La escuela de los momios

Querétaro v Cruz Azul

Inicio: 2026-04-22 01:04 UTC

Final: Querétaro 1–1 Cruz Azul

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

54 corredores (17 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Querétaro (Local)

Predicción 18.48%5.41momio equitativo
EV +2.35%
Ventaja +0.425%
Kelly +0.518%
Crecimiento +0.012%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.54

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
17.29%18.52%18.46%20.36%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.334.904.805.5423.09%20.43%20.83%18.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Cruz Azul (Visitante)

Predicción 59.28%1.69momio equitativo
EV -2.19%
Ventaja -1.33%
Kelly -3.37%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.65

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
56.76%59.17%59.38%60.80%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.431.561.551.6569.93%64.02%64.52%60.61%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 22.25%4.49momio equitativo
EV -1.89%
Ventaja -0.429%
Kelly -0.554%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.41

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.38%22.31%22.16%24.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.504.074.104.4128.57%24.55%24.39%22.68%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (54 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
1xBet5.54I 18.05%NM 17.31%EV +2.35%E +0.425%K +0.518%G +0.012%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.69%EV -6.34%E -4.01%K -10.93%G +0.000%4.36I 22.94%NM 21.99%EV -3.00%E -0.689%K -0.894%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-22 00:59
BetOnline.ag5.50I 18.18%NM 17.59%EV +1.61%E +0.293%K +0.359%G +0.006%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.08%EV -4.56%E -2.83%K -7.48%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 22.34%EV -3.67%E -0.848%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-22 01:00
LowVig.ag5.50I 18.18%NM 17.59%EV +1.61%E +0.293%K +0.359%G +0.006%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.08%EV -4.56%E -2.83%K -7.48%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 22.34%EV -3.67%E -0.848%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-22 00:59
BetUS5.50I 18.18%NM 17.59%EV +1.61%E +0.293%K +0.359%G +0.006%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.08%EV -4.56%E -2.83%K -7.48%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 22.34%EV -3.67%E -0.848%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-22 01:00
Coolbet5.45I 18.35%NM 17.46%EV +0.690%E +0.127%K +0.155%G +0.001%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.75%EV -3.97%E -2.45%K -6.40%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.79%EV -11.01%E -2.75%K -3.67%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-22 00:59
NordicBet5.40I 18.52%NM 17.29%EV -0.234%E -0.043%K -0.053%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.22%EV -8.12%E -5.24%K -14.76%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.49%EV -7.67%E -1.85%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-22 01:00
Betsson5.40I 18.52%NM 17.29%EV -0.234%E -0.043%K -0.053%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.22%EV -8.12%E -5.24%K -14.76%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.49%EV -7.67%E -1.85%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-22 01:00
Pinnacle5.31I 18.83%NM 18.17%EV -1.90%E -0.357%K -0.440%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.94%EV -4.56%E -2.83%K -7.48%G +0.000%4.41I 22.68%NM 21.88%EV -1.89%E -0.429%K -0.554%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-22 00:59
FanDuel5.30I 18.87%NM 17.62%EV -2.08%E -0.393%K -0.484%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.65%EV -8.71%E -5.66%K -16.13%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.72%EV -4.34%E -1.01%K -1.31%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-22 00:59
Bet Victor5.25I 19.05%NM 17.72%EV -3.01%E -0.572%K -0.707%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.80%EV -9.31%E -6.08%K -17.56%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.48%EV -3.67%E -0.848%K -1.10%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-22 00:59
PlayUp5.25I 19.05%NM 17.64%EV -3.01%E -0.572%K -0.707%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.76%EV -8.12%E -5.24%K -14.76%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.59%EV -8.79%E -2.14%K -2.83%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-22 01:00
GTbets5.17I 19.34%NM 18.47%EV -4.48%E -0.867%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.95%EV -3.97%E -2.45%K -6.40%G +0.000%4.23I 23.64%NM 22.58%EV -5.89%E -1.39%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-22 01:00
Marathon Bet5.10I 19.61%NM 18.17%EV -5.78%E -1.13%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.77%EV -8.12%E -5.24%K -14.76%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -6.56%E -1.56%K -2.05%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-22 00:59
Fliff5.05I 19.80%NM 18.08%EV -6.70%E -1.33%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.66%EV -9.31%E -6.08%K -17.56%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.26%EV -8.79%E -2.14%K -2.83%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-22 01:00
DraftKings5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -7.62%E -1.52%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.56%EV -6.93%E -4.42%K -12.16%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.74%EV -4.34%E -1.01%K -1.31%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-22 01:00
