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Santos Laguna v Atlas
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Santos Laguna (Local)
Prediction 33.75%2.96fair odd
EV +0.917%
Edge +0.307%
Kelly +0.461%
Growth +0.004%
assuming max odds 2.99
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.14%33.85%33.79%36.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.402.682.702.9941.67%37.29%37.04%33.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Atlas (Visit)
Prediction 37.58%2.66fair odd
EV +1.46%
Edge +0.540%
Kelly +0.858%
Growth +0.013%
assuming max odds 2.70
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.80%37.47%37.54%38.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.502.502.7043.48%40.00%40.00%37.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 28.67%3.49fair odd
EV -2.52%
Edge -0.741%
Kelly -1.05%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.75%28.68%28.67%29.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.223.253.4033.33%31.09%30.77%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Santos Laguna (Local): 33.75%; Atlas (Visit): 37.58%; Draw: 28.67%. For Atlas (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.66. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.70, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.46%.
Sportsbook Odds (47 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.51%EV -12.25%E -4.71%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.16%EV +1.46%E +0.540%K +0.858%G +0.013% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.34%EV -3.95%E -1.18%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-26 02:24 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.51%EV -12.25%E -4.71%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.16%EV +1.46%E +0.540%K +0.858%G +0.013% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.34%EV -3.95%E -1.18%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-26 02:24 |
| Casumo | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.40%EV -13.93%E -5.46%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.03%EV -0.420%E -0.159%K -0.255%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.56%EV -6.82%E -2.10%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-26 02:24 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.40%EV -13.93%E -5.46%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.03%EV -0.420%E -0.159%K -0.255%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.56%EV -6.82%E -2.10%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-26 02:19 |
| Grosvenor | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.40%EV -13.93%E -5.46%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.03%EV -0.420%E -0.159%K -0.255%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.56%EV -6.82%E -2.10%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-26 02:25 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.40%EV -13.93%E -5.46%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.03%EV -0.420%E -0.159%K -0.255%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.56%EV -6.82%E -2.10%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-26 02:19 |
| BetRivers | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.40%EV -13.93%E -5.46%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.03%EV -0.420%E -0.159%K -0.255%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.56%EV -6.82%E -2.10%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-26 02:19 |
| Unibet | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.40%EV -13.93%E -5.46%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.03%EV -0.420%E -0.159%K -0.255%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.56%EV -6.82%E -2.10%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-26 02:25 |
| betPARX | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.40%EV -13.93%E -5.46%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.03%EV -0.420%E -0.159%K -0.255%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.56%EV -6.82%E -2.10%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-26 02:25 |
| TABtouch | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.77%EV -15.62%E -6.25%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.95%EV -1.17%E -0.446%K -0.719%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -6.82%E -2.10%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-26 02:25 |
| Coolbet | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.03%EV -5.50%E -1.96%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.65%EV -2.30%E -0.884%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.32%EV -6.82%E -2.10%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-26 02:50 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -15.62%E -6.25%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -2.30%E -0.884%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -8.25%E -2.58%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-07-26 02:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -15.62%E -6.25%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -2.30%E -0.884%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -8.25%E -2.58%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-07-26 02:25 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.48%EV -16.30%E -6.57%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.80%EV -2.30%E -0.884%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.72%EV -9.69%E -3.07%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-07-26 02:24 |
| Pinnacle | 2.89I 34.60%NM 33.48%EV -2.46%E -0.851%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.80%EV -3.80%E -1.49%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.37I 29.67%NM 28.72%EV -3.38%E -1.00%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-07-26 02:55 |
| GTbets | 2.73I 36.63%NM 34.65%EV -7.86%E -2.88%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 36.95%EV -3.80%E -1.49%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 28.40%EV -4.52%E -1.36%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-26 02:44 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.89I 34.60%NM 33.43%EV -2.46%E -0.851%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.89%EV -4.18%E -1.64%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.37I 29.67%NM 28.67%EV -3.38%E -1.00%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-07-26 02:44 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.89I 34.60%NM 33.43%EV -2.46%E -0.851%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.89%EV -4.18%E -1.64%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.37I 29.67%NM 28.67%EV -3.38%E -1.00%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-07-26 02:45 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.61%EV -8.87%E -3.29%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.64%EV -4.18%E -1.64%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -6.82%E -2.10%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-26 02:34 |
| PlayUp | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.29%EV -8.87%E -3.29%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.31%EV -4.18%E -1.64%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.39%EV -9.69%E -3.07%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-26 02:55 |
| NordicBet | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.14%EV -8.20%E -3.01%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 36.85%EV -5.31%E -2.11%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.02%EV -8.25%E -2.58%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-26 02:54 |
| Betsson | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.14%EV -8.20%E -3.01%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 36.85%EV -5.31%E -2.11%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.02%EV -8.25%E -2.58%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-26 02:55 |
| BetUS | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.69%EV -5.50%E -1.96%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.73%EV -6.06%E -2.42%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -5.38%E -1.63%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-26 02:45 |
