L’École des cotes

Santos Laguna v Puebla

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-22 23:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

48 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Santos Laguna (Local)

Prévision 37.96%2.63cote équitable
EV -1.29%
Avantage -0.497%
Kelly -0.808%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
35.49%37.93%37.99%38.74%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.222.452.452.6045.05%40.89%40.82%38.46%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Puebla (Visiteur)

Prévision 34.56%2.89cote équitable
EV -1.51%
Avantage -0.529%
Kelly -0.815%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.85

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
33.90%34.67%34.48%36.38%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.402.622.622.8541.67%38.22%38.17%35.09%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 27.48%3.64cote équitable
EV -2.46%
Avantage -0.692%
Kelly -0.963%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.55

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.35%27.40%27.53%29.32%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.883.373.403.5534.72%29.69%29.41%28.17%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (48 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
GTbets2.60I 38.46%NM 36.97%EV -1.29%E -0.497%K -0.808%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.87%EV -7.38%E -2.75%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 27.16%EV -2.73%E -0.772%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-22 18:55
1xBet2.57I 38.91%NM 37.33%EV -2.43%E -0.946%K -1.55%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 35.41%EV -6.35%E -2.34%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 27.26%EV -3.28%E -0.932%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-22 22:55
Coolbet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.31%EV -3.19%E -1.25%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.50%EV -7.38%E -2.75%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.18%EV -3.83%E -1.09%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-22 20:54
ATG (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.20%EV -3.19%E -1.25%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.07%EV -9.11%E -3.46%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.72%EV -2.46%E -0.692%K -0.963%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-22 22:15
Svenska Spel2.55I 39.22%NM 37.20%EV -3.19%E -1.25%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.07%EV -9.11%E -3.46%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.72%EV -2.46%E -0.692%K -0.963%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-22 22:15
Pinnacle2.53I 39.53%NM 38.29%EV -3.95%E -1.56%K -2.58%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.11%EV -1.85%E -0.652%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.51I 28.49%NM 27.60%EV -3.56%E -1.01%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-22 22:45
LowVig.ag2.53I 39.53%NM 38.18%EV -3.95%E -1.56%K -2.58%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.90%EV -1.51%E -0.529%K -0.815%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.92%EV -4.93%E -1.42%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-22 22:50
BetOnline.ag2.53I 39.53%NM 38.18%EV -3.95%E -1.56%K -2.58%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.90%EV -1.51%E -0.529%K -0.815%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.92%EV -4.93%E -1.42%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-22 22:50
FanDuel2.50I 40.00%NM 37.58%EV -5.09%E -2.04%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.79%EV -6.69%E -2.48%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -6.58%E -1.93%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-22 22:54
DraftKings2.50I 40.00%NM 37.58%EV -5.09%E -2.04%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.79%EV -6.69%E -2.48%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -6.58%E -1.93%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-22 22:34
Unibet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -5.09%E -2.04%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.38%EV -11.87%E -4.66%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -3.83%E -1.09%K -1.53%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-22 22:15
Unibet (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -5.09%E -2.04%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.38%EV -11.87%E -4.66%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -3.83%E -1.09%K -1.53%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-22 22:15
Casumo2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -5.09%E -2.04%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.38%EV -11.87%E -4.66%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -3.83%E -1.09%K -1.53%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-22 22:14
Unibet (NL)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -5.09%E -2.04%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.38%EV -11.87%E -4.66%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -3.83%E -1.09%K -1.53%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-22 22:14
BetRivers2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -5.09%E -2.04%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.38%EV -11.87%E -4.66%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -3.83%E -1.09%K -1.53%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-22 22:15
Grosvenor2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -5.09%E -2.04%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.38%EV -11.87%E -4.66%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -3.83%E -1.09%K -1.53%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-22 22:15
betPARX2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -5.09%E -2.04%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.38%EV -11.87%E -4.66%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -3.83%E -1.09%K -1.53%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-22 22:14
NordicBet2.48I 40.32%NM 37.71%EV -5.85%E -2.36%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.38%EV -6.00%E -2.21%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.91%EV -7.95%E -2.37%K -3.38%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-22 22:45
Betsson2.48I 40.32%NM 37.71%EV -5.85%E -2.36%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.38%EV -6.00%E -2.21%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.91%EV -7.95%E -2.37%K -3.38%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-22 22:45
TABtouch2.48I 40.32%NM 37.16%EV -5.85%E -2.36%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.14%EV -11.87%E -4.66%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.71%EV -5.20%E -1.51%K -2.12%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-22 22:14
Marathon Bet2.46I 40.65%NM 37.66%EV -6.61%E -2.69%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 34.69%EV -7.73%E -2.89%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.65%EV -7.95%E -2.37%K -3.38%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-22 22:55
Unibet (UK)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.05%EV -6.99%E -2.85%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -6.69%E -2.48%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -6.58%E -1.93%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-22 22:35
Bet Victor2.45I 40.82%NM 37.95%EV -6.99%E -2.85%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.49%EV -9.46%E -3.61%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.56%EV -3.83%E -1.09%K -1.53%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-22 22:48
