La scuola delle quote

Santos Laguna v Atlas

Inizio: 2026-07-26 03:00 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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47 bookmaker (14 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Santos Laguna (Casa)

Previsione 33.75%2.96quota equa
EV +0.917%
Vantaggio +0.307%
Kelly +0.461%
Crescita +0.004%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.99

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
32.14%33.85%33.79%36.77%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.402.682.702.9941.67%37.29%37.04%33.44%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Atlas (Trasferta)

Previsione 37.58%2.66quota equa
EV +1.46%
Vantaggio +0.540%
Kelly +0.858%
Crescita +0.013%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.70

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
34.80%37.47%37.54%38.76%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.302.502.502.7043.48%40.00%40.00%37.04%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 28.67%3.49quota equa
EV -2.52%
Vantaggio -0.741%
Kelly -1.05%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.40

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
27.75%28.68%28.67%29.39%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.003.223.253.4033.33%31.09%30.77%29.41%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (47 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
ATG (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.51%EV -12.25%E -4.71%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.16%EV +1.46%E +0.540%K +0.858%G +0.013%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.34%EV -3.95%E -1.18%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-26 02:24
Svenska Spel2.60I 38.46%NM 36.51%EV -12.25%E -4.71%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.16%EV +1.46%E +0.540%K +0.858%G +0.013%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.34%EV -3.95%E -1.18%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-26 02:24
Casumo2.55I 39.22%NM 36.40%EV -13.93%E -5.46%K -8.99%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.03%EV -0.420%E -0.159%K -0.255%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.56%EV -6.82%E -2.10%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-26 02:24
Unibet (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.40%EV -13.93%E -5.46%K -8.99%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.03%EV -0.420%E -0.159%K -0.255%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.56%EV -6.82%E -2.10%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-26 02:19
Grosvenor2.55I 39.22%NM 36.40%EV -13.93%E -5.46%K -8.99%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.03%EV -0.420%E -0.159%K -0.255%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.56%EV -6.82%E -2.10%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-26 02:25
Unibet (NL)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.40%EV -13.93%E -5.46%K -8.99%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.03%EV -0.420%E -0.159%K -0.255%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.56%EV -6.82%E -2.10%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-26 02:19
BetRivers2.55I 39.22%NM 36.40%EV -13.93%E -5.46%K -8.99%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.03%EV -0.420%E -0.159%K -0.255%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.56%EV -6.82%E -2.10%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-26 02:19
Unibet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.40%EV -13.93%E -5.46%K -8.99%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.03%EV -0.420%E -0.159%K -0.255%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.56%EV -6.82%E -2.10%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-26 02:25
betPARX2.55I 39.22%NM 36.40%EV -13.93%E -5.46%K -8.99%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.03%EV -0.420%E -0.159%K -0.255%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.56%EV -6.82%E -2.10%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-26 02:25
TABtouch2.50I 40.00%NM 36.77%EV -15.62%E -6.25%K -10.41%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.95%EV -1.17%E -0.446%K -0.719%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -6.82%E -2.10%K -3.03%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-26 02:25
Coolbet2.80I 35.71%NM 34.03%EV -5.50%E -1.96%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.65%EV -2.30%E -0.884%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.32%EV -6.82%E -2.10%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-26 02:50
LiveScore Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -15.62%E -6.25%K -10.41%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -2.30%E -0.884%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -8.25%E -2.58%K -3.75%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-26 02:25
LeoVegas (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -15.62%E -6.25%K -10.41%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -2.30%E -0.884%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -8.25%E -2.58%K -3.75%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-26 02:25
Virgin Bet2.48I 40.32%NM 36.48%EV -16.30%E -6.57%K -11.01%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.80%EV -2.30%E -0.884%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.72%EV -9.69%E -3.07%K -4.50%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-26 02:24
Pinnacle2.89I 34.60%NM 33.48%EV -2.46%E -0.851%K -1.30%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.80%EV -3.80%E -1.49%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.72%EV -3.38%E -1.00%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.3%2026-07-26 02:55
GTbets2.73I 36.63%NM 34.65%EV -7.86%E -2.88%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 36.95%EV -3.80%E -1.49%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.40%EV -4.52%E -1.36%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-26 02:44
BetOnline.ag2.89I 34.60%NM 33.43%EV -2.46%E -0.851%K -1.30%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.89%EV -4.18%E -1.64%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.67%EV -3.38%E -1.00%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.5%2026-07-26 02:44
LowVig.ag2.89I 34.60%NM 33.43%EV -2.46%E -0.851%K -1.30%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.89%EV -4.18%E -1.64%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.67%EV -3.38%E -1.00%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.5%2026-07-26 02:45
Unibet (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.61%EV -8.87%E -3.29%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.64%EV -4.18%E -1.64%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -6.82%E -2.10%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-26 02:34
PlayUp2.70I 37.04%NM 34.29%EV -8.87%E -3.29%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.31%EV -4.18%E -1.64%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.39%EV -9.69%E -3.07%K -4.50%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-26 02:55
NordicBet2.72I 36.76%NM 34.14%EV -8.20%E -3.01%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.85%EV -5.31%E -2.11%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.02%EV -8.25%E -2.58%K -3.75%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-26 02:54
Betsson2.72I 36.76%NM 34.14%EV -8.20%E -3.01%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.85%EV -5.31%E -2.11%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.02%EV -8.25%E -2.58%K -3.75%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-26 02:55
