Language:English
Tigres v Guadalajara
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Tigres (Local)
Prediction 50.03%2.00fair odd
EV -2.95%
Edge -1.52%
Kelly -3.14%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.94
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.50%50.09%49.97%52.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.721.851.861.9458.14%54.11%53.76%51.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Guadalajara (Visit)
Prediction 22.90%4.37fair odd
EV +2.59%
Edge +0.579%
Kelly +0.745%
Growth +0.019%
assuming max odds 4.48
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.53%22.89%22.87%24.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.704.003.994.4827.03%25.01%25.06%22.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 27.07%3.69fair odd
EV -0.914%
Edge -0.250%
Kelly -0.344%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.66
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.35%27.01%27.15%28.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.353.303.6633.33%29.84%30.30%27.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Tigres (Local): 50.03%; Guadalajara (Visit): 22.90%; Draw: 27.07%. For Guadalajara (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.37. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.48, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.59%.
Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.13%EV -7.45%E -4.03%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 4.48I 22.32%NM 21.53%EV +2.59%E +0.579%K +0.745%G +0.019% | 3.66I 27.32%NM 26.35%EV -0.914%E -0.250%K -0.344%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-03 00:51 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.13%EV -7.45%E -4.03%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 4.48I 22.32%NM 21.53%EV +2.59%E +0.579%K +0.745%G +0.019% | 3.66I 27.32%NM 26.35%EV -0.914%E -0.250%K -0.344%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-03 00:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.65%EV -5.95%E -3.16%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.14%EV -1.53%E -0.355%K -0.463%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.21%EV -5.25%E -1.50%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-03 00:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.74%EV -9.95%E -5.53%K -12.44%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.66%EV -1.53%E -0.355%K -0.463%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -5.25%E -1.50%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-03 00:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.57%EV -4.45%E -2.33%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 4.22I 23.70%NM 22.89%EV -3.36%E -0.796%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 26.54%EV -1.46%E -0.400%K -0.551%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-05-03 00:50 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.57%EV -4.45%E -2.33%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 4.22I 23.70%NM 22.89%EV -3.36%E -0.796%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 26.54%EV -1.46%E -0.400%K -0.551%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-05-03 00:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.19%EV -5.95%E -3.16%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.46%EV -3.82%E -0.909%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.35%EV -6.60%E -1.91%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-03 00:29 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.25%EV -8.45%E -4.62%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%EV -3.82%E -0.909%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.42%EV -3.89%E -1.10%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-03 00:35 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.39%EV -7.45%E -4.03%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -3.82%E -0.909%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -7.95%E -2.34%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-03 00:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.47%EV -9.95%E -5.53%K -12.44%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -3.82%E -0.909%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -5.25%E -1.50%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-03 00:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.73%EV -2.95%E -1.52%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.06%EV -6.11%E -1.49%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.22%EV -9.31%E -2.78%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-03 00:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.73%EV -2.95%E -1.52%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.06%EV -6.11%E -1.49%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.22%EV -9.31%E -2.78%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-03 00:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.91%EV -4.45%E -2.33%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.78%EV -6.11%E -1.49%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -10.66%E -3.23%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-03 00:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.91%EV -4.45%E -2.33%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.78%EV -6.11%E -1.49%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -10.66%E -3.23%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-03 00:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.91%EV -4.45%E -2.33%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.78%EV -6.11%E -1.49%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -10.66%E -3.23%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-03 00:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.91%EV -4.45%E -2.33%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.78%EV -6.11%E -1.49%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -10.66%E -3.23%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-03 00:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.91%EV -4.45%E -2.33%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.78%EV -6.11%E -1.49%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -10.66%E -3.23%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-03 00:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.91%EV -4.45%E -2.33%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.78%EV -6.11%E -1.49%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -10.66%E -3.23%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-03 00:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.85%EV -6.45%E -3.45%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%EV -6.11%E -1.49%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -7.95%E -2.34%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-03 00:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.30%EV -5.95%E -3.16%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.61%EV -6.11%E -1.49%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.09%EV -10.66%E -3.23%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-03 00:45 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.19%EV -8.45%E -4.62%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -6.11%E -1.49%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.41%EV -9.31%E -2.78%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-03 00:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.82%EV -5.95%E -3.16%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -8.40%E -2.10%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -5.25%E -1.50%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-03 00:41 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.04%EV -4.45%E -2.33%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -8.40%E -2.10%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -7.95%E -2.34%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-03 00:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.82%EV -5.95%E -3.16%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.94%EV -8.40%E -2.10%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -12.01%E -3.70%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-03 00:45 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.90%EV -9.95%E -5.53%K -12.44%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -8.40%E -2.10%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.64%EV -12.01%E -3.70%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-03 00:46 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.82%EV -12.45%E -7.12%K -16.60%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.23%EV -8.40%E -2.10%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.95%EV -10.66%E -3.23%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-03 00:25 