La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Tigres v Guadalajara
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Tigres (Local)
Predicción 38.15%2.62momio equitativo
EV -0.820%
Ventaja -0.316%
Kelly -0.513%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.60
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
36.62%37.99%38.28%39.18%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.252.432.432.6044.44%41.22%41.15%38.46%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Guadalajara (Visitante)
Predicción 33.76%2.96momio equitativo
EV -2.11%
Ventaja -0.727%
Kelly -1.11%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.90
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
32.97%33.90%33.72%35.53%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.502.682.652.9040.00%37.32%37.74%34.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 28.10%3.56momio equitativo
EV -1.66%
Ventaja -0.473%
Kelly -0.663%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.05%28.11%28.00%29.45%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.283.303.5034.72%30.48%30.30%28.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (51 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.62%EV -0.820%E -0.316%K -0.513%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.53%EV -9.53%E -3.56%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.84%EV -3.90%E -1.14%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-11 12:55 |
| Pinnacle | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.79%EV -2.35%E -0.917%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.59%EV -2.78%E -0.966%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 28.62%EV -5.03%E -1.49%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-11 22:45 |
| GTbets | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.18%EV -2.35%E -0.917%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 2.69I 37.17%NM 35.39%EV -9.20%E -3.42%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.47I 28.82%NM 27.43%EV -2.50%E -0.720%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-11 08:50 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.90%EV -2.73%E -1.07%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.33%EV -2.11%E -0.727%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 3.36I 29.76%NM 28.77%EV -5.59%E -1.66%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-04-11 19:25 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.90%EV -2.73%E -1.07%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.33%EV -2.11%E -0.727%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 3.36I 29.76%NM 28.77%EV -5.59%E -1.66%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-04-11 19:25 |
| 1xBet | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.77%EV -3.11%E -1.22%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.51%EV -6.16%E -2.22%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 27.73%EV -2.78%E -0.804%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-11 22:55 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.88%EV -4.64%E -1.85%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.07%EV -8.86%E -3.28%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.05%EV -1.66%E -0.473%K -0.663%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-11 22:45 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.88%EV -4.64%E -1.85%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.07%EV -8.86%E -3.28%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.05%EV -1.66%E -0.473%K -0.663%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-11 22:45 |
| BetMGM | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.33%EV -4.64%E -1.85%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.22%EV -10.55%E -3.98%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -4.47%E -1.31%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-11 14:14 |
| Grosvenor | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.52%EV -5.40%E -2.18%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.11%EV -10.55%E -3.98%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -4.47%E -1.31%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-11 22:49 |
| Unibet | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.52%EV -5.40%E -2.18%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.11%EV -10.55%E -3.98%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -4.47%E -1.31%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-11 22:50 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.52%EV -5.40%E -2.18%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.11%EV -10.55%E -3.98%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -4.47%E -1.31%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-11 22:50 |
| Casumo | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.52%EV -5.40%E -2.18%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.11%EV -10.55%E -3.98%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -4.47%E -1.31%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-11 22:50 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.52%EV -5.40%E -2.18%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.11%EV -10.55%E -3.98%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -4.47%E -1.31%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-11 22:50 |
| betPARX | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.52%EV -5.40%E -2.18%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.11%EV -10.55%E -3.98%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -4.47%E -1.31%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-11 22:50 |
| DraftKings | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.37%EV -6.54%E -2.67%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.57%EV -5.48%E -1.96%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.06%EV -5.87%E -1.75%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-11 19:25 |
| FanDuel | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.21%EV -6.54%E -2.67%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -5.48%E -1.96%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -7.28%E -2.20%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-11 20:14 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.14%EV -6.54%E -2.67%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.97%EV -7.17%E -2.61%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.89%EV -5.87%E -1.75%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-11 20:05 |
| SportsBet | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -6.54%E -2.67%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -7.17%E -2.61%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -7.28%E -2.20%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-11 21:15 |
| BetRivers | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.81%EV -6.54%E -2.67%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.95%EV -10.55%E -3.98%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -4.47%E -1.31%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-11 22:45 |
| TABtouch | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.71%EV -6.54%E -2.67%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.12%EV -11.22%E -4.27%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.17%EV -4.47%E -1.31%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-11 22:50 |
| Fanatics | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -6.54%E -2.67%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.67%EV -10.55%E -3.98%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -7.28%E -2.20%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-11 22:50 |
| Bet Right | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.40%EV -6.54%E -2.67%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.24%EV -12.23%E -4.71%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.35%EV -5.87%E -1.75%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-11 08:40 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.13%EV -7.31%E -3.01%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.09%EV -5.48%E -1.96%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 28.78%EV -9.52%E -2.96%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-11 22:55 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.59%EV -7.31%E -3.01%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.14%EV -12.23%E -4.71%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.27%EV -5.87%E -1.75%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-11 22:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.59%EV -7.31%E -3.01%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.14%EV -12.23%E -4.71%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.27%EV -5.87%E -1.75%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-11 22:50 |
