L’École des cotes

Santos Laguna v Cruz Azul

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-04 01:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

47 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Santos Laguna (Local)

Prévision 13.19%7.58cote équitable
EV +4.76%
Avantage +0.599%
Kelly +0.686%
Croissance +0.033%

avec la cote maximale 7.94

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
12.13%13.25%13.27%14.94%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
5.906.856.757.9416.95%14.60%14.81%12.59%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cruz Azul (Visiteur)

Prévision 67.99%1.47cote équitable
EV -2.77%
Avantage -1.94%
Kelly -6.45%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.43

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
65.94%67.94%67.95%69.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.291.371.371.4377.52%73.19%72.99%69.93%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 18.81%5.32cote équitable
EV +0.094%
Avantage +0.018%
Kelly +0.022%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 5.32

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
17.85%18.81%18.78%19.90%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.404.834.755.3222.73%20.72%21.05%18.80%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (47 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle7.94I 12.59%NM 12.13%EV +4.76%E +0.599%K +0.686%G +0.033%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.77%EV -6.17%E -4.47%K -16.24%G +0.000%5.32I 18.80%NM 18.10%EV +0.094%E +0.018%K +0.022%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-04 00:50
Coolbet7.70I 12.99%NM 12.37%EV +1.59%E +0.207%K +0.238%G +0.004%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.50%EV -6.85%E -5.00%K -18.52%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.14%EV -1.22%E -0.233%K -0.288%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-04 00:50
1xBet7.69I 13.00%NM 12.51%EV +1.46%E +0.190%K +0.218%G +0.003%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.74%EV -3.45%E -2.43%K -8.22%G +0.000%4.87I 20.53%NM 19.75%EV -8.37%E -1.72%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-04 00:50
BetOnline.ag7.50I 13.33%NM 12.87%EV -1.05%E -0.140%K -0.161%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.95%EV -4.81%E -3.44%K -12.03%G +0.000%5.31I 18.83%NM 18.18%EV -0.094%E -0.018%K -0.022%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-04 00:35
LowVig.ag7.50I 13.33%NM 12.87%EV -1.05%E -0.140%K -0.161%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.95%EV -4.81%E -3.44%K -12.03%G +0.000%5.31I 18.83%NM 18.18%EV -0.094%E -0.018%K -0.022%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-04 00:35
Bet Victor7.50I 13.33%NM 12.48%EV -1.05%E -0.140%K -0.161%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.53%E -5.54%K -20.92%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -5.93%E -1.19%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-04 00:39
FanDuel7.50I 13.33%NM 12.37%EV -1.05%E -0.140%K -0.161%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.78%EV -9.57%E -7.20%K -29.00%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.85%EV -2.16%E -0.416%K -0.515%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-04 00:35
SportsBet7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -1.05%E -0.140%K -0.161%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -9.57%E -7.20%K -29.00%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -5.93%E -1.19%K -1.48%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-04 00:50
Betsson7.40I 13.51%NM 12.66%EV -2.37%E -0.320%K -0.370%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 68.40%EV -6.85%E -5.00%K -18.52%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.93%EV -6.87%E -1.39%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-04 00:40
NordicBet7.40I 13.51%NM 12.66%EV -2.37%E -0.320%K -0.370%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 68.40%EV -6.85%E -5.00%K -18.52%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.93%EV -6.87%E -1.39%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-04 00:40
GTbets7.31I 13.68%NM 12.92%EV -3.55%E -0.486%K -0.563%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 67.93%EV -5.49%E -3.95%K -14.08%G +0.000%4.93I 20.28%NM 19.15%EV -7.24%E -1.47%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-04 00:45
BetUS7.30I 13.70%NM 12.86%EV -3.69%E -0.505%K -0.585%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 68.54%EV -6.85%E -5.00%K -18.52%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 18.59%EV -4.99%E -0.987%K -1.23%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-04 00:49
Marathon Bet7.30I 13.70%NM 12.69%EV -3.69%E -0.505%K -0.585%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.60%EV -8.21%E -6.08%K -23.46%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.71%EV -6.87%E -1.39%K -1.74%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-04 00:50
