Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Tigres v Atlético San Luis

Kickoff: 2026-07-26 03:00 UTC

Final: Tigres 2–2 Atlético San Luis

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

47 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Tigres (Local)

Prediction 63.82%1.57fair odd
EV -1.71%
Edge -1.11%
Kelly -3.18%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.54

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.54%63.78%63.71%65.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.361.441.441.5473.53%69.22%69.44%64.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Atlético San Luis (Visit)

Prediction 15.06%6.64fair odd
EV +5.42%
Edge +0.775%
Kelly +0.904%
Growth +0.049%

assuming max odds 7.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
13.61%15.10%15.10%17.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.006.186.257.0020.00%16.17%16.00%14.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 21.12%4.74fair odd
EV +1.36%
Edge +0.284%
Kelly +0.359%
Growth +0.005%

assuming max odds 4.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.87%21.12%21.18%22.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.004.334.374.8025.00%23.09%22.88%20.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Tigres (Local): 63.82%; Atlético San Luis (Visit): 15.06%; Draw: 21.12%. For Atlético San Luis (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.64. 10 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 7.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.42%.

Sportsbook Odds (47 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Coolbet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 65.23%EV -6.82%E -4.67%K -14.83%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.61%EV +5.42%E +0.775%K +0.904%G +0.049%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.16%EV -4.97%E -1.10%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-26 02:50
ATG (SE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.46%E -5.14%K -16.57%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.98%EV +1.66%E +0.246%K +0.289%G +0.005%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.96%EV -4.97%E -1.10%K -1.42%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-26 02:55
Svenska Spel🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.46%E -5.14%K -16.57%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.98%EV +1.66%E +0.246%K +0.289%G +0.005%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.96%EV -4.97%E -1.10%K -1.42%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-26 02:55
Unibet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.07%EV -8.73%E -6.11%K -20.31%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.78%EV +1.66%E +0.246%K +0.289%G +0.005%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -7.08%E -1.61%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-26 02:54
Casumo🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.07%EV -8.73%E -6.11%K -20.31%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.78%EV +1.66%E +0.246%K +0.289%G +0.005%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -7.08%E -1.61%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-26 02:34
Unibet (SE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.07%EV -8.73%E -6.11%K -20.31%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.78%EV +1.66%E +0.246%K +0.289%G +0.005%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -7.08%E -1.61%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-26 02:55
Grosvenor🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.07%EV -8.73%E -6.11%K -20.31%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.78%EV +1.66%E +0.246%K +0.289%G +0.005%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -7.08%E -1.61%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-26 02:54
Unibet (NL)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.07%EV -8.73%E -6.11%K -20.31%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.78%EV +1.66%E +0.246%K +0.289%G +0.005%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -7.08%E -1.61%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-26 02:55
betPARX🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.07%EV -8.73%E -6.11%K -20.31%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.78%EV +1.66%E +0.246%K +0.289%G +0.005%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -7.08%E -1.61%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-26 02:34
BetRivers🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.23%EV -9.37%E -6.60%K -22.32%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.72%EV +1.66%E +0.246%K +0.289%G +0.005%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.05%EV -7.08%E -1.61%K -2.08%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-26 02:34
LowVig.ag🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.25%EV -5.54%E -3.75%K -11.55%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.63%EV -0.600%E -0.091%K -0.107%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.12%EV +1.36%E +0.284%K +0.359%G +0.005%3.6%2026-07-26 02:35
BetOnline.ag🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.25%EV -5.54%E -3.75%K -11.55%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.63%EV -0.600%E -0.091%K -0.107%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.12%EV +1.36%E +0.284%K +0.359%G +0.005%3.6%2026-07-26 02:34
SportsBet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.01%EV -7.46%E -5.14%K -16.57%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.50%EV -2.11%E -0.324%K -0.383%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.49%EV -2.86%E -0.621%K -0.794%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-26 02:55
