La scuola delle quoteItaliano
Tigres v Guadalajara
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Tigres (Casa)
Previsione 50.03%2.00quota equa
EV -2.95%
Vantaggio -1.52%
Kelly -3.14%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.94
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
48.50%50.09%49.97%52.13%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.721.851.861.9458.14%54.11%53.76%51.55%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Guadalajara (Trasferta)
Previsione 22.90%4.37quota equa
EV +2.59%
Vantaggio +0.579%
Kelly +0.745%
Crescita +0.019%
ipotizzando la quota massima 4.48
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
21.53%22.89%22.87%24.45%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.704.003.994.4827.03%25.01%25.06%22.32%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Pareggio
Previsione 27.07%3.69quota equa
EV -0.914%
Vantaggio -0.250%
Kelly -0.344%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 3.66
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
26.35%27.01%27.15%28.49%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.003.353.303.6633.33%29.84%30.30%27.32%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (52 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta ▼ | Pareggio | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.13%EV -7.45%E -4.03%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 4.48I 22.32%NM 21.53%EV +2.59%E +0.579%K +0.745%G +0.019% | 3.66I 27.32%NM 26.35%EV -0.914%E -0.250%K -0.344%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-03 00:51 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.13%EV -7.45%E -4.03%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 4.48I 22.32%NM 21.53%EV +2.59%E +0.579%K +0.745%G +0.019% | 3.66I 27.32%NM 26.35%EV -0.914%E -0.250%K -0.344%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-03 00:50 |
| Coolbet | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.65%EV -5.95%E -3.16%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.14%EV -1.53%E -0.355%K -0.463%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.21%EV -5.25%E -1.50%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-03 00:40 |
| FanDuel | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.74%EV -9.95%E -5.53%K -12.44%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.66%EV -1.53%E -0.355%K -0.463%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -5.25%E -1.50%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-03 00:25 |
| Pinnacle | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.57%EV -4.45%E -2.33%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 4.22I 23.70%NM 22.89%EV -3.36%E -0.796%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 26.54%EV -1.46%E -0.400%K -0.551%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-05-03 00:50 |
| BetUS | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.57%EV -4.45%E -2.33%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 4.22I 23.70%NM 22.89%EV -3.36%E -0.796%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 26.54%EV -1.46%E -0.400%K -0.551%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-05-03 00:50 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.19%EV -5.95%E -3.16%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.46%EV -3.82%E -0.909%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.35%EV -6.60%E -1.91%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-03 00:29 |
| DraftKings | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.25%EV -8.45%E -4.62%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%EV -3.82%E -0.909%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.42%EV -3.89%E -1.10%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-03 00:35 |
| Bet Victor | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.39%EV -7.45%E -4.03%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -3.82%E -0.909%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -7.95%E -2.34%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-03 00:50 |
| SportsBet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.47%EV -9.95%E -5.53%K -12.44%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -3.82%E -0.909%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -5.25%E -1.50%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-03 00:30 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.73%EV -2.95%E -1.52%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.06%EV -6.11%E -1.49%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.22%EV -9.31%E -2.78%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-03 00:55 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.73%EV -2.95%E -1.52%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.06%EV -6.11%E -1.49%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.22%EV -9.31%E -2.78%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-03 00:55 |
| Unibet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.91%EV -4.45%E -2.33%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.78%EV -6.11%E -1.49%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -10.66%E -3.23%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-03 00:55 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.91%EV -4.45%E -2.33%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.78%EV -6.11%E -1.49%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -10.66%E -3.23%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-03 00:55 |
| Casumo | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.91%EV -4.45%E -2.33%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.78%EV -6.11%E -1.49%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -10.66%E -3.23%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-03 00:55 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.91%EV -4.45%E -2.33%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.78%EV -6.11%E -1.49%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -10.66%E -3.23%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-03 00:55 |
| Grosvenor | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.91%EV -4.45%E -2.33%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.78%EV -6.11%E -1.49%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -10.66%E -3.23%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-03 00:55 |
| betPARX | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.91%EV -4.45%E -2.33%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.78%EV -6.11%E -1.49%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -10.66%E -3.23%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-03 00:55 |
| BetMGM | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.85%EV -6.45%E -3.45%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%EV -6.11%E -1.49%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -7.95%E -2.34%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-03 00:30 |
| BetRivers | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.30%EV -5.95%E -3.16%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.61%EV -6.11%E -1.49%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.09%EV -10.66%E -3.23%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-03 00:45 |
| Bet Right | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.19%EV -8.45%E -4.62%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -6.11%E -1.49%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.41%EV -9.31%E -2.78%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-03 00:40 |
| Bovada | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.82%EV -5.95%E -3.16%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -8.40%E -2.10%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -5.25%E -1.50%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-03 00:41 |
| Fanatics | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.04%EV -4.45%E -2.33%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -8.40%E -2.10%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -7.95%E -2.34%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-03 00:25 |
| TABtouch | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.82%EV -5.95%E -3.16%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.94%EV -8.40%E -2.10%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -12.01%E -3.70%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-03 00:45 |
| betfred_uk | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.90%EV -9.95%E -5.53%K -12.44%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -8.40%E -2.10%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.64%EV -12.01%E -3.70%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-03 00:46 |
| Paddy Power | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.82%EV -12.45%E -7.12%K -16.60%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.23%EV -8.40%E -2.10%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.95%EV -10.66%E -3.23%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-03 00:25 |
