Idioma:Español
Querétaro v Toluca
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Querétaro (Local)
Predicción 25.33%3.95momio equitativo
EV -3.24%
Ventaja -0.847%
Kelly -1.15%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.82
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.17%25.28%25.41%26.59%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.403.633.703.8229.41%27.57%27.03%26.18%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Toluca (Visitante)
Predicción 49.53%2.02momio equitativo
EV -2.93%
Ventaja -1.49%
Kelly -3.05%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.96
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
47.51%49.49%49.54%51.02%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.711.861.851.9658.48%53.85%54.05%51.02%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 25.14%3.98momio equitativo
EV -1.94%
Ventaja -0.498%
Kelly -0.670%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.90
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.55%25.23%25.05%26.81%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.303.633.653.9030.30%27.57%27.40%25.64%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Querétaro (Local): 25.33%; Toluca (Visitante): 49.53%; Empate: 25.14%. Para Empate, esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.98. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 3.90, con un valor esperado de -1.94%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (48 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.82I 26.18%NM 24.90%EV -3.24%E -0.847%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.53%EV -2.93%E -1.49%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 26.57%EV -9.99%E -2.79%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-22 02:44 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.44%EV -3.74%E -0.985%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.58%EV -3.42%E -1.76%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.87I 25.84%NM 24.98%EV -2.70%E -0.697%K -0.940%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-22 03:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.07%EV -3.74%E -0.985%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -5.40%E -2.83%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.07%EV -4.46%E -1.17%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-22 03:05 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -3.74%E -0.985%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -5.40%E -2.83%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -9.49%E -2.63%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-22 02:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.67%EV -3.74%E -0.985%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -8.38%E -4.53%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.67%EV -4.46%E -1.17%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-22 02:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.67%EV -3.74%E -0.985%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -8.38%E -4.53%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.67%EV -4.46%E -1.17%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-22 02:15 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -3.74%E -0.985%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -10.85%E -6.03%K -13.57%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -6.97%E -1.88%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-22 02:10 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.79I 26.39%NM 24.74%EV -4.00%E -1.05%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.13%EV -7.39%E -3.95%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 3.73I 26.81%NM 25.13%EV -6.22%E -1.67%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-21 14:14 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.74%EV -5.01%E -1.34%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.50%EV -3.42%E -1.76%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.75%EV -1.94%E -0.498%K -0.670%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-22 02:09 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.74%EV -5.01%E -1.34%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.50%EV -3.42%E -1.76%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.75%EV -1.94%E -0.498%K -0.670%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-22 02:10 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.74%EV -5.01%E -1.34%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.50%EV -3.42%E -1.76%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.75%EV -1.94%E -0.498%K -0.670%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-22 02:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.12%EV -5.01%E -1.34%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.10%EV -6.89%E -3.67%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -4.46%E -1.17%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-22 03:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -5.01%E -1.34%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.02%EV -5.40%E -2.83%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -9.49%E -2.63%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-22 02:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.57%EV -6.28%E -1.70%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.53%EV -5.40%E -2.83%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -4.46%E -1.17%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-22 03:05 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -6.28%E -1.70%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -5.40%E -2.83%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -6.97%E -1.88%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-22 03:05 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -6.28%E -1.70%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.90%EV -7.39%E -3.95%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV -5.71%E -1.52%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-22 03:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -6.28%E -1.70%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.25%EV -6.89%E -3.67%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.72%EV -9.49%E -2.63%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-22 03:09 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -6.28%E -1.70%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.18%EV -4.91%E -2.56%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.81%EV -13.26%E -3.84%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-22 02:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -6.28%E -1.70%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.41%EV -9.86%E -5.42%K -12.03%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -6.97%E -1.88%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-22 02:34 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -6.28%E -1.70%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.41%EV -9.86%E -5.42%K -12.03%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -6.97%E -1.88%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-22 02:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -6.28%E -1.70%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.41%EV -9.86%E -5.42%K -12.03%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -6.97%E -1.88%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-22 02:34 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -6.28%E -1.70%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.41%EV -9.86%E -5.42%K -12.03%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -6.97%E -1.88%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-22 02:34 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -6.28%E -1.70%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.41%EV -9.86%E -5.42%K -12.03%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -6.97%E -1.88%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-22 02:34 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -6.28%E -1.70%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.41%EV -9.86%E -5.42%K -12.03%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -6.97%E -1.88%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-22 02:34 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -6.28%E -1.70%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.41%EV -9.86%E -5.42%K -12.03%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -6.97%E -1.88%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-22 02:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.68I 27.17%NM 25.17%EV -6.78%E -1.84%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 49.80%EV -7.88%E -4.24%K -9.16%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -6.97%E -1.88%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-22 03:09 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -8.81%E -2.45%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.15%EV -5.90%E -3.11%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.90%EV -5.71%E -1.52%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-22 03:08 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -8.81%E -2.45%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.69%EV -7.39%E -3.95%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -12.00%E -3.43%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-22 02:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -8.81%E -2.45%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.69%EV -7.39%E -3.95%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -12.00%E -3.43%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-22 02:59 |
| Fliff🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.21%EV -8.81%E -2.45%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.59%EV -9.37%E -5.12%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.21%EV -9.49%E -2.63%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-22 03:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.86%EV -8.81%E -2.45%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 50.28%EV -11.84%E -6.65%K -15.18%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.86%EV -9.49%E -2.63%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-22 02:34 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.03%EV -10.08%E -2.84%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.64%EV -5.90%E -3.11%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.32%EV -8.23%E -2.25%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-22 03:09 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.96%EV -10.08%E -2.84%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 50.07%EV -12.34%E -6.97%K -16.02%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.96%EV -10.74%E -3.03%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-22 02:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.96%EV -10.08%E -2.84%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 50.07%EV -12.34%E -6.97%K -16.02%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.96%EV -10.74%E -3.03%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-22 02:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.96%EV -10.08%E -2.84%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 50.07%EV -12.34%E -6.97%K -16.02%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.96%EV -10.74%E -3.03%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-22 02:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -11.34%E -3.24%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.56%EV -6.89%E -3.67%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -9.49%E -2.63%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-22 03:09 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -11.34%E -3.24%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -8.38%E -4.53%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -14.51%E -4.27%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-22 02:45 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.49%EV -11.34%E -3.24%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.02%EV -9.86%E -5.42%K -12.03%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.49%EV -12.00%E -3.43%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-22 03:05 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.59%EV -12.61%E -3.65%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.28%EV -5.90%E -3.11%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.13%EV -8.23%E -2.25%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-22 02:49 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.39%EV -12.61%E -3.65%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 49.22%EV -11.84%E -6.65%K -15.18%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.39%EV -13.26%E -3.84%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-08-22 03:09 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 24.89%EV -12.61%E -3.65%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 50.22%EV -15.31%E -8.95%K -21.56%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 24.89%EV -13.26%E -3.84%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 16.5% | 2026-08-22 02:35 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -13.88%E -4.08%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.58%EV -5.90%E -3.11%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -12.00%E -3.43%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-22 02:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -13.88%E -4.08%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.89%EV -8.38%E -4.53%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -14.51%E -4.27%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-22 02:54 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -13.88%E -4.08%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.89%EV -8.38%E -4.53%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -14.51%E -4.27%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-22 02:25 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.98%EV -13.88%E -4.08%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.47%EV -13.33%E -7.62%K -17.77%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.55%EV -5.71%E -1.52%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-08-22 03:09 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.85%EV -13.88%E -4.08%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.51%EV -8.38%E -4.53%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.64%EV -17.03%E -5.16%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-08-22 03:09 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.85%EV -13.88%E -4.08%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.51%EV -8.38%E -4.53%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.64%EV -17.03%E -5.16%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-08-22 03:09 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.85%EV -13.88%E -4.08%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.51%EV -8.38%E -4.53%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.64%EV -17.03%E -5.16%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-08-22 03:09 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.73% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.22% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.05% | 1.1% | 2026-08-22 03:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.72% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 49.93% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.35% | 1.1% | 2026-08-22 03:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.67% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.35% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.98% | 1.3% | 2026-08-22 03:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.65% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.06% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.29% | 1.4% | 2026-08-22 03:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.59% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.19% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.22% | 1.7% | 2026-08-22 03:05 |
| Kalshi◎ | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.47% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.02% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.51% | 2.0% | 2026-08-22 02:10 |