FanDuel🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.76%EV -9.37%E -6.60%K -22.32%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -2.11%E -0.324%K -0.383%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.87%EV -0.747%E -0.159%K -0.202%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-26 02:44
Tipico (DE)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 64.88%EV -9.37%E -6.60%K -22.32%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -2.11%E -0.324%K -0.383%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.94%EV -7.08%E -1.61%K -2.08%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-26 02:50
TABtouch🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 64.89%EV -10.01%E -7.10%K -24.42%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.08%EV -2.11%E -0.324%K -0.383%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.03%EV -8.14%E -1.87%K -2.43%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-26 02:55
LiveScore Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.89%EV -10.65%E -7.61%K -26.62%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.98%EV -2.11%E -0.324%K -0.383%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.13%EV -9.19%E -2.14%K -2.79%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-26 02:54
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.89%EV -10.65%E -7.61%K -26.62%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.98%EV -2.11%E -0.324%K -0.383%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.13%EV -9.19%E -2.14%K -2.79%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-26 02:34
Pinnacle🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.58%EV -4.91%E -3.29%K -10.01%G +0.000%6.46I 15.48%NM 14.90%EV -2.71%E -0.419%K -0.496%G +0.000%4.69I 21.32%NM 20.52%EV -0.958%E -0.204%K -0.260%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-26 02:55
1xBet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.43%EV -1.71%E -1.11%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.41I 15.60%NM 15.00%EV -3.46%E -0.540%K -0.640%G +0.000%4.26I 23.47%NM 22.57%EV -10.04%E -2.36%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-26 02:55
NordicBet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.82%EV -4.91%E -3.29%K -10.01%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.63%EV -3.61%E -0.564%K -0.669%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.55%EV -12.36%E -2.98%K -3.92%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-26 02:50
Betsson🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.82%EV -4.91%E -3.29%K -10.01%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.63%EV -3.61%E -0.564%K -0.669%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.55%EV -12.36%E -2.98%K -3.92%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-26 02:49
Virgin Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 65.08%EV -11.93%E -8.64%K -31.38%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.03%EV -3.61%E -0.564%K -0.669%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.89%EV -9.19%E -2.14%K -2.79%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-26 02:54
Everygame🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.84%EV -10.65%E -7.61%K -26.62%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.52%EV -5.87%E -0.939%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.63%EV -7.08%E -1.61%K -2.08%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-25 21:30
PMU (FR)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 64.88%EV -13.20%E -9.71%K -36.67%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.12%EV -5.87%E -0.939%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.01%EV -11.31%E -2.69%K -3.53%G +0.000%13.3%2026-07-26 02:54
BetUS🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.71%EV -5.54%E -3.75%K -11.55%G +0.000%6.15I 16.26%NM 15.33%EV -7.38%E -1.20%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.95%EV -4.97%E -1.10%K -1.42%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-26 02:54
Marathon Bet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 63.49%EV -6.82%E -4.67%K -14.83%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.20%EV -8.13%E -1.33%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.31%EV -8.14%E -1.87%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-26 02:53
DraftKings🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.86%EV -4.27%E -2.84%K -8.53%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.71%EV -9.64%E -1.61%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -7.08%E -1.61%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-26 02:49
Fanatics🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.47%EV -5.54%E -3.75%K -11.55%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -9.64%E -1.61%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -4.97%E -1.10%K -1.42%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-26 02:49
Unibet (UK)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.02%EV -5.54%E -3.75%K -11.55%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.54%EV -9.64%E -1.61%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.44%EV -8.14%E -1.87%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-26 02:49
PlayUp🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.20%EV -5.54%E -3.75%K -11.55%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.34%EV -9.64%E -1.61%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -13.42%E -3.27%K -4.33%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-26 02:55
