L’École des cotes

Santos Laguna v Atlas

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-19 23:00 UTC

Score final : Santos Laguna 0–1 Atlas

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

54 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Santos Laguna (Local)

Prévision 36.16%2.77cote équitable
EV -1.64%
Avantage -0.604%
Kelly -0.955%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.72

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
35.00%36.21%36.14%37.51%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.372.512.502.7242.19%39.76%40.00%36.76%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Atlas (Visiteur)

Prévision 37.01%2.70cote équitable
EV -2.66%
Avantage -1.01%
Kelly -1.63%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.63

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
35.49%36.98%37.00%38.89%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.252.502.502.6344.44%40.07%40.00%38.02%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 26.83%3.73cote équitable
EV -1.81%
Avantage -0.495%
Kelly -0.681%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.66

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.92%26.80%26.85%29.32%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.883.403.403.6634.72%29.43%29.41%27.32%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (54 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle2.72I 36.76%NM 35.60%EV -1.64%E -0.604%K -0.955%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.82%EV -2.66%E -1.01%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.51I 28.49%NM 27.59%EV -5.84%E -1.66%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-19 22:35
BetOnline.ag2.68I 37.31%NM 36.05%EV -3.09%E -1.15%K -1.84%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.88%EV -3.03%E -1.16%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.07%EV -4.23%E -1.18%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-19 22:10
LowVig.ag2.68I 37.31%NM 36.05%EV -3.09%E -1.15%K -1.84%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.88%EV -3.03%E -1.16%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.07%EV -4.23%E -1.18%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-19 22:10
1xBet2.67I 37.45%NM 35.96%EV -3.45%E -1.29%K -2.07%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.80%EV -5.99%E -2.36%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 26.23%EV -1.81%E -0.495%K -0.681%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-19 22:45
GTbets2.64I 37.88%NM 35.76%EV -4.54%E -1.72%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.03%EV -5.62%E -2.20%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 27.21%EV -6.91%E -1.99%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-19 21:25
Coolbet2.62I 38.17%NM 36.32%EV -5.26%E -2.01%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.88%EV -4.51%E -1.75%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -4.76%E -1.34%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-19 22:00
FanDuel2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -5.98%E -2.30%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.91%EV -5.62%E -2.20%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.89%EV -6.10%E -1.74%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-19 22:39
Unibet (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -5.98%E -2.30%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -7.47%E -2.99%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -6.10%E -1.74%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-19 21:35
Bet Victor2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -5.98%E -2.30%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -7.47%E -2.99%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -6.10%E -1.74%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-19 22:34
Bovada2.60I 38.46%NM 35.41%EV -5.98%E -2.30%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 36.68%EV -7.10%E -2.83%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.90%EV -11.47%E -3.48%K -4.99%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-19 22:38
BetUS2.60I 38.46%NM 35.41%EV -5.98%E -2.30%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 36.68%EV -7.10%E -2.83%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.90%EV -11.47%E -3.48%K -4.99%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-19 22:35
Marathon Bet2.59I 38.61%NM 35.78%EV -6.34%E -2.45%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.36%EV -8.21%E -3.31%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.86%EV -7.45%E -2.16%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-19 18:45
Betsson2.58I 38.76%NM 36.08%EV -6.70%E -2.60%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.94%EV -6.73%E -2.67%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV -7.45%E -2.16%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-19 22:20
NordicBet2.58I 38.76%NM 36.08%EV -6.70%E -2.60%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.94%EV -6.73%E -2.67%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV -7.45%E -2.16%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-19 22:20
Svenska Spel2.55I 39.22%NM 37.06%EV -7.79%E -3.05%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.94%EV -2.66%E -1.01%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.00%EV -6.10%E -1.74%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-19 22:25
ATG (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.06%EV -7.79%E -3.05%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.94%EV -2.66%E -1.01%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.00%EV -6.10%E -1.74%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-19 22:25
