Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.72
assuming max odds 2.63
assuming max odds 3.66
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Santos Laguna (Local): 36.16%; Atlas (Visit): 37.01%; Draw: 26.83%. For Santos Laguna (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.77. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.72, with an expected value of -1.64%; they did not produce positive expected value.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.60%EV -1.64%E -0.604%K -0.955%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.82%EV -2.66%E -1.01%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 3.51I 28.49%NM 27.59%EV -5.84%E -1.66%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-04-19 22:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.05%EV -3.09%E -1.15%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.88%EV -3.03%E -1.16%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.07%EV -4.23%E -1.18%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-04-19 22:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.05%EV -3.09%E -1.15%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.88%EV -3.03%E -1.16%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.07%EV -4.23%E -1.18%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-04-19 22:10 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.67I 37.45%NM 35.96%EV -3.45%E -1.29%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.80%EV -5.99%E -2.36%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.66I 27.32%NM 26.23%EV -1.81%E -0.495%K -0.681%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-19 22:45 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.64I 37.88%NM 35.76%EV -4.54%E -1.72%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.03%EV -5.62%E -2.20%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.47I 28.82%NM 27.21%EV -6.91%E -1.99%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-19 21:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.32%EV -5.26%E -2.01%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.88%EV -4.51%E -1.75%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -4.76%E -1.34%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-19 22:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -5.98%E -2.30%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.91%EV -5.62%E -2.20%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.89%EV -6.10%E -1.74%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-19 22:39 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -5.98%E -2.30%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -7.47%E -2.99%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -6.10%E -1.74%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-19 21:35 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -5.98%E -2.30%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -7.47%E -2.99%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -6.10%E -1.74%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-19 22:34 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.41%EV -5.98%E -2.30%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 2.51I 39.84%NM 36.68%EV -7.10%E -2.83%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.90%EV -11.47%E -3.48%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-19 22:38 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.41%EV -5.98%E -2.30%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 2.51I 39.84%NM 36.68%EV -7.10%E -2.83%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.90%EV -11.47%E -3.48%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-19 22:35 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.59I 38.61%NM 35.78%EV -6.34%E -2.45%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.36%EV -8.21%E -3.31%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.86%EV -7.45%E -2.16%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-19 18:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.08%EV -6.70%E -2.60%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 36.94%EV -6.73%E -2.67%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV -7.45%E -2.16%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-19 22:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.08%EV -6.70%E -2.60%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 36.94%EV -6.73%E -2.67%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV -7.45%E -2.16%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-19 22:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.06%EV -7.79%E -3.05%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.94%EV -2.66%E -1.01%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.00%EV -6.10%E -1.74%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-19 22:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.06%EV -7.79%E -3.05%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.94%EV -2.66%E -1.01%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.00%EV -6.10%E -1.74%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-19 22:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.05%EV -7.79%E -3.05%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.34%EV -3.77%E -1.45%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.61%EV -4.76%E -1.34%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-19 08:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.38%EV -7.79%E -3.05%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -7.47%E -2.99%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -6.10%E -1.74%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-19 10:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.38%EV -7.79%E -3.05%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -7.47%E -2.99%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -6.10%E -1.74%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-19 22:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.10%EV -7.79%E -3.05%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.82%EV -7.47%E -2.99%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -8.79%E -2.58%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-19 22:40 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.66%EV -7.79%E -3.05%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.37%EV -7.47%E -2.99%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -12.81%E -3.94%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-19 22:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.23%EV -9.60%E -3.84%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -3.77%E -1.45%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV -7.45%E -2.16%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-19 22:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.23%EV -9.60%E -3.84%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -3.77%E -1.45%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV -7.45%E -2.16%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-19 22:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.23%EV -9.60%E -3.84%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -3.77%E -1.45%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV -7.45%E -2.16%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-19 22:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.23%EV -9.60%E -3.84%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -3.77%E -1.45%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV -7.45%E -2.16%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-19 22:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.23%EV -9.60%E -3.84%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -3.77%E -1.45%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV -7.45%E -2.16%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-19 22:25 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.23%EV -9.60%E -3.84%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -3.77%E -1.45%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV -7.45%E -2.16%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-19 22:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.08%EV -9.60%E -3.84%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.65%EV -3.77%E -1.45%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -8.79%E -2.58%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-19 22:49 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.82%EV -9.60%E -3.84%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.10%EV -5.62%E -2.20%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -8.79%E -2.58%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-19 22:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.82%EV -9.60%E -3.84%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.10%EV -5.62%E -2.20%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -8.79%E -2.58%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-19 22:25 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -9.60%E -3.84%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -9.32%E -3.80%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -8.79%E -2.58%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-19 16:54 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -9.60%E -3.84%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -9.32%E -3.80%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -8.79%E -2.58%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-19 22:50 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -9.60%E -3.84%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.80%EV -11.17%E -4.65%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -6.10%E -1.74%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-19 21:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.00%EV -9.60%E -3.84%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.73%EV -9.32%E -3.80%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -11.47%E -3.48%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-19 22:40 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.00%EV -9.60%E -3.84%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.89%EV -16.72%E -7.43%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.12%EV -10.13%E -3.02%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-04-19 22:31 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 35.34%EV -10.32%E -4.16%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.10%EV -14.87%E -6.47%K -11.44%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.56%EV -11.47%E -3.48%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-04-19 22:34 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.31%EV -11.41%E -4.66%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.57%EV -7.47%E -2.99%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -6.10%E -1.74%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-19 04:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.88%EV -11.41%E -4.66%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.14%EV -7.47%E -2.99%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.97%EV -10.13%E -3.02%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-19 22:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.88%EV -11.41%E -4.66%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.14%EV -7.47%E -2.99%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.97%EV -10.13%E -3.02%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-19 22:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.48%EV -11.41%E -4.66%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.24%EV -11.17%E -4.65%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -8.79%E -2.58%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-19 10:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.48%EV -11.41%E -4.66%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.24%EV -11.17%E -4.65%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -8.79%E -2.58%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-19 10:40 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.31%EV -11.41%E -4.66%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.31%EV -9.32%E -3.80%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.37%EV -12.81%E -3.94%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-04-19 22:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.04%EV -11.41%E -4.66%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.79%EV -11.17%E -4.65%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.17%EV -12.81%E -3.94%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-04-19 22:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.04%EV -11.41%E -4.66%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.79%EV -11.17%E -4.65%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.17%EV -12.81%E -3.94%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-04-19 22:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.04%EV -11.41%E -4.66%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.79%EV -11.17%E -4.65%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.17%EV -12.81%E -3.94%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-04-19 22:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.04%EV -11.41%E -4.66%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.79%EV -11.17%E -4.65%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.17%EV -12.81%E -3.94%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-04-19 22:50 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 35.76%EV -11.41%E -4.66%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.09%EV -14.87%E -6.47%K -11.44%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.15%EV -10.13%E -3.02%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-04-19 21:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.07%EV -12.13%E -4.99%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.04%EV -7.47%E -2.99%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.89%EV -10.13%E -3.02%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-19 22:25 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.51%EV -13.21%E -5.51%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -7.47%E -2.99%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -8.79%E -2.58%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-19 04:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.96%EV -13.21%E -5.51%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.96%EV -11.17%E -4.65%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -8.79%E -2.58%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-04-19 03:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 35.19%EV -13.21%E -5.51%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 35.49%EV -11.91%E -5.00%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.32%EV -22.74%E -7.89%K -12.09%G +0.000% | 18.4% | 2026-04-19 22:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 36.99%EV -13.94%E -5.86%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 35.93%EV -9.32%E -3.80%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.09%EV -12.81%E -3.94%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-04-19 22:25 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 36.99%EV -13.94%E -5.86%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 35.93%EV -9.32%E -3.80%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.09%EV -12.81%E -3.94%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-04-19 22:25 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 36.38%EV -14.30%E -6.03%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 36.68%EV -13.02%E -5.54%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.94%EV -14.15%E -4.42%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 16.0% | 2026-04-19 22:50 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.29% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.83% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88% | 0.6% | 2026-04-19 22:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.29% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.83% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88% | 0.6% | 2026-04-19 22:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.93% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.73% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.34% | 1.6% | 2026-04-19 22:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.93% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.73% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.34% | 1.6% | 2026-04-19 22:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.28% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 37.25% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.47% | 2.1% | 2026-04-19 22:15 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.17% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.71% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.12% | 2.4% | 2026-04-19 22:50 |