Unibet (UK)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -7.62%E -1.52%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.10%EV -6.34%E -4.01%K -10.93%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.23%EV -6.56%E -1.56%K -2.05%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-22 00:59
BetMGM5.00I 20.00%NM 18.51%EV -7.62%E -1.52%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.11%EV -8.71%E -5.66%K -16.13%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.38%EV -3.67%E -0.848%K -1.10%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-22 00:59
Bovada5.00I 20.00%NM 18.48%EV -7.62%E -1.52%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.25%EV -7.53%E -4.82%K -13.44%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.27%EV -7.67%E -1.85%K -2.44%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-22 00:54
SportsBet5.00I 20.00%NM 18.46%EV -7.62%E -1.52%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.56%EV -8.12%E -5.24%K -14.76%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -6.56%E -1.56%K -2.05%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-22 01:00
Betway5.00I 20.00%NM 18.46%EV -7.62%E -1.52%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.56%EV -8.12%E -5.24%K -14.76%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -6.56%E -1.56%K -2.05%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-22 01:00
Bet Right5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -7.62%E -1.52%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.24%EV -8.12%E -5.24%K -14.76%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -8.79%E -2.14%K -2.83%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-22 00:59
Everygame5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -7.62%E -1.52%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 58.91%EV -8.12%E -5.24%K -14.76%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -11.01%E -2.75%K -3.67%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-22 01:00
Paddy Power5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -7.62%E -1.52%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -11.08%E -7.39%K -22.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -11.01%E -2.75%K -3.67%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-22 01:00
Winamax (DE)4.90I 20.41%NM 18.50%EV -9.47%E -1.93%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 58.85%EV -8.71%E -5.66%K -16.13%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.66%EV -11.01%E -2.75%K -3.67%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-22 01:00
ATG (SE)4.80I 20.83%NM 19.79%EV -11.32%E -2.36%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -2.19%E -1.33%K -3.37%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.62%EV -6.56%E -1.56%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-22 01:00
Svenska Spel4.80I 20.83%NM 19.79%EV -11.32%E -2.36%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -2.19%E -1.33%K -3.37%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.62%EV -6.56%E -1.56%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-22 01:00
888sport4.80I 20.83%NM 18.52%EV -11.32%E -2.36%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 58.09%EV -9.31%E -6.08%K -17.56%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.39%EV -15.46%E -4.07%K -5.52%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-22 00:59
Mr Green (SE)4.80I 20.83%NM 18.52%EV -11.32%E -2.36%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 58.09%EV -9.31%E -6.08%K -17.56%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.39%EV -15.46%E -4.07%K -5.52%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-22 00:59
888sport (SE)4.80I 20.83%NM 18.52%EV -11.32%E -2.36%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 58.09%EV -9.31%E -6.08%K -17.56%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.39%EV -15.46%E -4.07%K -5.52%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-22 00:59
Sky Bet4.80I 20.83%NM 18.41%EV -11.32%E -2.36%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 58.92%EV -11.08%E -7.39%K -22.17%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.66%EV -13.24%E -3.39%K -4.56%G +0.000%13.1%2026-04-22 01:00
NetBet (FR)4.80I 20.83%NM 17.90%EV -11.32%E -2.36%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 60.08%EV -15.23%E -10.65%K -35.43%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.03%EV -13.24%E -3.39%K -4.56%G +0.000%16.4%2026-04-22 01:00
Fanatics4.75I 21.05%NM 19.43%EV -12.24%E -2.58%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 58.05%EV -5.75%E -3.62%K -9.74%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.51%EV -8.79%E -2.14%K -2.83%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-22 01:00
Unibet4.70I 21.28%NM 19.81%EV -13.17%E -2.80%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.48%EV -3.97%E -2.45%K -6.40%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.71%EV -8.79%E -2.14%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-22 01:00
Grosvenor4.70I 21.28%NM 19.81%EV -13.17%E -2.80%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.48%EV -3.97%E -2.45%K -6.40%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.71%EV -8.79%E -2.14%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-22 01:00
Unibet (NL)4.70I 21.28%NM 19.81%EV -13.17%E -2.80%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.48%EV -3.97%E -2.45%K -6.40%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.71%EV -8.79%E -2.14%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-22 01:00
Unibet (SE)4.70I 21.28%NM 19.81%EV -13.17%E -2.80%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.48%EV -3.97%E -2.45%K -6.40%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.71%EV -8.79%E -2.14%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-22 00:59
