StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Querétaro v Toluca

Matchstart: 2026-08-22 03:10 UTC

Slutresultat: Querétaro 1–2 Toluca

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

48 spelbolag (17 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Querétaro (Hemma)

Prognos 25.33%3.95rättvist odds
EV -3.24%
Fördel -0.847%
Kelly -1.15%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.82

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
24.17%25.28%25.41%26.59%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.403.633.703.8229.41%27.57%27.03%26.18%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Toluca (Borta)

Prognos 49.53%2.02rättvist odds
EV -2.93%
Fördel -1.49%
Kelly -3.05%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.96

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
47.51%49.49%49.54%51.02%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.711.861.851.9658.48%53.85%54.05%51.02%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 25.14%3.98rättvist odds
EV -1.94%
Fördel -0.498%
Kelly -0.670%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.90

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
23.55%25.23%25.05%26.81%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.303.633.653.9030.30%27.57%27.40%25.64%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Querétaro (Hemma): 25.33%; Toluca (Borta): 49.53%; Oavgjort: 25.14%. För Oavgjort motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 3.98. Inget kvalificerat spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån: bästa odds var 3.90, med väntevärdet -1.94%; det gav inget positivt väntevärde.

Spelbolagsodds (48 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaOavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
Coolbet🎯3.82I 26.18%NM 24.90%EV -3.24%E -0.847%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.53%EV -2.93%E -1.49%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.57%EV -9.99%E -2.79%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-22 02:44
Pinnacle🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 25.44%EV -3.74%E -0.985%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.58%EV -3.42%E -1.76%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.87I 25.84%NM 24.98%EV -2.70%E -0.697%K -0.940%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-22 03:00
Fanatics🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 25.07%EV -3.74%E -0.985%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -5.40%E -2.83%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.07%EV -4.46%E -1.17%K -1.59%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-22 03:05
FanDuel🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -3.74%E -0.985%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -5.40%E -2.83%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -9.49%E -2.63%K -3.65%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-22 02:50
ATG (SE)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.67%EV -3.74%E -0.985%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -8.38%E -4.53%K -9.85%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.67%EV -4.46%E -1.17%K -1.59%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-22 02:15
Svenska Spel🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.67%EV -3.74%E -0.985%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -8.38%E -4.53%K -9.85%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.67%EV -4.46%E -1.17%K -1.59%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-22 02:15
Tipico (DE)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -3.74%E -0.985%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -10.85%E -6.03%K -13.57%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -6.97%E -1.88%K -2.58%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-22 02:10
GTbets🎯3.79I 26.39%NM 24.74%EV -4.00%E -1.05%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.13%EV -7.39%E -3.95%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 25.13%EV -6.22%E -1.67%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-21 14:14
LowVig.ag🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.74%EV -5.01%E -1.34%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.50%EV -3.42%E -1.76%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.75%EV -1.94%E -0.498%K -0.670%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-22 02:09
BetOnline.ag🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.74%EV -5.01%E -1.34%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.50%EV -3.42%E -1.76%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.75%EV -1.94%E -0.498%K -0.670%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-22 02:10
BetUS🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.74%EV -5.01%E -1.34%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.50%EV -3.42%E -1.76%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.75%EV -1.94%E -0.498%K -0.670%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-22 02:10
Betway🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.12%EV -5.01%E -1.34%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.10%EV -6.89%E -3.67%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -4.46%E -1.17%K -1.59%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-22 03:05
SportsBet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -5.01%E -1.34%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.02%EV -5.40%E -2.83%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -9.49%E -2.63%K -3.65%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-22 02:50
DraftKings🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.57%EV -6.28%E -1.70%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.53%EV -5.40%E -2.83%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -4.46%E -1.17%K -1.59%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-22 03:05
Unibet (UK)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -6.28%E -1.70%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -5.40%E -2.83%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -6.97%E -1.88%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-22 03:05
betano_uk🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -6.28%E -1.70%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.90%EV -7.39%E -3.95%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV -5.71%E -1.52%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-22 03:05
Betsson🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -6.28%E -1.70%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.25%EV -6.89%E -3.67%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.72%EV -9.49%E -2.63%K -3.65%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-22 03:09
NordicBet🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -6.28%E -1.70%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.18%EV -4.91%E -2.56%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.81%EV -13.26%E -3.84%K -5.41%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-22 02:55
Unibet🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -6.28%E -1.70%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.41%EV -9.86%E -5.42%K -12.03%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -6.97%E -1.88%K -2.58%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-22 02:34
Unibet (NL)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -6.28%E -1.70%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.41%EV -9.86%E -5.42%K -12.03%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -6.97%E -1.88%K -2.58%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-22 02:35
BetRivers🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -6.28%E -1.70%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.41%EV -9.86%E -5.42%K -12.03%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -6.97%E -1.88%K -2.58%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-22 02:34
Unibet (SE)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -6.28%E -1.70%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.41%EV -9.86%E -5.42%K -12.03%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -6.97%E -1.88%K -2.58%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-22 02:34
Casumo🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -6.28%E -1.70%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.41%EV -9.86%E -5.42%K -12.03%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -6.97%E -1.88%K -2.58%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-22 02:34
