Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Querétaro v Tigres

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-01 23:00 UTC

Score final : Querétaro 3–2 Tigres

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

49 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Querétaro (Local)

Prévision 30.53%3.28cote équitable
EV +4.10%
Avantage +1.20%
Kelly +1.70%
Croissance +0.070%

avec la cote maximale 3.41

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.15%30.50%30.48%32.12%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.883.043.003.4134.72%32.86%33.33%29.33%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Tigres (Visiteur)

Prévision 41.10%2.43cote équitable
EV -3.84%
Avantage -1.64%
Kelly -2.86%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.34

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
40.12%41.22%41.05%44.35%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.002.202.202.3450.00%45.38%45.45%42.74%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 28.38%3.52cote équitable
EV +2.16%
Avantage +0.599%
Kelly +0.830%
Croissance +0.018%

avec la cote maximale 3.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.36%28.27%28.46%29.43%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.003.333.353.6033.33%30.07%29.85%27.78%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Querétaro (Local) : 30.53% ; Tigres (Visiteur) : 41.10% ; Match nul : 28.38%. Pour Querétaro (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.28. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 3.41, soit une espérance positive de +4.10%.

Cotes des opérateurs (49 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet🎯3.41I 29.33%NM 28.15%EV +4.10%E +1.20%K +1.70%G +0.070%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.67%EV -7.54%E -3.35%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 29.18%EV -6.64%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-01 22:54
Svenska Spel🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.29%EV -0.785%E -0.241%K -0.349%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.27%EV -11.65%E -5.42%K -10.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.44%EV +2.16%E +0.599%K +0.830%G +0.018%5.1%2026-08-01 22:39
ATG (SE)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.29%EV -0.785%E -0.241%K -0.349%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.27%EV -11.65%E -5.42%K -10.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.44%EV +2.16%E +0.599%K +0.830%G +0.018%5.1%2026-08-01 22:40
Pinnacle🎯3.24I 30.86%NM 29.86%EV -1.09%E -0.336%K -0.487%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.35%EV -3.84%E -1.64%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 28.79%EV -4.65%E -1.38%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-01 22:55
LowVig.ag🎯3.24I 30.86%NM 29.83%EV -1.09%E -0.336%K -0.487%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.31%EV -3.84%E -1.64%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.86%EV -4.94%E -1.47%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-01 22:54
BetOnline.ag🎯3.24I 30.86%NM 29.83%EV -1.09%E -0.336%K -0.487%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.31%EV -3.84%E -1.64%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.86%EV -4.94%E -1.47%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-01 22:54
Coolbet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.73%EV -2.31%E -0.722%K -1.05%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.29%EV -7.54%E -3.35%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.98%EV -3.52%E -1.03%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-01 22:54
GTbets🎯3.16I 31.65%NM 30.12%EV -3.53%E -1.12%K -1.64%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.03%EV -4.66%E -2.01%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.85%EV -6.36%E -1.93%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-01 22:34
BetRivers🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -3.84%E -1.22%K -1.78%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.12%EV -13.70%E -6.52%K -12.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -0.680%E -0.194%K -0.272%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-01 22:40
Unibet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -3.84%E -1.22%K -1.78%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.12%EV -13.70%E -6.52%K -12.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -0.680%E -0.194%K -0.272%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-01 22:40
Casumo🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -3.84%E -1.22%K -1.78%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.12%EV -13.70%E -6.52%K -12.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -0.680%E -0.194%K -0.272%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-01 22:39
Unibet (SE)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -3.84%E -1.22%K -1.78%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.12%EV -13.70%E -6.52%K -12.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -0.680%E -0.194%K -0.272%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-01 22:39
Unibet (NL)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -3.84%E -1.22%K -1.78%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.12%EV -13.70%E -6.52%K -12.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -0.680%E -0.194%K -0.272%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-01 22:40
Grosvenor🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -3.84%E -1.22%K -1.78%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.12%EV -13.70%E -6.52%K -12.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -0.680%E -0.194%K -0.272%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-01 22:39
betPARX🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -3.84%E -1.22%K -1.78%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.12%EV -13.70%E -6.52%K -12.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -0.680%E -0.194%K -0.272%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-01 22:39
TABtouch🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.29%EV -3.84%E -1.22%K -1.78%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.35%EV -14.52%E -6.98%K -13.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.36%EV -0.680%E -0.194%K -0.272%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-01 22:39
Fanatics🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -5.36%E -1.73%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.00%EV -5.48%E -2.38%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -6.36%E -1.93%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-01 22:35
Marathon Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -5.36%E -1.73%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 41.35%EV -7.95%E -3.55%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 28.77%EV -8.63%E -2.68%K -3.89%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-01 22:50
LiveScore Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.38%EV -5.36%E -1.73%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 44.22%EV -15.34%E -7.45%K -14.48%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.40%EV -2.10%E -0.608%K -0.857%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-01 22:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.38%EV -5.36%E -1.73%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 44.22%EV -15.34%E -7.45%K -14.48%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.40%EV -2.10%E -0.608%K -0.857%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-01 22:40
DraftKings🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.90%EV -6.89%E -2.26%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.97%EV -5.48%E -2.38%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.13%EV -4.94%E -1.47%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-01 22:35
Virgin Bet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.48%EV -6.89%E -2.26%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 44.08%EV -16.17%E -7.92%K -15.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -3.52%E -1.03%K -1.47%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-01 22:39
FanDuel🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -8.42%E -2.81%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -5.48%E -2.38%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -3.52%E -1.03%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-01 22:39
