مدرسة الاحتمالات

Querétaro v Cruz Azul

البداية: 2026-04-22 01:04 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Querétaro 1–1 Cruz Azul

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

54 شركة مراهنات (17 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Querétaro (المضيف)

التنبؤ 18.48%5.41السعر العادل
EV +2.35%
الأفضلية +0.425%
Kelly +0.518%
النمو +0.012%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 5.54

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
17.29%18.52%18.46%20.36%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
4.334.904.805.5423.09%20.43%20.83%18.05%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Cruz Azul (الضيف)

التنبؤ 59.28%1.69السعر العادل
EV -2.19%
الأفضلية -1.33%
Kelly -3.37%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.65

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
56.76%59.17%59.38%60.80%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.431.561.551.6569.93%64.02%64.52%60.61%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 22.25%4.49السعر العادل
EV -1.89%
الأفضلية -0.429%
Kelly -0.554%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.41

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
21.38%22.31%22.16%24.32%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.504.074.104.4128.57%24.55%24.39%22.68%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (54 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفتعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
1xBet5.54I 18.05%NM 17.31%EV +2.35%E +0.425%K +0.518%G +0.012%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.69%EV -6.34%E -4.01%K -10.93%G +0.000%4.36I 22.94%NM 21.99%EV -3.00%E -0.689%K -0.894%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-22 00:59
BetOnline.ag5.50I 18.18%NM 17.59%EV +1.61%E +0.293%K +0.359%G +0.006%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.08%EV -4.56%E -2.83%K -7.48%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 22.34%EV -3.67%E -0.848%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-22 01:00
LowVig.ag5.50I 18.18%NM 17.59%EV +1.61%E +0.293%K +0.359%G +0.006%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.08%EV -4.56%E -2.83%K -7.48%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 22.34%EV -3.67%E -0.848%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-22 00:59
BetUS5.50I 18.18%NM 17.59%EV +1.61%E +0.293%K +0.359%G +0.006%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.08%EV -4.56%E -2.83%K -7.48%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 22.34%EV -3.67%E -0.848%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-22 01:00
Coolbet5.45I 18.35%NM 17.46%EV +0.690%E +0.127%K +0.155%G +0.001%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.75%EV -3.97%E -2.45%K -6.40%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.79%EV -11.01%E -2.75%K -3.67%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-22 00:59
NordicBet5.40I 18.52%NM 17.29%EV -0.234%E -0.043%K -0.053%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.22%EV -8.12%E -5.24%K -14.76%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.49%EV -7.67%E -1.85%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-22 01:00
Betsson5.40I 18.52%NM 17.29%EV -0.234%E -0.043%K -0.053%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.22%EV -8.12%E -5.24%K -14.76%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.49%EV -7.67%E -1.85%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-22 01:00
Pinnacle5.31I 18.83%NM 18.17%EV -1.90%E -0.357%K -0.440%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.94%EV -4.56%E -2.83%K -7.48%G +0.000%4.41I 22.68%NM 21.88%EV -1.89%E -0.429%K -0.554%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-22 00:59
FanDuel5.30I 18.87%NM 17.62%EV -2.08%E -0.393%K -0.484%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.65%EV -8.71%E -5.66%K -16.13%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.72%EV -4.34%E -1.01%K -1.31%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-22 00:59
Bet Victor5.25I 19.05%NM 17.72%EV -3.01%E -0.572%K -0.707%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.80%EV -9.31%E -6.08%K -17.56%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.48%EV -3.67%E -0.848%K -1.10%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-22 00:59
PlayUp5.25I 19.05%NM 17.64%EV -3.01%E -0.572%K -0.707%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.76%EV -8.12%E -5.24%K -14.76%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.59%EV -8.79%E -2.14%K -2.83%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-22 01:00
GTbets5.17I 19.34%NM 18.47%EV -4.48%E -0.867%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.95%EV -3.97%E -2.45%K -6.40%G +0.000%4.23I 23.64%NM 22.58%EV -5.89%E -1.39%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-22 01:00
Marathon Bet5.10I 19.61%NM 18.17%EV -5.78%E -1.13%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.77%EV -8.12%E -5.24%K -14.76%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -6.56%E -1.56%K -2.05%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-22 00:59
Fliff5.05I 19.80%NM 18.08%EV -6.70%E -1.33%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.66%EV -9.31%E -6.08%K -17.56%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.26%EV -8.79%E -2.14%K -2.83%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-22 01:00
DraftKings5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -7.62%E -1.52%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.56%EV -6.93%E -4.42%K -12.16%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.74%EV -4.34%E -1.01%K -1.31%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-22 01:00
