EV -5.87%E -1.75%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-11 19:25 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.21%EV -6.54%E -2.67%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -5.48%E -1.96%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -7.28%E -2.20%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-11 20:14 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.14%EV -6.54%E -2.67%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.97%EV -7.17%E -2.61%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.89%EV -5.87%E -1.75%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-11 20:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -6.54%E -2.67%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -7.17%E -2.61%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -7.28%E -2.20%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-11 21:15 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.81%EV -6.54%E -2.67%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.95%EV -10.55%E -3.98%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -4.47%E -1.31%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-11 22:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.71%EV -6.54%E -2.67%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.12%EV -11.22%E -4.27%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.17%EV -4.47%E -1.31%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-11 22:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -6.54%E -2.67%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.67%EV -10.55%E -3.98%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -7.28%E -2.20%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-11 22:50 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.40%EV -6.54%E -2.67%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.24%EV -12.23%E -4.71%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.35%EV -5.87%E -1.75%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-11 08:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.13%EV -7.31%E -3.01%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.09%EV -5.48%E -1.96%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 28.78%EV -9.52%E -2.96%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-11 22:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.59%EV -7.31%E -3.01%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.14%EV -12.23%E -4.71%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.27%EV -5.87%E -1.75%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-11 22:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.59%EV -7.31%E -3.01%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.14%EV -12.23%E -4.71%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.27%EV -5.87%E -1.75%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-11 22:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.42%EV -7.69%E -3.18%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 32.97%EV -4.81%E -1.71%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.61%EV -8.68%E -2.67%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-11 22:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.42%EV -7.69%E -3.18%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 32.97%EV -4.81%E -1.71%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.61%EV -8.68%E -2.67%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-11 22:49 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.41I 41.49%NM 38.34%EV -8.07%E -3.35%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.23%EV -6.16%E -2.22%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.43%EV -8.68%E -2.67%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-11 22:50 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -8.45%E -3.52%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -5.48%E -1.96%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -4.47%E -1.31%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-11 22:53 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.53%EV -8.45%E -3.52%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.02%EV -5.48%E -1.96%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -8.68%E -2.67%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-11 22:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.53%EV -8.45%E -3.52%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.02%EV -5.48%E -1.96%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -8.68%E -2.67%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-11 22:49 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.89%EV -8.45%E -3.52%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.68%EV -8.86%E -3.28%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.42%EV -10.09%E -3.15%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-11 21:14 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.72%EV -8.45%E -3.52%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.53%EV -8.86%E -3.28%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.74%EV -11.49%E -3.65%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-11 20:14 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.47%EV -8.45%E -3.52%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.27%EV -13.92%E -5.46%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.25%EV -7.28%E -2.20%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-11 22:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -8.45%E -3.52%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.53%EV -12.23%E -4.71%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -10.09%E -3.15%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-11 14:14 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -8.45%E -3.52%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.53%EV -12.23%E -4.71%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -10.09%E -3.15%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-11 14:14 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.82%EV -8.45%E -3.52%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.73%EV -11.56%E -4.41%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -15.71%E -5.24%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-04-11 22:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.82%EV -8.45%E -3.52%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.73%EV -11.56%E -4.41%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -15.71%E -5.24%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-04-11 22:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.82%EV -8.45%E -3.52%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.73%EV -11.56%E -4.41%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -15.71%E -5.24%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-04-11 22:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.82%EV -8.45%E -3.52%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.73%EV -11.56%E -4.41%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -15.71%E -5.24%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-04-11 22:00 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.42%EV -9.21%E -3.87%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.86%EV -11.22%E -4.27%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -12.90%E -4.16%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-04-11 21:14 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.64%EV -10.36%E -4.41%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.26%EV -10.55%E -3.98%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.10%EV -5.87%E -1.75%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-11 20:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 37.75%EV -11.12%E -4.77%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.18%EV -15.61%E -6.24%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.06%EV -8.68%E -2.67%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-04-11 22:45 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 37.75%EV -11.12%E -4.77%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.18%EV -15.61%E -6.24%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.06%EV -8.68%E -2.67%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-04-11 22:45 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.51%EV -12.26%E -5.33%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.81%EV -11.56%E -4.41%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.68%EV -10.09%E -3.15%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-04-11 19:25 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.16%EV -12.26%E -5.33%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.42%EV -13.92%E -5.46%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.43%EV -10.09%E -3.15%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-04-11 20:04 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 36.78%EV -12.26%E -5.33%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 33.84%EV -15.61%E -6.24%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.38%EV -19.08%E -6.62%K -10.15%G +0.000% | 18.2% | 2026-04-11 08:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 38.65%EV -13.41%E -5.91%K -10.56%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.49%EV -11.56%E -4.41%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.86%EV -11.49%E -3.65%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-04-11 22:33 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.18%EV -14.17%E -6.30%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.27%EV -10.55%E -3.98%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.55%EV -10.09%E -3.15%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-04-11 20:05 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.44%EV -14.17%E -6.30%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 33.66%EV -13.25%E -5.15%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.90%EV -12.90%E -4.16%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 15.6% | 2026-04-11 22:55 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.50% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.11% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.38% | 0.7% | 2026-04-11 22:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.50% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.11% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.38% | 0.7% | 2026-04-11 22:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.50% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.11% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.38% | 0.7% | 2026-04-11 22:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.42% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.26% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.32% | 0.9% | 2026-04-11 22:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.27% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.33% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.40% | 2.1% | 2026-04-11 22:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.92% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.94% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.14% | 3.0% | 2026-04-11 22:50 |