Langue:Français
Querétaro v Toluca
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Querétaro (Local)
Prévision 25.33%3.95cote équitable
EV -3.24%
Avantage -0.847%
Kelly -1.15%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.82
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.17%25.28%25.41%26.59%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.403.633.703.8229.41%27.57%27.03%26.18%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Toluca (Visiteur)
Prévision 49.53%2.02cote équitable
EV -2.93%
Avantage -1.49%
Kelly -3.05%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.96
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
47.51%49.49%49.54%51.02%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.711.861.851.9658.48%53.85%54.05%51.02%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Match nul
Prévision 25.14%3.98cote équitable
EV -1.94%
Avantage -0.498%
Kelly -0.670%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.90
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.55%25.23%25.05%26.81%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.303.633.653.9030.30%27.57%27.40%25.64%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Querétaro (Local) : 25.33% ; Toluca (Visiteur) : 49.53% ; Match nul : 25.14%. Pour Match nul, cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.98. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 3.90, pour une espérance de -1.94% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.
Cotes des opérateurs (48 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.82I 26.18%NM 24.90%EV -3.24%E -0.847%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.53%EV -2.93%E -1.49%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 26.57%EV -9.99%E -2.79%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-22 02:44 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.44%EV -3.74%E -0.985%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.58%EV -3.42%E -1.76%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.87I 25.84%NM 24.98%EV -2.70%E -0.697%K -0.940%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-22 03:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.07%EV -3.74%E -0.985%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -5.40%E -2.83%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.07%EV -4.46%E -1.17%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-22 03:05 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -3.74%E -0.985%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -5.40%E -2.83%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -9.49%E -2.63%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-22 02:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.67%EV -3.74%E -0.985%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -8.38%E -4.53%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.67%EV -4.46%E -1.17%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-22 02:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.67%EV -3.74%E -0.985%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -8.38%E -4.53%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.67%EV -4.46%E -1.17%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-22 02:15 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -3.74%E -0.985%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -10.85%E -6.03%K -13.57%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -6.97%E -1.88%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-22 02:10 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.79I 26.39%NM 24.74%EV -4.00%E -1.05%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.13%EV -7.39%E -3.95%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 3.73I 26.81%NM 25.13%EV -6.22%E -1.67%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-21 14:14 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.74%EV -5.01%E -1.34%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.50%EV -3.42%E -1.76%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.75%EV -1.94%E -0.498%K -0.670%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-22 02:09 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.74%EV -5.01%E -1.34%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.50%EV -3.42%E -1.76%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.75%EV -1.94%E -0.498%K -0.670%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-22 02:10 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.74%EV -5.01%E -1.34%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.50%EV -3.42%E -1.76%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.75%EV -1.94%E -0.498%K -0.670%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-22 02:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.12%EV -5.01%E -1.34%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.10%EV -6.89%E -3.67%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -4.46%E -1.17%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-22 03:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -5.01%E -1.34%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.02%EV -5.40%E -2.83%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -9.49%E -2.63%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-22 02:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.57%EV -6.28%E -1.70%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.53%EV -5.40%E -2.83%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -4.46%E -1.17%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-22 03:05 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -6.28%E -1.70%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -5.40%E -2.83%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -6.97%E -1.88%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-22 03:05 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -6.28%E -1.70%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.90%EV -7.39%E -3.95%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV -5.71%E -1.52%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-22 03:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -6.28%E -1.70%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.25%EV -6.89%E -3.67%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.72%EV -9.49%E -2.63%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-22 03:09 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -6.28%E -1.70%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.18%EV -4.91%E -2.56%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.81%EV -13.26%E -3.84%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-22 02:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -6.28%E -1.70%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.41%EV -9.86%E -5.42%K -12.03%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -6.97%E -1.88%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-22 02:34 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -6.28%E -1.70%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.41%EV -9.86%E -5.42%K -12.03%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -6.97%E -1.88%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-22 02:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -6.28%E -1.70%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.41%EV -9.86%E -5.42%K -12.03%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -6.97%E -1.88%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-22 02:34 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -6.28%E -1.70%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.41%EV -9.86%E -5.42%K -12.03%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -6.97%E -1.88%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-22 02:34 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -6.28%E -1.70%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.41%EV -9.86%E -5.42%K -12.03%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -6.97%E -1.88%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-22 02:34 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -6.28%E -1.70%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.41%EV -9.86%E -5.42%K -12.03%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -6.97%E -1.88%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-22 02:34 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -6.28%E -1.70%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.41%EV -9.86%E -5.42%K -12.03%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -6.97%E -1.88%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-22 02:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.68I 27.17%NM 25.17%EV -6.78%E -1.84%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 49.80%EV -7.88%E -4.24%K -9.16%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -6.97%E -1.88%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-22 03:09 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -8.81%E -2.45%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.15%EV -5.90%E -3.11%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.90%EV -5.71%E -1.52%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-22 03:08 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -8.81%E -2.45%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.69%EV -7.39%E -3.95%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -12.00%E -3.43%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-22 02:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -8.81%E -2.45%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.69%EV -7.39%E -3.95%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -12.00%E -3.43%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-22 02:59 |
| Fliff🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.21%EV -8.81%E -2.45%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.59%EV -9.37%E -5.12%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.21%EV -9.49%E -2.63%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-22 03:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.86%EV -8.81%E -2.45%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 50.28%EV -11.84%E -6.65%K -15.18%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.86%EV -9.49%E -2.63%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-22 02:34 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.03%EV -10.08%E -2.84%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.64%EV -5.90%E -3.11%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.32%EV -8.23%E -2.25%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-22 03:09 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.96%EV -10.08%E -2.84%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 50.07%EV -12.34%E -6.97%K -16.02%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.96%EV -10.74%E -3.03%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-22 02:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.96%EV -10.08%E -2.84%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 50.07%EV -12.34%E -6.97%K -16.02%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.96%EV -10.74%E -3.03%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-22 02:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.96%EV -10.08%E -2.84%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 50.07%EV -12.34%E -6.97%K -16.02%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.96%EV -10.74%E -3.03%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-22 02:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -11.34%E -3.24%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.56%EV -6.89%E -3.67%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -9.49%E -2.63%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-22 03:09 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -11.34%E -3.24%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -8.38%E -4.53%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -14.51%E -4.27%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-22 02:45 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.49%EV -11.34%E -3.24%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.02%EV -9.86%E -5.42%K -12.03%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.49%EV -12.00%E -3.43%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-22 03:05 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.59%EV -12.61%E -3.65%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.28%EV -5.90%E -3.11%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.13%EV -8.23%E -2.25%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-22 02:49 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.39%EV -12.61%E -3.65%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 49.22%EV -11.84%E -6.65%K -15.18%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.39%EV -13.26%E -3.84%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-08-22 03:09 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 24.89%EV -12.61%E -3.65%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 50.22%EV -15.31%E -8.95%K -21.56%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 24.89%EV -13.26%E -3.84%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 16.5% | 2026-08-22 02:35 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -13.88%E -4.08%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.58%EV -5.90%E -3.11%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -12.00%E -3.43%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-22 02:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -13.88%E -4.08%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.89%EV -8.38%E -4.53%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -14.51%E -4.27%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-22 02:54 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -13.88%E -4.08%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.89%EV -8.38%E -4.53%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -14.51%E -4.27%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-22 02:25 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.98%EV -13.88%E -4.08%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.47%EV -13.33%E -7.62%K -17.77%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.55%EV -5.71%E -1.52%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-08-22 03:09 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.85%EV -13.88%E -4.08%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.51%EV -8.38%E -4.53%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.64%EV -17.03%E -5.16%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-08-22 03:09 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.85%EV -13.88%E -4.08%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.51%EV -8.38%E -4.53%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.64%EV -17.03%E -5.16%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-08-22 03:09 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.85%EV -13.88%E -4.08%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.51%EV -8.38%E -4.53%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.64%EV -17.03%E -5.16%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-08-22 03:09 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.73% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.22% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.05% | 1.1% | 2026-08-22 03:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.72% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 49.93% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.35% | 1.1% | 2026-08-22 03:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.67% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.35% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.98% | 1.3% | 2026-08-22 03:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.65% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.06% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.29% | 1.4% | 2026-08-22 03:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.59% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.19% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.22% | 1.7% | 2026-08-22 03:05 |
| Kalshi◎ | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.47% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.02% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.51% | 2.0% | 2026-08-22 02:10 |