Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Tigres v Atlético San Luis

Coup d’envoi : 2026-07-26 03:00 UTC

Score final : Tigres 2–2 Atlético San Luis

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

47 opérateurs (14 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Tigres (Local)

Prévision 63.82%1.57cote équitable
EV -1.71%
Avantage -1.11%
Kelly -3.18%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.54

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
60.54%63.78%63.71%65.76%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.361.441.441.5473.53%69.22%69.44%64.94%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Atlético San Luis (Visiteur)

Prévision 15.06%6.64cote équitable
EV +5.42%
Avantage +0.775%
Kelly +0.904%
Croissance +0.049%

avec la cote maximale 7.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
13.61%15.10%15.10%17.48%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
5.006.186.257.0020.00%16.17%16.00%14.29%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 21.12%4.74cote équitable
EV +1.36%
Avantage +0.284%
Kelly +0.359%
Croissance +0.005%

avec la cote maximale 4.80

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
19.87%21.12%21.18%22.57%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.004.334.374.8025.00%23.09%22.88%20.83%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Tigres (Local) : 63.82% ; Atlético San Luis (Visiteur) : 15.06% ; Match nul : 21.12%. Pour Atlético San Luis (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 6.64. 10 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 7.00, soit une espérance positive de +5.42%.

Cotes des opérateurs (47 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Coolbet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 65.23%EV -6.82%E -4.67%K -14.83%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.61%EV +5.42%E +0.775%K +0.904%G +0.049%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.16%EV -4.97%E -1.10%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-26 02:50
ATG (SE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.46%E -5.14%K -16.57%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.98%EV +1.66%E +0.246%K +0.289%G +0.005%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.96%EV -4.97%E -1.10%K -1.42%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-26 02:55
Svenska Spel🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.46%E -5.14%K -16.57%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.98%EV +1.66%E +0.246%K +0.289%G +0.005%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.96%EV -4.97%E -1.10%K -1.42%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-26 02:55
Unibet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.07%EV -8.73%E -6.11%K -20.31%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.78%EV +1.66%E +0.246%K +0.289%G +0.005%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -7.08%E -1.61%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-26 02:54
Casumo🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.07%EV -8.73%E -6.11%K -20.31%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.78%EV +1.66%E +0.246%K +0.289%G +0.005%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -7.08%E -1.61%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-26 02:34
Unibet (SE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.07%EV -8.73%E -6.11%K -20.31%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.78%EV +1.66%E +0.246%K +0.289%G +0.005%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -7.08%E -1.61%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-26 02:55
Grosvenor🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.07%EV -8.73%E -6.11%K -20.31%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.78%EV +1.66%E +0.246%K +0.289%G +0.005%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -7.08%E -1.61%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-26 02:54
Unibet (NL)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.07%EV -8.73%E -6.11%K -20.31%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.78%EV +1.66%E +0.246%K +0.289%G +0.005%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -7.08%E -1.61%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-26 02:55
betPARX🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.07%EV -8.73%E -6.11%K -20.31%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.78%EV +1.66%E +0.246%K +0.289%G +0.005%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -7.08%E -1.61%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-26 02:34
BetRivers🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.23%EV -9.37%E -6.60%K -22.32%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.72%EV +1.66%E +0.246%K +0.289%G +0.005%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.05%EV -7.08%E -1.61%K -2.08%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-26 02:34
LowVig.ag🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.25%EV -5.54%E -3.75%K -11.55%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.63%EV -0.600%E -0.091%K -0.107%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.12%EV +1.36%E +0.284%K +0.359%G +0.005%3.6%2026-07-26 02:35
BetOnline.ag🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.25%EV -5.54%E -3.75%K -11.55%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.63%EV -0.600%E -0.091%K -0.107%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.12%EV +1.36%E +0.284%K +0.359%G +0.005%3.6%2026-07-26 02:34
SportsBet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.01%EV -7.46%E -5.14%K -16.57%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.50%EV -2.11%E -0.324%K -0.383%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.49%EV -2.86%E -0.621%K -0.794%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-26 02:55
