L’École des cotes

Tigres v Atlético San Luis

2026-07-26 03:00 UTC — Liga MX

Résultat du match

47 opérateurs (14 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Tigres (Local)

Prévision 66.08%1.51cote équitable
EV -4.18%
Avantage -2.88%
Kelly -9.29%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.45

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
63.16%65.99%66.14%67.68%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.321.411.401.4575.76%71.13%71.43%68.97%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Atlético San Luis (Visiteur)

Prévision 13.52%7.40cote équitable
EV +0.053%
Avantage +0.007%
Kelly +0.008%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 7.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
12.64%13.59%13.51%14.89%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
6.006.726.757.4016.67%14.88%14.81%13.51%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 20.40%4.90cote équitable
EV +1.98%
Avantage +0.396%
Kelly +0.495%
Croissance +0.010%

avec la cote maximale 5.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
19.17%20.41%20.35%22.58%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.004.444.405.0025.00%22.53%22.73%20.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (47 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nul ▼MargeMise à jour
LowVig.ag1.44I 69.44%NM 67.14%EV -4.84%E -3.36%K -11.00%G +0.000%7.15I 13.99%NM 13.52%EV -3.33%E -0.465%K -0.541%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.34%EV +1.98%E +0.396%K +0.495%G +0.010%3.4%2026-07-25 13:55
BetOnline.ag1.44I 69.44%NM 67.14%EV -4.84%E -3.36%K -11.00%G +0.000%7.15I 13.99%NM 13.52%EV -3.33%E -0.465%K -0.541%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.34%EV +1.98%E +0.396%K +0.495%G +0.010%3.4%2026-07-25 13:55
FanDuel1.36I 73.53%NM 67.68%EV -10.13%E -7.45%K -28.13%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -5.36%E -0.765%K -0.893%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.17%EV -2.10%E -0.437%K -0.552%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-26 00:39
Pinnacle1.45I 68.97%NM 66.37%EV -4.18%E -2.88%K -9.29%G +0.000%7.11I 14.06%NM 13.54%EV -3.87%E -0.544%K -0.633%G +0.000%4.79I 20.88%NM 20.09%EV -2.30%E -0.481%K -0.607%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-26 00:20
Coolbet1.42I 70.42%NM 66.90%EV -6.16%E -4.34%K -14.67%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.10%EV -1.98%E -0.272%K -0.316%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.00%EV -3.12%E -0.656%K -0.831%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-25 04:50
Fanatics1.42I 70.42%NM 66.59%EV -6.16%E -4.34%K -14.67%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.51%EV -5.36%E -0.765%K -0.893%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.91%EV -3.12%E -0.656%K -0.831%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-26 00:24
SportsBet1.39I 71.94%NM 67.06%EV -8.14%E -5.86%K -20.88%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.32%EV -5.36%E -0.765%K -0.893%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.62%EV -3.12%E -0.656%K -0.831%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-26 00:39
DraftKings1.43I 69.93%NM 66.29%EV -5.50%E -3.85%K -12.79%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.54%EV -5.36%E -0.765%K -0.893%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.17%EV -4.14%E -0.880%K -1.12%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-25 21:05
GTbets1.43I 69.93%NM 66.33%EV -5.50%E -3.85%K -12.79%G +0.000%7.15I 13.99%NM 13.27%EV -3.33%E -0.465%K -0.541%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.40%EV -5.16%E -1.11%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-25 23:00
BetUS1.42I 70.42%NM 66.24%EV -6.16%E -4.34%K -14.67%G +0.000%6.95I 14.39%NM 13.53%EV -6.03%E -0.868%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.23%EV -5.16%E -1.11%K -1.41%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-26 00:20
Tipico (DE)1.40I 71.43%NM 65.80%EV -7.48%E -5.35%K -18.71%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -12.12%E -1.86%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -6.18%E -1.34%K -1.72%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-25 22:18
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.36I 73.53%NM 67.12%EV -10.13%E -7.45%K -28.13%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -5.36%E -0.765%K -0.893%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.84%EV -6.18%E -1.34%K -1.72%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-26 00:40
ATG (SE)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.18%E -2.88%K -9.29%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.98%EV -8.74%E -1.29%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.96%EV -8.22%E -1.83%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-26 00:19
Svenska Spel1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.18%E -2.88%K -9.29%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.98%EV -8.74%E -1.29%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.96%EV -8.22%E -1.83%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-26 00:19
