La escuela de los momios

Santos Laguna v Atlas

Inicio: 2026-07-26 03:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

47 corredores (14 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Santos Laguna (Local)

Predicción 33.75%2.96momio equitativo
EV +0.917%
Ventaja +0.307%
Kelly +0.461%
Crecimiento +0.004%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.99

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
32.14%33.85%33.79%36.77%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.402.682.702.9941.67%37.29%37.04%33.44%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Atlas (Visitante)

Predicción 37.58%2.66momio equitativo
EV +1.46%
Ventaja +0.540%
Kelly +0.858%
Crecimiento +0.013%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.70

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
34.80%37.47%37.54%38.76%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.302.502.502.7043.48%40.00%40.00%37.04%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 28.67%3.49momio equitativo
EV -2.52%
Ventaja -0.741%
Kelly -1.05%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.40

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.75%28.68%28.67%29.39%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.223.253.4033.33%31.09%30.77%29.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (47 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
ATG (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.51%EV -12.25%E -4.71%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.16%EV +1.46%E +0.540%K +0.858%G +0.013%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.34%EV -3.95%E -1.18%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-26 02:24
Svenska Spel2.60I 38.46%NM 36.51%EV -12.25%E -4.71%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.16%EV +1.46%E +0.540%K +0.858%G +0.013%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.34%EV -3.95%E -1.18%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-26 02:24
Casumo2.55I 39.22%NM 36.40%EV -13.93%E -5.46%K -8.99%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.03%EV -0.420%E -0.159%K -0.255%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.56%EV -6.82%E -2.10%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-26 02:24
Unibet (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.40%EV -13.93%E -5.46%K -8.99%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.03%EV -0.420%E -0.159%K -0.255%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.56%EV -6.82%E -2.10%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-26 02:19
Grosvenor2.55I 39.22%NM 36.40%EV -13.93%E -5.46%K -8.99%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.03%EV -0.420%E -0.159%K -0.255%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.56%EV -6.82%E -2.10%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-26 02:25
Unibet (NL)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.40%EV -13.93%E -5.46%K -8.99%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.03%EV -0.420%E -0.159%K -0.255%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.56%EV -6.82%E -2.10%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-26 02:19
BetRivers2.55I 39.22%NM 36.40%EV -13.93%E -5.46%K -8.99%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.03%EV -0.420%E -0.159%K -0.255%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.56%EV -6.82%E -2.10%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-26 02:19
Unibet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.40%EV -13.93%E -5.46%K -8.99%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.03%EV -0.420%E -0.159%K -0.255%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.56%EV -6.82%E -2.10%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-26 02:25
betPARX2.55I 39.22%NM 36.40%EV -13.93%E -5.46%K -8.99%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.03%EV -0.420%E -0.159%K -0.255%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.56%EV -6.82%E -2.10%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-26 02:25
TABtouch2.50I 40.00%NM 36.77%EV -15.62%E -6.25%K -10.41%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.95%EV -1.17%E -0.446%K -0.719%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -6.82%E -2.10%K -3.03%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-26 02:25
Coolbet2.80I 35.71%NM 34.03%EV -5.50%E -1.96%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.65%EV -2.30%E -0.884%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.32%EV -6.82%E -2.10%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-26 02:50
LiveScore Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -15.62%E -6.25%K -10.41%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -2.30%E -0.884%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -8.25%E -2.58%K -3.75%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-26 02:25
LeoVegas (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -15.62%E -6.25%K -10.41%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -2.30%E -0.884%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -8.25%E -2.58%K -3.75%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-26 02:25
Virgin Bet2.48I 40.32%NM 36.48%EV -16.30%E -6.57%K -11.01%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.80%EV -2.30%E -0.884%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.72%EV -9.69%E -3.07%K -4.50%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-26 02:24
Pinnacle2.89I 34.60%NM 33.48%EV -2.46%E -0.851%K -1.30%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.80%EV -3.80%E -1.49%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.72%EV -3.38%E -1.00%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.3%2026-07-26 02:55
GTbets2.73I 36.63%NM 34.65%EV -7.86%E -2.88%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 36.95%EV -3.80%E -1.49%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.40%EV -4.52%E -1.36%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-26 02:44
BetOnline.ag2.89I 34.60%NM 33.43%EV -2.46%E -0.851%K -1.30%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.89%EV -4.18%E -1.64%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.67%EV -3.38%E -1.00%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.5%2026-07-26 02:44
LowVig.ag2.89I 34.60%NM 33.43%EV -2.46%E -0.851%K -1.30%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.89%EV -4.18%E -1.64%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.67%EV -3.38%E -1.00%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.5%2026-07-26 02:45
Unibet (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.61%EV -8.87%E -3.29%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.64%EV -4.18%E -1.64%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -6.82%E -2.10%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-26 02:34
PlayUp2.70I 37.04%NM 34.29%EV -8.87%E -3.29%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.31%EV -4.18%E -1.64%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.39%EV -9.69%E -3.07%K -4.50%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-26 02:55
NordicBet2.72I 36.76%NM 34.14%EV -8.20%E -3.01%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.85%EV -5.31%E -2.11%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.02%EV -8.25%E -2.58%K -3.75%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-26 02:54
Betsson2.72I 36.76%NM 34.14%EV -8.20%E -3.01%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.85%EV -5.31%E -2.11%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.02%EV -8.25%E -2.58%K -3.75%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-26 02:55