Bovada7.25I 13.79%NM 12.70%EV -4.35%E -0.599%K -0.695%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 68.70%EV -8.89%E -6.64%K -26.15%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.60%EV -6.87%E -1.39%K -1.74%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-04 00:54
DraftKings7.00I 14.29%NM 13.45%EV -7.64%E -1.09%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 67.72%EV -5.49%E -3.95%K -14.08%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -5.93%E -1.19%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-04 00:35
Unibet (UK)7.00I 14.29%NM 13.32%EV -7.64%E -1.09%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 68.04%EV -6.85%E -5.00%K -18.52%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -5.93%E -1.19%K -1.48%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-04 00:40
Betway7.00I 14.29%NM 13.25%EV -7.64%E -1.09%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.22%EV -6.17%E -4.47%K -16.24%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.53%EV -10.63%E -2.24%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-04 00:40
PlayUp7.00I 14.29%NM 13.17%EV -7.64%E -1.09%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.81%EV -7.53%E -5.54%K -20.92%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.01%EV -8.75%E -1.80%K -2.27%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-04 00:40
Fanatics7.00I 14.29%NM 13.12%EV -7.64%E -1.09%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.54%EV -7.53%E -5.54%K -20.92%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.34%EV -10.63%E -2.24%K -2.83%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-04 00:50
Bet Right7.00I 14.29%NM 13.06%EV -7.64%E -1.09%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 67.70%EV -8.21%E -6.08%K -23.46%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.24%EV -10.63%E -2.24%K -2.83%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-04 00:55
Everygame7.00I 14.29%NM 12.93%EV -7.64%E -1.09%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 68.03%EV -9.57%E -7.20%K -29.00%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.05%EV -10.63%E -2.24%K -2.83%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-04 00:40
Paddy Power7.00I 14.29%NM 12.73%EV -7.64%E -1.09%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 68.52%EV -11.61%E -8.93%K -38.70%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.75%EV -10.63%E -2.24%K -2.83%G +0.000%12.3%2026-03-04 00:35
ATG (SE)6.75I 14.81%NM 14.09%EV -10.94%E -1.62%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.50%EV -2.77%E -1.94%K -6.45%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -7.81%E -1.59%K -2.00%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-04 00:50
Svenska Spel6.75I 14.81%NM 14.09%EV -10.94%E -1.62%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.50%EV -2.77%E -1.94%K -6.45%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -7.81%E -1.59%K -2.00%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-04 00:50
BetMGM6.75I 14.81%NM 13.67%EV -10.94%E -1.62%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.87%EV -7.53%E -5.54%K -20.92%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.46%EV -5.93%E -1.19%K -1.48%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-04 00:40
Fliff6.75I 14.81%NM 13.54%EV -10.94%E -1.62%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.21%EV -7.53%E -5.54%K -20.92%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.24%EV -10.63%E -2.24%K -2.83%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-04 00:55
Unibet6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV -14.24%E -2.19%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.22%EV -4.81%E -3.44%K -12.03%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.52%EV -10.63%E -2.24%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-04 00:49
Unibet (SE)6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV -14.24%E -2.19%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.22%EV -4.81%E -3.44%K -12.03%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.52%EV -10.63%E -2.24%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-04 00:50
Casumo6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV -14.24%E -2.19%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.22%EV -4.81%E -3.44%K -12.03%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.52%EV -10.63%E -2.24%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-04 00:50
Grosvenor6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV -14.24%E -2.19%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.22%EV -4.81%E -3.44%K -12.03%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.52%EV -10.63%E -2.24%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-04 00:50
Unibet (NL)6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV -14.24%E -2.19%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.22%EV -4.81%E -3.44%K -12.03%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.52%EV -10.63%E -2.24%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-04 00:50