Unibet (UK)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -7.62%E -1.52%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.10%EV -6.34%E -4.01%K -10.93%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.23%EV -6.56%E -1.56%K -2.05%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-22 00:59
BetMGM5.00I 20.00%NM 18.51%EV -7.62%E -1.52%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.11%EV -8.71%E -5.66%K -16.13%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.38%EV -3.67%E -0.848%K -1.10%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-22 00:59
Bovada5.00I 20.00%NM 18.48%EV -7.62%E -1.52%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.25%EV -7.53%E -4.82%K -13.44%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.27%EV -7.67%E -1.85%K -2.44%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-22 00:54
SportsBet5.00I 20.00%NM 18.46%EV -7.62%E -1.52%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.56%EV -8.12%E -5.24%K -14.76%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -6.56%E -1.56%K -2.05%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-22 01:00
Betway5.00I 20.00%NM 18.46%EV -7.62%E -1.52%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.56%EV -8.12%E -5.24%K -14.76%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -6.56%E -1.56%K -2.05%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-22 01:00
Bet Right5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -7.62%E -1.52%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.24%EV -8.12%E -5.24%K -14.76%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -8.79%E -2.14%K -2.83%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-22 00:59
Everygame5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -7.62%E -1.52%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 58.91%EV -8.12%E -5.24%K -14.76%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -11.01%E -2.75%K -3.67%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-22 01:00
Paddy Power5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -7.62%E -1.52%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -11.08%E -7.39%K -22.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -11.01%E -2.75%K -3.67%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-22 01:00
Winamax (DE)4.90I 20.41%NM 18.50%EV -9.47%E -1.93%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 58.85%EV -8.71%E -5.66%K -16.13%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.66%EV -11.01%E -2.75%K -3.67%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-22 01:00
ATG (SE)4.80I 20.83%NM 19.79%EV -11.32%E -2.36%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -2.19%E -1.33%K -3.37%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.62%EV -6.56%E -1.56%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-22 01:00
Svenska Spel4.80I 20.83%NM 19.79%EV -11.32%E -2.36%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -2.19%E -1.33%K -3.37%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.62%EV -6.56%E -1.56%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-22 01:00
888sport4.80I 20.83%NM 18.52%EV -11.32%E -2.36%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 58.09%EV -9.31%E -6.08%K -17.56%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.39%EV -15.46%E -4.07%K -5.52%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-22 00:59
Mr Green (SE)4.80I 20.83%NM 18.52%EV -11.32%E -2.36%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 58.09%EV -9.31%E -6.08%K -17.56%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.39%EV -15.46%E -4.07%K -5.52%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-22 00:59
888sport (SE)4.80I 20.83%NM 18.52%EV -11.32%E -2.36%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 58.09%EV -9.31%E -6.08%K -17.56%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.39%EV -15.46%E -4.07%K -5.52%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-22 00:59
Sky Bet4.80I 20.83%NM 18.41%EV -11.32%E -2.36%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 58.92%EV -11.08%E -7.39%K -22.17%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.66%EV -13.24%E -3.39%K -4.56%G +0.000%13.1%2026-04-22 01:00
NetBet (FR)4.80I 20.83%NM 17.90%EV -11.32%E -2.36%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 60.08%EV -15.23%E -10.65%K -35.43%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.03%EV -13.24%E -3.39%K -4.56%G +0.000%16.4%2026-04-22 01:00
Fanatics4.75I 21.05%NM 19.43%EV -12.24%E -2.58%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 58.05%EV -5.75%E -3.62%K -9.74%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.51%EV -8.79%E -2.14%K -2.83%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-22 01:00
Unibet4.70I 21.28%NM 19.81%EV -13.17%E -2.80%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.48%EV -3.97%E -2.45%K -6.40%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.71%EV -8.79%E -2.14%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-22 01:00
Grosvenor4.70I 21.28%NM 19.81%EV -13.17%E -2.80%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.48%EV -3.97%E -2.45%K -6.40%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.71%EV -8.79%E -2.14%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-22 01:00
Unibet (NL)4.70I 21.28%NM 19.81%EV -13.17%E -2.80%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.48%EV -3.97%E -2.45%K -6.40%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.71%EV -8.79%E -2.14%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-22 01:00
Unibet (SE)4.70I 21.28%NM 19.81%EV -13.17%E -2.80%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.48%EV -3.97%E -2.45%K -6.40%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.71%EV -8.79%E -2.14%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-22 00:59
