Querétaro v Tigres

2026-08-01 23:00 UTC — Liga MX

Head to Head

16 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

21%

53%

26%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Querétaro (Local)

Prediction 21.48%4.66fair odd

EV -3.34%

Edge -0.742%

Kelly -0.954%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

21.00%21.55%21.40%22.48%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

3.904.194.154.5026%24%24%22%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Tigres (Visit)

Prediction 52.96%1.89fair odd

EV -3.62%

Edge -1.99%

Kelly -4.41%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.82

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

50.82%52.88%53.17%54.68%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

1.651.741.751.8261%58%57%55%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Draw

Prediction 25.56%3.91fair odd

EV -2.86%

Edge -0.753%

Kelly -1.02%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

24.32%25.57%25.43%26.95%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

3.303.543.553.8030%28%28%26%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (16 sportsbooks)

Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Draw	Margin	Updated
Fanatics	4.50I 22.22%NM 21.16%EV -3.34%E -0.742%K -0.954%G +0.000%	1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -6.27%E -3.54%K -8.14%G +0.000%	3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -2.86%E -0.753%K -1.02%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-07-20 19:35
Coolbet	4.50I 22.22%NM 21.15%EV -3.34%E -0.742%K -0.954%G +0.000%	1.78I 56.18%NM 53.47%EV -5.74%E -3.22%K -7.35%G +0.000%	3.75I 26.67%NM 25.38%EV -4.14%E -1.10%K -1.51%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-07-20 19:35
SportsBet	4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV -5.49%E -1.25%K -1.61%G +0.000%	1.73I 57.80%NM 54.10%EV -8.38%E -4.85%K -11.48%G +0.000%	3.80I 26.32%NM 24.63%EV -2.86%E -0.753%K -1.02%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-07-20 19:35
FanDuel	4.40I 22.73%NM 21.00%EV -5.49%E -1.25%K -1.61%G +0.000%	1.69I 59.17%NM 54.68%EV -10.50%E -6.21%K -15.22%G +0.000%	3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -2.86%E -0.753%K -1.02%G +0.000%	8.2%	2026-07-20 19:34
Marathon Bet	4.33I 23.09%NM 21.41%EV -6.99%E -1.61%K -2.10%G +0.000%	1.75I 57.14%NM 52.98%EV -7.32%E -4.19%K -9.77%G +0.000%	3.62I 27.62%NM 25.61%EV -7.46%E -2.06%K -2.85%G +0.000%	7.9%	2026-07-20 19:35
1xBet	4.32I 23.15%NM 21.58%EV -7.20%E -1.67%K -2.17%G +0.000%	1.77I 56.50%NM 52.67%EV -6.27%E -3.54%K -8.14%G +0.000%	3.62I 27.62%NM 25.75%EV -7.46%E -2.06%K -2.85%G +0.000%	7.3%	2026-07-20 19:35
Paddy Power	4.20I 23.81%NM 21.36%EV -9.78%E -2.33%K -3.06%G +0.000%	1.67I 59.88%NM 53.72%EV -11.56%E -6.92%K -17.26%G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -7.98%E -2.22%K -3.07%G +0.000%	11.5%	2026-07-20 19:32
Betsson	4.15I 24.10%NM 22.48%EV -10.86%E -2.62%K -3.45%G +0.000%	1.82I 54.95%NM 51.25%EV -3.62%E -1.99%K -4.41%G +0.000%	3.55I 28.17%NM 26.27%EV -9.25%E -2.61%K -3.63%G +0.000%	7.2%	2026-07-20 19:35
NordicBet	4.15I 24.10%NM 22.48%EV -10.86%E -2.62%K -3.45%G +0.000%	1.82I 54.95%NM 51.25%EV -3.62%E -1.99%K -4.41%G +0.000%	3.55I 28.17%NM 26.27%EV -9.25%E -2.61%K -3.63%G +0.000%	7.2%	2026-07-20 19:35
LeoVegas	4.10I 24.39%NM 21.90%EV -11.93%E -2.91%K -3.85%G +0.000%	1.70I 58.82%NM 52.81%EV -9.97%E -5.87%K -14.25%G +0.000%	3.55I 28.17%NM 25.29%EV -9.25%E -2.61%K -3.63%G +0.000%	11.4%	2026-07-20 19:35
Betclic (FR)	4.10I 24.39%NM 21.40%EV -11.93%E -2.91%K -3.85%G +0.000%	1.65I 60.61%NM 53.17%EV -12.62%E -7.65%K -19.42%G +0.000%	3.45I 28.99%NM 25.43%EV -11.81%E -3.42%K -4.82%G +0.000%	14.0%	2026-07-20 19:33
William Hill	4.00I 25.00%NM 22.23%EV -14.08%E -3.52%K -4.69%G +0.000%	1.75I 57.14%NM 50.82%EV -7.32%E -4.19%K -9.77%G +0.000%	3.30I 30.30%NM 26.95%EV -15.64%E -4.74%K -6.80%G +0.000%	12.4%	2026-07-20 19:35
888sport	4.00I 25.00%NM 22.23%EV -14.08%E -3.52%K -4.69%G +0.000%	1.75I 57.14%NM 50.82%EV -7.32%E -4.19%K -9.77%G +0.000%	3.30I 30.30%NM 26.95%EV -15.64%E -4.74%K -6.80%G +0.000%	12.4%	2026-07-20 19:35
888sport (SE)	4.00I 25.00%NM 22.23%EV -14.08%E -3.52%K -4.69%G +0.000%	1.75I 57.14%NM 50.82%EV -7.32%E -4.19%K -9.77%G +0.000%	3.30I 30.30%NM 26.95%EV -15.64%E -4.74%K -6.80%G +0.000%	12.4%	2026-07-20 19:35
Mr Green (SE)	4.00I 25.00%NM 22.23%EV -14.08%E -3.52%K -4.69%G +0.000%	1.75I 57.14%NM 50.82%EV -7.32%E -4.19%K -9.77%G +0.000%	3.30I 30.30%NM 26.95%EV -15.64%E -4.74%K -6.80%G +0.000%	12.4%	2026-07-20 19:35
Sky Bet	3.90I 25.64%NM 22.31%EV -16.23%E -4.16%K -5.60%G +0.000%	1.67I 59.88%NM 52.10%EV -11.56%E -6.92%K -17.26%G +0.000%	3.40I 29.41%NM 25.59%EV -13.09%E -3.85%K -5.45%G +0.000%	14.9%	2026-07-20 19:35

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.