The School of OddsQuerétaro v América
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. See how the models score across every settled game →
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Head to Head
Querétaro (Local)
Prediction 26.83%3.73fair odd
EV +1.95%
Edge +0.513%
Kelly +0.696%
Growth +0.014%
assuming max odds 3.80
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.91%26.75%26.81%27.92%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.203.503.503.8031%29%29%26%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
América (Visit)
Prediction 46.53%2.15fair odd
EV -2.29%
Edge -1.09%
Kelly -2.08%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.39%46.63%46.58%48.79%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.811.961.952.1055%51%51%48%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Draw
Prediction 26.64%3.75fair odd
EV -2.48%
Edge -0.678%
Kelly -0.933%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.66
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.81%26.62%26.62%27.70%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.203.473.503.6631%29%29%27%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Sportsbook Odds (49 sportsbooks)
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.91%EV +1.95%E +0.513%K +0.696%G +0.014% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.79%EV -9.74%E -5.02%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.29%EV -4.08%E -1.13%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-19 03:05 |
| ATG (SE) | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.91%EV +1.95%E +0.513%K +0.696%G +0.014% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.79%EV -9.74%E -5.02%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.29%EV -4.08%E -1.13%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-19 03:05 |
| Casumo | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -0.734%E -0.198%K -0.272%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.68%EV -11.13%E -5.83%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.19%EV -5.41%E -1.52%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-19 03:05 |
| Unibet | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -0.734%E -0.198%K -0.272%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.68%EV -11.13%E -5.83%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.19%EV -5.41%E -1.52%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-19 03:05 |
| Grosvenor | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -0.734%E -0.198%K -0.272%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.68%EV -11.13%E -5.83%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.19%EV -5.41%E -1.52%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-19 03:05 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -0.734%E -0.198%K -0.272%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.68%EV -11.13%E -5.83%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.19%EV -5.41%E -1.52%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-19 03:05 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -0.734%E -0.198%K -0.272%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.68%EV -11.13%E -5.83%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.19%EV -5.41%E -1.52%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-19 03:05 |
| betPARX | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -0.734%E -0.198%K -0.272%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.68%EV -11.13%E -5.83%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.19%EV -5.41%E -1.52%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-19 03:05 |
| Coolbet | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.01%EV -2.08%E -0.569%K -0.783%G +0.000% | 2.01I 49.75%NM 47.24%EV -6.48%E -3.22%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.75%EV -5.41%E -1.52%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-19 02:45 |
| BetRivers | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.29%EV -2.08%E -0.569%K -0.783%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.33%EV -11.13%E -5.83%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.38%EV -6.74%E -1.93%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-19 02:50 |
| TABtouch | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -2.08%E -0.569%K -0.783%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.73%EV -12.53%E -6.66%K -14.24%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.17%EV -6.74%E -1.93%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-07-19 03:05 |
| 1xBet | 3.63I 27.55%NM 26.42%EV -2.61%E -0.720%K -0.993%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.56%EV -4.15%E -2.02%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.02%EV -5.41%E -1.52%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-19 02:59 |
| FanDuel | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -3.42%E -0.949%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -9.27%E -4.76%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -4.08%E -1.13%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-19 03:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -3.42%E -0.949%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.69%EV -12.99%E -6.95%K -14.94%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -6.74%E -1.93%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-07-19 03:05 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -3.42%E -0.949%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.69%EV -12.99%E -6.95%K -14.94%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -6.74%E -1.93%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-07-19 03:05 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.07%EV -3.42%E -0.949%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.78%EV -13.93%E -7.53%K -16.38%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.16%EV -8.08%E -2.34%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-07-19 03:05 |
| NordicBet | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.16%EV -4.76%E -1.34%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.91%EV -7.88%E -3.98%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.92%EV -8.08%E -2.34%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-19 03:05 |
| Betsson | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.16%EV -4.76%E -1.34%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.91%EV -7.88%E -3.98%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.92%EV -8.08%E -2.34%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-19 03:05 |
| Pinnacle | 3.51I 28.49%NM 27.38%EV -5.83%E -1.66%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.77%EV -2.29%E -1.09%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 26.85%EV -4.61%E -1.29%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-19 02:55 |
| GTbets | 3.51I 28.49%NM 26.51%EV -5.83%E -1.66%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 46.76%EV -7.41%E -3.72%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 26.74%EV -7.28%E -2.09%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-18 19:15 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.60%EV -6.10%E -1.74%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.00%EV -2.29%E -1.09%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.66I 27.32%NM 26.40%EV -2.48%E -0.678%K -0.933%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-07-19 02:25 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.60%EV -6.10%E -1.74%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.00%EV -2.29%E -1.09%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.66I 27.32%NM 26.40%EV -2.48%E -0.678%K -0.933%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-07-19 02:25 |
| SportsBet | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -6.10%E -1.74%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.39%EV -8.34%E -4.23%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -4.08%E -1.13%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-19 03:05 |
| Fanatics | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -6.10%E -1.74%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.95%E -3.47%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -6.74%E -1.93%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-19 01:15 |
| Bet Victor | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -6.10%E -1.74%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.95%E -3.47%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -6.74%E -1.93%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-19 03:05 |
