The School of Odds

Querétaro v América

2026-07-19 03:00 — Liga MX

Head to Head

11 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

Option 1: Querétaro (Local)

Odds
3.2031.25%Min
3.4029.43%Mean
3.4029.41%Median
3.5827.93%Max
Consensus probabilities
25.79%3.877Min
27.22%3.673Max
26.78%3.734Mean
26.76%3.737Median
26.78%3.734IQM
26.82%3.728Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 3.58 under the IQM model: 26.78%

EV -4.11%Edge -1.15%Kelly -1.59%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: América (Visit)

Odds
1.9152.36%Min
1.9850.55%Mean
1.9551.28%Median
2.0548.78%Max
Consensus probabilities
44.67%2.238Min
47.26%2.116Max
45.60%2.193Mean
45.69%2.189Median
45.60%2.193IQM
45.72%2.187Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 2.05 under the IQM model: 45.60%

EV -6.53%Edge -3.18%Kelly -6.22%Growth +0.000%

Option 3: Draw

Odds
3.1032.26%Min
3.2830.51%Mean
3.3030.30%Median
3.5028.57%Max
Consensus probabilities
26.85%3.724Min
28.34%3.529Max
27.62%3.621Mean
27.55%3.630Median
27.62%3.621IQM
27.46%3.642Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 3.50 under the IQM model: 27.62%

EV -3.33%Edge -0.952%Kelly -1.33%Growth +0.000%

Sportsbook Odds (11 sportsbooks)

BookmakerQuerétaro (Local) ▼América (Visit)DrawMarginUpdated
1xBet3.58I 27.93% NM 26.35%EV -4.11% E -1.15% K -1.59% G +0.000%2.02I 49.50% NM 46.70%EV -7.90% E -3.91% K -7.74% G +0.000%3.50I 28.57% NM 26.95%EV -3.33% E -0.952% K -1.33% G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-05 14:35
FanDuel3.50I 28.57% NM 26.97%EV -6.25% E -1.79% K -2.50% G +0.000%2.05I 48.78% NM 46.05%EV -6.53% E -3.18% K -6.22% G +0.000%3.50I 28.57% NM 26.97%EV -3.33% E -0.952% K -1.33% G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-05 13:01
SportsBet3.50I 28.57% NM 26.85%EV -6.25% E -1.79% K -2.50% G +0.000%2.03I 49.26% NM 46.30%EV -7.44% E -3.66% K -7.22% G +0.000%3.50I 28.57% NM 26.85%EV -3.33% E -0.952% K -1.33% G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-05 14:50
Fanatics3.50I 28.57% NM 26.76%EV -6.25% E -1.79% K -2.50% G +0.000%2.05I 48.78% NM 45.69%EV -6.53% E -3.18% K -6.22% G +0.000%3.40I 29.41% NM 27.55%EV -6.09% E -1.79% K -2.54% G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-05 17:30
LeoVegas3.50I 28.57% NM 25.79%EV -6.25% E -1.79% K -2.50% G +0.000%1.91I 52.36% NM 47.26%EV -12.91% E -6.76% K -14.19% G +0.000%3.35I 29.85% NM 26.95%EV -7.48% E -2.23% K -3.18% G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-05 16:20
Paddy Power3.40I 29.41% NM 26.50%EV -8.93% E -2.63% K -3.72% G +0.000%1.95I 51.28% NM 46.20%EV -11.09% E -5.69% K -11.67% G +0.000%3.30I 30.30% NM 27.30%EV -8.86% E -2.68% K -3.85% G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-05 14:55
William Hill3.30I 30.30% NM 26.62%EV -11.61% E -3.52% K -5.05% G +0.000%1.95I 51.28% NM 45.05%EV -11.09% E -5.69% K -11.67% G +0.000%3.10I 32.26% NM 28.34%EV -14.38% E -4.64% K -6.85% G +0.000%13.8%2026-07-05 15:39
888sport (SE)3.30I 30.30% NM 26.62%EV -11.61% E -3.52% K -5.05% G +0.000%1.95I 51.28% NM 45.05%EV -11.09% E -5.69% K -11.67% G +0.000%3.10I 32.26% NM 28.34%EV -14.38% E -4.64% K -6.85% G +0.000%13.8%2026-07-05 17:25
888sport3.30I 30.30% NM 26.62%EV -11.61% E -3.52% K -5.05% G +0.000%1.95I 51.28% NM 45.05%EV -11.09% E -5.69% K -11.67% G +0.000%3.10I 32.26% NM 28.34%EV -14.38% E -4.64% K -6.85% G +0.000%13.8%2026-07-05 17:30
Mr Green (SE)3.30I 30.30% NM 26.62%EV -11.61% E -3.52% K -5.05% G +0.000%1.95I 51.28% NM 45.05%EV -11.09% E -5.69% K -11.67% G +0.000%3.10I 32.26% NM 28.34%EV -14.38% E -4.64% K -6.85% G +0.000%13.8%2026-07-05 17:29
Sky Bet3.20I 31.25% NM 27.22%EV -14.29% E -4.47% K -6.50% G +0.000%1.95I 51.28% NM 44.67%EV -11.09% E -5.69% K -11.67% G +0.000%3.10I 32.26% NM 28.10%EV -14.38% E -4.64% K -6.85% G +0.000%14.8%2026-07-05 17:29
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerQuerétaro (Local)América (Visit)DrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.04I 96.15%1.04I 96.15%1.02I 98.04%190.3%2026-07-05 15:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%1.04I 96.15%1.02I 98.04%190.3%2026-07-05 15:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.04I 96.15%1.04I 96.15%1.02I 98.04%190.3%2026-07-05 15:50