L’École des cotes

Querétaro v Cruz Azul

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-22 01:04 UTC

Score final : Querétaro 1–1 Cruz Azul

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

54 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Querétaro (Local)

Prévision 18.48%5.41cote équitable
EV +2.35%
Avantage +0.425%
Kelly +0.518%
Croissance +0.012%

avec la cote maximale 5.54

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
17.29%18.52%18.46%20.36%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.334.904.805.5423.09%20.43%20.83%18.05%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cruz Azul (Visiteur)

Prévision 59.28%1.69cote équitable
EV -2.19%
Avantage -1.33%
Kelly -3.37%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.65

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
56.76%59.17%59.38%60.80%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.431.561.551.6569.93%64.02%64.52%60.61%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 22.25%4.49cote équitable
EV -1.89%
Avantage -0.429%
Kelly -0.554%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.41

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.38%22.31%22.16%24.32%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.504.074.104.4128.57%24.55%24.39%22.68%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (54 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet5.54I 18.05%NM 17.31%EV +2.35%E +0.425%K +0.518%G +0.012%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.69%EV -6.34%E -4.01%K -10.93%G +0.000%4.36I 22.94%NM 21.99%EV -3.00%E -0.689%K -0.894%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-22 00:59
BetOnline.ag5.50I 18.18%NM 17.59%EV +1.61%E +0.293%K +0.359%G +0.006%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.08%EV -4.56%E -2.83%K -7.48%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 22.34%EV -3.67%E -0.848%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-22 01:00
LowVig.ag5.50I 18.18%NM 17.59%EV +1.61%E +0.293%K +0.359%G +0.006%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.08%EV -4.56%E -2.83%K -7.48%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 22.34%EV -3.67%E -0.848%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-22 00:59
BetUS5.50I 18.18%NM 17.59%EV +1.61%E +0.293%K +0.359%G +0.006%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.08%EV -4.56%E -2.83%K -7.48%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 22.34%EV -3.67%E -0.848%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-22 01:00
Coolbet5.45I 18.35%NM 17.46%EV +0.690%E +0.127%K +0.155%G +0.001%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.75%EV -3.97%E -2.45%K -6.40%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.79%EV -11.01%E -2.75%K -3.67%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-22 00:59
NordicBet5.40I 18.52%NM 17.29%EV -0.234%E -0.043%K -0.053%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.22%EV -8.12%E -5.24%K -14.76%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.49%EV -7.67%E -1.85%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-22 01:00
Betsson5.40I 18.52%NM 17.29%EV -0.234%E -0.043%K -0.053%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.22%EV -8.12%E -5.24%K -14.76%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.49%EV -7.67%E -1.85%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-22 01:00
Pinnacle5.31I 18.83%NM 18.17%EV -1.90%E -0.357%K -0.440%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.94%EV -4.56%E -2.83%K -7.48%G +0.000%4.41I 22.68%NM 21.88%EV -1.89%E -0.429%K -0.554%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-22 00:59
FanDuel5.30I 18.87%NM 17.62%EV -2.08%E -0.393%K -0.484%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.65%EV -8.71%E -5.66%K -16.13%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.72%EV -4.34%E -1.01%K -1.31%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-22 00:59
Bet Victor5.25I 19.05%NM 17.72%EV -3.01%E -0.572%K -0.707%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.80%EV -9.31%E -6.08%K -17.56%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.48%EV -3.67%E -0.848%K -1.10%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-22 00:59
PlayUp5.25I 19.05%NM 17.64%EV -3.01%E -0.572%K -0.707%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.76%EV -8.12%E -5.24%K -14.76%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.59%EV -8.79%E -2.14%K -2.83%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-22 01:00
GTbets5.17I 19.34%NM 18.47%EV -4.48%E -0.867%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.95%EV -3.97%E -2.45%K -6.40%G +0.000%4.23I 23.64%NM 22.58%EV -5.89%E -1.39%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-22 01:00
Marathon Bet5.10I 19.61%NM 18.17%EV -5.78%E -1.13%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.77%EV -8.12%E -5.24%K -14.76%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -6.56%E -1.56%K -2.05%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-22 00:59
Fliff5.05I 19.80%NM 18.08%EV -6.70%E -1.33%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.66%EV -9.31%E -6.08%K -17.56%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.26%EV -8.79%E -2.14%K -2.83%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-22 01:00
DraftKings5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -7.62%E -1.52%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.56%EV -6.93%E -4.42%K -12.16%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.74%EV -4.34%E -1.01%K -1.31%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-22 01:00
