L’École des cotes

Querétaro v América

Coup d’envoi : 2026-07-19 03:10 UTC

Score final : Querétaro 0–1 América

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

49 opérateurs (15 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Querétaro (Local)

Prévision 26.83%3.73cote équitable
EV +1.95%
Avantage +0.513%
Kelly +0.696%
Croissance +0.014%

avec la cote maximale 3.80

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.91%26.75%26.81%27.92%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.203.503.503.8031.25%28.60%28.57%26.32%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

América (Visiteur)

Prévision 46.53%2.15cote équitable
EV -2.29%
Avantage -1.09%
Kelly -2.08%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.10

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
45.39%46.63%46.58%48.79%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.811.961.952.1055.25%51.10%51.28%47.62%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 26.64%3.75cote équitable
EV -2.48%
Avantage -0.678%
Kelly -0.933%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.66

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.81%26.62%26.62%27.70%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.203.473.503.6631.25%28.78%28.57%27.32%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (49 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Svenska Spel3.80I 26.32%NM 24.91%EV +1.95%E +0.513%K +0.696%G +0.014%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.79%EV -9.74%E -5.02%K -10.36%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.29%EV -4.08%E -1.13%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-19 03:05
ATG (SE)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.91%EV +1.95%E +0.513%K +0.696%G +0.014%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.79%EV -9.74%E -5.02%K -10.36%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.29%EV -4.08%E -1.13%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-19 03:05
Casumo3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -0.734%E -0.198%K -0.272%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.68%EV -11.13%E -5.83%K -12.23%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.19%EV -5.41%E -1.52%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-19 03:05
Unibet3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -0.734%E -0.198%K -0.272%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.68%EV -11.13%E -5.83%K -12.23%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.19%EV -5.41%E -1.52%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-19 03:05
Grosvenor3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -0.734%E -0.198%K -0.272%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.68%EV -11.13%E -5.83%K -12.23%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.19%EV -5.41%E -1.52%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-19 03:05
Unibet (SE)3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -0.734%E -0.198%K -0.272%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.68%EV -11.13%E -5.83%K -12.23%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.19%EV -5.41%E -1.52%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-19 03:05
Unibet (NL)3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -0.734%E -0.198%K -0.272%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.68%EV -11.13%E -5.83%K -12.23%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.19%EV -5.41%E -1.52%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-19 03:05
betPARX3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -0.734%E -0.198%K -0.272%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.68%EV -11.13%E -5.83%K -12.23%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.19%EV -5.41%E -1.52%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-19 03:05
Coolbet3.65I 27.40%NM 26.01%EV -2.08%E -0.569%K -0.783%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.24%EV -6.48%E -3.22%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.75%EV -5.41%E -1.52%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-19 02:45
BetRivers3.65I 27.40%NM 25.29%EV -2.08%E -0.569%K -0.783%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.33%EV -11.13%E -5.83%K -12.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.38%EV -6.74%E -1.93%K -2.70%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-19 02:50
TABtouch3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -2.08%E -0.569%K -0.783%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.73%EV -12.53%E -6.66%K -14.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.17%EV -6.74%E -1.93%K -2.70%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-19 03:05
1xBet3.63I 27.55%NM 26.42%EV -2.61%E -0.720%K -0.993%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.56%EV -4.15%E -2.02%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.02%EV -5.41%E -1.52%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-19 02:59
FanDuel3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -3.42%E -0.949%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -9.27%E -4.76%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -4.08%E -1.13%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-19 03:05
LeoVegas (SE)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -3.42%E -0.949%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 48.69%EV -12.99%E -6.95%K -14.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -6.74%E -1.93%K -2.70%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-19 03:05
LiveScore Bet3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -3.42%E -0.949%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 48.69%EV -12.99%E -6.95%K -14.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -6.74%E -1.93%K -2.70%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-19 03:05
Virgin Bet3.60I 27.78%NM 25.07%EV -3.42%E -0.949%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.78%EV -13.93%E -7.53%K -16.38%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.16%EV -8.08%E -2.34%K -3.30%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-19 03:05
NordicBet3.55I 28.17%NM 26.16%EV -4.76%E -1.34%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.91%EV -7.88%E -3.98%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.92%EV -8.08%E -2.34%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-19 03:05
Betsson3.55I 28.17%NM 26.16%EV -4.76%E -1.34%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.91%EV -7.88%E -3.98%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.92%EV -8.08%E -2.34%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-19 03:05
Pinnacle3.51I 28.49%NM 27.38%EV -5.83%E -1.66%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.77%EV -2.29%E -1.09%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.85%EV -4.61%E -1.29%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-19 02:55
GTbets3.51I 28.49%NM 26.51%EV -5.83%E -1.66%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 46.76%EV -7.41%E -3.72%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.74%EV -7.28%E -2.09%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-18 19:15
LowVig.ag3.50I 28.57%NM 27.60%EV -6.10%E -1.74%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.00%EV -2.29%E -1.09%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 26.40%EV -2.48%E -0.678%K -0.933%G +0.000%3.5%2026-07-19 02:25
BetOnline.ag3.50I 28.57%NM 27.60%EV -6.10%E -1.74%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.00%EV -2.29%E -1.09%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 26.40%EV -2.48%E -0.678%K -0.933%G +0.000%3.5%2026-07-19 02:25
SportsBet3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -6.10%E -1.74%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.39%EV -8.34%E -4.23%K -8.60%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -4.08%E -1.13%K -1.57%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-19 03:05
Fanatics3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -6.10%E -1.74%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.95%E -3.47%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -6.74%E -1.93%K -2.70%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-19 01:15
