Language:English
Santos Laguna v Puebla
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Santos Laguna (Local)
Prediction 37.96%2.63fair odd
EV -1.29%
Edge -0.497%
Kelly -0.808%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.49%37.93%37.99%38.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.222.452.452.6045.05%40.89%40.82%38.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Puebla (Visit)
Prediction 34.56%2.89fair odd
EV -1.51%
Edge -0.529%
Kelly -0.815%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.85
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.90%34.67%34.48%36.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.402.622.622.8541.67%38.22%38.17%35.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 27.48%3.64fair odd
EV -2.46%
Edge -0.692%
Kelly -0.963%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.55
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.35%27.40%27.53%29.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.373.403.5534.72%29.69%29.41%28.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Santos Laguna (Local): 37.96%; Puebla (Visit): 34.56%; Draw: 27.48%. For Santos Laguna (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.63. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.60, with an expected value of -1.29%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (48 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GTbets🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.97%EV -1.29%E -0.497%K -0.808%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.87%EV -7.38%E -2.75%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 27.16%EV -2.73%E -0.772%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-22 18:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.33%EV -2.43%E -0.946%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 2.71I 36.90%NM 35.41%EV -6.35%E -2.34%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 27.26%EV -3.28%E -0.932%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-22 22:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.31%EV -3.19%E -1.25%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.50%EV -7.38%E -2.75%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.18%EV -3.83%E -1.09%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-22 20:54 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.20%EV -3.19%E -1.25%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.07%EV -9.11%E -3.46%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.72%EV -2.46%E -0.692%K -0.963%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-22 22:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.20%EV -3.19%E -1.25%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.07%EV -9.11%E -3.46%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.72%EV -2.46%E -0.692%K -0.963%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-22 22:15 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.53I 39.53%NM 38.29%EV -3.95%E -1.56%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.11%EV -1.85%E -0.652%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 3.51I 28.49%NM 27.60%EV -3.56%E -1.01%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-22 22:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.53I 39.53%NM 38.18%EV -3.95%E -1.56%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.90%EV -1.51%E -0.529%K -0.815%G +0.000% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 27.92%EV -4.93%E -1.42%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-22 22:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.53I 39.53%NM 38.18%EV -3.95%E -1.56%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.90%EV -1.51%E -0.529%K -0.815%G +0.000% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 27.92%EV -4.93%E -1.42%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-22 22:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.58%EV -5.09%E -2.04%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.79%EV -6.69%E -2.48%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -6.58%E -1.93%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-22 22:54 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.58%EV -5.09%E -2.04%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.79%EV -6.69%E -2.48%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -6.58%E -1.93%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-22 22:34 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -5.09%E -2.04%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.38%EV -11.87%E -4.66%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -3.83%E -1.09%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-22 22:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -5.09%E -2.04%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.38%EV -11.87%E -4.66%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -3.83%E -1.09%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-22 22:15 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -5.09%E -2.04%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.38%EV -11.87%E -4.66%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -3.83%E -1.09%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-22 22:14 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -5.09%E -2.04%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.38%EV -11.87%E -4.66%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -3.83%E -1.09%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-22 22:14 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -5.09%E -2.04%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.38%EV -11.87%E -4.66%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -3.83%E -1.09%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-22 22:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -5.09%E -2.04%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.38%EV -11.87%E -4.66%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -3.83%E -1.09%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-22 22:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -5.09%E -2.04%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.38%EV -11.87%E -4.66%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -3.83%E -1.09%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-22 22:14 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.71%EV -5.85%E -2.36%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.38%EV -6.00%E -2.21%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.91%EV -7.95%E -2.37%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-22 22:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.71%EV -5.85%E -2.36%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.38%EV -6.00%E -2.21%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.91%EV -7.95%E -2.37%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-22 22:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.16%EV -5.85%E -2.36%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.14%EV -11.87%E -4.66%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.71%EV -5.20%E -1.51%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-22 22:14 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.46I 40.65%NM 37.66%EV -6.61%E -2.69%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 34.69%EV -7.73%E -2.89%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.65%EV -7.95%E -2.37%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-22 22:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.05%EV -6.99%E -2.85%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -6.69%E -2.48%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -6.58%E -1.93%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-22 22:35 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.95%EV -6.99%E -2.85%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.49%EV -9.46%E -3.61%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.56%EV -3.83%E -1.09%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-22 22:48 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.75%EV -6.99%E -2.85%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 34.64%EV -7.73%E -2.89%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.61%EV -7.95%E -2.37%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-22 22:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.65%EV -6.99%E -2.85%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.21%EV -9.46%E -3.61%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.13%EV -6.58%E -1.93%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-22 22:54 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.65%EV -6.99%E -2.85%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.81%EV -8.42%E -3.18%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.54%EV -7.95%E -2.37%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-22 22:45 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.44%EV -6.99%E -2.85%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.97%EV -11.87%E -4.66%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.59%EV -5.20%E -1.51%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-22 22:34 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -6.99%E -2.85%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -13.60%E -5.44%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -6.58%E -1.93%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-22 22:14 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -6.99%E -2.85%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -13.60%E -5.44%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -6.58%E -1.93%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-22 22:14 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.44I 40.98%NM 37.90%EV -7.37%E -3.02%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 34.50%EV -7.38%E -2.75%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.60%EV -7.95%E -2.37%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-22 22:43 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.11%EV -7.75%E -3.19%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.36%EV -14.29%E -5.76%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.52%EV -6.58%E -1.93%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-03-22 22:14 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.54%EV -8.89%E -3.70%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.26%EV -6.69%E -2.48%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.20%EV -6.58%E -1.93%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-22 22:34 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.98%EV -8.89%E -3.70%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.40%EV -8.42%E -3.18%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -9.33%E -2.83%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-22 22:35 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.82%EV -8.89%E -3.70%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.25%EV -8.42%E -3.18%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -10.70%E -3.29%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-22 22:34 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.73%EV -8.89%E -3.70%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.83%EV -10.15%E -3.90%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -9.33%E -2.83%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-03-22 22:55 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -8.89%E -3.70%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.41%EV -11.87%E -4.66%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.96%EV -7.95%E -2.37%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-03-22 22:35 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.61%EV -9.65%E -4.05%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.42%EV -10.15%E -3.90%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.97%EV -12.07%E -3.77%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-03-22 22:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.37%EV -9.65%E -4.05%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.94%EV -9.46%E -3.61%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.69%EV -14.82%E -4.78%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-03-22 22:34 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.37%EV -9.65%E -4.05%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.94%EV -9.46%E -3.61%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.69%EV -14.82%E -4.78%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-03-22 22:34 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.37%EV -9.65%E -4.05%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.94%EV -9.46%E -3.61%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.69%EV -14.82%E -4.78%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-03-22 22:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.37%EV -9.65%E -4.05%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.94%EV -9.46%E -3.61%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.69%EV -14.82%E -4.78%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-03-22 22:35 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.03%EV -9.65%E -4.05%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 36.27%EV -16.02%E -6.59%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.71%EV -9.33%E -2.83%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-03-22 22:15 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 35.49%EV -9.65%E -4.05%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 35.19%EV -17.06%E -7.11%K -12.18%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.32%EV -20.87%E -7.25%K -11.10%G +0.000% | 18.4% | 2026-03-22 22:35 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.68%EV -10.78%E -4.59%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.96%EV -10.15%E -3.90%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.35%EV -5.20%E -1.51%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-22 22:34 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.74%EV -12.68%E -5.51%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.27%EV -10.15%E -3.90%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.00%EV -9.33%E -2.83%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-03-22 22:35 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.21%EV -12.68%E -5.51%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.16%EV -13.60%E -5.44%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.63%EV -9.33%E -2.83%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-03-22 22:35 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 38.64%EV -13.82%E -6.09%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 34.13%EV -11.18%E -4.35%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 27.24%EV -11.52%E -3.58%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-03-22 22:45 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 38.67%EV -15.72%E -7.08%K -12.88%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 34.07%EV -12.91%E -5.12%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.26%EV -13.45%E -4.27%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 16.5% | 2026-03-22 22:35 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.97% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.78% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.25% | 0.5% | 2026-03-22 22:44 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.87% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.94% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.19% | 0.8% | 2026-03-22 22:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.87% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.94% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.19% | 0.8% | 2026-03-22 22:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.87% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.94% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.19% | 0.8% | 2026-03-22 22:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.15% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.68% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.17% | 0.8% | 2026-03-22 22:50 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.91% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.91% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.18% | 3.0% | 2026-03-22 22:35 |