Casumo4.70I 21.28%NM 19.81%EV -13.17%E -2.80%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.48%EV -3.97%E -2.45%K -6.40%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.71%EV -8.79%E -2.14%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-22 01:00
betPARX4.70I 21.28%NM 19.81%EV -13.17%E -2.80%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.48%EV -3.97%E -2.45%K -6.40%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.71%EV -8.79%E -2.14%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-22 01:00
TABtouch4.70I 21.28%NM 19.67%EV -13.17%E -2.80%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.78%EV -5.16%E -3.22%K -8.59%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.55%EV -8.79%E -2.14%K -2.83%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-22 01:00
BetRivers4.70I 21.28%NM 19.63%EV -13.17%E -2.80%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.30%EV -4.56%E -2.83%K -7.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.07%EV -11.01%E -2.75%K -3.67%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-22 00:54
LiveScore Bet4.60I 21.74%NM 19.76%EV -15.01%E -3.26%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 57.52%EV -6.34%E -4.01%K -10.93%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.72%EV -11.01%E -2.75%K -3.67%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-22 01:00
LeoVegas (SE)4.60I 21.74%NM 19.69%EV -15.01%E -3.26%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 57.68%EV -6.93%E -4.42%K -12.16%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.64%EV -11.01%E -2.75%K -3.67%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-22 01:00
Virgin Bet4.60I 21.74%NM 19.56%EV -15.01%E -3.26%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 57.67%EV -7.53%E -4.82%K -13.44%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.78%EV -12.12%E -3.07%K -4.11%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-22 01:00
betfred_uk4.60I 21.74%NM 19.39%EV -15.01%E -3.26%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 58.31%EV -9.31%E -6.08%K -17.56%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.30%EV -11.01%E -2.75%K -3.67%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-22 00:59
Coral4.60I 21.74%NM 19.39%EV -15.01%E -3.26%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 58.31%EV -9.31%E -6.08%K -17.56%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.30%EV -11.01%E -2.75%K -3.67%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-22 01:00
Ladbrokes (UK)4.60I 21.74%NM 19.39%EV -15.01%E -3.26%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 58.31%EV -9.31%E -6.08%K -17.56%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.30%EV -11.01%E -2.75%K -3.67%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-22 01:00
William Hill4.60I 21.74%NM 19.31%EV -15.01%E -3.26%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 57.31%EV -8.12%E -5.24%K -14.76%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.38%EV -15.46%E -4.07%K -5.52%G +0.000%12.6%2026-04-22 01:00
Winamax (FR)4.60I 21.74%NM 19.21%EV -15.01%E -3.26%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 58.13%EV -9.90%E -6.51%K -19.03%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.66%EV -13.24%E -3.39%K -4.56%G +0.000%13.2%2026-04-22 01:00
Unibet (FR)4.60I 21.74%NM 19.04%EV -15.01%E -3.26%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 58.78%EV -11.68%E -7.84%K -23.83%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.17%EV -12.12%E -3.07%K -4.11%G +0.000%14.2%2026-04-22 00:59
Betclic (FR)4.55I 21.98%NM 19.31%EV -15.94%E -3.50%K -4.49%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 58.17%EV -10.49%E -6.95%K -20.57%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.52%EV -13.24%E -3.39%K -4.56%G +0.000%13.8%2026-04-22 00:59
PMU (FR)4.50I 22.22%NM 19.63%EV -16.86%E -3.75%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 57.73%EV -9.31%E -6.08%K -17.56%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.65%EV -13.24%E -3.39%K -4.56%G +0.000%13.2%2026-04-22 01:00
LeoVegas4.50I 22.22%NM 19.63%EV -16.86%E -3.75%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 57.73%EV -9.31%E -6.08%K -17.56%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.65%EV -13.24%E -3.39%K -4.56%G +0.000%13.2%2026-04-22 01:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)4.50I 22.22%NM 18.92%EV -16.86%E -3.75%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 56.76%EV -11.08%E -7.39%K -22.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.32%EV -22.14%E -6.32%K -8.85%G +0.000%17.5%2026-04-22 00:59
BoyleSports4.33I 23.09%NM 20.36%EV -20.00%E -4.62%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 57.61%EV -9.31%E -6.08%K -17.56%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.04%EV -11.01%E -2.75%K -3.67%G +0.000%13.5%2026-04-22 00:59
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Kalshi5.56I 17.99%NM 17.82%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.41%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.77%0.9%2026-04-22 01:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)5.80I 17.24%NM 17.04%1.62I 61.73%NM 61.00%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.96%1.2%2026-04-22 01:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)5.80I 17.24%NM 17.04%1.62I 61.73%NM 61.00%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.96%1.2%2026-04-22 01:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)5.80I 17.24%NM 17.04%1.62I 61.73%NM 61.00%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.96%1.2%2026-04-22 01:00
Matchbook5.90I 16.95%NM 16.71%1.62I 61.73%NM 60.87%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.41%1.4%2026-04-22 01:00
Smarkets5.50I 18.18%NM 17.56%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.98%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.46%3.5%2026-04-22 01:00