La escuela de los momios

Tigres v Atlético San Luis

2026-07-26 03:00 UTC — Liga MX

Resultado del partido

47 corredores (15 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Tigres (Local)

Predicción 64.50%1.55momio equitativo
EV -3.90%
Ventaja -2.61%
Kelly -7.95%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.49

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
61.66%64.52%64.40%65.85%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.351.431.431.4974.07%70.13%69.93%67.11%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Atlético San Luis (Visitante)

Predicción 14.54%6.88momio equitativo
EV +5.38%
Ventaja +0.742%
Kelly +0.861%
Crecimiento +0.046%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 7.25

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
13.08%14.53%14.53%16.14%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
5.506.426.507.2518.18%15.56%15.38%13.79%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 20.97%4.77momio equitativo
EV +0.635%
Ventaja +0.132%
Kelly +0.167%
Crecimiento +0.001%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.80

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
19.77%20.95%21.07%22.46%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.004.364.374.8025.00%22.93%22.88%20.83%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (47 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Coolbet1.44I 69.44%NM 65.85%EV -7.12%E -4.95%K -16.18%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.08%EV +5.38%E +0.742%K +0.861%G +0.046%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.07%EV -5.65%E -1.26%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-26 02:40
ATG (SE)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.39%EV -6.48%E -4.47%K -14.39%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.54%EV +1.75%E +0.249%K +0.291%G +0.005%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.07%EV -5.65%E -1.26%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-26 02:34
Svenska Spel1.45I 68.97%NM 65.39%EV -6.48%E -4.47%K -14.39%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.54%EV +1.75%E +0.249%K +0.291%G +0.005%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.07%EV -5.65%E -1.26%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-26 02:34
Bet Right1.43I 69.93%NM 64.39%EV -7.77%E -5.43%K -18.06%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV +1.75%E +0.249%K +0.291%G +0.005%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.46%EV -14.04%E -3.42%K -4.53%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-26 02:29
GTbets1.43I 69.93%NM 65.01%EV -7.77%E -5.43%K -18.06%G +0.000%6.78I 14.75%NM 13.71%EV -1.45%E -0.214%K -0.251%G +0.000%4.37I 22.88%NM 21.27%EV -8.38%E -1.92%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-26 02:34
Unibet1.43I 69.93%NM 65.07%EV -7.77%E -5.43%K -18.06%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.78%EV -1.89%E -0.280%K -0.328%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -7.75%E -1.76%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-26 02:35
Casumo1.43I 69.93%NM 65.07%EV -7.77%E -5.43%K -18.06%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.78%EV -1.89%E -0.280%K -0.328%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -7.75%E -1.76%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-26 02:34
Unibet (SE)1.43I 69.93%NM 65.07%EV -7.77%E -5.43%K -18.06%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.78%EV -1.89%E -0.280%K -0.328%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -7.75%E -1.76%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-26 02:34
Grosvenor1.43I 69.93%NM 65.07%EV -7.77%E -5.43%K -18.06%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.78%EV -1.89%E -0.280%K -0.328%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -7.75%E -1.76%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-26 02:35
Unibet (NL)1.43I 69.93%NM 65.07%EV -7.77%E -5.43%K -18.06%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.78%EV -1.89%E -0.280%K -0.328%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -7.75%E -1.76%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-26 02:34
betPARX1.43I 69.93%NM 65.07%EV -7.77%E -5.43%K -18.06%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.78%EV -1.89%E -0.280%K -0.328%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -7.75%E -1.76%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-26 02:34
BetRivers1.42I 70.42%NM 65.23%EV -8.41%E -5.92%K -20.03%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.72%EV -1.89%E -0.280%K -0.328%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.05%EV -7.75%E -1.76%K -2.28%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-26 02:34
TABtouch1.41I 70.92%NM 65.23%EV -9.06%E -6.42%K -22.09%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.63%EV -1.89%E -0.280%K -0.328%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.14%EV -8.80%E -2.02%K -2.63%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-26 02:34
Pinnacle1.49I 67.11%NM 64.82%EV -3.90%E -2.61%K -7.95%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 14.41%EV -2.61%E -0.390%K -0.459%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.77%EV -2.51%E -0.540%K -0.688%G +0.000%3.5%2026-07-26 02:40