Unibet (UK)1.42I 70.42%NM 65.86%EV -6.16%E -4.34%K -14.67%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.36%EV -5.36%E -0.765%K -0.893%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.78%EV -8.22%E -1.83%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-26 00:10
1xBet1.41I 70.92%NM 66.05%EV -6.82%E -4.84%K -16.64%G +0.000%7.03I 14.22%NM 13.25%EV -4.95%E -0.704%K -0.821%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70%EV -8.22%E -1.83%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-26 01:07
Betway1.43I 69.93%NM 65.03%EV -5.50%E -3.85%K -12.79%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.31%EV -12.12%E -1.86%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.66%EV -8.22%E -1.83%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-26 00:20
Marathon Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 66.18%EV -7.48%E -5.35%K -18.71%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -5.36%E -0.765%K -0.893%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -8.22%E -1.83%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-26 01:15
Paddy Power1.33I 75.19%NM 66.66%EV -12.11%E -9.10%K -36.70%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.64%EV -12.12%E -1.86%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.70%EV -8.22%E -1.83%K -2.35%G +0.000%12.8%2026-07-26 00:39
NordicBet1.41I 70.92%NM 66.34%EV -6.82%E -4.84%K -16.64%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.64%EV +0.053%E +0.007%K +0.008%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.02%EV -9.24%E -2.08%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-26 01:44
Betsson1.41I 70.92%NM 66.34%EV -6.82%E -4.84%K -16.64%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.64%EV +0.053%E +0.007%K +0.008%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.02%EV -9.24%E -2.08%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-26 01:44
Unibet1.43I 69.93%NM 65.07%EV -5.50%E -3.85%K -12.79%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.78%EV -8.74%E -1.29%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -10.26%E -2.33%K -3.02%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-26 00:20
Casumo1.43I 69.93%NM 65.07%EV -5.50%E -3.85%K -12.79%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.78%EV -8.74%E -1.29%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -10.26%E -2.33%K -3.02%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-26 00:20
Unibet (SE)1.43I 69.93%NM 65.07%EV -5.50%E -3.85%K -12.79%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.78%EV -8.74%E -1.29%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -10.26%E -2.33%K -3.02%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-26 00:19
Grosvenor1.43I 69.93%NM 65.07%EV -5.50%E -3.85%K -12.79%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.78%EV -8.74%E -1.29%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -10.26%E -2.33%K -3.02%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-26 00:20
Unibet (NL)1.43I 69.93%NM 65.07%EV -5.50%E -3.85%K -12.79%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.78%EV -8.74%E -1.29%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -10.26%E -2.33%K -3.02%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-26 00:20
betPARX1.43I 69.93%NM 65.07%EV -5.50%E -3.85%K -12.79%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.78%EV -8.74%E -1.29%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -10.26%E -2.33%K -3.02%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-26 00:19
BetRivers1.42I 70.42%NM 65.23%EV -6.16%E -4.34%K -14.67%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.72%EV -8.74%E -1.29%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.05%EV -10.26%E -2.33%K -3.02%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-26 00:19
Fliff1.39I 71.94%NM 65.58%EV -8.14%E -5.86%K -20.88%G +0.000%6.65I 15.04%NM 13.71%EV -10.09%E -1.52%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.72%EV -10.26%E -2.33%K -3.02%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-26 00:44
Everygame1.40I 71.43%NM 64.84%EV -7.48%E -5.35%K -18.71%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.52%EV -15.50%E -2.48%K -2.95%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.63%EV -10.26%E -2.33%K -3.02%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-25 21:30
PlayUp1.40I 71.43%NM 65.71%EV -7.48%E -5.35%K -18.71%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.14%EV -5.36%E -0.765%K -0.893%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.15%EV -11.28%E -2.59%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-26 01:44
TABtouch1.42I 70.42%NM 64.73%EV -6.16%E -4.34%K -14.67%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.14%EV -12.12%E -1.86%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.13%EV -11.28%E -2.59%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-26 00:19
LeoVegas1.40I 71.43%NM 65.33%EV -7.48%E -5.35%K -18.71%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 13.65%EV -9.41%E -1.40%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.02%EV -11.28%E -2.59%K -3.37%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-26 01:44