betPARX6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV -14.24%E -2.19%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.22%EV -4.81%E -3.44%K -12.03%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.52%EV -10.63%E -2.24%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-04 00:50
BoyleSports6.50I 15.38%NM 13.78%EV -14.24%E -2.19%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 67.36%EV -9.57%E -7.20%K -29.00%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.86%EV -10.63%E -2.24%K -2.83%G +0.000%11.6%2026-03-04 00:40
William Hill6.50I 15.38%NM 13.78%EV -14.24%E -2.19%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 66.33%EV -8.21%E -6.08%K -23.46%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -15.33%E -3.41%K -4.38%G +0.000%11.7%2026-03-04 00:35
888sport6.50I 15.38%NM 13.64%EV -14.24%E -2.19%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 66.66%EV -9.57%E -7.20%K -29.00%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.70%EV -15.33%E -3.41%K -4.38%G +0.000%12.8%2026-03-04 00:30
Mr Green (SE)6.50I 15.38%NM 13.64%EV -14.24%E -2.19%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 66.66%EV -9.57%E -7.20%K -29.00%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.70%EV -15.33%E -3.41%K -4.38%G +0.000%12.8%2026-03-04 00:30
888sport (SE)6.50I 15.38%NM 13.64%EV -14.24%E -2.19%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 66.66%EV -9.57%E -7.20%K -29.00%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.70%EV -15.33%E -3.41%K -4.38%G +0.000%12.8%2026-03-04 00:30
BetRivers6.40I 15.63%NM 14.42%EV -15.56%E -2.43%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.94%EV -4.81%E -3.44%K -12.03%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.64%EV -11.57%E -2.46%K -3.13%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-04 00:50
TABtouch6.40I 15.63%NM 14.42%EV -15.56%E -2.43%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.94%EV -4.81%E -3.44%K -12.03%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.64%EV -11.57%E -2.46%K -3.13%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-04 00:50
LeoVegas (SE)6.40I 15.63%NM 14.23%EV -15.56%E -2.43%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 65.98%EV -6.17%E -4.47%K -16.24%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.79%EV -13.45%E -2.92%K -3.74%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-04 00:50
LiveScore Bet6.40I 15.63%NM 14.23%EV -15.56%E -2.43%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 65.98%EV -6.17%E -4.47%K -16.24%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.79%EV -13.45%E -2.92%K -3.74%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-04 00:50
NetBet (FR)6.30I 15.87%NM 13.67%EV -16.88%E -2.68%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 66.76%EV -12.29%E -9.53%K -42.38%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.57%EV -17.22%E -3.91%K -5.06%G +0.000%16.1%2026-03-04 00:55
Winamax (DE)6.25I 16.00%NM 14.61%EV -17.54%E -2.81%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.13%EV -7.53%E -5.54%K -20.92%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -5.93%E -1.19%K -1.48%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-04 00:40
Virgin Bet6.25I 16.00%NM 14.38%EV -17.54%E -2.81%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 66.08%EV -7.53%E -5.54%K -20.92%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.54%EV -13.45%E -2.92%K -3.74%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-04 00:50
Betclic (FR)6.25I 16.00%NM 14.07%EV -17.54%E -2.81%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 66.61%EV -10.25%E -7.77%K -32.03%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 19.32%EV -14.39%E -3.16%K -4.05%G +0.000%13.7%2026-03-04 00:43
LeoVegas6.10I 16.39%NM 14.41%EV -19.52%E -3.20%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 66.07%EV -9.57%E -7.20%K -29.00%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.53%EV -15.33%E -3.41%K -4.38%G +0.000%13.8%2026-03-04 00:50
Winamax (FR)5.90I 16.95%NM 14.94%EV -22.16%E -3.76%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 66.30%EV -9.57%E -7.20%K -29.00%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.76%EV -11.57%E -2.46%K -3.13%G +0.000%13.4%2026-03-04 00:40
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)8.60I 11.63%NM 11.58%1.41I 70.92%NM 70.63%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.78%0.4%2026-03-04 00:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)8.60I 11.63%NM 11.58%1.41I 70.92%NM 70.63%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.78%0.4%2026-03-04 00:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)8.60I 11.63%NM 11.58%1.41I 70.92%NM 70.63%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.78%0.4%2026-03-04 00:50
Matchbook8.60I 11.63%NM 11.58%1.41I 70.92%NM 70.63%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.78%0.4%2026-03-04 00:45
Smarkets8.60I 11.63%NM 11.49%1.40I 71.43%NM 70.55%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.96%1.2%2026-03-04 00:55