La escuela de los momios

Santos Laguna v Cruz Azul

Inicio: 2026-03-04 01:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

47 corredores (17 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Santos Laguna (Local)

Predicción 13.19%7.58momio equitativo
EV +4.76%
Ventaja +0.599%
Kelly +0.686%
Crecimiento +0.033%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 7.94

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
12.13%13.25%13.27%14.94%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
5.906.856.757.9416.95%14.60%14.81%12.59%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Cruz Azul (Visitante)

Predicción 67.99%1.47momio equitativo
EV -2.77%
Ventaja -1.94%
Kelly -6.45%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.43

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
65.94%67.94%67.95%69.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.291.371.371.4377.52%73.19%72.99%69.93%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 18.81%5.32momio equitativo
EV +0.094%
Ventaja +0.018%
Kelly +0.022%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.32

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
17.85%18.81%18.78%19.90%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.404.834.755.3222.73%20.72%21.05%18.80%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (47 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle7.94I 12.59%NM 12.13%EV +4.76%E +0.599%K +0.686%G +0.033%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.77%EV -6.17%E -4.47%K -16.24%G +0.000%5.32I 18.80%NM 18.10%EV +0.094%E +0.018%K +0.022%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-04 00:50
Coolbet7.70I 12.99%NM 12.37%EV +1.59%E +0.207%K +0.238%G +0.004%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.50%EV -6.85%E -5.00%K -18.52%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.14%EV -1.22%E -0.233%K -0.288%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-04 00:50
1xBet7.69I 13.00%NM 12.51%EV +1.46%E +0.190%K +0.218%G +0.003%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.74%EV -3.45%E -2.43%K -8.22%G +0.000%4.87I 20.53%NM 19.75%EV -8.37%E -1.72%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-04 00:50
BetOnline.ag7.50I 13.33%NM 12.87%EV -1.05%E -0.140%K -0.161%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.95%EV -4.81%E -3.44%K -12.03%G +0.000%5.31I 18.83%NM 18.18%EV -0.094%E -0.018%K -0.022%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-04 00:35
LowVig.ag7.50I 13.33%NM 12.87%EV -1.05%E -0.140%K -0.161%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.95%EV -4.81%E -3.44%K -12.03%G +0.000%5.31I 18.83%NM 18.18%EV -0.094%E -0.018%K -0.022%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-04 00:35
Bet Victor7.50I 13.33%NM 12.48%EV -1.05%E -0.140%K -0.161%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.53%E -5.54%K -20.92%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -5.93%E -1.19%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-04 00:39
FanDuel7.50I 13.33%NM 12.37%EV -1.05%E -0.140%K -0.161%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.78%EV -9.57%E -7.20%K -29.00%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.85%EV -2.16%E -0.416%K -0.515%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-04 00:35
SportsBet7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -1.05%E -0.140%K -0.161%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -9.57%E -7.20%K -29.00%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -5.93%E -1.19%K -1.48%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-04 00:50
Betsson7.40I 13.51%NM 12.66%EV -2.37%E -0.320%K -0.370%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 68.40%EV -6.85%E -5.00%K -18.52%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.93%EV -6.87%E -1.39%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-04 00:40
NordicBet7.40I 13.51%NM 12.66%EV -2.37%E -0.320%K -0.370%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 68.40%EV -6.85%E -5.00%K -18.52%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.93%EV -6.87%E -1.39%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-04 00:40
GTbets7.31I 13.68%NM 12.92%EV -3.55%E -0.486%K -0.563%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 67.93%EV -5.49%E -3.95%K -14.08%G +0.000%4.93I 20.28%NM 19.15%EV -7.24%E -1.47%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-04 00:45
BetUS7.30I 13.70%NM 12.86%EV -3.69%E -0.505%K -0.585%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 68.54%EV -6.85%E -5.00%K -18.52%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 18.59%EV -4.99%E -0.987%K -1.23%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-04 00:49
Marathon Bet7.30I 13.70%NM 12.69%EV -3.69%E -0.505%K -0.585%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.60%EV -8.21%E -6.08%K -23.46%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.71%EV -6.87%E -1.39%K -1.74%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-04 00:50