LowVig.ag1.48I 67.57%NM 65.25%EV -4.54%E -3.07%K -9.46%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.63%EV -4.07%E -0.616%K -0.726%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.12%EV +0.635%E +0.132%K +0.167%G +0.001%3.6%2026-07-26 02:35
BetOnline.ag1.48I 67.57%NM 65.25%EV -4.54%E -3.07%K -9.46%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.63%EV -4.07%E -0.616%K -0.726%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.12%EV +0.635%E +0.132%K +0.167%G +0.001%3.6%2026-07-26 02:34
Fanatics1.44I 69.44%NM 65.59%EV -7.12%E -4.95%K -16.18%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.53%EV -5.52%E -0.849%K -1.00%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.88%EV -0.413%E -0.087%K -0.110%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-26 02:30
Unibet (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.78%EV -4.54%E -3.07%K -9.46%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.52%EV -5.52%E -0.849%K -1.00%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.70%EV -8.80%E -2.02%K -2.63%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-26 02:40
SportsBet1.43I 69.93%NM 65.61%EV -7.77%E -5.43%K -18.06%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.43%EV -5.52%E -0.849%K -1.00%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.96%EV -1.46%E -0.311%K -0.395%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-26 02:44
FanDuel1.42I 70.42%NM 65.76%EV -8.41%E -5.92%K -20.03%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -5.52%E -0.849%K -1.00%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.87%EV -1.46%E -0.311%K -0.395%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-26 02:44
Tipico (DE)1.40I 71.43%NM 65.80%EV -9.70%E -6.93%K -24.25%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -5.52%E -0.849%K -1.00%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -3.56%E -0.773%K -0.988%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-25 22:18
LiveScore Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 64.89%EV -9.70%E -6.93%K -24.25%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.98%EV -5.52%E -0.849%K -1.00%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.13%EV -9.85%E -2.29%K -2.98%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-26 02:35
LeoVegas (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 64.89%EV -9.70%E -6.93%K -24.25%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.98%EV -5.52%E -0.849%K -1.00%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.13%EV -9.85%E -2.29%K -2.98%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-26 02:34
Virgin Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 65.06%EV -10.99%E -7.96%K -28.92%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.81%EV -5.52%E -0.849%K -1.00%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.13%EV -10.90%E -2.56%K -3.35%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-26 02:35
betfred_uk1.40I 71.43%NM 63.88%EV -9.70%E -6.93%K -24.25%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.76%EV -5.52%E -0.849%K -1.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -16.14%E -4.03%K -5.38%G +0.000%11.8%2026-07-26 02:29
1xBet1.45I 68.97%NM 64.24%EV -6.48%E -4.47%K -14.39%G +0.000%6.49I 15.41%NM 14.35%EV -5.67%E -0.873%K -1.03%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.41%EV -8.80%E -2.02%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-26 02:44
Marathon Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 64.34%EV -7.12%E -4.95%K -16.18%G +0.000%6.45I 15.50%NM 14.36%EV -6.25%E -0.969%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.30%EV -8.80%E -2.02%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-26 02:40
NordicBet1.46I 68.49%NM 63.63%EV -5.83%E -3.99%K -12.68%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.51%EV -6.98%E -1.09%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.86%EV -10.90%E -2.56%K -3.35%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-26 02:45
Betsson1.46I 68.49%NM 63.63%EV -5.83%E -3.99%K -12.68%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.51%EV -6.98%E -1.09%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.86%EV -10.90%E -2.56%K -3.35%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-26 02:45
PMU (FR)1.35I 74.07%NM 65.26%EV -12.93%E -9.57%K -36.93%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 13.77%EV -6.98%E -1.09%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.98%EV -11.94%E -2.84%K -3.73%G +0.000%13.5%2026-07-26 02:35
BetUS1.47I 68.03%NM 64.18%EV -5.19%E -3.53%K -11.03%G +0.000%6.35I 15.75%NM 14.86%EV -7.70%E -1.21%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.96%EV -5.65%E -1.26%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-26 02:45
PlayUp1.45I 68.97%NM 63.40%EV -6.48%E -4.47%K -14.39%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.71%EV -9.16%E -1.46%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -11.94%E -2.84%K -3.73%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-26 02:44