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.59%EV -5.45%E -2.88%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 3.98I 25.13%NM 23.55%EV -8.86%E -2.23%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.49I 28.65%NM 26.86%EV -5.52%E -1.58%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-03 00:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.48%EV -5.95%E -3.16%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.55%EV -9.54%E -2.42%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.96%EV -6.60%E -1.91%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-03 00:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.48%EV -5.95%E -3.16%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.55%EV -9.54%E -2.42%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.96%EV -6.60%E -1.91%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-03 00:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.60%EV -6.45%E -3.45%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.01%EV -9.54%E -2.42%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -13.37%E -4.18%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-03 00:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.60%EV -6.45%E -3.45%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.01%EV -9.54%E -2.42%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -13.37%E -4.18%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-03 00:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.15%EV -8.95%E -4.92%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.40%EV -10.69%E -2.74%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.45%EV -6.60%E -1.91%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-03 00:31 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.81%EV -8.45%E -4.62%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.37%EV -10.69%E -2.74%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -7.95%E -2.34%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-03 00:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.50%EV -7.45%E -4.03%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.01%EV -10.69%E -2.74%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.49%EV -14.72%E -4.67%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-03 00:55 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.32%EV -12.45%E -7.12%K -16.60%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.58%EV -10.69%E -2.74%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.10%EV -12.01%E -3.70%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-05-03 00:25 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 50.61%EV -13.45%E -7.78%K -18.43%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.45%EV -10.69%E -2.74%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.94%EV -12.01%E -3.70%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-05-03 00:35 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.99%EV -5.95%E -3.16%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.92%EV -11.83%E -3.07%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -7.95%E -2.34%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-03 00:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 48.69%EV -9.45%E -5.22%K -11.67%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.89%EV -11.83%E -3.07%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.43%EV -16.07%E -5.19%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-05-03 00:55 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 48.69%EV -9.45%E -5.22%K -11.67%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.89%EV -11.83%E -3.07%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.43%EV -16.07%E -5.19%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-05-03 00:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 49.85%EV -11.95%E -6.79%K -15.73%G +0.000% | 3.83I 26.11%NM 22.91%EV -12.29%E -3.21%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 27.25%EV -12.83%E -3.98%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-05-03 00:35 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.78%EV -4.45%E -2.33%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.81I 26.25%NM 24.45%EV -12.75%E -3.35%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 26.77%EV -5.79%E -1.66%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-03 00:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.01%EV -5.45%E -2.88%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.38%EV -12.98%E -3.42%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 26.62%EV -5.79%E -1.66%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-03 00:51 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.22%EV -5.95%E -3.16%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -12.98%E -3.42%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.44%EV -5.25%E -1.50%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-03 00:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.70%EV -8.45%E -4.62%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.45%EV -12.98%E -3.42%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -13.37%E -4.18%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-03 00:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.70%EV -8.45%E -4.62%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.45%EV -12.98%E -3.42%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -13.37%E -4.18%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-03 00:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.32%EV -9.95%E -5.53%K -12.44%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.36%EV -12.98%E -3.42%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.32%EV -12.01%E -3.70%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-05-03 00:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.32%EV -9.95%E -5.53%K -12.44%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.36%EV -12.98%E -3.42%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.32%EV -12.01%E -3.70%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-05-03 00:51 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.32%EV -9.95%E -5.53%K -12.44%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.36%EV -12.98%E -3.42%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.32%EV -12.01%E -3.70%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-05-03 00:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.32%EV -9.95%E -5.53%K -12.44%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.36%EV -12.98%E -3.42%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.32%EV -12.01%E -3.70%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-05-03 00:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 49.07%EV -13.45%E -7.78%K -18.43%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 22.64%EV -14.12%E -3.77%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.30%EV -18.78%E -6.26%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 17.8% | 2026-05-03 00:25 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 49.49%EV -10.95%E -6.15%K -14.04%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.81%EV -15.27%E -4.13%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.70%EV -10.66%E -3.23%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-05-03 00:30 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 50.15%EV -13.95%E -8.11%K -19.38%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.31%EV -15.27%E -4.13%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.54%EV -12.01%E -3.70%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 15.9% | 2026-05-03 00:50 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.96% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.57% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47% | 0.8% | 2026-05-03 00:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.96% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.57% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47% | 0.8% | 2026-05-03 00:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.96% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.57% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47% | 0.8% | 2026-05-03 00:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.96% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.57% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47% | 0.8% | 2026-05-03 00:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.90I 52.63%NM 51.72% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.36% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.92% | 1.8% | 2026-05-03 00:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.97% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.06% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.97% | 4.0% | 2026-05-03 00:55 |