Bovada7.25I 13.79%NM 12.70%EV -4.35%E -0.599%K -0.695%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 68.70%EV -8.89%E -6.64%K -26.15%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.60%EV -6.87%E -1.39%K -1.74%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-04 00:54
DraftKings7.00I 14.29%NM 13.45%EV -7.64%E -1.09%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 67.72%EV -5.49%E -3.95%K -14.08%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -5.93%E -1.19%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-04 00:35
Unibet (UK)7.00I 14.29%NM 13.32%EV -7.64%E -1.09%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 68.04%EV -6.85%E -5.00%K -18.52%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -5.93%E -1.19%K -1.48%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-04 00:40
Betway7.00I 14.29%NM 13.25%EV -7.64%E -1.09%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.22%EV -6.17%E -4.47%K -16.24%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.53%EV -10.63%E -2.24%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-04 00:40
PlayUp7.00I 14.29%NM 13.17%EV -7.64%E -1.09%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.81%EV -7.53%E -5.54%K -20.92%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.01%EV -8.75%E -1.80%K -2.27%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-04 00:40
Fanatics7.00I 14.29%NM 13.12%EV -7.64%E -1.09%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.54%EV -7.53%E -5.54%K -20.92%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.34%EV -10.63%E -2.24%K -2.83%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-04 00:50
Bet Right7.00I 14.29%NM 13.06%EV -7.64%E -1.09%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 67.70%EV -8.21%E -6.08%K -23.46%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.24%EV -10.63%E -2.24%K -2.83%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-04 00:55
Everygame7.00I 14.29%NM 12.93%EV -7.64%E -1.09%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 68.03%EV -9.57%E -7.20%K -29.00%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.05%EV -10.63%E -2.24%K -2.83%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-04 00:40
Paddy Power7.00I 14.29%NM 12.73%EV -7.64%E -1.09%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 68.52%EV -11.61%E -8.93%K -38.70%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.75%EV -10.63%E -2.24%K -2.83%G +0.000%12.3%2026-03-04 00:35
ATG (SE)6.75I 14.81%NM 14.09%EV -10.94%E -1.62%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.50%EV -2.77%E -1.94%K -6.45%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -7.81%E -1.59%K -2.00%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-04 00:50
Svenska Spel6.75I 14.81%NM 14.09%EV -10.94%E -1.62%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.50%EV -2.77%E -1.94%K -6.45%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -7.81%E -1.59%K -2.00%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-04 00:50
BetMGM6.75I 14.81%NM 13.67%EV -10.94%E -1.62%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.87%EV -7.53%E -5.54%K -20.92%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.46%EV -5.93%E -1.19%K -1.48%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-04 00:40
Fliff6.75I 14.81%NM 13.54%EV -10.94%E -1.62%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.21%EV -7.53%E -5.54%K -20.92%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.24%EV -10.63%E -2.24%K -2.83%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-04 00:55
Unibet6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV -14.24%E -2.19%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.22%EV -4.81%E -3.44%K -12.03%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.52%EV -10.63%E -2.24%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-04 00:49
Unibet (SE)6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV -14.24%E -2.19%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.22%EV -4.81%E -3.44%K -12.03%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.52%EV -10.63%E -2.24%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-04 00:50
Casumo6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV -14.24%E -2.19%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.22%EV -4.81%E -3.44%K -12.03%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.52%EV -10.63%E -2.24%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-04 00:50
Grosvenor6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV -14.24%E -2.19%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.22%EV -4.81%E -3.44%K -12.03%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.52%EV -10.63%E -2.24%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-04 00:50
Unibet (NL)6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV -14.24%E -2.19%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.22%EV -4.81%E -3.44%K -12.03%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.52%EV -10.63%E -2.24%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-04 00:50