| DraftKings | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.24%EV -7.18%E -2.61%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -6.06%E -2.42%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.10%EV -3.95%E -1.18%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-26 02:34 |
| Betway | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.09%EV -7.18%E -2.61%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.06%E -2.42%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -5.38%E -1.63%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-26 02:50 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.57%EV -19.00%E -7.92%K -13.57%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.11%EV -6.06%E -2.42%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.32%EV -11.12%E -3.59%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-07-26 02:25 |
| 1xBet | 2.99I 33.44%NM 32.14%EV +0.917%E +0.307%K +0.461%G +0.004% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.75%EV -6.81%E -2.75%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.12%EV -5.38%E -1.63%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-26 02:55 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.76I 36.23%NM 33.61%EV -6.85%E -2.48%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.40%EV -6.81%E -2.75%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -8.25%E -2.58%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-26 02:53 |
| Fanatics | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.32%EV -3.81%E -1.34%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.76%EV -7.94%E -3.24%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.93%EV -2.52%E -0.741%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-26 02:35 |
| FanDuel | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -3.81%E -1.34%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.43%EV -7.94%E -3.24%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -5.38%E -1.63%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-26 02:49 |
| SportsBet | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.28%EV -5.50%E -1.96%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.04%EV -7.94%E -3.24%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.68%EV -6.82%E -2.10%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-26 02:50 |
| Bet Right | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.67%EV -10.56%E -3.98%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -7.94%E -3.24%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -5.38%E -1.63%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-07-26 02:44 |
| LeoVegas | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -8.87%E -3.29%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.41%EV -7.94%E -3.24%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.64%EV -8.25%E -2.58%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-07-26 02:45 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -5.50%E -1.96%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.36%EV -9.81%E -4.09%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -8.25%E -2.58%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-26 02:50 |
| Everygame | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.68%EV -8.87%E -3.29%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.89%EV -9.81%E -4.09%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.42%EV -8.25%E -2.58%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-07-26 02:34 |
| Fliff | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.68%EV -8.87%E -3.29%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.89%EV -9.81%E -4.09%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.42%EV -8.25%E -2.58%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-07-26 02:45 |
| betfred_uk | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.68%EV -12.25%E -4.71%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.57%EV -9.81%E -4.09%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.75%EV -6.82%E -2.10%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-07-26 02:50 |
| Paddy Power | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.87%EV -7.18%E -2.61%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.98%EV -10.57%E -4.44%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.16%EV -11.12%E -3.59%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-07-26 02:49 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.87%EV -7.18%E -2.61%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.98%EV -10.57%E -4.44%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.16%EV -11.12%E -3.59%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-07-26 02:49 |
| Sky Bet | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.27%EV -8.87%E -3.29%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.75%EV -10.57%E -4.44%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -11.12%E -3.59%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-07-26 02:49 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.04%EV -11.57%E -4.42%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.47%EV -10.57%E -4.44%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 3.13I 31.95%NM 28.49%EV -10.26%E -3.28%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-07-26 02:33 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.07%EV -13.93%E -5.46%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 37.45%EV -12.82%E -5.53%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.48%EV -12.55%E -4.12%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-07-26 02:55 |
| Neds | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.84%EV -8.87%E -3.29%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.55%EV -13.57%E -5.90%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.60%EV -11.12%E -3.59%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-07-26 02:45 |
| 888sport | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.53%EV -8.87%E -3.29%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.19%EV -13.57%E -5.90%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.28%EV -13.99%E -4.66%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-07-26 02:55 |
| William Hill | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.53%EV -8.87%E -3.29%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.19%EV -13.57%E -5.90%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.28%EV -13.99%E -4.66%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-07-26 02:54 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.53%EV -8.87%E -3.29%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.19%EV -13.57%E -5.90%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.28%EV -13.99%E -4.66%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-07-26 02:55 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.53%EV -8.87%E -3.29%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.19%EV -13.57%E -5.90%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.28%EV -13.99%E -4.66%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-07-26 02:55 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.08% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.16% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.76% | 0.8% | 2026-07-26 02:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.08% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.16% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.76% | 0.8% | 2026-07-26 02:50 |
| Matchbook | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.08% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.16% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.76% | 0.8% | 2026-07-26 02:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.98% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.35% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.68% | 1.1% | 2026-07-26 02:55 |
| Smarkets | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.89% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.28% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.83% | 2.0% | 2026-07-26 02:55 |
| Kalshi | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.33% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.27% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.40% | 2.1% | 2026-07-26 02:55 |