BetUS2.45I 40.82%NM 37.75%EV -6.99%E -2.85%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 34.64%EV -7.73%E -2.89%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.61%EV -7.95%E -2.37%K -3.38%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-22 22:55
SportsBet2.45I 40.82%NM 37.65%EV -6.99%E -2.85%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.21%EV -9.46%E -3.61%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.13%EV -6.58%E -1.93%K -2.74%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-22 22:54
PlayUp2.45I 40.82%NM 37.65%EV -6.99%E -2.85%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.81%EV -8.42%E -3.18%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.54%EV -7.95%E -2.37%K -3.38%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-22 22:45
Bet Right2.45I 40.82%NM 37.44%EV -6.99%E -2.85%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.97%EV -11.87%E -4.66%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.59%EV -5.20%E -1.51%K -2.12%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-22 22:34
LiveScore Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -6.99%E -2.85%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -13.60%E -5.44%K -9.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -6.58%E -1.93%K -2.74%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-22 22:14
LeoVegas (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -6.99%E -2.85%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -13.60%E -5.44%K -9.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -6.58%E -1.93%K -2.74%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-22 22:14
Bovada2.44I 40.98%NM 37.90%EV -7.37%E -3.02%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 34.50%EV -7.38%E -2.75%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.60%EV -7.95%E -2.37%K -3.38%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-22 22:43
Virgin Bet2.43I 41.15%NM 37.11%EV -7.75%E -3.19%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.36%EV -14.29%E -5.76%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.52%EV -6.58%E -1.93%K -2.74%G +0.000%10.9%2026-03-22 22:14
Betway2.40I 41.67%NM 38.54%EV -8.89%E -3.70%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.26%EV -6.69%E -2.48%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.20%EV -6.58%E -1.93%K -2.74%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-22 22:34
Fanatics2.40I 41.67%NM 37.98%EV -8.89%E -3.70%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.40%EV -8.42%E -3.18%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -9.33%E -2.83%K -4.05%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-22 22:35
Everygame2.40I 41.67%NM 37.82%EV -8.89%E -3.70%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.25%EV -8.42%E -3.18%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -10.70%E -3.29%K -4.76%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-22 22:34
Paddy Power2.40I 41.67%NM 37.73%EV -8.89%E -3.70%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.83%EV -10.15%E -3.90%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -9.33%E -2.83%K -4.05%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-22 22:55
Fliff2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -8.89%E -3.70%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.41%EV -11.87%E -4.66%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.96%EV -7.95%E -2.37%K -3.38%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-22 22:35
Sky Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 37.61%EV -9.65%E -4.05%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.42%EV -10.15%E -3.90%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.97%EV -12.07%E -3.77%K -5.49%G +0.000%11.7%2026-03-22 22:55
888sport2.38I 42.02%NM 37.37%EV -9.65%E -4.05%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.94%EV -9.46%E -3.61%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.69%EV -14.82%E -4.78%K -7.06%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-22 22:34
William Hill2.38I 42.02%NM 37.37%EV -9.65%E -4.05%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.94%EV -9.46%E -3.61%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.69%EV -14.82%E -4.78%K -7.06%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-22 22:34
888sport (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 37.37%EV -9.65%E -4.05%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.94%EV -9.46%E -3.61%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.69%EV -14.82%E -4.78%K -7.06%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-22 22:35
Mr Green (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 37.37%EV -9.65%E -4.05%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.94%EV -9.46%E -3.61%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.69%EV -14.82%E -4.78%K -7.06%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-22 22:35
LeoVegas2.38I 42.02%NM 37.03%EV -9.65%E -4.05%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 36.27%EV -16.02%E -6.59%K -11.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.71%EV -9.33%E -2.83%K -4.05%G +0.000%13.5%2026-03-22 22:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.38I 42.02%NM 35.49%EV -9.65%E -4.05%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 35.19%EV -17.06%E -7.11%K -12.18%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.32%EV -20.87%E -7.25%K -11.10%G +0.000%18.4%2026-03-22 22:35
Winamax (DE)2.35I 42.55%NM 38.68%EV -10.78%E -4.59%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.96%EV -10.15%E -3.90%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.35%EV -5.20%E -1.51%K -2.12%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-22 22:34
BoyleSports2.30I 43.48%NM 38.74%EV -12.68%E -5.51%K -9.76%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.27%EV -10.15%E -3.90%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.00%EV -9.33%E -2.83%K -4.05%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-22 22:35
Winamax (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.21%EV -12.68%E -5.51%K -9.76%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.16%EV -13.60%E -5.44%K -9.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.63%EV -9.33%E -2.83%K -4.05%G +0.000%13.8%2026-03-22 22:35
Betclic (FR)2.27I 44.05%NM 38.64%EV -13.82%E -6.09%K -10.88%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 34.13%EV -11.18%E -4.35%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 27.24%EV -11.52%E -3.58%K -5.19%G +0.000%14.0%2026-03-22 22:45
NetBet (FR)2.22I 45.05%NM 38.67%EV -15.72%E -7.08%K -12.88%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 34.07%EV -12.91%E -5.12%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.26%EV -13.45%E -4.27%K -6.25%G +0.000%16.5%2026-03-22 22:35
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook2.62I 38.17%NM 37.97%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.78%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.25%0.5%2026-03-22 22:44
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.62I 38.17%NM 37.87%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.94%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.19%0.8%2026-03-22 22:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.62I 38.17%NM 37.87%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.94%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.19%0.8%2026-03-22 22:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.62I 38.17%NM 37.87%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.94%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.19%0.8%2026-03-22 22:55
Smarkets2.60I 38.46%NM 38.15%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.68%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.17%0.8%2026-03-22 22:50
Kalshi2.56I 39.06%NM 37.91%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.91%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.18%3.0%2026-03-22 22:35