Grosvenor🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -6.28%E -1.70%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.41%EV -9.86%E -5.42%K -12.03%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -6.97%E -1.88%K -2.58%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-22 02:34
betPARX🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -6.28%E -1.70%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.41%EV -9.86%E -5.42%K -12.03%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -6.97%E -1.88%K -2.58%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-22 02:40
Marathon Bet🎯3.68I 27.17%NM 25.17%EV -6.78%E -1.84%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 49.80%EV -7.88%E -4.24%K -9.16%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -6.97%E -1.88%K -2.58%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-22 03:09
Bet Victor🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -8.81%E -2.45%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.15%EV -5.90%E -3.11%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.90%EV -5.71%E -1.52%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-22 03:08
Paddy Power🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -8.81%E -2.45%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 48.69%EV -7.39%E -3.95%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -12.00%E -3.43%K -4.80%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-22 02:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -8.81%E -2.45%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 48.69%EV -7.39%E -3.95%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -12.00%E -3.43%K -4.80%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-22 02:59
Fliff🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.21%EV -8.81%E -2.45%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.59%EV -9.37%E -5.12%K -11.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.21%EV -9.49%E -2.63%K -3.65%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-22 03:05
TABtouch🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 24.86%EV -8.81%E -2.45%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 50.28%EV -11.84%E -6.65%K -15.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.86%EV -9.49%E -2.63%K -3.65%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-22 02:34
PlayUp🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.03%EV -10.08%E -2.84%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.64%EV -5.90%E -3.11%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.32%EV -8.23%E -2.25%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-22 03:09
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 24.96%EV -10.08%E -2.84%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 50.07%EV -12.34%E -6.97%K -16.02%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.96%EV -10.74%E -3.03%K -4.21%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-22 02:25
Virgin Bet🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 24.96%EV -10.08%E -2.84%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 50.07%EV -12.34%E -6.97%K -16.02%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.96%EV -10.74%E -3.03%K -4.21%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-22 02:25
LiveScore Bet🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 24.96%EV -10.08%E -2.84%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 50.07%EV -12.34%E -6.97%K -16.02%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.96%EV -10.74%E -3.03%K -4.21%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-22 02:25
LeoVegas🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -11.34%E -3.24%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.56%EV -6.89%E -3.67%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -9.49%E -2.63%K -3.65%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-22 03:09
Sky Bet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -11.34%E -3.24%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -8.38%E -4.53%K -9.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -14.51%E -4.27%K -6.05%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-22 02:45
Betclic (FR)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.49%EV -11.34%E -3.24%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 49.02%EV -9.86%E -5.42%K -12.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.49%EV -12.00%E -3.43%K -4.80%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-22 03:05
Bet Right🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.59%EV -12.61%E -3.65%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.28%EV -5.90%E -3.11%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.13%EV -8.23%E -2.25%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-22 02:49
NetBet (FR)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 25.39%EV -12.61%E -3.65%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 49.22%EV -11.84%E -6.65%K -15.18%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.39%EV -13.26%E -3.84%K -5.41%G +0.000%14.2%2026-08-22 03:09
PMU (FR)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 24.89%EV -12.61%E -3.65%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 50.22%EV -15.31%E -8.95%K -21.56%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 24.89%EV -13.26%E -3.84%K -5.41%G +0.000%16.5%2026-08-22 02:35
betfred_uk🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -13.88%E -4.08%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.58%EV -5.90%E -3.11%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -12.00%E -3.43%K -4.80%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-22 02:50
William Hill🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -13.88%E -4.08%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 47.89%EV -8.38%E -4.53%K -9.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -14.51%E -4.27%K -6.05%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-22 02:54
Neds🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -13.88%E -4.08%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 47.89%EV -8.38%E -4.53%K -9.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -14.51%E -4.27%K -6.05%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-22 02:25
BoyleSports🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 25.98%EV -13.88%E -4.08%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 50.47%EV -13.33%E -7.62%K -17.77%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.55%EV -5.71%E -1.52%K -2.08%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-22 03:09
888sport🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 25.85%EV -13.88%E -4.08%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 47.51%EV -8.38%E -4.53%K -9.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.64%EV -17.03%E -5.16%K -7.40%G +0.000%13.8%2026-08-22 03:09
888sport (SE)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 25.85%EV -13.88%E -4.08%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 47.51%EV -8.38%E -4.53%K -9.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.64%EV -17.03%E -5.16%K -7.40%G +0.000%13.8%2026-08-22 03:09
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 25.85%EV -13.88%E -4.08%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 47.51%EV -8.38%E -4.53%K -9.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.64%EV -17.03%E -5.16%K -7.40%G +0.000%13.8%2026-08-22 03:09
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (6)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎4.00I 25.00%NM 24.73%1.97I 50.76%NM 50.22%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.05%1.1%2026-08-22 03:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎4.00I 25.00%NM 24.72%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.93%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.35%1.1%2026-08-22 03:09
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎4.00I 25.00%NM 24.67%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.35%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.98%1.3%2026-08-22 03:05
Matchbook◎4.00I 25.00%NM 24.65%1.97I 50.76%NM 50.06%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.29%1.4%2026-08-22 03:05
Smarkets◎4.00I 25.00%NM 24.59%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.19%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.22%1.7%2026-08-22 03:05
Kalshi◎3.85I 25.97%NM 25.47%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.02%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.51%2.0%2026-08-22 02:10