FanDuel🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.76%EV -9.37%E -6.60%K -22.32%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -2.11%E -0.324%K -0.383%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.87%EV -0.747%E -0.159%K -0.202%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-26 02:44
Tipico (DE)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 64.88%EV -9.37%E -6.60%K -22.32%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -2.11%E -0.324%K -0.383%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.94%EV -7.08%E -1.61%K -2.08%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-26 02:50
TABtouch🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 64.89%EV -10.01%E -7.10%K -24.42%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.08%EV -2.11%E -0.324%K -0.383%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.03%EV -8.14%E -1.87%K -2.43%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-26 02:55
LiveScore Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.89%EV -10.65%E -7.61%K -26.62%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.98%EV -2.11%E -0.324%K -0.383%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.13%EV -9.19%E -2.14%K -2.79%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-26 02:54
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.89%EV -10.65%E -7.61%K -26.62%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.98%EV -2.11%E -0.324%K -0.383%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.13%EV -9.19%E -2.14%K -2.79%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-26 02:34
Pinnacle🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.58%EV -4.91%E -3.29%K -10.01%G +0.000%6.46I 15.48%NM 14.90%EV -2.71%E -0.419%K -0.496%G +0.000%4.69I 21.32%NM 20.52%EV -0.958%E -0.204%K -0.260%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-26 02:55
1xBet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.43%EV -1.71%E -1.11%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.41I 15.60%NM 15.00%EV -3.46%E -0.540%K -0.640%G +0.000%4.26I 23.47%NM 22.57%EV -10.04%E -2.36%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-26 02:55
NordicBet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.82%EV -4.91%E -3.29%K -10.01%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.63%EV -3.61%E -0.564%K -0.669%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.55%EV -12.36%E -2.98%K -3.92%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-26 02:50
Betsson🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.82%EV -4.91%E -3.29%K -10.01%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.63%EV -3.61%E -0.564%K -0.669%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.55%EV -12.36%E -2.98%K -3.92%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-26 02:49
Virgin Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 65.08%EV -11.93%E -8.64%K -31.38%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.03%EV -3.61%E -0.564%K -0.669%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.89%EV -9.19%E -2.14%K -2.79%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-26 02:54
Everygame🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.84%EV -10.65%E -7.61%K -26.62%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.52%EV -5.87%E -0.939%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.63%EV -7.08%E -1.61%K -2.08%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-25 21:30
PMU (FR)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 64.88%EV -13.20%E -9.71%K -36.67%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.12%EV -5.87%E -0.939%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.01%EV -11.31%E -2.69%K -3.53%G +0.000%13.3%2026-07-26 02:54
BetUS🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.71%EV -5.54%E -3.75%K -11.55%G +0.000%6.15I 16.26%NM 15.33%EV -7.38%E -1.20%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.95%EV -4.97%E -1.10%K -1.42%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-26 02:54
Marathon Bet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 63.49%EV -6.82%E -4.67%K -14.83%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.20%EV -8.13%E -1.33%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.31%EV -8.14%E -1.87%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-26 02:53
DraftKings🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.86%EV -4.27%E -2.84%K -8.53%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.71%EV -9.64%E -1.61%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -7.08%E -1.61%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-26 02:49
Fanatics🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.47%EV -5.54%E -3.75%K -11.55%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -9.64%E -1.61%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -4.97%E -1.10%K -1.42%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-26 02:49
Unibet (UK)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.02%EV -5.54%E -3.75%K -11.55%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.54%EV -9.64%E -1.61%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.44%EV -8.14%E -1.87%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-26 02:49
PlayUp🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.20%EV -5.54%E -3.75%K -11.55%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.34%EV -9.64%E -1.61%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -13.42%E -3.27%K -4.33%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-26 02:55