LiveScore Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 65.05%EV -7.48%E -5.35%K -18.71%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.01%EV -12.12%E -1.86%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.94%EV -11.28%E -2.59%K -3.37%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-26 00:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 65.05%EV -7.48%E -5.35%K -18.71%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.01%EV -12.12%E -1.86%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.94%EV -11.28%E -2.59%K -3.37%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-26 00:19
Betclic (FR)1.39I 71.94%NM 65.35%EV -8.14%E -5.86%K -20.88%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 13.76%EV -10.76%E -1.63%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.88%EV -11.28%E -2.59%K -3.37%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-26 00:08
Sky Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 65.29%EV -10.13%E -7.45%K -28.13%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.21%EV -15.50%E -2.48%K -2.95%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.51%EV -11.68%E -2.70%K -3.51%G +0.000%12.6%2026-07-26 00:40
Virgin Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 65.22%EV -8.81%E -6.38%K -23.17%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.85%EV -12.12%E -1.86%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.93%EV -12.30%E -2.86%K -3.73%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-26 00:20
Bet Right1.40I 71.43%NM 65.38%EV -7.48%E -5.35%K -18.71%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.08%EV -5.36%E -0.765%K -0.893%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.54%EV -13.32%E -3.13%K -4.10%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-25 21:05
Neds1.40I 71.43%NM 63.83%EV -7.48%E -5.35%K -18.71%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -18.88%E -3.15%K -3.78%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.28%EV -14.34%E -3.41%K -4.48%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-24 11:19
PMU (FR)1.35I 74.07%NM 65.04%EV -10.79%E -7.99%K -30.82%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.05%EV -15.50%E -2.48%K -2.95%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.91%EV -14.34%E -3.41%K -4.48%G +0.000%13.9%2026-07-26 00:20
NetBet (FR)1.32I 75.76%NM 65.77%EV -12.77%E -9.67%K -39.91%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 13.56%EV -13.47%E -2.10%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.67%EV -14.34%E -3.41%K -4.48%G +0.000%15.2%2026-07-26 00:20
betfred_uk1.40I 71.43%NM 64.52%EV -7.48%E -5.35%K -18.71%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.90%EV -5.36%E -0.765%K -0.893%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -18.42%E -4.60%K -6.14%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-26 00:24
William Hill1.40I 71.43%NM 63.16%EV -7.48%E -5.35%K -18.71%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.74%EV -18.88%E -3.15%K -3.78%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.11%EV -18.42%E -4.60%K -6.14%G +0.000%13.1%2026-07-26 00:20
888sport1.40I 71.43%NM 63.16%EV -7.48%E -5.35%K -18.71%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.74%EV -18.88%E -3.15%K -3.78%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.11%EV -18.42%E -4.60%K -6.14%G +0.000%13.1%2026-07-26 00:19
888sport (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 63.16%EV -7.48%E -5.35%K -18.71%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.74%EV -18.88%E -3.15%K -3.78%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.11%EV -18.42%E -4.60%K -6.14%G +0.000%13.1%2026-07-26 00:19
Mr Green (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 63.16%EV -7.48%E -5.35%K -18.71%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.74%EV -18.88%E -3.15%K -3.78%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.11%EV -18.42%E -4.60%K -6.14%G +0.000%13.1%2026-07-26 00:20
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Kalshi1.45I 68.97%NM 68.31%7.14I 14.01%NM 13.87%5.56I 17.99%NM 17.82%1.0%2026-07-26 01:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.45I 68.97%NM 68.02%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.64%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.34%1.4%2026-07-26 01:39
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.45I 68.97%NM 68.02%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.64%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.34%1.4%2026-07-26 01:45
Matchbook1.45I 68.97%NM 68.02%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.64%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.34%1.4%2026-07-26 01:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.45I 68.97%NM 67.79%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.93%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.27%1.7%2026-07-26 01:25
Smarkets1.45I 68.97%NM 67.53%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.88%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.58%2.1%2026-07-26 01:45