betPARX6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV -14.24%E -2.19%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.22%EV -4.81%E -3.44%K -12.03%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.52%EV -10.63%E -2.24%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-04 00:50
BoyleSports6.50I 15.38%NM 13.78%EV -14.24%E -2.19%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 67.36%EV -9.57%E -7.20%K -29.00%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.86%EV -10.63%E -2.24%K -2.83%G +0.000%11.6%2026-03-04 00:40
William Hill6.50I 15.38%NM 13.78%EV -14.24%E -2.19%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 66.33%EV -8.21%E -6.08%K -23.46%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -15.33%E -3.41%K -4.38%G +0.000%11.7%2026-03-04 00:35
888sport6.50I 15.38%NM 13.64%EV -14.24%E -2.19%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 66.66%EV -9.57%E -7.20%K -29.00%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.70%EV -15.33%E -3.41%K -4.38%G +0.000%12.8%2026-03-04 00:30
Mr Green (SE)6.50I 15.38%NM 13.64%EV -14.24%E -2.19%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 66.66%EV -9.57%E -7.20%K -29.00%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.70%EV -15.33%E -3.41%K -4.38%G +0.000%12.8%2026-03-04 00:30
888sport (SE)6.50I 15.38%NM 13.64%EV -14.24%E -2.19%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 66.66%EV -9.57%E -7.20%K -29.00%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.70%EV -15.33%E -3.41%K -4.38%G +0.000%12.8%2026-03-04 00:30
BetRivers6.40I 15.63%NM 14.42%EV -15.56%E -2.43%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.94%EV -4.81%E -3.44%K -12.03%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.64%EV -11.57%E -2.46%K -3.13%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-04 00:50
TABtouch6.40I 15.63%NM 14.42%EV -15.56%E -2.43%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.94%EV -4.81%E -3.44%K -12.03%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.64%EV -11.57%E -2.46%K -3.13%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-04 00:50
LeoVegas (SE)6.40I 15.63%NM 14.23%EV -15.56%E -2.43%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 65.98%EV -6.17%E -4.47%K -16.24%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.79%EV -13.45%E -2.92%K -3.74%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-04 00:50
LiveScore Bet6.40I 15.63%NM 14.23%EV -15.56%E -2.43%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 65.98%EV -6.17%E -4.47%K -16.24%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.79%EV -13.45%E -2.92%K -3.74%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-04 00:50
NetBet (FR)6.30I 15.87%NM 13.67%EV -16.88%E -2.68%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 66.76%EV -12.29%E -9.53%K -42.38%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.57%EV -17.22%E -3.91%K -5.06%G +0.000%16.1%2026-03-04 00:55
Winamax (DE)6.25I 16.00%NM 14.61%EV -17.54%E -2.81%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.13%EV -7.53%E -5.54%K -20.92%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -5.93%E -1.19%K -1.48%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-04 00:40
Virgin Bet6.25I 16.00%NM 14.38%EV -17.54%E -2.81%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 66.08%EV -7.53%E -5.54%K -20.92%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.54%EV -13.45%E -2.92%K -3.74%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-04 00:50
Betclic (FR)6.25I 16.00%NM 14.07%EV -17.54%E -2.81%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 66.61%EV -10.25%E -7.77%K -32.03%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 19.32%EV -14.39%E -3.16%K -4.05%G +0.000%13.7%2026-03-04 00:43
LeoVegas6.10I 16.39%NM 14.41%EV -19.52%E -3.20%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 66.07%EV -9.57%E -7.20%K -29.00%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.53%EV -15.33%E -3.41%K -4.38%G +0.000%13.8%2026-03-04 00:50
Winamax (FR)5.90I 16.95%NM 14.94%EV -22.16%E -3.76%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 66.30%EV -9.57%E -7.20%K -29.00%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.76%EV -11.57%E -2.46%K -3.13%G +0.000%13.4%2026-03-04 00:40
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)8.60I 11.63%NM 11.58%1.41I 70.92%NM 70.63%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.78%0.4%2026-03-04 00:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)8.60I 11.63%NM 11.58%1.41I 70.92%NM 70.63%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.78%0.4%2026-03-04 00:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)8.60I 11.63%NM 11.58%1.41I 70.92%NM 70.63%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.78%0.4%2026-03-04 00:50
Matchbook8.60I 11.63%NM 11.58%1.41I 70.92%NM 70.63%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.78%0.4%2026-03-04 00:45
Smarkets8.60I 11.63%NM 11.49%1.40I 71.43%NM 70.55%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.96%1.2%2026-03-04 00:55