Unibet (UK)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -7.62%E -1.52%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.10%EV -6.34%E -4.01%K -10.93%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.23%EV -6.56%E -1.56%K -2.05%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-22 00:59
BetMGM5.00I 20.00%NM 18.51%EV -7.62%E -1.52%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.11%EV -8.71%E -5.66%K -16.13%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.38%EV -3.67%E -0.848%K -1.10%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-22 00:59
Bovada5.00I 20.00%NM 18.48%EV -7.62%E -1.52%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.25%EV -7.53%E -4.82%K -13.44%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.27%EV -7.67%E -1.85%K -2.44%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-22 00:54
SportsBet5.00I 20.00%NM 18.46%EV -7.62%E -1.52%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.56%EV -8.12%E -5.24%K -14.76%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -6.56%E -1.56%K -2.05%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-22 01:00
Betway5.00I 20.00%NM 18.46%EV -7.62%E -1.52%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.56%EV -8.12%E -5.24%K -14.76%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -6.56%E -1.56%K -2.05%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-22 01:00
Bet Right5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -7.62%E -1.52%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.24%EV -8.12%E -5.24%K -14.76%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -8.79%E -2.14%K -2.83%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-22 00:59
Everygame5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -7.62%E -1.52%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 58.91%EV -8.12%E -5.24%K -14.76%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -11.01%E -2.75%K -3.67%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-22 01:00
Paddy Power5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -7.62%E -1.52%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -11.08%E -7.39%K -22.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -11.01%E -2.75%K -3.67%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-22 01:00
Winamax (DE)4.90I 20.41%NM 18.50%EV -9.47%E -1.93%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 58.85%EV -8.71%E -5.66%K -16.13%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.66%EV -11.01%E -2.75%K -3.67%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-22 01:00
ATG (SE)4.80I 20.83%NM 19.79%EV -11.32%E -2.36%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -2.19%E -1.33%K -3.37%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.62%EV -6.56%E -1.56%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-22 01:00
Svenska Spel4.80I 20.83%NM 19.79%EV -11.32%E -2.36%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -2.19%E -1.33%K -3.37%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.62%EV -6.56%E -1.56%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-22 01:00
888sport4.80I 20.83%NM 18.52%EV -11.32%E -2.36%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 58.09%EV -9.31%E -6.08%K -17.56%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.39%EV -15.46%E -4.07%K -5.52%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-22 00:59
Mr Green (SE)4.80I 20.83%NM 18.52%EV -11.32%E -2.36%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 58.09%EV -9.31%E -6.08%K -17.56%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.39%EV -15.46%E -4.07%K -5.52%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-22 00:59
888sport (SE)4.80I 20.83%NM 18.52%EV -11.32%E -2.36%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 58.09%EV -9.31%E -6.08%K -17.56%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.39%EV -15.46%E -4.07%K -5.52%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-22 00:59
Sky Bet4.80I 20.83%NM 18.41%EV -11.32%E -2.36%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 58.92%EV -11.08%E -7.39%K -22.17%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.66%EV -13.24%E -3.39%K -4.56%G +0.000%13.1%2026-04-22 01:00
NetBet (FR)4.80I 20.83%NM 17.90%EV -11.32%E -2.36%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 60.08%EV -15.23%E -10.65%K -35.43%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.03%EV -13.24%E -3.39%K -4.56%G +0.000%16.4%2026-04-22 01:00
Fanatics4.75I 21.05%NM 19.43%EV -12.24%E -2.58%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 58.05%EV -5.75%E -3.62%K -9.74%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.51%EV -8.79%E -2.14%K -2.83%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-22 01:00
Unibet4.70I 21.28%NM 19.81%EV -13.17%E -2.80%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.48%EV -3.97%E -2.45%K -6.40%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.71%EV -8.79%E -2.14%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-22 01:00
Grosvenor4.70I 21.28%NM 19.81%EV -13.17%E -2.80%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.48%EV -3.97%E -2.45%K -6.40%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.71%EV -8.79%E -2.14%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-22 01:00
Unibet (NL)4.70I 21.28%NM 19.81%EV -13.17%E -2.80%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.48%EV -3.97%E -2.45%K -6.40%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.71%EV -8.79%E -2.14%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-22 01:00
Unibet (SE)4.70I 21.28%NM 19.81%EV -13.17%E -2.80%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.48%EV -3.97%E -2.45%K -6.40%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.71%EV -8.79%E -2.14%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-22 00:59
