Language:English
Querétaro v Tigres
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Querétaro (Local)
Prediction 30.53%3.28fair odd
EV +4.10%
Edge +1.20%
Kelly +1.70%
Growth +0.070%
assuming max odds 3.41
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.15%30.50%30.48%32.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.043.003.4134.72%32.86%33.33%29.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Tigres (Visit)
Prediction 41.10%2.43fair odd
EV -3.84%
Edge -1.64%
Kelly -2.86%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.34
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.12%41.22%41.05%44.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.202.202.3450.00%45.38%45.45%42.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 28.38%3.52fair odd
EV +2.16%
Edge +0.599%
Kelly +0.830%
Growth +0.018%
assuming max odds 3.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.36%28.27%28.46%29.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.333.353.6033.33%30.07%29.85%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Querétaro (Local): 30.53%; Tigres (Visit): 41.10%; Draw: 28.38%. For Querétaro (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.28. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.41, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.10%.
Sportsbook Odds (49 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.41I 29.33%NM 28.15%EV +4.10%E +1.20%K +1.70%G +0.070% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.67%EV -7.54%E -3.35%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 3.29I 30.40%NM 29.18%EV -6.64%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-01 22:54 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.29%EV -0.785%E -0.241%K -0.349%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.27%EV -11.65%E -5.42%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.44%EV +2.16%E +0.599%K +0.830%G +0.018% | 5.1% | 2026-08-01 22:39 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.29%EV -0.785%E -0.241%K -0.349%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.27%EV -11.65%E -5.42%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.44%EV +2.16%E +0.599%K +0.830%G +0.018% | 5.1% | 2026-08-01 22:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.24I 30.86%NM 29.86%EV -1.09%E -0.336%K -0.487%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.35%EV -3.84%E -1.64%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 3.36I 29.76%NM 28.79%EV -4.65%E -1.38%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-01 22:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.24I 30.86%NM 29.83%EV -1.09%E -0.336%K -0.487%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.31%EV -3.84%E -1.64%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.86%EV -4.94%E -1.47%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-01 22:54 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.24I 30.86%NM 29.83%EV -1.09%E -0.336%K -0.487%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.31%EV -3.84%E -1.64%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.86%EV -4.94%E -1.47%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-01 22:54 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.73%EV -2.31%E -0.722%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.29%EV -7.54%E -3.35%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.98%EV -3.52%E -1.03%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-01 22:54 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.16I 31.65%NM 30.12%EV -3.53%E -1.12%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.03%EV -4.66%E -2.01%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.85%EV -6.36%E -1.93%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-01 22:34 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -3.84%E -1.22%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.12%EV -13.70%E -6.52%K -12.45%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -0.680%E -0.194%K -0.272%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-01 22:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -3.84%E -1.22%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.12%EV -13.70%E -6.52%K -12.45%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -0.680%E -0.194%K -0.272%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-01 22:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -3.84%E -1.22%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.12%EV -13.70%E -6.52%K -12.45%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -0.680%E -0.194%K -0.272%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-01 22:39 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -3.84%E -1.22%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.12%EV -13.70%E -6.52%K -12.45%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -0.680%E -0.194%K -0.272%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-01 22:39 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -3.84%E -1.22%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.12%EV -13.70%E -6.52%K -12.45%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -0.680%E -0.194%K -0.272%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-01 22:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -3.84%E -1.22%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.12%EV -13.70%E -6.52%K -12.45%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -0.680%E -0.194%K -0.272%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-01 22:39 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -3.84%E -1.22%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.12%EV -13.70%E -6.52%K -12.45%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -0.680%E -0.194%K -0.272%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-01 22:39 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.29%EV -3.84%E -1.22%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.35%EV -14.52%E -6.98%K -13.45%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.36%EV -0.680%E -0.194%K -0.272%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-01 22:39 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -5.36%E -1.73%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.00%EV -5.48%E -2.38%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -6.36%E -1.93%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-01 22:35 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -5.36%E -1.73%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 41.35%EV -7.95%E -3.55%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 28.77%EV -8.63%E -2.68%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-01 22:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.38%EV -5.36%E -1.73%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.22%EV -15.34%E -7.45%K -14.48%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.40%EV -2.10%E -0.608%K -0.857%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-01 22:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.38%EV -5.36%E -1.73%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.22%EV -15.34%E -7.45%K -14.48%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.40%EV -2.10%E -0.608%K -0.857%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-01 22:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.90%EV -6.89%E -2.26%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.97%EV -5.48%E -2.38%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.13%EV -4.94%E -1.47%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-01 22:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.48%EV -6.89%E -2.26%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 44.08%EV -16.17%E -7.92%K -15.54%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -3.52%E -1.03%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-01 22:39 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -8.42%E -2.81%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -5.48%E -2.38%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -3.52%E -1.03%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-01 22:39 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -8.42%E -2.81%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -5.48%E -2.38%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -6.36%E -1.93%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-01 18:49 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -8.42%E -2.81%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -7.54%E -3.35%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -3.52%E -1.03%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-01 22:44 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -8.42%E -2.81%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -7.54%E -3.35%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -3.52%E -1.03%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-01 22:44 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -8.42%E -2.81%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -7.54%E -3.35%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -3.52%E -1.03%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-01 20:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -8.42%E -2.81%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.29%EV -7.54%E -3.35%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.73%EV -4.94%E -1.47%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-01 22:39 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -8.42%E -2.81%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.84%EV -9.59%E -4.36%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -4.94%E -1.47%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-01 20:40 |
| Everygame🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -8.42%E -2.81%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.58%EV -7.54%E -3.35%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.99%EV -10.61%E -3.37%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-01 22:35 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -8.42%E -2.81%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.18%EV -17.81%E -8.90%K -17.81%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.37%EV -4.94%E -1.47%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-08-01 22:39 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.24%EV -9.03%E -3.03%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.12%EV -4.66%E -2.01%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -7.77%E -2.39%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-01 22:54 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.24%EV -9.03%E -3.03%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.12%EV -4.66%E -2.01%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -7.77%E -2.39%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-01 22:54 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.12%EV -9.94%E -3.37%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.19%EV -5.48%E -2.38%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.69%EV +0.739%E +0.208%K +0.290%G +0.002% | 5.5% | 2026-08-01 21:39 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.20%EV -9.94%E -3.37%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.91%EV -7.54%E -3.35%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -6.36%E -1.93%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-01 22:39 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.78%EV -9.94%E -3.37%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.28%EV -9.59%E -4.36%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -7.77%E -2.39%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-01 22:34 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.93I 34.13%NM 30.46%EV -10.55%E -3.60%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.57%EV -9.59%E -4.36%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 28.98%EV -12.60%E -4.09%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-01 22:33 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.85%EV -11.47%E -3.95%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.16%EV -5.48%E -2.38%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -6.36%E -1.93%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-01 22:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.43%EV -11.47%E -3.95%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.52%EV -7.54%E -3.35%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -7.77%E -2.39%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-01 22:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.44%EV -11.47%E -3.95%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.13%EV -9.59%E -4.36%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.43%EV -14.87%E -4.96%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-08-01 22:35 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.44%EV -11.47%E -3.95%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.13%EV -9.59%E -4.36%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.43%EV -14.87%E -4.96%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-08-01 22:35 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.44%EV -11.47%E -3.95%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.13%EV -9.59%E -4.36%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.43%EV -14.87%E -4.96%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-08-01 22:34 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.44%EV -11.47%E -3.95%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.13%EV -9.59%E -4.36%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.43%EV -14.87%E -4.96%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-08-01 22:35 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 29.99%EV -11.47%E -3.95%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 41.02%EV -12.88%E -6.07%K -11.50%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.99%EV -14.87%E -4.96%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-08-01 22:54 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.30%EV -12.08%E -4.19%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.97%EV -9.59%E -4.36%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.73%EV -7.77%E -2.39%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-01 22:35 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.30%EV -12.08%E -4.19%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.97%EV -9.59%E -4.36%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.73%EV -7.77%E -2.39%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-01 22:45 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -12.08%E -4.19%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.79%EV -9.59%E -4.36%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -9.19%E -2.87%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-01 22:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -12.08%E -4.19%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.79%EV -9.59%E -4.36%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -9.19%E -2.87%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-01 18:20 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -12.08%E -4.19%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.70%EV -11.65%E -5.42%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.17%EV -6.36%E -1.93%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-01 20:39 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.60% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.78% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.62% | 0.6% | 2026-08-01 22:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.60% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.78% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.62% | 0.6% | 2026-08-01 22:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.60% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.78% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.62% | 0.6% | 2026-08-01 22:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.49% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.99% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.52% | 0.9% | 2026-08-01 22:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.70% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.63% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.67% | 1.8% | 2026-08-01 22:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.34% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.17% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.49% | 2.0% | 2026-08-01 22:55 |