| NordicBet | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.42%EV -7.69%E -3.18%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 32.97%EV -4.81%E -1.71%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.61%EV -8.68%E -2.67%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-11 22:50 |
| Betsson | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.42%EV -7.69%E -3.18%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 32.97%EV -4.81%E -1.71%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.61%EV -8.68%E -2.67%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-11 22:49 |
| BetUS | 2.41I 41.49%NM 38.34%EV -8.07%E -3.35%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.23%EV -6.16%E -2.22%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.43%EV -8.68%E -2.67%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-11 22:50 |
| Bet Victor | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -8.45%E -3.52%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -5.48%E -1.96%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -4.47%E -1.31%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-11 22:53 |
| Betway | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.53%EV -8.45%E -3.52%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.02%EV -5.48%E -1.96%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -8.68%E -2.67%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-11 22:50 |
| PlayUp | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.53%EV -8.45%E -3.52%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.02%EV -5.48%E -1.96%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -8.68%E -2.67%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-11 22:49 |
| Paddy Power | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.89%EV -8.45%E -3.52%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.68%EV -8.86%E -3.28%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.42%EV -10.09%E -3.15%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-11 21:14 |
| Everygame | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.72%EV -8.45%E -3.52%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.53%EV -8.86%E -3.28%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.74%EV -11.49%E -3.65%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-11 20:14 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.47%EV -8.45%E -3.52%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.27%EV -13.92%E -5.46%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.25%EV -7.28%E -2.20%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-11 22:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -8.45%E -3.52%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.53%EV -12.23%E -4.71%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -10.09%E -3.15%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-11 14:14 |
| Coral | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -8.45%E -3.52%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.53%EV -12.23%E -4.71%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -10.09%E -3.15%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-11 14:14 |
| 888sport | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.82%EV -8.45%E -3.52%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.73%EV -11.56%E -4.41%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -15.71%E -5.24%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-04-11 22:00 |
| William Hill | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.82%EV -8.45%E -3.52%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.73%EV -11.56%E -4.41%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -15.71%E -5.24%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-04-11 22:00 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.82%EV -8.45%E -3.52%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.73%EV -11.56%E -4.41%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -15.71%E -5.24%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-04-11 22:00 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.82%EV -8.45%E -3.52%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.73%EV -11.56%E -4.41%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -15.71%E -5.24%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-04-11 22:00 |
| Sky Bet | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.42%EV -9.21%E -3.87%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.86%EV -11.22%E -4.27%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -12.90%E -4.16%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-04-11 21:14 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.64%EV -10.36%E -4.41%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.26%EV -10.55%E -3.98%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.10%EV -5.87%E -1.75%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-11 20:05 |
| LeoVegas | 2.33I 42.92%NM 37.75%EV -11.12%E -4.77%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.18%EV -15.61%E -6.24%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.06%EV -8.68%E -2.67%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-04-11 22:45 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.33I 42.92%NM 37.75%EV -11.12%E -4.77%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.18%EV -15.61%E -6.24%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.06%EV -8.68%E -2.67%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-04-11 22:45 |
| BoyleSports | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.51%EV -12.26%E -5.33%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.81%EV -11.56%E -4.41%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.68%EV -10.09%E -3.15%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-04-11 19:25 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.16%EV -12.26%E -5.33%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.42%EV -13.92%E -5.46%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.43%EV -10.09%E -3.15%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-04-11 20:04 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 36.78%EV -12.26%E -5.33%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 33.84%EV -15.61%E -6.24%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.38%EV -19.08%E -6.62%K -10.15%G +0.000% | 18.2% | 2026-04-11 08:50 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.27I 44.05%NM 38.65%EV -13.41%E -5.91%K -10.56%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.49%EV -11.56%E -4.41%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.86%EV -11.49%E -3.65%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-04-11 22:33 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.18%EV -14.17%E -6.30%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.27%EV -10.55%E -3.98%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.55%EV -10.09%E -3.15%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-04-11 20:05 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.44%EV -14.17%E -6.30%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 33.66%EV -13.25%E -5.15%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.90%EV -12.90%E -4.16%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 15.6% | 2026-04-11 22:55 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.50% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.11% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.38% | 0.7% | 2026-04-11 22:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.50% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.11% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.38% | 0.7% | 2026-04-11 22:55 |
| Matchbook | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.50% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.11% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.38% | 0.7% | 2026-04-11 22:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.42% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.26% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.32% | 0.9% | 2026-04-11 22:50 |
| Smarkets | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.27% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.33% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.40% | 2.1% | 2026-04-11 22:55 |
| Kalshi | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.92% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.94% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.14% | 3.0% | 2026-04-11 22:50 |