BetUS2.80I 35.71%NM 33.69%EV -5.50%E -1.96%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.73%EV -6.06%E -2.42%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -5.38%E -1.63%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-26 02:45
DraftKings2.75I 36.36%NM 34.24%EV -7.18%E -2.61%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -6.06%E -2.42%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.10%EV -3.95%E -1.18%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-26 02:34
Betway2.75I 36.36%NM 34.09%EV -7.18%E -2.61%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.06%E -2.42%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -5.38%E -1.63%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-26 02:50
PMU (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 36.57%EV -19.00%E -7.92%K -13.57%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.11%EV -6.06%E -2.42%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.32%EV -11.12%E -3.59%K -5.29%G +0.000%13.9%2026-07-26 02:25
1xBet2.99I 33.44%NM 32.14%EV +0.917%E +0.307%K +0.461%G +0.004%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.75%EV -6.81%E -2.75%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.12%EV -5.38%E -1.63%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-26 02:55
Marathon Bet2.76I 36.23%NM 33.61%EV -6.85%E -2.48%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.40%EV -6.81%E -2.75%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -8.25%E -2.58%K -3.75%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-26 02:53
Fanatics2.85I 35.09%NM 33.32%EV -3.81%E -1.34%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.76%EV -7.94%E -3.24%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.93%EV -2.52%E -0.741%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-26 02:35
FanDuel2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -3.81%E -1.34%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.43%EV -7.94%E -3.24%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -5.38%E -1.63%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-26 02:49
SportsBet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.28%EV -5.50%E -1.96%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.04%EV -7.94%E -3.24%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.68%EV -6.82%E -2.10%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-26 02:50
Bet Right2.65I 37.74%NM 34.67%EV -10.56%E -3.98%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -7.94%E -3.24%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -5.38%E -1.63%K -2.34%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-26 02:44
LeoVegas2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -8.87%E -3.29%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.41%EV -7.94%E -3.24%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.64%EV -8.25%E -2.58%K -3.75%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-26 02:45
Tipico (DE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -5.50%E -1.96%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.36%EV -9.81%E -4.09%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -8.25%E -2.58%K -3.75%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-26 02:50
Everygame2.70I 37.04%NM 33.68%EV -8.87%E -3.29%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.89%EV -9.81%E -4.09%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.42%EV -8.25%E -2.58%K -3.75%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-26 02:34
Fliff2.70I 37.04%NM 33.68%EV -8.87%E -3.29%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.89%EV -9.81%E -4.09%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.42%EV -8.25%E -2.58%K -3.75%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-26 02:45
betfred_uk2.60I 38.46%NM 34.68%EV -12.25%E -4.71%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.57%EV -9.81%E -4.09%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.75%EV -6.82%E -2.10%K -3.03%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-26 02:50
Paddy Power2.75I 36.36%NM 32.87%EV -7.18%E -2.61%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.98%EV -10.57%E -4.44%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.16%EV -11.12%E -3.59%K -5.29%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-26 02:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.75I 36.36%NM 32.87%EV -7.18%E -2.61%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.98%EV -10.57%E -4.44%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.16%EV -11.12%E -3.59%K -5.29%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-26 02:49
Sky Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 33.27%EV -8.87%E -3.29%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.75%EV -10.57%E -4.44%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -11.12%E -3.59%K -5.29%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-26 02:49
Betclic (FR)2.62I 38.17%NM 34.04%EV -11.57%E -4.42%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.47%EV -10.57%E -4.44%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 28.49%EV -10.26%E -3.28%K -4.82%G +0.000%12.1%2026-07-26 02:33
NetBet (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 34.07%EV -13.93%E -5.46%K -8.99%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 37.45%EV -12.82%E -5.53%K -9.71%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.48%EV -12.55%E -4.12%K -6.12%G +0.000%15.1%2026-07-26 02:55
Neds2.70I 37.04%NM 32.84%EV -8.87%E -3.29%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.55%EV -13.57%E -5.90%K -10.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.60%EV -11.12%E -3.59%K -5.29%G +0.000%12.8%2026-07-26 02:45
888sport2.70I 37.04%NM 32.53%EV -8.87%E -3.29%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.19%EV -13.57%E -5.90%K -10.44%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.28%EV -13.99%E -4.66%K -6.99%G +0.000%13.8%2026-07-26 02:55
William Hill2.70I 37.04%NM 32.53%EV -8.87%E -3.29%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.19%EV -13.57%E -5.90%K -10.44%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.28%EV -13.99%E -4.66%K -6.99%G +0.000%13.8%2026-07-26 02:54
Mr Green (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 32.53%EV -8.87%E -3.29%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.19%EV -13.57%E -5.90%K -10.44%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.28%EV -13.99%E -4.66%K -6.99%G +0.000%13.8%2026-07-26 02:55
888sport (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 32.53%EV -8.87%E -3.29%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.19%EV -13.57%E -5.90%K -10.44%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.28%EV -13.99%E -4.66%K -6.99%G +0.000%13.8%2026-07-26 02:55
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 33.08%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.16%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.76%0.8%2026-07-26 02:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 33.08%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.16%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.76%0.8%2026-07-26 02:50
Matchbook3.00I 33.33%NM 33.08%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.16%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.76%0.8%2026-07-26 02:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.00I 33.33%NM 32.98%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.35%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.68%1.1%2026-07-26 02:55
Smarkets2.98I 33.56%NM 32.89%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.28%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.83%2.0%2026-07-26 02:55
Kalshi2.94I 34.01%NM 33.33%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.27%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.40%2.1%2026-07-26 02:55