Language:English
Santos Laguna v Cruz Azul
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Santos Laguna (Local)
Prediction 13.19%7.58fair odd
EV +4.76%
Edge +0.599%
Kelly +0.686%
Growth +0.033%
assuming max odds 7.94
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
12.13%13.25%13.27%14.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.906.856.757.9416.95%14.60%14.81%12.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Cruz Azul (Visit)
Prediction 67.99%1.47fair odd
EV -2.77%
Edge -1.94%
Kelly -6.45%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.43
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
65.94%67.94%67.95%69.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.291.371.371.4377.52%73.19%72.99%69.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 18.81%5.32fair odd
EV +0.094%
Edge +0.018%
Kelly +0.022%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 5.32
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.85%18.81%18.78%19.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.404.834.755.3222.73%20.72%21.05%18.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Santos Laguna (Local): 13.19%; Cruz Azul (Visit): 67.99%; Draw: 18.81%. For Santos Laguna (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 7.58. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 7.94, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.76%.
Sportsbook Odds (47 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 7.94I 12.59%NM 12.13%EV +4.76%E +0.599%K +0.686%G +0.033% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.77%EV -6.17%E -4.47%K -16.24%G +0.000% | 5.32I 18.80%NM 18.10%EV +0.094%E +0.018%K +0.022%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-04 00:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 7.70I 12.99%NM 12.37%EV +1.59%E +0.207%K +0.238%G +0.004% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.50%EV -6.85%E -5.00%K -18.52%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.14%EV -1.22%E -0.233%K -0.288%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-04 00:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 7.69I 13.00%NM 12.51%EV +1.46%E +0.190%K +0.218%G +0.003% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.74%EV -3.45%E -2.43%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 4.87I 20.53%NM 19.75%EV -8.37%E -1.72%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-04 00:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.87%EV -1.05%E -0.140%K -0.161%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.95%EV -4.81%E -3.44%K -12.03%G +0.000% | 5.31I 18.83%NM 18.18%EV -0.094%E -0.018%K -0.022%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-04 00:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.87%EV -1.05%E -0.140%K -0.161%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.95%EV -4.81%E -3.44%K -12.03%G +0.000% | 5.31I 18.83%NM 18.18%EV -0.094%E -0.018%K -0.022%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-04 00:35 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.48%EV -1.05%E -0.140%K -0.161%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.53%E -5.54%K -20.92%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -5.93%E -1.19%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-04 00:39 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.37%EV -1.05%E -0.140%K -0.161%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.78%EV -9.57%E -7.20%K -29.00%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.85%EV -2.16%E -0.416%K -0.515%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-04 00:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -1.05%E -0.140%K -0.161%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -9.57%E -7.20%K -29.00%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -5.93%E -1.19%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-04 00:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 7.40I 13.51%NM 12.66%EV -2.37%E -0.320%K -0.370%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.40%EV -6.85%E -5.00%K -18.52%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.93%EV -6.87%E -1.39%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-04 00:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 7.40I 13.51%NM 12.66%EV -2.37%E -0.320%K -0.370%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.40%EV -6.85%E -5.00%K -18.52%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.93%EV -6.87%E -1.39%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-04 00:40 |
| GTbets🎯 | 7.31I 13.68%NM 12.92%EV -3.55%E -0.486%K -0.563%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.93%EV -5.49%E -3.95%K -14.08%G +0.000% | 4.93I 20.28%NM 19.15%EV -7.24%E -1.47%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-04 00:45 |
| BetUS🎯 | 7.30I 13.70%NM 12.86%EV -3.69%E -0.505%K -0.585%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.54%EV -6.85%E -5.00%K -18.52%G +0.000% | 5.05I 19.80%NM 18.59%EV -4.99%E -0.987%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-04 00:49 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 7.30I 13.70%NM 12.69%EV -3.69%E -0.505%K -0.585%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.60%EV -8.21%E -6.08%K -23.46%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.71%EV -6.87%E -1.39%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-04 00:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.70%EV -4.35%E -0.599%K -0.695%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 68.70%EV -8.89%E -6.64%K -26.15%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.60%EV -6.87%E -1.39%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-04 00:54 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.45%EV -7.64%E -1.09%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.72%EV -5.49%E -3.95%K -14.08%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -5.93%E -1.19%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-04 00:35 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.32%EV -7.64%E -1.09%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.04%EV -6.85%E -5.00%K -18.52%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -5.93%E -1.19%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-04 00:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.25%EV -7.64%E -1.09%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.22%EV -6.17%E -4.47%K -16.24%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.53%EV -10.63%E -2.24%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-04 00:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.17%EV -7.64%E -1.09%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.81%EV -7.53%E -5.54%K -20.92%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.01%EV -8.75%E -1.80%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-04 00:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.12%EV -7.64%E -1.09%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.54%EV -7.53%E -5.54%K -20.92%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.34%EV -10.63%E -2.24%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-04 00:50 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.06%EV -7.64%E -1.09%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 67.70%EV -8.21%E -6.08%K -23.46%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.24%EV -10.63%E -2.24%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-04 00:55 |
| Everygame🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.93%EV -7.64%E -1.09%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.03%EV -9.57%E -7.20%K -29.00%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.05%EV -10.63%E -2.24%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-03-04 00:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.73%EV -7.64%E -1.09%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 68.52%EV -11.61%E -8.93%K -38.70%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.75%EV -10.63%E -2.24%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-03-04 00:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.09%EV -10.94%E -1.62%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.50%EV -2.77%E -1.94%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -7.81%E -1.59%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-04 00:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.09%EV -10.94%E -1.62%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.50%EV -2.77%E -1.94%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -7.81%E -1.59%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-04 00:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.67%EV -10.94%E -1.62%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.87%EV -7.53%E -5.54%K -20.92%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.46%EV -5.93%E -1.19%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-04 00:40 |