| GTbets | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.59%EV -5.45%E -2.88%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 3.98I 25.13%NM 23.55%EV -8.86%E -2.23%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.49I 28.65%NM 26.86%EV -5.52%E -1.58%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-03 00:35 |
| NordicBet | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.48%EV -5.95%E -3.16%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.55%EV -9.54%E -2.42%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.96%EV -6.60%E -1.91%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-03 00:50 |
| Betsson | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.48%EV -5.95%E -3.16%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.55%EV -9.54%E -2.42%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.96%EV -6.60%E -1.91%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-03 00:50 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.60%EV -6.45%E -3.45%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.01%EV -9.54%E -2.42%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -13.37%E -4.18%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-03 00:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.60%EV -6.45%E -3.45%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.01%EV -9.54%E -2.42%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -13.37%E -4.18%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-03 00:55 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.15%EV -8.95%E -4.92%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.40%EV -10.69%E -2.74%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.45%EV -6.60%E -1.91%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-03 00:31 |
| Everygame | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.81%EV -8.45%E -4.62%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.37%EV -10.69%E -2.74%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -7.95%E -2.34%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-03 00:50 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.50%EV -7.45%E -4.03%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.01%EV -10.69%E -2.74%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.49%EV -14.72%E -4.67%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-03 00:55 |
| Sky Bet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.32%EV -12.45%E -7.12%K -16.60%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.58%EV -10.69%E -2.74%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.10%EV -12.01%E -3.70%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-05-03 00:25 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 50.61%EV -13.45%E -7.78%K -18.43%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.45%EV -10.69%E -2.74%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.94%EV -12.01%E -3.70%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-05-03 00:35 |
| PlayUp | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.99%EV -5.95%E -3.16%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.92%EV -11.83%E -3.07%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -7.95%E -2.34%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-03 00:50 |
| LeoVegas | 1.81I 55.25%NM 48.69%EV -9.45%E -5.22%K -11.67%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.89%EV -11.83%E -3.07%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.43%EV -16.07%E -5.19%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-05-03 00:55 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.81I 55.25%NM 48.69%EV -9.45%E -5.22%K -11.67%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.89%EV -11.83%E -3.07%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.43%EV -16.07%E -5.19%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-05-03 00:55 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.76I 56.82%NM 49.85%EV -11.95%E -6.79%K -15.73%G +0.000% | 3.83I 26.11%NM 22.91%EV -12.29%E -3.21%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 27.25%EV -12.83%E -3.98%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-05-03 00:35 |
| 1xBet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.78%EV -4.45%E -2.33%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.81I 26.25%NM 24.45%EV -12.75%E -3.35%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 26.77%EV -5.79%E -1.66%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-03 00:50 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.01%EV -5.45%E -2.88%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.38%EV -12.98%E -3.42%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 26.62%EV -5.79%E -1.66%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-03 00:51 |
| Betway | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.22%EV -5.95%E -3.16%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -12.98%E -3.42%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.44%EV -5.25%E -1.50%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-03 00:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.70%EV -8.45%E -4.62%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.45%EV -12.98%E -3.42%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -13.37%E -4.18%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-03 00:30 |
| Coral | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.70%EV -8.45%E -4.62%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.45%EV -12.98%E -3.42%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -13.37%E -4.18%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-03 00:30 |
| William Hill | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.32%EV -9.95%E -5.53%K -12.44%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.36%EV -12.98%E -3.42%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.32%EV -12.01%E -3.70%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-05-03 00:50 |
| 888sport | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.32%EV -9.95%E -5.53%K -12.44%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.36%EV -12.98%E -3.42%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.32%EV -12.01%E -3.70%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-05-03 00:51 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.32%EV -9.95%E -5.53%K -12.44%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.36%EV -12.98%E -3.42%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.32%EV -12.01%E -3.70%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-05-03 00:50 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.32%EV -9.95%E -5.53%K -12.44%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.36%EV -12.98%E -3.42%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.32%EV -12.01%E -3.70%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-05-03 00:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 49.07%EV -13.45%E -7.78%K -18.43%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 22.64%EV -14.12%E -3.77%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.30%EV -18.78%E -6.26%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 17.8% | 2026-05-03 00:25 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 49.49%EV -10.95%E -6.15%K -14.04%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.81%EV -15.27%E -4.13%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.70%EV -10.66%E -3.23%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-05-03 00:30 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 50.15%EV -13.95%E -8.11%K -19.38%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.31%EV -15.27%E -4.13%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.54%EV -12.01%E -3.70%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 15.9% | 2026-05-03 00:50 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (6)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.96% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.57% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47% | 0.8% | 2026-05-03 00:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.96% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.57% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47% | 0.8% | 2026-05-03 00:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.96% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.57% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47% | 0.8% | 2026-05-03 00:55 |
| Matchbook | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.96% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.57% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47% | 0.8% | 2026-05-03 00:55 |
| Smarkets | 1.90I 52.63%NM 51.72% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.36% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.92% | 1.8% | 2026-05-03 00:55 |
| Kalshi | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.97% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.06% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.97% | 4.0% | 2026-05-03 00:55 |