L’École des cotesTigres v Guadalajara
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Tigres (Local)
Prévision 50.03%2.00cote équitable
EV -2.95%
Avantage -1.52%
Kelly -3.14%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.94
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
48.50%50.09%49.97%52.13%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.721.851.861.9458.14%54.11%53.76%51.55%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Guadalajara (Visiteur)
Prévision 22.90%4.37cote équitable
EV +2.59%
Avantage +0.579%
Kelly +0.745%
Croissance +0.019%
avec la cote maximale 4.48
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.53%22.89%22.87%24.45%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.704.003.994.4827.03%25.01%25.06%22.32%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 27.07%3.69cote équitable
EV -0.914%
Avantage -0.250%
Kelly -0.344%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.66
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.35%27.01%27.15%28.49%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.353.303.6633.33%29.84%30.30%27.32%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (52 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.13%EV -7.45%E -4.03%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 4.48I 22.32%NM 21.53%EV +2.59%E +0.579%K +0.745%G +0.019% | 3.66I 27.32%NM 26.35%EV -0.914%E -0.250%K -0.344%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-03 00:51 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.13%EV -7.45%E -4.03%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 4.48I 22.32%NM 21.53%EV +2.59%E +0.579%K +0.745%G +0.019% | 3.66I 27.32%NM 26.35%EV -0.914%E -0.250%K -0.344%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-03 00:50 |
| Coolbet | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.65%EV -5.95%E -3.16%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.14%EV -1.53%E -0.355%K -0.463%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.21%EV -5.25%E -1.50%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-03 00:40 |
| FanDuel | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.74%EV -9.95%E -5.53%K -12.44%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.66%EV -1.53%E -0.355%K -0.463%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -5.25%E -1.50%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-03 00:25 |
| Pinnacle | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.57%EV -4.45%E -2.33%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 4.22I 23.70%NM 22.89%EV -3.36%E -0.796%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 26.54%EV -1.46%E -0.400%K -0.551%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-05-03 00:50 |
| BetUS | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.57%EV -4.45%E -2.33%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 4.22I 23.70%NM 22.89%EV -3.36%E -0.796%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 26.54%EV -1.46%E -0.400%K -0.551%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-05-03 00:50 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.19%EV -5.95%E -3.16%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.46%EV -3.82%E -0.909%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.35%EV -6.60%E -1.91%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-03 00:29 |
| DraftKings | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.25%EV -8.45%E -4.62%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%EV -3.82%E -0.909%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.42%EV -3.89%E -1.10%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-03 00:35 |
| Bet Victor | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.39%EV -7.45%E -4.03%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -3.82%E -0.909%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -7.95%E -2.34%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-03 00:50 |
| SportsBet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.47%EV -9.95%E -5.53%K -12.44%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -3.82%E -0.909%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -5.25%E -1.50%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-03 00:30 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.73%EV -2.95%E -1.52%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.06%EV -6.11%E -1.49%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.22%EV -9.31%E -2.78%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-03 00:55 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.73%EV -2.95%E -1.52%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.06%EV -6.11%E -1.49%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.22%EV -9.31%E -2.78%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-03 00:55 |
| Unibet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.91%EV -4.45%E -2.33%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.78%EV -6.11%E -1.49%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -10.66%E -3.23%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-03 00:55 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.91%EV -4.45%E -2.33%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.78%EV -6.11%E -1.49%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -10.66%E -3.23%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-03 00:55 |
| Casumo | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.91%EV -4.45%E -2.33%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.78%EV -6.11%E -1.49%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -10.66%E -3.23%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-03 00:55 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.91%EV -4.45%E -2.33%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.78%EV -6.11%E -1.49%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -10.66%E -3.23%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-03 00:55 |
| Grosvenor | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.91%EV -4.45%E -2.33%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.78%EV -6.11%E -1.49%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -10.66%E -3.23%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-03 00:55 |
| betPARX | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.91%EV -4.45%E -2.33%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.78%EV -6.11%E -1.49%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -10.66%E -3.23%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-03 00:55 |
| BetMGM | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.85%EV -6.45%E -3.45%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%EV -6.11%E -1.49%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -7.95%E -2.34%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-03 00:30 |
| BetRivers | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.30%EV -5.95%E -3.16%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.61%EV -6.11%E -1.49%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.09%EV -10.66%E -3.23%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-03 00:45 |
| Bet Right | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.19%EV -8.45%E -4.62%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -6.11%E -1.49%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.41%EV -9.31%E -2.78%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-03 00:40 |
| Bovada | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.82%EV -5.95%E -3.16%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -8.40%E -2.10%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -5.25%E -1.50%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-03 00:41 |
| Fanatics | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.04%EV -4.45%E -2.33%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -8.40%E -2.10%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -7.95%E -2.34%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-03 00:25 |
| TABtouch | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.82%EV -5.95%E -3.16%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.94%EV -8.40%E -2.10%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -12.01%E -3.70%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-03 00:45 |
| betfred_uk | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.90%EV -9.95%E -5.53%K -12.44%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -8.40%E -2.10%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.64%EV -12.01%E -3.70%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-03 00:46 |
| Paddy Power | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.82%EV -12.45%E -7.12%K -16.60%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.23%EV -8.40%E -2.10%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.95%EV -10.66%E -3.23%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-03 00:25 |