Casumo4.70I 21.28%NM 19.81%EV -13.17%E -2.80%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.48%EV -3.97%E -2.45%K -6.40%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.71%EV -8.79%E -2.14%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-22 01:00
betPARX4.70I 21.28%NM 19.81%EV -13.17%E -2.80%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.48%EV -3.97%E -2.45%K -6.40%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.71%EV -8.79%E -2.14%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-22 01:00
TABtouch4.70I 21.28%NM 19.67%EV -13.17%E -2.80%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.78%EV -5.16%E -3.22%K -8.59%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.55%EV -8.79%E -2.14%K -2.83%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-22 01:00
BetRivers4.70I 21.28%NM 19.63%EV -13.17%E -2.80%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.30%EV -4.56%E -2.83%K -7.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.07%EV -11.01%E -2.75%K -3.67%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-22 00:54
LiveScore Bet4.60I 21.74%NM 19.76%EV -15.01%E -3.26%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 57.52%EV -6.34%E -4.01%K -10.93%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.72%EV -11.01%E -2.75%K -3.67%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-22 01:00
LeoVegas (SE)4.60I 21.74%NM 19.69%EV -15.01%E -3.26%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 57.68%EV -6.93%E -4.42%K -12.16%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.64%EV -11.01%E -2.75%K -3.67%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-22 01:00
Virgin Bet4.60I 21.74%NM 19.56%EV -15.01%E -3.26%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 57.67%EV -7.53%E -4.82%K -13.44%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.78%EV -12.12%E -3.07%K -4.11%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-22 01:00
betfred_uk4.60I 21.74%NM 19.39%EV -15.01%E -3.26%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 58.31%EV -9.31%E -6.08%K -17.56%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.30%EV -11.01%E -2.75%K -3.67%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-22 00:59
Coral4.60I 21.74%NM 19.39%EV -15.01%E -3.26%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 58.31%EV -9.31%E -6.08%K -17.56%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.30%EV -11.01%E -2.75%K -3.67%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-22 01:00
Ladbrokes (UK)4.60I 21.74%NM 19.39%EV -15.01%E -3.26%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 58.31%EV -9.31%E -6.08%K -17.56%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.30%EV -11.01%E -2.75%K -3.67%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-22 01:00
William Hill4.60I 21.74%NM 19.31%EV -15.01%E -3.26%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 57.31%EV -8.12%E -5.24%K -14.76%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.38%EV -15.46%E -4.07%K -5.52%G +0.000%12.6%2026-04-22 01:00
Winamax (FR)4.60I 21.74%NM 19.21%EV -15.01%E -3.26%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 58.13%EV -9.90%E -6.51%K -19.03%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.66%EV -13.24%E -3.39%K -4.56%G +0.000%13.2%2026-04-22 01:00
Unibet (FR)4.60I 21.74%NM 19.04%EV -15.01%E -3.26%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 58.78%EV -11.68%E -7.84%K -23.83%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.17%EV -12.12%E -3.07%K -4.11%G +0.000%14.2%2026-04-22 00:59
Betclic (FR)4.55I 21.98%NM 19.31%EV -15.94%E -3.50%K -4.49%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 58.17%EV -10.49%E -6.95%K -20.57%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.52%EV -13.24%E -3.39%K -4.56%G +0.000%13.8%2026-04-22 00:59
PMU (FR)4.50I 22.22%NM 19.63%EV -16.86%E -3.75%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 57.73%EV -9.31%E -6.08%K -17.56%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.65%EV -13.24%E -3.39%K -4.56%G +0.000%13.2%2026-04-22 01:00
LeoVegas4.50I 22.22%NM 19.63%EV -16.86%E -3.75%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 57.73%EV -9.31%E -6.08%K -17.56%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.65%EV -13.24%E -3.39%K -4.56%G +0.000%13.2%2026-04-22 01:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)4.50I 22.22%NM 18.92%EV -16.86%E -3.75%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 56.76%EV -11.08%E -7.39%K -22.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.32%EV -22.14%E -6.32%K -8.85%G +0.000%17.5%2026-04-22 00:59
BoyleSports4.33I 23.09%NM 20.36%EV -20.00%E -4.62%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 57.61%EV -9.31%E -6.08%K -17.56%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.04%EV -11.01%E -2.75%K -3.67%G +0.000%13.5%2026-04-22 00:59
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Kalshi5.56I 17.99%NM 17.82%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.41%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.77%0.9%2026-04-22 01:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)5.80I 17.24%NM 17.04%1.62I 61.73%NM 61.00%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.96%1.2%2026-04-22 01:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)5.80I 17.24%NM 17.04%1.62I 61.73%NM 61.00%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.96%1.2%2026-04-22 01:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)5.80I 17.24%NM 17.04%1.62I 61.73%NM 61.00%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.96%1.2%2026-04-22 01:00
Matchbook5.90I 16.95%NM 16.71%1.62I 61.73%NM 60.87%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.41%1.4%2026-04-22 01:00
Smarkets5.50I 18.18%NM 17.56%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.98%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.46%3.5%2026-04-22 01:00