BetUS2.80I 35.71%NM 33.69%EV -5.50%E -1.96%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.73%EV -6.06%E -2.42%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -5.38%E -1.63%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-26 02:45
DraftKings2.75I 36.36%NM 34.24%EV -7.18%E -2.61%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -6.06%E -2.42%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.10%EV -3.95%E -1.18%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-26 02:34
Betway2.75I 36.36%NM 34.09%EV -7.18%E -2.61%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.06%E -2.42%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -5.38%E -1.63%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-26 02:50
PMU (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 36.57%EV -19.00%E -7.92%K -13.57%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.11%EV -6.06%E -2.42%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.32%EV -11.12%E -3.59%K -5.29%G +0.000%13.9%2026-07-26 02:25
1xBet2.99I 33.44%NM 32.14%EV +0.917%E +0.307%K +0.461%G +0.004%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.75%EV -6.81%E -2.75%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.12%EV -5.38%E -1.63%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-26 02:55
Marathon Bet2.76I 36.23%NM 33.61%EV -6.85%E -2.48%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.40%EV -6.81%E -2.75%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -8.25%E -2.58%K -3.75%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-26 02:53
Fanatics2.85I 35.09%NM 33.32%EV -3.81%E -1.34%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.76%EV -7.94%E -3.24%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.93%EV -2.52%E -0.741%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-26 02:35
FanDuel2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -3.81%E -1.34%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.43%EV -7.94%E -3.24%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -5.38%E -1.63%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-26 02:49
SportsBet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.28%EV -5.50%E -1.96%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.04%EV -7.94%E -3.24%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.68%EV -6.82%E -2.10%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-26 02:50
Bet Right2.65I 37.74%NM 34.67%EV -10.56%E -3.98%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -7.94%E -3.24%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -5.38%E -1.63%K -2.34%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-26 02:44
LeoVegas2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -8.87%E -3.29%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.41%EV -7.94%E -3.24%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.64%EV -8.25%E -2.58%K -3.75%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-26 02:45
Tipico (DE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -5.50%E -1.96%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.36%EV -9.81%E -4.09%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -8.25%E -2.58%K -3.75%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-26 02:50
Everygame2.70I 37.04%NM 33.68%EV -8.87%E -3.29%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.89%EV -9.81%E -4.09%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.42%EV -8.25%E -2.58%K -3.75%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-26 02:34
Fliff2.70I 37.04%NM 33.68%EV -8.87%E -3.29%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.89%EV -9.81%E -4.09%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.42%EV -8.25%E -2.58%K -3.75%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-26 02:45
betfred_uk2.60I 38.46%NM 34.68%EV -12.25%E -4.71%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.57%EV -9.81%E -4.09%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.75%EV -6.82%E -2.10%K -3.03%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-26 02:50
Paddy Power2.75I 36.36%NM 32.87%EV -7.18%E -2.61%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.98%EV -10.57%E -4.44%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.16%EV -11.12%E -3.59%K -5.29%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-26 02:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.75I 36.36%NM 32.87%EV -7.18%E -2.61%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.98%EV -10.57%E -4.44%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.16%EV -11.12%E -3.59%K -5.29%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-26 02:49
Sky Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 33.27%EV -8.87%E -3.29%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.75%EV -10.57%E -4.44%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -11.12%E -3.59%K -5.29%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-26 02:49
Betclic (FR)2.62I 38.17%NM 34.04%EV -11.57%E -4.42%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.47%EV -10.57%E -4.44%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 28.49%EV -10.26%E -3.28%K -4.82%G +0.000%12.1%2026-07-26 02:33
NetBet (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 34.07%EV -13.93%E -5.46%K -8.99%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 37.45%EV -12.82%E -5.53%K -9.71%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.48%EV -12.55%E -4.12%K -6.12%G +0.000%15.1%2026-07-26 02:55
Neds2.70I 37.04%NM 32.84%EV -8.87%E -3.29%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.55%EV -13.57%E -5.90%K -10.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.60%EV -11.12%E -3.59%K -5.29%G +0.000%12.8%2026-07-26 02:45
888sport2.70I 37.04%NM 32.53%EV -8.87%E -3.29%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.19%EV -13.57%E -5.90%K -10.44%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.28%EV -13.99%E -4.66%K -6.99%G +0.000%13.8%2026-07-26 02:55
William Hill2.70I 37.04%NM 32.53%EV -8.87%E -3.29%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.19%EV -13.57%E -5.90%K -10.44%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.28%EV -13.99%E -4.66%K -6.99%G +0.000%13.8%2026-07-26 02:54
Mr Green (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 32.53%EV -8.87%E -3.29%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.19%EV -13.57%E -5.90%K -10.44%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.28%EV -13.99%E -4.66%K -6.99%G +0.000%13.8%2026-07-26 02:55
888sport (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 32.53%EV -8.87%E -3.29%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.19%EV -13.57%E -5.90%K -10.44%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.28%EV -13.99%E -4.66%K -6.99%G +0.000%13.8%2026-07-26 02:55
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 33.08%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.16%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.76%0.8%2026-07-26 02:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 33.08%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.16%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.76%0.8%2026-07-26 02:50
Matchbook3.00I 33.33%NM 33.08%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.16%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.76%0.8%2026-07-26 02:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.00I 33.33%NM 32.98%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.35%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.68%1.1%2026-07-26 02:55
Smarkets2.98I 33.56%NM 32.89%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.28%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.83%2.0%2026-07-26 02:55
Kalshi2.94I 34.01%NM 33.33%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.27%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.40%2.1%2026-07-26 02:55