Everygame1.40I 71.43%NM 64.84%EV -9.70%E -6.93%K -24.25%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.52%EV -9.16%E -1.46%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.63%EV -7.75%E -1.76%K -2.28%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-25 21:30
Fliff1.43I 69.93%NM 63.89%EV -7.77%E -5.43%K -18.06%G +0.000%6.15I 16.26%NM 14.86%EV -10.61%E -1.73%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.25%EV -9.85%E -2.29%K -2.98%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-26 02:45
LeoVegas1.44I 69.44%NM 63.66%EV -7.12%E -4.95%K -16.18%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.03%EV -11.34%E -1.86%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.32%EV -9.85%E -2.29%K -2.98%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-26 02:45
DraftKings1.48I 67.57%NM 63.47%EV -4.54%E -3.07%K -9.46%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -12.79%E -2.13%K -2.56%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -5.65%E -1.26%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-26 02:45
Betway1.45I 68.97%NM 63.94%EV -6.48%E -4.47%K -14.39%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.45%EV -12.79%E -2.13%K -2.56%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.60%EV -5.65%E -1.26%K -1.62%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-26 02:39
Sky Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 64.24%EV -9.70%E -6.93%K -24.25%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.99%EV -12.79%E -2.13%K -2.56%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.77%EV -9.22%E -2.13%K -2.77%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-26 02:45
Paddy Power1.36I 73.53%NM 65.41%EV -12.28%E -9.03%K -34.11%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.83%EV -12.79%E -2.13%K -2.56%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.77%EV -5.65%E -1.26%K -1.62%G +0.000%12.4%2026-07-26 02:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.36I 73.53%NM 65.41%EV -12.28%E -9.03%K -34.11%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.83%EV -12.79%E -2.13%K -2.56%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.77%EV -5.65%E -1.26%K -1.62%G +0.000%12.4%2026-07-26 02:45
William Hill1.40I 71.43%NM 63.16%EV -9.70%E -6.93%K -24.25%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.74%EV -12.79%E -2.13%K -2.56%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.11%EV -16.14%E -4.03%K -5.38%G +0.000%13.1%2026-07-26 00:20
888sport1.40I 71.43%NM 63.16%EV -9.70%E -6.93%K -24.25%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.74%EV -12.79%E -2.13%K -2.56%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.11%EV -16.14%E -4.03%K -5.38%G +0.000%13.1%2026-07-26 00:19
888sport (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 63.16%EV -9.70%E -6.93%K -24.25%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.74%EV -12.79%E -2.13%K -2.56%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.11%EV -16.14%E -4.03%K -5.38%G +0.000%13.1%2026-07-26 00:19
Mr Green (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 63.16%EV -9.70%E -6.93%K -24.25%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.74%EV -12.79%E -2.13%K -2.56%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.11%EV -16.14%E -4.03%K -5.38%G +0.000%13.1%2026-07-26 00:20
Betclic (FR)1.41I 70.92%NM 63.18%EV -9.06%E -6.42%K -22.09%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.10%EV -14.24%E -2.41%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.73%EV -14.04%E -3.42%K -4.53%G +0.000%12.3%2026-07-26 02:38
NetBet (FR)1.36I 73.53%NM 64.01%EV -12.28%E -9.03%K -34.11%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 14.76%EV -14.24%E -2.41%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.23%EV -14.04%E -3.42%K -4.53%G +0.000%14.9%2026-07-26 02:44
Neds1.44I 69.44%NM 61.66%EV -7.12%E -4.95%K -16.18%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -20.06%E -3.65%K -4.46%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -16.14%E -4.03%K -5.38%G +0.000%12.6%2026-07-26 02:45
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook1.50I 66.67%NM 66.03%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.76%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.21%1.0%2026-07-26 02:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.49I 67.11%NM 66.45%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.75%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.80%1.0%2026-07-26 02:44
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.49I 67.11%NM 66.45%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.75%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.80%1.0%2026-07-26 02:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.49I 67.11%NM 66.45%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.75%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.80%1.0%2026-07-26 02:45
Kalshi1.47I 68.03%NM 67.35%6.67I 14.99%NM 14.84%5.56I 17.99%NM 17.81%1.0%2026-07-26 02:40
Smarkets1.47I 68.03%NM 65.68%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.20%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.12%3.6%2026-07-26 02:45