Bet Right🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 62.52%EV -6.82%E -4.67%K -14.83%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.21%EV -9.64%E -1.61%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.26%EV -13.42%E -3.27%K -4.33%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-26 02:50
Fliff🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.34%EV -8.10%E -5.62%K -18.40%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.20%EV -9.64%E -1.61%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.46%EV -10.25%E -2.41%K -3.15%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-26 02:54
Paddy Power🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.45%EV -10.65%E -7.61%K -26.62%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.04%EV -9.64%E -1.61%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.51%EV -7.08%E -1.61%K -2.08%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-26 02:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.45%EV -10.65%E -7.61%K -26.62%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.04%EV -9.64%E -1.61%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.51%EV -7.08%E -1.61%K -2.08%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-26 02:55
betfred_uk🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -8.10%E -5.62%K -18.40%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -9.64%E -1.61%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -15.53%E -3.88%K -5.18%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-26 02:50
GTbets🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.56%EV -3.63%E -2.40%K -7.12%G +0.000%5.97I 16.75%NM 15.82%EV -10.09%E -1.69%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.37I 22.88%NM 21.62%EV -7.72%E -1.77%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-26 02:55
LeoVegas🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.68%EV -6.18%E -4.21%K -13.15%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.89%EV -12.65%E -2.18%K -2.64%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.43%EV -9.19%E -2.14%K -2.79%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-26 02:54
Betway🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.04%EV -5.54%E -3.75%K -11.55%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.23%EV -13.40%E -2.33%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -4.97%E -1.10%K -1.42%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-26 02:54
Betclic (FR)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 62.60%EV -8.73%E -6.11%K -20.31%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.57%EV -13.40%E -2.33%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.83%EV -13.42%E -3.27%K -4.33%G +0.000%11.7%2026-07-26 02:50
Sky Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.42%EV -10.65%E -7.61%K -26.62%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.44%EV -13.40%E -2.33%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.14%EV -11.31%E -2.69%K -3.53%G +0.000%12.6%2026-07-26 02:54
NetBet (FR)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 62.84%EV -11.93%E -8.64%K -31.38%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.48%EV -15.66%E -2.80%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.68%EV -15.53%E -3.88%K -5.18%G +0.000%15.3%2026-07-26 02:55
Neds🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 60.54%EV -5.54%E -3.75%K -11.55%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.07%EV -20.93%E -3.99%K -4.93%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -15.53%E -3.88%K -5.18%G +0.000%11.6%2026-07-26 02:55
William Hill🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 60.68%EV -8.10%E -5.62%K -18.40%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.48%EV -24.70%E -4.94%K -6.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.84%EV -15.53%E -3.88%K -5.18%G +0.000%14.4%2026-07-26 02:54
888sport🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 60.68%EV -8.10%E -5.62%K -18.40%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.48%EV -24.70%E -4.94%K -6.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.84%EV -15.53%E -3.88%K -5.18%G +0.000%14.4%2026-07-26 02:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 60.68%EV -8.10%E -5.62%K -18.40%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.48%EV -24.70%E -4.94%K -6.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.84%EV -15.53%E -3.88%K -5.18%G +0.000%14.4%2026-07-26 02:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 60.68%EV -8.10%E -5.62%K -18.40%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.48%EV -24.70%E -4.94%K -6.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.84%EV -15.53%E -3.88%K -5.18%G +0.000%14.4%2026-07-26 02:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook1.52I 65.79%NM 65.73%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.88%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.39%0.1%2026-07-26 02:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.50I 66.67%NM 66.03%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.76%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.21%1.0%2026-07-26 02:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 66.03%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.76%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.21%1.0%2026-07-26 02:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 66.03%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.76%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.21%1.0%2026-07-26 02:50
Kalshi1.47I 68.03%NM 67.35%6.67I 14.99%NM 14.84%5.56I 17.99%NM 17.81%1.0%2026-07-26 02:40
Smarkets1.49I 67.11%NM 65.65%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.39%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.96%2.2%2026-07-26 02:55