| Fliff🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.54%EV -10.94%E -1.62%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.21%EV -7.53%E -5.54%K -20.92%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.24%EV -10.63%E -2.24%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-04 00:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV -14.24%E -2.19%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.22%EV -4.81%E -3.44%K -12.03%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.52%EV -10.63%E -2.24%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-04 00:49 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV -14.24%E -2.19%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.22%EV -4.81%E -3.44%K -12.03%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.52%EV -10.63%E -2.24%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-04 00:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV -14.24%E -2.19%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.22%EV -4.81%E -3.44%K -12.03%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.52%EV -10.63%E -2.24%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-04 00:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV -14.24%E -2.19%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.22%EV -4.81%E -3.44%K -12.03%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.52%EV -10.63%E -2.24%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-04 00:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV -14.24%E -2.19%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.22%EV -4.81%E -3.44%K -12.03%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.52%EV -10.63%E -2.24%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-04 00:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV -14.24%E -2.19%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.22%EV -4.81%E -3.44%K -12.03%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.52%EV -10.63%E -2.24%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-04 00:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.78%EV -14.24%E -2.19%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.36%EV -9.57%E -7.20%K -29.00%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.86%EV -10.63%E -2.24%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-03-04 00:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.78%EV -14.24%E -2.19%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 66.33%EV -8.21%E -6.08%K -23.46%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -15.33%E -3.41%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-03-04 00:35 |
| 888sport🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.64%EV -14.24%E -2.19%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 66.66%EV -9.57%E -7.20%K -29.00%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.70%EV -15.33%E -3.41%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-03-04 00:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.64%EV -14.24%E -2.19%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 66.66%EV -9.57%E -7.20%K -29.00%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.70%EV -15.33%E -3.41%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-03-04 00:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.64%EV -14.24%E -2.19%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 66.66%EV -9.57%E -7.20%K -29.00%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.70%EV -15.33%E -3.41%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-03-04 00:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.42%EV -15.56%E -2.43%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.94%EV -4.81%E -3.44%K -12.03%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.64%EV -11.57%E -2.46%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-04 00:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.42%EV -15.56%E -2.43%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.94%EV -4.81%E -3.44%K -12.03%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.64%EV -11.57%E -2.46%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-04 00:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.23%EV -15.56%E -2.43%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 65.98%EV -6.17%E -4.47%K -16.24%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.79%EV -13.45%E -2.92%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-04 00:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.23%EV -15.56%E -2.43%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 65.98%EV -6.17%E -4.47%K -16.24%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.79%EV -13.45%E -2.92%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-04 00:50 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 6.30I 15.87%NM 13.67%EV -16.88%E -2.68%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 66.76%EV -12.29%E -9.53%K -42.38%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 19.57%EV -17.22%E -3.91%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 16.1% | 2026-03-04 00:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.61%EV -17.54%E -2.81%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.13%EV -7.53%E -5.54%K -20.92%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -5.93%E -1.19%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-04 00:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.38%EV -17.54%E -2.81%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.08%EV -7.53%E -5.54%K -20.92%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.54%EV -13.45%E -2.92%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-03-04 00:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.07%EV -17.54%E -2.81%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 66.61%EV -10.25%E -7.77%K -32.03%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 19.32%EV -14.39%E -3.16%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-03-04 00:43 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.41%EV -19.52%E -3.20%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 66.07%EV -9.57%E -7.20%K -29.00%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.53%EV -15.33%E -3.41%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-03-04 00:50 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 5.90I 16.95%NM 14.94%EV -22.16%E -3.76%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 66.30%EV -9.57%E -7.20%K -29.00%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.76%EV -11.57%E -2.46%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-03-04 00:40 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.58% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.63% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.78% | 0.4% | 2026-03-04 00:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.58% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.63% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.78% | 0.4% | 2026-03-04 00:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.58% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.63% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.78% | 0.4% | 2026-03-04 00:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.58% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.63% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.78% | 0.4% | 2026-03-04 00:45 |
| Smarkets◎ | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.49% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 70.55% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.96% | 1.2% | 2026-03-04 00:55 |