The School of Odds

Tigres v Atlético San Luis

2026-07-26 03:00 UTC — Liga MX

Head to Head

10 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Tigres (Local)

Prediction 66.15%1.51fair odd
EV -5.40%
Edge -3.78%
Kelly -12.57%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.43

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
62.76%66.15%67.52%68.18%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.331.381.401.4375%72%71%70%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Atlético San Luis (Visit)

Prediction 13.74%7.28fair odd
EV +3.05%
Edge +0.407%
Kelly +0.470%
Growth +0.014%

assuming max odds 7.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
12.73%13.74%13.21%15.28%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
5.756.396.257.5017%16%16%13%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Draw

Prediction 20.11%4.97fair odd
EV +0.543%
Edge +0.109%
Kelly +0.136%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 5.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.09%20.11%19.27%21.99%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
4.004.384.355.0025%23%23%20%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (10 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Coolbet1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -7.39%E -5.28%K -18.47%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.73%EV +3.05%E +0.407%K +0.470%G +0.014%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV +0.543%E +0.109%K +0.136%G +0.001%4.8%2026-07-18 01:25
SportsBet1.38I 72.46%NM 67.67%EV -8.71%E -6.31%K -22.92%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.88%EV -0.383%E -0.053%K -0.061%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.45%EV -3.48%E -0.725%K -0.916%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-18 01:25
FanDuel1.37I 72.99%NM 67.52%EV -9.37%E -6.84%K -25.33%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.21%EV -3.82%E -0.545%K -0.636%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.27%EV -3.48%E -0.725%K -0.916%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-18 01:25
1xBet1.43I 69.93%NM 65.14%EV -5.40%E -3.78%K -12.57%G +0.000%6.58I 15.20%NM 14.16%EV -9.59%E -1.46%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70%EV -9.51%E -2.11%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-18 01:30
Paddy Power1.33I 75.19%NM 66.66%EV -12.02%E -9.04%K -36.42%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.64%EV -10.69%E -1.64%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.70%EV -9.51%E -2.11%K -2.72%G +0.000%12.8%2026-07-18 01:25
Sky Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 65.01%EV -12.02%E -9.04%K -36.42%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.41%EV -17.56%E -2.93%K -3.51%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.59%EV -15.54%E -3.70%K -4.86%G +0.000%15.7%2026-07-18 01:25
William Hill1.40I 71.43%NM 62.84%EV -7.39%E -5.28%K -18.47%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.17%EV -20.31%E -3.50%K -4.23%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.99%EV -19.57%E -4.89%K -6.52%G +0.000%13.7%2026-07-18 02:24
888sport1.40I 71.43%NM 62.76%EV -7.39%E -5.28%K -18.47%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.28%EV -20.99%E -3.65%K -4.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.96%EV -19.57%E -4.89%K -6.52%G +0.000%13.8%2026-07-18 02:25
888sport (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 62.76%EV -7.39%E -5.28%K -18.47%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.28%EV -20.99%E -3.65%K -4.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.96%EV -19.57%E -4.89%K -6.52%G +0.000%13.8%2026-07-18 02:25
Mr Green (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 62.76%EV -7.39%E -5.28%K -18.47%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.28%EV -20.99%E -3.65%K -4.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.96%EV -19.57%E -4.89%K -6.52%G +0.000%13.8%2026-07-18 02:25
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets1.31I 76.34%NM 65.27%6.40I 15.63%NM 13.36%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.37%17.0%2026-07-18 01:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.02I 98.04%NM 33.77%190.3%2026-07-17 22:29
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.02I 98.04%NM 33.77%190.3%2026-07-17 22:29
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.02I 98.04%NM 33.77%190.3%2026-07-17 22:30