Bet Victor3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -6.10%E -1.74%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.95%E -3.47%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -6.74%E -1.93%K -2.70%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-19 03:05
betano_uk3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -6.10%E -1.74%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.95%E -3.47%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -6.74%E -1.93%K -2.70%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-19 03:05
Betway3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -6.10%E -1.74%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -9.27%E -4.76%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -4.08%E -1.13%K -1.57%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-19 03:05
PlayUp3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -6.10%E -1.74%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -6.95%E -3.47%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -9.41%E -2.77%K -3.92%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-19 03:05
Everygame3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -6.10%E -1.74%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.45%EV -11.13%E -5.83%K -12.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -9.41%E -2.77%K -3.92%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-19 03:05
PMU (FR)3.50I 28.57%NM 25.14%EV -6.10%E -1.74%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 48.60%EV -15.79%E -8.72%K -19.49%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.26%EV -10.74%E -3.21%K -4.57%G +0.000%13.7%2026-07-19 03:05
DraftKings3.45I 28.99%NM 27.46%EV -7.44%E -2.16%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.22%EV -4.62%E -2.25%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -4.08%E -1.13%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-19 03:05
Marathon Bet3.44I 29.07%NM 26.94%EV -7.71%E -2.24%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 46.11%EV -6.48%E -3.22%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 26.94%EV -8.34%E -2.43%K -3.42%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-19 02:45
Unibet (UK)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -8.78%E -2.58%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -4.62%E -2.25%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -6.74%E -1.93%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-18 19:15
Tipico (DE)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -8.78%E -2.58%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 46.68%EV -8.34%E -4.23%K -8.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -6.74%E -1.93%K -2.70%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-19 03:05
LeoVegas3.40I 29.41%NM 27.01%EV -8.78%E -2.58%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.38%EV -7.88%E -3.98%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.62%EV -8.08%E -2.34%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-19 03:05
Fliff3.40I 29.41%NM 26.82%EV -8.78%E -2.58%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.76%EV -9.27%E -4.76%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.43%EV -8.08%E -2.34%K -3.30%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-19 03:05
Paddy Power3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -8.78%E -2.58%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.45%EV -11.13%E -5.83%K -12.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -6.74%E -1.93%K -2.70%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-19 03:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -8.78%E -2.58%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.45%EV -11.13%E -5.83%K -12.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -6.74%E -1.93%K -2.70%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-19 03:05
BetUS3.35I 29.85%NM 27.51%EV -10.12%E -3.02%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 45.39%EV -5.55%E -2.73%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.10%EV -9.41%E -2.77%K -3.92%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-19 02:45
Bet Right3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -10.12%E -3.02%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 46.66%EV -8.34%E -4.23%K -8.60%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.90%EV -5.41%E -1.52%K -2.12%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-19 03:05
Betclic (FR)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -11.47%E -3.47%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 46.04%EV -9.74%E -5.02%K -10.36%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 26.90%EV -11.54%E -3.48%K -4.97%G +0.000%12.0%2026-07-19 02:44
Sky Bet3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -11.47%E -3.47%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.72%EV -11.13%E -5.83%K -12.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -9.41%E -2.77%K -3.92%G +0.000%12.1%2026-07-19 03:05
William Hill3.30I 30.30%NM 26.86%EV -11.47%E -3.47%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.45%EV -9.27%E -4.76%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.70%EV -14.74%E -4.61%K -6.70%G +0.000%12.8%2026-07-19 03:05
888sport (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 26.86%EV -11.47%E -3.47%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.45%EV -9.27%E -4.76%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.70%EV -14.74%E -4.61%K -6.70%G +0.000%12.8%2026-07-19 03:05
888sport3.30I 30.30%NM 26.86%EV -11.47%E -3.47%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.45%EV -9.27%E -4.76%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.70%EV -14.74%E -4.61%K -6.70%G +0.000%12.8%2026-07-19 03:05
Mr Green (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 26.86%EV -11.47%E -3.47%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.45%EV -9.27%E -4.76%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.70%EV -14.74%E -4.61%K -6.70%G +0.000%12.8%2026-07-19 03:05
betfred_uk3.25I 30.77%NM 27.60%EV -12.81%E -3.94%K -5.69%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.01%EV -9.27%E -4.76%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%EV -9.41%E -2.77%K -3.92%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-19 03:05
Neds3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -14.15%E -4.42%K -6.43%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -9.27%E -4.76%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -9.41%E -2.77%K -3.92%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-19 03:00
NetBet (FR)3.20I 31.25%NM 27.12%EV -14.15%E -4.42%K -6.43%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 46.17%EV -12.53%E -6.66%K -14.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.71%EV -13.41%E -4.12%K -5.96%G +0.000%15.2%2026-07-19 03:05
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.80I 26.32%NM 26.10%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.14%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.76%0.8%2026-07-19 03:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.90I 25.64%NM 25.36%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.96%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.69%1.1%2026-07-19 03:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.90I 25.64%NM 25.36%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.96%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.69%1.1%2026-07-19 03:05
Matchbook3.90I 25.64%NM 25.27%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.79%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.94%1.5%2026-07-19 03:05
Smarkets3.90I 25.64%NM 25.06%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.87%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.07%2.3%2026-07-19 03:05
Kalshi3.70I 27.03%NM 25.76%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.42%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.82%4.9%2026-07-19 03:05