L’École des cotesTigres v Guadalajara
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Tigres (Local)
Prévision 38.15%2.62cote équitable
EV -0.820%
Avantage -0.316%
Kelly -0.513%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.60
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
36.62%37.99%38.28%39.18%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.252.432.432.6044.44%41.22%41.15%38.46%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Guadalajara (Visiteur)
Prévision 33.76%2.96cote équitable
EV -2.11%
Avantage -0.727%
Kelly -1.11%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.90
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
32.97%33.90%33.72%35.53%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.502.682.652.9040.00%37.32%37.74%34.48%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 28.10%3.56cote équitable
EV -1.66%
Avantage -0.473%
Kelly -0.663%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.50
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.05%28.11%28.00%29.45%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.883.283.303.5034.72%30.48%30.30%28.57%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (51 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.62%EV -0.820%E -0.316%K -0.513%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.53%EV -9.53%E -3.56%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.84%EV -3.90%E -1.14%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-11 12:55 |
| Pinnacle | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.79%EV -2.35%E -0.917%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.59%EV -2.78%E -0.966%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 28.62%EV -5.03%E -1.49%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-11 22:45 |
| GTbets | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.18%EV -2.35%E -0.917%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 2.69I 37.17%NM 35.39%EV -9.20%E -3.42%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.47I 28.82%NM 27.43%EV -2.50%E -0.720%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-11 08:50 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.90%EV -2.73%E -1.07%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.33%EV -2.11%E -0.727%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 3.36I 29.76%NM 28.77%EV -5.59%E -1.66%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-04-11 19:25 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.90%EV -2.73%E -1.07%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.33%EV -2.11%E -0.727%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 3.36I 29.76%NM 28.77%EV -5.59%E -1.66%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-04-11 19:25 |
| 1xBet | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.77%EV -3.11%E -1.22%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.51%EV -6.16%E -2.22%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 27.73%EV -2.78%E -0.804%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-11 22:55 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.88%EV -4.64%E -1.85%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.07%EV -8.86%E -3.28%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.05%EV -1.66%E -0.473%K -0.663%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-11 22:45 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.88%EV -4.64%E -1.85%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.07%EV -8.86%E -3.28%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.05%EV -1.66%E -0.473%K -0.663%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-11 22:45 |
| BetMGM | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.33%EV -4.64%E -1.85%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.22%EV -10.55%E -3.98%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -4.47%E -1.31%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-11 14:14 |
| Grosvenor | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.52%EV -5.40%E -2.18%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.11%EV -10.55%E -3.98%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -4.47%E -1.31%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-11 22:49 |
| Unibet | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.52%EV -5.40%E -2.18%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.11%EV -10.55%E -3.98%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -4.47%E -1.31%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-11 22:50 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.52%EV -5.40%E -2.18%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.11%EV -10.55%E -3.98%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -4.47%E -1.31%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-11 22:50 |
| Casumo | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.52%EV -5.40%E -2.18%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.11%EV -10.55%E -3.98%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -4.47%E -1.31%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-11 22:50 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.52%EV -5.40%E -2.18%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.11%EV -10.55%E -3.98%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -4.47%E -1.31%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-11 22:50 |
| betPARX | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.52%EV -5.40%E -2.18%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.11%EV -10.55%E -3.98%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -4.47%E -1.31%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-11 22:50 |
| DraftKings | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.37%EV -6.54%E -2.67%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.57%EV -5.48%E -1.96%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.06%EV -5.87%E -1.75%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-11 19:25 |
| FanDuel | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.21%EV -6.54%E -2.67%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -5.48%E -1.96%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -7.28%E -2.20%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-11 20:14 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.14%EV -6.54%E -2.67%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.97%EV -7.17%E -2.61%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.89%EV -5.87%E -1.75%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-11 20:05 |
| SportsBet | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -6.54%E -2.67%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -7.17%E -2.61%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -7.28%E -2.20%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-11 21:15 |
| BetRivers | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.81%EV -6.54%E -2.67%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.95%EV -10.55%E -3.98%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -4.47%E -1.31%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-11 22:45 |
| TABtouch | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.71%EV -6.54%E -2.67%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.12%EV -11.22%E -4.27%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.17%EV -4.47%E -1.31%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-11 22:50 |
| Fanatics | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -6.54%E -2.67%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.67%EV -10.55%E -3.98%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -7.28%E -2.20%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-11 22:50 |
| Bet Right | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.40%EV -6.54%E -2.67%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.24%EV -12.23%E -4.71%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.35%EV -5.87%E -1.75%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-11 08:40 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.13%EV -7.31%E -3.01%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.09%EV -5.48%E -1.96%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 28.78%EV -9.52%E -2.96%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-11 22:55 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.59%EV -7.31%E -3.01%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.14%EV -12.23%E -4.71%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.27%EV -5.87%E -1.75%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-11 22:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.59%EV -7.31%E -3.01%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.14%EV -12.23%E -4.71%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.27%EV -5.87%E -1.75%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-11 22:50 |