Bet Right🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 62.52%EV -6.82%E -4.67%K -14.83%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.21%EV -9.64%E -1.61%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.26%EV -13.42%E -3.27%K -4.33%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-26 02:50
Fliff🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.34%EV -8.10%E -5.62%K -18.40%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.20%EV -9.64%E -1.61%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.46%EV -10.25%E -2.41%K -3.15%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-26 02:54
Paddy Power🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.45%EV -10.65%E -7.61%K -26.62%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.04%EV -9.64%E -1.61%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.51%EV -7.08%E -1.61%K -2.08%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-26 02:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.45%EV -10.65%E -7.61%K -26.62%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.04%EV -9.64%E -1.61%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.51%EV -7.08%E -1.61%K -2.08%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-26 02:55
betfred_uk🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -8.10%E -5.62%K -18.40%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -9.64%E -1.61%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -15.53%E -3.88%K -5.18%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-26 02:50
GTbets🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.56%EV -3.63%E -2.40%K -7.12%G +0.000%5.97I 16.75%NM 15.82%EV -10.09%E -1.69%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.37I 22.88%NM 21.62%EV -7.72%E -1.77%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-26 02:55
LeoVegas🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.68%EV -6.18%E -4.21%K -13.15%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.89%EV -12.65%E -2.18%K -2.64%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.43%EV -9.19%E -2.14%K -2.79%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-26 02:54
Betway🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.04%EV -5.54%E -3.75%K -11.55%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.23%EV -13.40%E -2.33%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -4.97%E -1.10%K -1.42%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-26 02:54
Betclic (FR)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 62.60%EV -8.73%E -6.11%K -20.31%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.57%EV -13.40%E -2.33%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.83%EV -13.42%E -3.27%K -4.33%G +0.000%11.7%2026-07-26 02:50
Sky Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.42%EV -10.65%E -7.61%K -26.62%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.44%EV -13.40%E -2.33%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.14%EV -11.31%E -2.69%K -3.53%G +0.000%12.6%2026-07-26 02:54
NetBet (FR)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 62.84%EV -11.93%E -8.64%K -31.38%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.48%EV -15.66%E -2.80%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.68%EV -15.53%E -3.88%K -5.18%G +0.000%15.3%2026-07-26 02:55
Neds🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 60.54%EV -5.54%E -3.75%K -11.55%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.07%EV -20.93%E -3.99%K -4.93%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -15.53%E -3.88%K -5.18%G +0.000%11.6%2026-07-26 02:55
William Hill🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 60.68%EV -8.10%E -5.62%K -18.40%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.48%EV -24.70%E -4.94%K -6.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.84%EV -15.53%E -3.88%K -5.18%G +0.000%14.4%2026-07-26 02:54
888sport🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 60.68%EV -8.10%E -5.62%K -18.40%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.48%EV -24.70%E -4.94%K -6.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.84%EV -15.53%E -3.88%K -5.18%G +0.000%14.4%2026-07-26 02:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 60.68%EV -8.10%E -5.62%K -18.40%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.48%EV -24.70%E -4.94%K -6.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.84%EV -15.53%E -3.88%K -5.18%G +0.000%14.4%2026-07-26 02:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 60.68%EV -8.10%E -5.62%K -18.40%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.48%EV -24.70%E -4.94%K -6.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.84%EV -15.53%E -3.88%K -5.18%G +0.000%14.4%2026-07-26 02:55
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook1.52I 65.79%NM 65.73%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.88%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.39%0.1%2026-07-26 02:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.50I 66.67%NM 66.03%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.76%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.21%1.0%2026-07-26 02:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 66.03%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.76%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.21%1.0%2026-07-26 02:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 66.03%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.76%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.21%1.0%2026-07-26 02:50
Kalshi1.47I 68.03%NM 67.35%6.67I 14.99%NM 14.84%5.56I 17.99%NM 17.81%1.0%2026-07-26 02:40
Smarkets1.49I 67.11%NM 65.65%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.39%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.96%2.2%2026-07-26 02:55