La escuela de los momios

Santos Laguna v Puebla

Inicio: 2026-03-22 23:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

48 corredores (16 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Santos Laguna (Local)

Predicción 37.96%2.63momio equitativo
EV -1.29%
Ventaja -0.497%
Kelly -0.808%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.60

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
35.49%37.93%37.99%38.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.222.452.452.6045.05%40.89%40.82%38.46%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Puebla (Visitante)

Predicción 34.56%2.89momio equitativo
EV -1.51%
Ventaja -0.529%
Kelly -0.815%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.85

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
33.90%34.67%34.48%36.38%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.402.622.622.8541.67%38.22%38.17%35.09%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 27.48%3.64momio equitativo
EV -2.46%
Ventaja -0.692%
Kelly -0.963%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.55

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.35%27.40%27.53%29.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.373.403.5534.72%29.69%29.41%28.17%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (48 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
GTbets2.60I 38.46%NM 36.97%EV -1.29%E -0.497%K -0.808%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.87%EV -7.38%E -2.75%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 27.16%EV -2.73%E -0.772%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-22 18:55
1xBet2.57I 38.91%NM 37.33%EV -2.43%E -0.946%K -1.55%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 35.41%EV -6.35%E -2.34%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 27.26%EV -3.28%E -0.932%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-22 22:55
Coolbet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.31%EV -3.19%E -1.25%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.50%EV -7.38%E -2.75%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.18%EV -3.83%E -1.09%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-22 20:54
ATG (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.20%EV -3.19%E -1.25%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.07%EV -9.11%E -3.46%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.72%EV -2.46%E -0.692%K -0.963%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-22 22:15
Svenska Spel2.55I 39.22%NM 37.20%EV -3.19%E -1.25%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.07%EV -9.11%E -3.46%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.72%EV -2.46%E -0.692%K -0.963%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-22 22:15
Pinnacle2.53I 39.53%NM 38.29%EV -3.95%E -1.56%K -2.58%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.11%EV -1.85%E -0.652%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.51I 28.49%NM 27.60%EV -3.56%E -1.01%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-22 22:45
LowVig.ag2.53I 39.53%NM 38.18%EV -3.95%E -1.56%K -2.58%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.90%EV -1.51%E -0.529%K -0.815%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.92%EV -4.93%E -1.42%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-22 22:50
BetOnline.ag2.53I 39.53%NM 38.18%EV -3.95%E -1.56%K -2.58%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.90%EV -1.51%E -0.529%K -0.815%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.92%EV -4.93%E -1.42%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-22 22:50
FanDuel2.50I 40.00%NM 37.58%EV -5.09%E -2.04%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.79%EV -6.69%E -2.48%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -6.58%E -1.93%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-22 22:54
DraftKings2.50I 40.00%NM 37.58%EV -5.09%E -2.04%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.79%EV -6.69%E -2.48%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -6.58%E -1.93%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-22 22:34
Unibet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -5.09%E -2.04%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.38%EV -11.87%E -4.66%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -3.83%E -1.09%K -1.53%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-22 22:15
Unibet (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -5.09%E -2.04%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.38%EV -11.87%E -4.66%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -3.83%E -1.09%K -1.53%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-22 22:15
Casumo2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -5.09%E -2.04%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.38%EV -11.87%E -4.66%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -3.83%E -1.09%K -1.53%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-22 22:14
Unibet (NL)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -5.09%E -2.04%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.38%EV -11.87%E -4.66%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -3.83%E -1.09%K -1.53%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-22 22:14
BetRivers2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -5.09%E -2.04%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.38%EV -11.87%E -4.66%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -3.83%E -1.09%K -1.53%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-22 22:15
Grosvenor2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -5.09%E -2.04%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.38%EV -11.87%E -4.66%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -3.83%E -1.09%K -1.53%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-22 22:15
betPARX2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -5.09%E -2.04%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.38%EV -11.87%E -4.66%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -3.83%E -1.09%K -1.53%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-22 22:14
NordicBet2.48I 40.32%NM 37.71%EV -5.85%E -2.36%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.38%EV -6.00%E -2.21%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.91%EV -7.95%E -2.37%K -3.38%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-22 22:45
Betsson2.48I 40.32%NM 37.71%EV -5.85%E -2.36%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.38%EV -6.00%E -2.21%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.91%EV -7.95%E -2.37%K -3.38%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-22 22:45
TABtouch2.48I 40.32%NM 37.16%EV -5.85%E -2.36%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.14%EV -11.87%E -4.66%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.71%EV -5.20%E -1.51%K -2.12%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-22 22:14
Marathon Bet2.46I 40.65%NM 37.66%EV -6.61%E -2.69%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 34.69%EV -7.73%E -2.89%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.65%EV -7.95%E -2.37%K -3.38%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-22 22:55
Unibet (UK)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.05%EV -6.99%E -2.85%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -6.69%E -2.48%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -6.58%E -1.93%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-22 22:35
Bet Victor2.45I 40.82%NM 37.95%EV -6.99%E -2.85%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.49%EV -9.46%E -3.61%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.56%EV -3.83%E -1.09%K -1.53%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-22 22:48