| NordicBet | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.42%EV -7.69%E -3.18%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 32.97%EV -4.81%E -1.71%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.61%EV -8.68%E -2.67%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-11 22:50 |
| Betsson | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.42%EV -7.69%E -3.18%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 32.97%EV -4.81%E -1.71%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.61%EV -8.68%E -2.67%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-11 22:49 |
| BetUS | 2.41I 41.49%NM 38.34%EV -8.07%E -3.35%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.23%EV -6.16%E -2.22%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.43%EV -8.68%E -2.67%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-11 22:50 |
| Bet Victor | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -8.45%E -3.52%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -5.48%E -1.96%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -4.47%E -1.31%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-11 22:53 |
| Betway | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.53%EV -8.45%E -3.52%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.02%EV -5.48%E -1.96%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -8.68%E -2.67%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-11 22:50 |
| PlayUp | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.53%EV -8.45%E -3.52%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.02%EV -5.48%E -1.96%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -8.68%E -2.67%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-11 22:49 |
| Paddy Power | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.89%EV -8.45%E -3.52%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.68%EV -8.86%E -3.28%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.42%EV -10.09%E -3.15%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-11 21:14 |
| Everygame | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.72%EV -8.45%E -3.52%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.53%EV -8.86%E -3.28%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.74%EV -11.49%E -3.65%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-11 20:14 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.47%EV -8.45%E -3.52%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.27%EV -13.92%E -5.46%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.25%EV -7.28%E -2.20%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-11 22:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -8.45%E -3.52%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.53%EV -12.23%E -4.71%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -10.09%E -3.15%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-11 14:14 |
| Coral | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -8.45%E -3.52%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.53%EV -12.23%E -4.71%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -10.09%E -3.15%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-11 14:14 |
| 888sport | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.82%EV -8.45%E -3.52%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.73%EV -11.56%E -4.41%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -15.71%E -5.24%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-04-11 22:00 |
| William Hill | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.82%EV -8.45%E -3.52%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.73%EV -11.56%E -4.41%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -15.71%E -5.24%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-04-11 22:00 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.82%EV -8.45%E -3.52%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.73%EV -11.56%E -4.41%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -15.71%E -5.24%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-04-11 22:00 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.82%EV -8.45%E -3.52%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.73%EV -11.56%E -4.41%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -15.71%E -5.24%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-04-11 22:00 |
| Sky Bet | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.42%EV -9.21%E -3.87%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.86%EV -11.22%E -4.27%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -12.90%E -4.16%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-04-11 21:14 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.64%EV -10.36%E -4.41%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.26%EV -10.55%E -3.98%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.10%EV -5.87%E -1.75%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-11 20:05 |
| LeoVegas | 2.33I 42.92%NM 37.75%EV -11.12%E -4.77%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.18%EV -15.61%E -6.24%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.06%EV -8.68%E -2.67%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-04-11 22:45 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.33I 42.92%NM 37.75%EV -11.12%E -4.77%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.18%EV -15.61%E -6.24%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.06%EV -8.68%E -2.67%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-04-11 22:45 |
| BoyleSports | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.51%EV -12.26%E -5.33%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.81%EV -11.56%E -4.41%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.68%EV -10.09%E -3.15%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-04-11 19:25 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.16%EV -12.26%E -5.33%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.42%EV -13.92%E -5.46%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.43%EV -10.09%E -3.15%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-04-11 20:04 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 36.78%EV -12.26%E -5.33%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 33.84%EV -15.61%E -6.24%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.38%EV -19.08%E -6.62%K -10.15%G +0.000% | 18.2% | 2026-04-11 08:50 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.27I 44.05%NM 38.65%EV -13.41%E -5.91%K -10.56%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.49%EV -11.56%E -4.41%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.86%EV -11.49%E -3.65%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-04-11 22:33 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.18%EV -14.17%E -6.30%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.27%EV -10.55%E -3.98%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.55%EV -10.09%E -3.15%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-04-11 20:05 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.44%EV -14.17%E -6.30%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 33.66%EV -13.25%E -5.15%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.90%EV -12.90%E -4.16%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 15.6% | 2026-04-11 22:55 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.50% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.11% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.38% | 0.7% | 2026-04-11 22:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.50% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.11% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.38% | 0.7% | 2026-04-11 22:55 |
| Matchbook | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.50% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.11% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.38% | 0.7% | 2026-04-11 22:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.42% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.26% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.32% | 0.9% | 2026-04-11 22:50 |
| Smarkets | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.27% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.33% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.40% | 2.1% | 2026-04-11 22:55 |
| Kalshi | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.92% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.94% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.14% | 3.0% | 2026-04-11 22:50 |