DraftKings2.55I 39.22%NM 37.05%EV -7.79%E -3.05%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.34%EV -3.77%E -1.45%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.61%EV -4.76%E -1.34%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-19 08:05
BetMGM2.55I 39.22%NM 36.38%EV -7.79%E -3.05%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -7.47%E -2.99%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -6.10%E -1.74%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-19 10:40
PlayUp2.55I 39.22%NM 36.38%EV -7.79%E -3.05%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -7.47%E -2.99%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -6.10%E -1.74%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-19 22:20
SportsBet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.10%EV -7.79%E -3.05%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.82%EV -7.47%E -2.99%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -8.79%E -2.58%K -3.66%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-19 22:40
Everygame2.55I 39.22%NM 35.66%EV -7.79%E -3.05%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.37%EV -7.47%E -2.99%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -12.81%E -3.94%K -5.69%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-19 22:35
Grosvenor2.50I 40.00%NM 37.23%EV -9.60%E -3.84%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -3.77%E -1.45%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV -7.45%E -2.16%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-19 22:25
Unibet (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.23%EV -9.60%E -3.84%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -3.77%E -1.45%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV -7.45%E -2.16%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-19 22:25
Unibet (NL)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.23%EV -9.60%E -3.84%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -3.77%E -1.45%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV -7.45%E -2.16%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-19 22:25
Casumo2.50I 40.00%NM 37.23%EV -9.60%E -3.84%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -3.77%E -1.45%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV -7.45%E -2.16%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-19 22:25
Unibet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.23%EV -9.60%E -3.84%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -3.77%E -1.45%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV -7.45%E -2.16%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-19 22:25
betPARX2.50I 40.00%NM 37.23%EV -9.60%E -3.84%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -3.77%E -1.45%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV -7.45%E -2.16%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-19 22:25
Betway2.50I 40.00%NM 37.08%EV -9.60%E -3.84%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.65%EV -3.77%E -1.45%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -8.79%E -2.58%K -3.66%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-19 22:49
TABtouch2.50I 40.00%NM 36.82%EV -9.60%E -3.84%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.10%EV -5.62%E -2.20%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -8.79%E -2.58%K -3.66%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-19 22:25
BetRivers2.50I 40.00%NM 36.82%EV -9.60%E -3.84%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.10%EV -5.62%E -2.20%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -8.79%E -2.58%K -3.66%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-19 22:25
Fanatics2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -9.60%E -3.84%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -9.32%E -3.80%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -8.79%E -2.58%K -3.66%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-19 16:54
Fliff2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -9.60%E -3.84%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -9.32%E -3.80%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -8.79%E -2.58%K -3.66%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-19 22:50
Winamax (DE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -9.60%E -3.84%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.80%EV -11.17%E -4.65%K -7.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -6.10%E -1.74%K -2.44%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-19 21:40
Paddy Power2.50I 40.00%NM 36.00%EV -9.60%E -3.84%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.73%EV -9.32%E -3.80%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -11.47%E -3.48%K -4.99%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-19 22:40
Unibet (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.00%EV -9.60%E -3.84%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.89%EV -16.72%E -7.43%K -13.38%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.12%EV -10.13%E -3.02%K -4.31%G +0.000%14.3%2026-04-19 22:31
Betclic (FR)2.48I 40.32%NM 35.34%EV -10.32%E -4.16%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.10%EV -14.87%E -6.47%K -11.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.56%EV -11.47%E -3.48%K -4.99%G +0.000%14.1%2026-04-19 22:34
Bet Right2.45I 40.82%NM 37.31%EV -11.41%E -4.66%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.57%EV -7.47%E -2.99%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -6.10%E -1.74%K -2.44%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-19 04:35