BetUS2.45I 40.82%NM 37.75%EV -6.99%E -2.85%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 34.64%EV -7.73%E -2.89%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.61%EV -7.95%E -2.37%K -3.38%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-22 22:55
SportsBet2.45I 40.82%NM 37.65%EV -6.99%E -2.85%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.21%EV -9.46%E -3.61%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.13%EV -6.58%E -1.93%K -2.74%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-22 22:54
PlayUp2.45I 40.82%NM 37.65%EV -6.99%E -2.85%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.81%EV -8.42%E -3.18%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.54%EV -7.95%E -2.37%K -3.38%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-22 22:45
Bet Right2.45I 40.82%NM 37.44%EV -6.99%E -2.85%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.97%EV -11.87%E -4.66%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.59%EV -5.20%E -1.51%K -2.12%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-22 22:34
LiveScore Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -6.99%E -2.85%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -13.60%E -5.44%K -9.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -6.58%E -1.93%K -2.74%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-22 22:14
LeoVegas (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -6.99%E -2.85%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -13.60%E -5.44%K -9.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -6.58%E -1.93%K -2.74%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-22 22:14
Bovada2.44I 40.98%NM 37.90%EV -7.37%E -3.02%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 34.50%EV -7.38%E -2.75%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.60%EV -7.95%E -2.37%K -3.38%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-22 22:43
Virgin Bet2.43I 41.15%NM 37.11%EV -7.75%E -3.19%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.36%EV -14.29%E -5.76%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.52%EV -6.58%E -1.93%K -2.74%G +0.000%10.9%2026-03-22 22:14
Betway2.40I 41.67%NM 38.54%EV -8.89%E -3.70%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.26%EV -6.69%E -2.48%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.20%EV -6.58%E -1.93%K -2.74%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-22 22:34
Fanatics2.40I 41.67%NM 37.98%EV -8.89%E -3.70%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.40%EV -8.42%E -3.18%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -9.33%E -2.83%K -4.05%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-22 22:35
Everygame2.40I 41.67%NM 37.82%EV -8.89%E -3.70%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.25%EV -8.42%E -3.18%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -10.70%E -3.29%K -4.76%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-22 22:34
Paddy Power2.40I 41.67%NM 37.73%EV -8.89%E -3.70%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.83%EV -10.15%E -3.90%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -9.33%E -2.83%K -4.05%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-22 22:55
Fliff2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -8.89%E -3.70%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.41%EV -11.87%E -4.66%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.96%EV -7.95%E -2.37%K -3.38%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-22 22:35
Sky Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 37.61%EV -9.65%E -4.05%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.42%EV -10.15%E -3.90%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.97%EV -12.07%E -3.77%K -5.49%G +0.000%11.7%2026-03-22 22:55
888sport2.38I 42.02%NM 37.37%EV -9.65%E -4.05%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.94%EV -9.46%E -3.61%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.69%EV -14.82%E -4.78%K -7.06%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-22 22:34
William Hill2.38I 42.02%NM 37.37%EV -9.65%E -4.05%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.94%EV -9.46%E -3.61%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.69%EV -14.82%E -4.78%K -7.06%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-22 22:34
888sport (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 37.37%EV -9.65%E -4.05%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.94%EV -9.46%E -3.61%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.69%EV -14.82%E -4.78%K -7.06%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-22 22:35
Mr Green (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 37.37%EV -9.65%E -4.05%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.94%EV -9.46%E -3.61%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.69%EV -14.82%E -4.78%K -7.06%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-22 22:35
LeoVegas2.38I 42.02%NM 37.03%EV -9.65%E -4.05%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 36.27%EV -16.02%E -6.59%K -11.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.71%EV -9.33%E -2.83%K -4.05%G +0.000%13.5%2026-03-22 22:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.38I 42.02%NM 35.49%EV -9.65%E -4.05%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 35.19%EV -17.06%E -7.11%K -12.18%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.32%EV -20.87%E -7.25%K -11.10%G +0.000%18.4%2026-03-22 22:35
Winamax (DE)2.35I 42.55%NM 38.68%EV -10.78%E -4.59%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.96%EV -10.15%E -3.90%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.35%EV -5.20%E -1.51%K -2.12%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-22 22:34
BoyleSports2.30I 43.48%NM 38.74%EV -12.68%E -5.51%K -9.76%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.27%EV -10.15%E -3.90%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.00%EV -9.33%E -2.83%K -4.05%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-22 22:35
Winamax (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.21%EV -12.68%E -5.51%K -9.76%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.16%EV -13.60%E -5.44%K -9.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.63%EV -9.33%E -2.83%K -4.05%G +0.000%13.8%2026-03-22 22:35
Betclic (FR)2.27I 44.05%NM 38.64%EV -13.82%E -6.09%K -10.88%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 34.13%EV -11.18%E -4.35%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 27.24%EV -11.52%E -3.58%K -5.19%G +0.000%14.0%2026-03-22 22:45
NetBet (FR)2.22I 45.05%NM 38.67%EV -15.72%E -7.08%K -12.88%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 34.07%EV -12.91%E -5.12%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.26%EV -13.45%E -4.27%K -6.25%G +0.000%16.5%2026-03-22 22:35
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook2.62I 38.17%NM 37.97%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.78%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.25%0.5%2026-03-22 22:44
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.62I 38.17%NM 37.87%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.94%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.19%0.8%2026-03-22 22:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.62I 38.17%NM 37.87%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.94%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.19%0.8%2026-03-22 22:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.62I 38.17%NM 37.87%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.94%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.19%0.8%2026-03-22 22:55
Smarkets2.60I 38.46%NM 38.15%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.68%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.17%0.8%2026-03-22 22:50
Kalshi2.56I 39.06%NM 37.91%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.91%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.18%3.0%2026-03-22 22:35