Unibet (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -8.42%E -2.81%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -5.48%E -2.38%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -6.36%E -1.93%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-01 18:49
Bet Victor🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -8.42%E -2.81%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -7.54%E -3.35%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -3.52%E -1.03%K -1.47%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-01 22:44
betano_uk🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -8.42%E -2.81%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -7.54%E -3.35%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -3.52%E -1.03%K -1.47%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-01 22:44
Betway🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -8.42%E -2.81%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -7.54%E -3.35%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -3.52%E -1.03%K -1.47%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-01 20:15
SportsBet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -8.42%E -2.81%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.29%EV -7.54%E -3.35%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.73%EV -4.94%E -1.47%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-01 22:39
Bet Right🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -8.42%E -2.81%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.84%EV -9.59%E -4.36%K -7.99%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -4.94%E -1.47%K -2.10%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-01 20:40
Everygame🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -8.42%E -2.81%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.58%EV -7.54%E -3.35%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.99%EV -10.61%E -3.37%K -4.94%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-01 22:35
PMU (FR)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -8.42%E -2.81%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.18%EV -17.81%E -8.90%K -17.81%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.37%EV -4.94%E -1.47%K -2.10%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-01 22:39
Betsson🎯2.98I 33.56%NM 31.24%EV -9.03%E -3.03%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.12%EV -4.66%E -2.01%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -7.77%E -2.39%K -3.46%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-01 22:54
NordicBet🎯2.98I 33.56%NM 31.24%EV -9.03%E -3.03%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.12%EV -4.66%E -2.01%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -7.77%E -2.39%K -3.46%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-01 22:54
BetUS🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.12%EV -9.94%E -3.37%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.19%EV -5.48%E -2.38%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.69%EV +0.739%E +0.208%K +0.290%G +0.002%5.5%2026-08-01 21:39
Tipico (DE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.20%EV -9.94%E -3.37%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.91%EV -7.54%E -3.35%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -6.36%E -1.93%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-01 22:39
Fliff🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.78%EV -9.94%E -3.37%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.28%EV -9.59%E -4.36%K -7.99%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -7.77%E -2.39%K -3.46%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-01 22:34
Betclic (FR)🎯2.93I 34.13%NM 30.46%EV -10.55%E -3.60%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.57%EV -9.59%E -4.36%K -7.99%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 28.98%EV -12.60%E -4.09%K -6.06%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-01 22:33
PlayUp🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.85%EV -11.47%E -3.95%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.16%EV -5.48%E -2.38%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -6.36%E -1.93%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-01 22:55
LeoVegas🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.43%EV -11.47%E -3.95%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.52%EV -7.54%E -3.35%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -7.77%E -2.39%K -3.46%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-01 22:50
William Hill🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.44%EV -11.47%E -3.95%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.13%EV -9.59%E -4.36%K -7.99%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.43%EV -14.87%E -4.96%K -7.43%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-01 22:35
888sport🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.44%EV -11.47%E -3.95%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.13%EV -9.59%E -4.36%K -7.99%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.43%EV -14.87%E -4.96%K -7.43%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-01 22:35
888sport (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.44%EV -11.47%E -3.95%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.13%EV -9.59%E -4.36%K -7.99%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.43%EV -14.87%E -4.96%K -7.43%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-01 22:34
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.44%EV -11.47%E -3.95%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.13%EV -9.59%E -4.36%K -7.99%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.43%EV -14.87%E -4.96%K -7.43%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-01 22:35
NetBet (FR)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 29.99%EV -11.47%E -3.95%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 41.02%EV -12.88%E -6.07%K -11.50%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.99%EV -14.87%E -4.96%K -7.43%G +0.000%15.0%2026-08-01 22:54
Paddy Power🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.30%EV -12.08%E -4.19%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.97%EV -9.59%E -4.36%K -7.99%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.73%EV -7.77%E -2.39%K -3.46%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-01 22:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.30%EV -12.08%E -4.19%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.97%EV -9.59%E -4.36%K -7.99%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.73%EV -7.77%E -2.39%K -3.46%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-01 22:45
Sky Bet🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -12.08%E -4.19%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.79%EV -9.59%E -4.36%K -7.99%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -9.19%E -2.87%K -4.18%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-01 22:35
Neds🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -12.08%E -4.19%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.79%EV -9.59%E -4.36%K -7.99%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -9.19%E -2.87%K -4.18%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-01 18:20
betfred_uk🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -12.08%E -4.19%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.70%EV -11.65%E -5.42%K -10.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.17%EV -6.36%E -1.93%K -2.76%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-01 20:39
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.25I 30.77%NM 30.60%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.78%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.62%0.6%2026-08-01 22:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.25I 30.77%NM 30.60%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.78%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.62%0.6%2026-08-01 22:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.25I 30.77%NM 30.60%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.78%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.62%0.6%2026-08-01 22:55
Matchbook3.25I 30.77%NM 30.49%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.99%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.52%0.9%2026-08-01 22:55
Smarkets3.20I 31.25%NM 30.70%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.63%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.67%1.8%2026-08-01 22:55
Kalshi3.23I 30.96%NM 30.34%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.17%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.49%2.0%2026-08-01 22:55