LeoVegas (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 36.88%EV -11.41%E -4.66%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.14%EV -7.47%E -2.99%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.97%EV -10.13%E -3.02%K -4.31%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-19 22:25
LiveScore Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 36.88%EV -11.41%E -4.66%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.14%EV -7.47%E -2.99%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.97%EV -10.13%E -3.02%K -4.31%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-19 22:25
Ladbrokes (UK)2.45I 40.82%NM 36.48%EV -11.41%E -4.66%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.24%EV -11.17%E -4.65%K -7.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -8.79%E -2.58%K -3.66%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-19 10:40
Coral2.45I 40.82%NM 36.48%EV -11.41%E -4.66%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.24%EV -11.17%E -4.65%K -7.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -8.79%E -2.58%K -3.66%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-19 10:40
Sky Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 36.31%EV -11.41%E -4.66%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.31%EV -9.32%E -3.80%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.37%EV -12.81%E -3.94%K -5.69%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-19 22:40
888sport2.45I 40.82%NM 36.04%EV -11.41%E -4.66%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.79%EV -11.17%E -4.65%K -7.98%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.17%EV -12.81%E -3.94%K -5.69%G +0.000%13.3%2026-04-19 22:50
William Hill2.45I 40.82%NM 36.04%EV -11.41%E -4.66%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.79%EV -11.17%E -4.65%K -7.98%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.17%EV -12.81%E -3.94%K -5.69%G +0.000%13.3%2026-04-19 22:50
Mr Green (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 36.04%EV -11.41%E -4.66%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.79%EV -11.17%E -4.65%K -7.98%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.17%EV -12.81%E -3.94%K -5.69%G +0.000%13.3%2026-04-19 22:50
888sport (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 36.04%EV -11.41%E -4.66%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.79%EV -11.17%E -4.65%K -7.98%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.17%EV -12.81%E -3.94%K -5.69%G +0.000%13.3%2026-04-19 22:50
Winamax (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 35.76%EV -11.41%E -4.66%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.09%EV -14.87%E -6.47%K -11.44%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.15%EV -10.13%E -3.02%K -4.31%G +0.000%14.1%2026-04-19 21:35
Virgin Bet2.43I 41.15%NM 37.07%EV -12.13%E -4.99%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.04%EV -7.47%E -2.99%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.89%EV -10.13%E -3.02%K -4.31%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-19 22:25
betfred_uk2.40I 41.67%NM 37.51%EV -13.21%E -5.51%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -7.47%E -2.99%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -8.79%E -2.58%K -3.66%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-19 04:35
BoyleSports2.40I 41.67%NM 36.96%EV -13.21%E -5.51%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.96%EV -11.17%E -4.65%K -7.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -8.79%E -2.58%K -3.66%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-19 03:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 35.19%EV -13.21%E -5.51%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 35.49%EV -11.91%E -5.00%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.32%EV -22.74%E -7.89%K -12.09%G +0.000%18.4%2026-04-19 22:40
LeoVegas2.38I 42.02%NM 36.99%EV -13.94%E -5.86%K -10.10%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 35.93%EV -9.32%E -3.80%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.09%EV -12.81%E -3.94%K -5.69%G +0.000%13.6%2026-04-19 22:25
PMU (FR)2.38I 42.02%NM 36.99%EV -13.94%E -5.86%K -10.10%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 35.93%EV -9.32%E -3.80%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.09%EV -12.81%E -3.94%K -5.69%G +0.000%13.6%2026-04-19 22:25
NetBet (FR)2.37I 42.19%NM 36.38%EV -14.30%E -6.03%K -10.44%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 36.68%EV -13.02%E -5.54%K -9.65%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.94%EV -14.15%E -4.42%K -6.43%G +0.000%16.0%2026-04-19 22:50
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.74I 36.50%NM 36.29%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.83%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88%0.6%2026-04-19 22:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.74I 36.50%NM 36.29%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.83%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88%0.6%2026-04-19 22:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.74I 36.50%NM 35.93%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.73%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.34%1.6%2026-04-19 22:55
Matchbook2.74I 36.50%NM 35.93%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.73%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.34%1.6%2026-04-19 22:55
Kalshi2.70I 37.04%NM 36.28%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.25%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.47%2.1%2026-04-19 22:15
Smarkets2.70I 37.04%NM 36.17%2.66I 37.59%NM 36.71%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.12%2.4%2026-04-19 22:50