The School of Odds

Santos Laguna v Atlas

2026-07-26 03:00 UTC — Liga MX

Head to Head

16 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Santos Laguna (Local)

Prediction 41.45%2.41fair odd
EV -4.66%
Edge -2.03%
Kelly -3.58%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.13%41.37%41.41%42.39%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.082.212.202.3048%45%45%43%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Atlas (Visit)

Prediction 30.55%3.27fair odd
EV -5.31%
Edge -1.71%
Kelly -2.53%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.25%30.54%30.57%31.03%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.802.972.953.1036%34%34%32%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Draw

Prediction 28.00%3.57fair odd
EV -3.40%
Edge -0.985%
Kelly -1.39%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.45

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.03%28.09%28.02%29.43%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.003.223.253.4533%31%31%29%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (16 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Coolbet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.35%EV -4.66%E -2.03%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.68%EV -5.31%E -1.71%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.80%E -1.41%K -2.00%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-12 20:14
NordicBet2.28I 43.86%NM 40.83%EV -5.49%E -2.41%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -6.83%E -2.24%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -9.00%E -2.77%K -4.00%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-13 00:14
Betsson2.28I 43.86%NM 40.83%EV -5.49%E -2.41%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -6.83%E -2.24%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -9.00%E -2.77%K -4.00%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-13 00:15
1xBet2.27I 44.05%NM 41.07%EV -5.90%E -2.60%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 30.67%EV -7.14%E -2.35%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.25%EV -7.60%E -2.30%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-12 22:14
Fanatics2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -6.73%E -2.99%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -5.31%E -1.71%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -4.80%E -1.41%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-12 20:30
Marathon Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.21%EV -6.73%E -2.99%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 30.70%EV -7.75%E -2.57%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.09%EV -7.60%E -2.30%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-12 22:14
SportsBet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.39%EV -8.80%E -4.00%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.58%EV -6.83%E -2.24%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -3.40%E -0.985%K -1.39%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-12 20:14
FanDuel2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -8.80%E -4.00%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -8.36%E -2.79%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -4.80%E -1.41%K -2.00%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-12 20:13
888sport2.20I 45.45%NM 40.13%EV -8.80%E -4.00%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.44%EV -11.41%E -3.94%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.43%EV -16.00%E -5.33%K -8.00%G +0.000%13.3%2026-07-12 21:55
William Hill2.20I 45.45%NM 40.13%EV -8.80%E -4.00%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.44%EV -11.41%E -3.94%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.43%EV -16.00%E -5.33%K -8.00%G +0.000%13.3%2026-07-12 21:55
Mr Green (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.13%EV -8.80%E -4.00%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.44%EV -11.41%E -3.94%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.43%EV -16.00%E -5.33%K -8.00%G +0.000%13.3%2026-07-12 21:50
888sport (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.13%EV -8.80%E -4.00%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.44%EV -11.41%E -3.94%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.43%EV -16.00%E -5.33%K -8.00%G +0.000%13.3%2026-07-12 21:54
LeoVegas2.18I 45.87%NM 41.28%EV -9.63%E -4.42%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.03%EV -11.41%E -3.94%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.69%EV -9.00%E -2.77%K -4.00%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-12 20:15
Paddy Power2.15I 46.51%NM 41.79%EV -10.88%E -5.06%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -11.41%E -3.94%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.23%EV -7.60%E -2.30%K -3.30%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-12 20:19
Sky Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 41.20%EV -12.95%E -6.17%K -11.77%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.90%EV -14.47%E -5.17%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.91%EV -13.20%E -4.26%K -6.29%G +0.000%15.6%2026-07-12 20:19
Betclic (FR)2.08I 48.08%NM 42.17%EV -13.78%E -6.62%K -12.76%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.25%EV -11.41%E -3.94%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 27.58%EV -10.96%E -3.45%K -5.03%G +0.000%14.0%2026-07-12 20:19
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-07-12 20:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-07-12 20:54
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-07-12 20:54