| GTbets | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.59%EV -5.45%E -2.88%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 3.98I 25.13%NM 23.55%EV -8.86%E -2.23%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.49I 28.65%NM 26.86%EV -5.52%E -1.58%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-03 00:35 |
| NordicBet | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.48%EV -5.95%E -3.16%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.55%EV -9.54%E -2.42%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.96%EV -6.60%E -1.91%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-03 00:50 |
| Betsson | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.48%EV -5.95%E -3.16%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.55%EV -9.54%E -2.42%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.96%EV -6.60%E -1.91%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-03 00:50 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.60%EV -6.45%E -3.45%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.01%EV -9.54%E -2.42%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -13.37%E -4.18%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-03 00:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.60%EV -6.45%E -3.45%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.01%EV -9.54%E -2.42%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -13.37%E -4.18%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-03 00:55 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.15%EV -8.95%E -4.92%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.40%EV -10.69%E -2.74%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.45%EV -6.60%E -1.91%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-03 00:31 |
| Everygame | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.81%EV -8.45%E -4.62%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.37%EV -10.69%E -2.74%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -7.95%E -2.34%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-03 00:50 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.50%EV -7.45%E -4.03%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.01%EV -10.69%E -2.74%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.49%EV -14.72%E -4.67%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-03 00:55 |
| Sky Bet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.32%EV -12.45%E -7.12%K -16.60%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.58%EV -10.69%E -2.74%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.10%EV -12.01%E -3.70%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-05-03 00:25 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 50.61%EV -13.45%E -7.78%K -18.43%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.45%EV -10.69%E -2.74%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.94%EV -12.01%E -3.70%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-05-03 00:35 |
| PlayUp | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.99%EV -5.95%E -3.16%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.92%EV -11.83%E -3.07%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -7.95%E -2.34%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-03 00:50 |
| LeoVegas | 1.81I 55.25%NM 48.69%EV -9.45%E -5.22%K -11.67%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.89%EV -11.83%E -3.07%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.43%EV -16.07%E -5.19%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-05-03 00:55 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.81I 55.25%NM 48.69%EV -9.45%E -5.22%K -11.67%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.89%EV -11.83%E -3.07%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.43%EV -16.07%E -5.19%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-05-03 00:55 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.76I 56.82%NM 49.85%EV -11.95%E -6.79%K -15.73%G +0.000% | 3.83I 26.11%NM 22.91%EV -12.29%E -3.21%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 27.25%EV -12.83%E -3.98%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-05-03 00:35 |
| 1xBet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.78%EV -4.45%E -2.33%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.81I 26.25%NM 24.45%EV -12.75%E -3.35%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 26.77%EV -5.79%E -1.66%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-03 00:50 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.01%EV -5.45%E -2.88%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.38%EV -12.98%E -3.42%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 26.62%EV -5.79%E -1.66%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-03 00:51 |
| Betway | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.22%EV -5.95%E -3.16%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -12.98%E -3.42%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.44%EV -5.25%E -1.50%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-03 00:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.70%EV -8.45%E -4.62%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.45%EV -12.98%E -3.42%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -13.37%E -4.18%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-03 00:30 |
| Coral | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.70%EV -8.45%E -4.62%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.45%EV -12.98%E -3.42%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -13.37%E -4.18%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-03 00:30 |
| William Hill | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.32%EV -9.95%E -5.53%K -12.44%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.36%EV -12.98%E -3.42%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.32%EV -12.01%E -3.70%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-05-03 00:50 |
| 888sport | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.32%EV -9.95%E -5.53%K -12.44%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.36%EV -12.98%E -3.42%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.32%EV -12.01%E -3.70%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-05-03 00:51 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.32%EV -9.95%E -5.53%K -12.44%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.36%EV -12.98%E -3.42%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.32%EV -12.01%E -3.70%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-05-03 00:50 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.32%EV -9.95%E -5.53%K -12.44%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.36%EV -12.98%E -3.42%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.32%EV -12.01%E -3.70%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-05-03 00:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 49.07%EV -13.45%E -7.78%K -18.43%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 22.64%EV -14.12%E -3.77%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.30%EV -18.78%E -6.26%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 17.8% | 2026-05-03 00:25 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 49.49%EV -10.95%E -6.15%K -14.04%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.81%EV -15.27%E -4.13%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.70%EV -10.66%E -3.23%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-05-03 00:30 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 50.15%EV -13.95%E -8.11%K -19.38%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.31%EV -15.27%E -4.13%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.54%EV -12.01%E -3.70%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 15.9% | 2026-05-03 00:50 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.96% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.57% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47% | 0.8% | 2026-05-03 00:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.96% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.57% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47% | 0.8% | 2026-05-03 00:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.96% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.57% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47% | 0.8% | 2026-05-03 00:55 |
| Matchbook | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.96% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.57% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47% | 0.8% | 2026-05-03 00:55 |
| Smarkets | 1.90I 52.63%NM 51.72% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.36% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.92% | 1.8% | 2026-05-03 00:55 |
| Kalshi | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.97% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.06% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.97% | 4.0% | 2026-05-03 00:55 |