| betano_uk | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -6.10%E -1.74%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.95%E -3.47%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -6.74%E -1.93%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-19 03:05 |
| Betway | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -6.10%E -1.74%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -9.27%E -4.76%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -4.08%E -1.13%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-19 03:05 |
| PlayUp | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -6.10%E -1.74%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -6.95%E -3.47%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -9.41%E -2.77%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-19 03:05 |
| Everygame | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -6.10%E -1.74%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.45%EV -11.13%E -5.83%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -9.41%E -2.77%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-07-19 03:05 |
| PMU (FR) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.14%EV -6.10%E -1.74%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 48.60%EV -15.79%E -8.72%K -19.49%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.26%EV -10.74%E -3.21%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-07-19 03:05 |
| DraftKings | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.46%EV -7.44%E -2.16%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.22%EV -4.62%E -2.25%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -4.08%E -1.13%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-19 03:05 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.44I 29.07%NM 26.94%EV -7.71%E -2.24%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 2.01I 49.75%NM 46.11%EV -6.48%E -3.22%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 26.94%EV -8.34%E -2.43%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-19 02:45 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -8.78%E -2.58%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -4.62%E -2.25%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -6.74%E -1.93%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-18 19:15 |
| Tipico (DE) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -8.78%E -2.58%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.68%EV -8.34%E -4.23%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -6.74%E -1.93%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-19 03:05 |
| LeoVegas | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.01%EV -8.78%E -2.58%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.38%EV -7.88%E -3.98%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.62%EV -8.08%E -2.34%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-07-19 03:05 |
| Fliff | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.82%EV -8.78%E -2.58%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.76%EV -9.27%E -4.76%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.43%EV -8.08%E -2.34%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-07-19 03:05 |
| Paddy Power | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -8.78%E -2.58%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.45%EV -11.13%E -5.83%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -6.74%E -1.93%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-07-19 03:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -8.78%E -2.58%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.45%EV -11.13%E -5.83%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -6.74%E -1.93%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-07-19 03:05 |
| BetUS | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.51%EV -10.12%E -3.02%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 45.39%EV -5.55%E -2.73%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.10%EV -9.41%E -2.77%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-19 02:45 |
| Bet Right | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -10.12%E -3.02%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.66%EV -8.34%E -4.23%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.90%EV -5.41%E -1.52%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-19 03:05 |
| Betclic (FR) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -11.47%E -3.47%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 46.04%EV -9.74%E -5.02%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 26.90%EV -11.54%E -3.48%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-07-19 02:44 |
| Sky Bet | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -11.47%E -3.47%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.72%EV -11.13%E -5.83%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -9.41%E -2.77%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-07-19 03:05 |
| William Hill | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.86%EV -11.47%E -3.47%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.45%EV -9.27%E -4.76%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.70%EV -14.74%E -4.61%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-07-19 03:05 |
| 888sport (SE) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.86%EV -11.47%E -3.47%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.45%EV -9.27%E -4.76%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.70%EV -14.74%E -4.61%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-07-19 03:05 |
| 888sport | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.86%EV -11.47%E -3.47%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.45%EV -9.27%E -4.76%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.70%EV -14.74%E -4.61%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-07-19 03:05 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.86%EV -11.47%E -3.47%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.45%EV -9.27%E -4.76%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.70%EV -14.74%E -4.61%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-07-19 03:05 |
| betfred_uk | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.60%EV -12.81%E -3.94%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.01%EV -9.27%E -4.76%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%EV -9.41%E -2.77%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-07-19 03:05 |
| Neds | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -14.15%E -4.42%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -9.27%E -4.76%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -9.41%E -2.77%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-07-19 03:00 |
| NetBet (FR) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.12%EV -14.15%E -4.42%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 46.17%EV -12.53%E -6.66%K -14.24%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.71%EV -13.41%E -4.12%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 15.2% | 2026-07-19 03:05 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.10% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.14% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.76% | 0.8% | 2026-07-19 03:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.36% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.96% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.69% | 1.1% | 2026-07-19 03:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.36% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.96% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.69% | 1.1% | 2026-07-19 03:05 |
| Matchbook | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.27% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.79% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.94% | 1.5% | 2026-07-19 03:05 |
| Smarkets | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.06% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.87% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.07% | 2.3% | 2026-07-19 03:05 |
| Kalshi | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.76% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.42% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.82% | 4.9% | 2026-07-19 03:05 |