Casumo4.70I 21.28%NM 19.81%EV -13.17%E -2.80%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.48%EV -3.97%E -2.45%K -6.40%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.71%EV -8.79%E -2.14%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-22 01:00
betPARX4.70I 21.28%NM 19.81%EV -13.17%E -2.80%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.48%EV -3.97%E -2.45%K -6.40%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.71%EV -8.79%E -2.14%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-22 01:00
TABtouch4.70I 21.28%NM 19.67%EV -13.17%E -2.80%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.78%EV -5.16%E -3.22%K -8.59%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.55%EV -8.79%E -2.14%K -2.83%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-22 01:00
BetRivers4.70I 21.28%NM 19.63%EV -13.17%E -2.80%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.30%EV -4.56%E -2.83%K -7.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.07%EV -11.01%E -2.75%K -3.67%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-22 00:54
LiveScore Bet4.60I 21.74%NM 19.76%EV -15.01%E -3.26%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 57.52%EV -6.34%E -4.01%K -10.93%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.72%EV -11.01%E -2.75%K -3.67%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-22 01:00
LeoVegas (SE)4.60I 21.74%NM 19.69%EV -15.01%E -3.26%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 57.68%EV -6.93%E -4.42%K -12.16%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.64%EV -11.01%E -2.75%K -3.67%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-22 01:00
Virgin Bet4.60I 21.74%NM 19.56%EV -15.01%E -3.26%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 57.67%EV -7.53%E -4.82%K -13.44%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.78%EV -12.12%E -3.07%K -4.11%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-22 01:00
betfred_uk4.60I 21.74%NM 19.39%EV -15.01%E -3.26%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 58.31%EV -9.31%E -6.08%K -17.56%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.30%EV -11.01%E -2.75%K -3.67%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-22 00:59
Coral4.60I 21.74%NM 19.39%EV -15.01%E -3.26%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 58.31%EV -9.31%E -6.08%K -17.56%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.30%EV -11.01%E -2.75%K -3.67%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-22 01:00
Ladbrokes (UK)4.60I 21.74%NM 19.39%EV -15.01%E -3.26%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 58.31%EV -9.31%E -6.08%K -17.56%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.30%EV -11.01%E -2.75%K -3.67%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-22 01:00
William Hill4.60I 21.74%NM 19.31%EV -15.01%E -3.26%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 57.31%EV -8.12%E -5.24%K -14.76%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.38%EV -15.46%E -4.07%K -5.52%G +0.000%12.6%2026-04-22 01:00
Winamax (FR)4.60I 21.74%NM 19.21%EV -15.01%E -3.26%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 58.13%EV -9.90%E -6.51%K -19.03%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.66%EV -13.24%E -3.39%K -4.56%G +0.000%13.2%2026-04-22 01:00
Unibet (FR)4.60I 21.74%NM 19.04%EV -15.01%E -3.26%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 58.78%EV -11.68%E -7.84%K -23.83%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.17%EV -12.12%E -3.07%K -4.11%G +0.000%14.2%2026-04-22 00:59
Betclic (FR)4.55I 21.98%NM 19.31%EV -15.94%E -3.50%K -4.49%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 58.17%EV -10.49%E -6.95%K -20.57%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.52%EV -13.24%E -3.39%K -4.56%G +0.000%13.8%2026-04-22 00:59
PMU (FR)4.50I 22.22%NM 19.63%EV -16.86%E -3.75%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 57.73%EV -9.31%E -6.08%K -17.56%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.65%EV -13.24%E -3.39%K -4.56%G +0.000%13.2%2026-04-22 01:00
LeoVegas4.50I 22.22%NM 19.63%EV -16.86%E -3.75%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 57.73%EV -9.31%E -6.08%K -17.56%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.65%EV -13.24%E -3.39%K -4.56%G +0.000%13.2%2026-04-22 01:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)4.50I 22.22%NM 18.92%EV -16.86%E -3.75%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 56.76%EV -11.08%E -7.39%K -22.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.32%EV -22.14%E -6.32%K -8.85%G +0.000%17.5%2026-04-22 00:59
BoyleSports4.33I 23.09%NM 20.36%EV -20.00%E -4.62%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 57.61%EV -9.31%E -6.08%K -17.56%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.04%EV -11.01%E -2.75%K -3.67%G +0.000%13.5%2026-04-22 00:59
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Kalshi5.56I 17.99%NM 17.82%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.41%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.77%0.9%2026-04-22 01:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)5.80I 17.24%NM 17.04%1.62I 61.73%NM 61.00%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.96%1.2%2026-04-22 01:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)5.80I 17.24%NM 17.04%1.62I 61.73%NM 61.00%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.96%1.2%2026-04-22 01:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)5.80I 17.24%NM 17.04%1.62I 61.73%NM 61.00%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.96%1.2%2026-04-22 01:00
Matchbook5.90I 16.95%NM 16.71%1.62I 61.73%NM 60.87%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.41%1.4%2026-04-22 01:00
Smarkets5.50I 18.18%NM 17.56%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.98%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.46%3.5%2026-04-22 01:00