La escuela de los momios

Querétaro v América

Inicio: 2026-07-19 03:10 UTC

Final: Querétaro 0–1 América

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

49 corredores (15 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Querétaro (Local)

Predicción 26.83%3.73momio equitativo
EV +1.95%
Ventaja +0.513%
Kelly +0.696%
Crecimiento +0.014%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.80

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.91%26.75%26.81%27.92%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.203.503.503.8031.25%28.60%28.57%26.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

América (Visitante)

Predicción 46.53%2.15momio equitativo
EV -2.29%
Ventaja -1.09%
Kelly -2.08%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.10

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
45.39%46.63%46.58%48.79%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.811.961.952.1055.25%51.10%51.28%47.62%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 26.64%3.75momio equitativo
EV -2.48%
Ventaja -0.678%
Kelly -0.933%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.66

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.81%26.62%26.62%27.70%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.203.473.503.6631.25%28.78%28.57%27.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (49 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Svenska Spel3.80I 26.32%NM 24.91%EV +1.95%E +0.513%K +0.696%G +0.014%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.79%EV -9.74%E -5.02%K -10.36%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.29%EV -4.08%E -1.13%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-19 03:05
ATG (SE)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.91%EV +1.95%E +0.513%K +0.696%G +0.014%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.79%EV -9.74%E -5.02%K -10.36%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.29%EV -4.08%E -1.13%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-19 03:05
Casumo3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -0.734%E -0.198%K -0.272%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.68%EV -11.13%E -5.83%K -12.23%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.19%EV -5.41%E -1.52%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-19 03:05
Unibet3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -0.734%E -0.198%K -0.272%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.68%EV -11.13%E -5.83%K -12.23%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.19%EV -5.41%E -1.52%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-19 03:05
Grosvenor3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -0.734%E -0.198%K -0.272%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.68%EV -11.13%E -5.83%K -12.23%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.19%EV -5.41%E -1.52%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-19 03:05
Unibet (SE)3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -0.734%E -0.198%K -0.272%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.68%EV -11.13%E -5.83%K -12.23%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.19%EV -5.41%E -1.52%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-19 03:05
Unibet (NL)3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -0.734%E -0.198%K -0.272%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.68%EV -11.13%E -5.83%K -12.23%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.19%EV -5.41%E -1.52%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-19 03:05
betPARX3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -0.734%E -0.198%K -0.272%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.68%EV -11.13%E -5.83%K -12.23%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.19%EV -5.41%E -1.52%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-19 03:05
Coolbet3.65I 27.40%NM 26.01%EV -2.08%E -0.569%K -0.783%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.24%EV -6.48%E -3.22%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.75%EV -5.41%E -1.52%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-19 02:45
BetRivers3.65I 27.40%NM 25.29%EV -2.08%E -0.569%K -0.783%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.33%EV -11.13%E -5.83%K -12.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.38%EV -6.74%E -1.93%K -2.70%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-19 02:50
TABtouch3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -2.08%E -0.569%K -0.783%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.73%EV -12.53%E -6.66%K -14.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.17%EV -6.74%E -1.93%K -2.70%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-19 03:05
1xBet3.63I 27.55%NM 26.42%EV -2.61%E -0.720%K -0.993%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.56%EV -4.15%E -2.02%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.02%EV -5.41%E -1.52%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-19 02:59
FanDuel3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -3.42%E -0.949%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -9.27%E -4.76%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -4.08%E -1.13%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-19 03:05
LeoVegas (SE)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -3.42%E -0.949%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 48.69%EV -12.99%E -6.95%K -14.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -6.74%E -1.93%K -2.70%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-19 03:05
LiveScore Bet3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -3.42%E -0.949%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 48.69%EV -12.99%E -6.95%K -14.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -6.74%E -1.93%K -2.70%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-19 03:05
Virgin Bet3.60I 27.78%NM 25.07%EV -3.42%E -0.949%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.78%EV -13.93%E -7.53%K -16.38%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.16%EV -8.08%E -2.34%K -3.30%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-19 03:05
NordicBet3.55I 28.17%NM 26.16%EV -4.76%E -1.34%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.91%EV -7.88%E -3.98%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.92%EV -8.08%E -2.34%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-19 03:05
Betsson3.55I 28.17%NM 26.16%EV -4.76%E -1.34%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.91%EV -7.88%E -3.98%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.92%EV -8.08%E -2.34%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-19 03:05
Pinnacle3.51I 28.49%NM 27.38%EV -5.83%E -1.66%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.77%EV -2.29%E -1.09%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.85%EV -4.61%E -1.29%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-19 02:55
GTbets3.51I 28.49%NM 26.51%EV -5.83%E -1.66%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 46.76%EV -7.41%E -3.72%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.74%EV -7.28%E -2.09%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-18 19:15
LowVig.ag3.50I 28.57%NM 27.60%EV -6.10%E -1.74%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.00%EV -2.29%E -1.09%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 26.40%EV -2.48%E -0.678%K -0.933%G +0.000%3.5%2026-07-19 02:25
BetOnline.ag3.50I 28.57%NM 27.60%EV -6.10%E -1.74%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.00%EV -2.29%E -1.09%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 26.40%EV -2.48%E -0.678%K -0.933%G +0.000%3.5%2026-07-19 02:25
SportsBet3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -6.10%E -1.74%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.39%EV -8.34%E -4.23%K -8.60%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -4.08%E -1.13%K -1.57%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-19 03:05
Fanatics3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -6.10%E -1.74%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.95%E -3.47%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -6.74%E -1.93%K -2.70%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-19 01:15
Bet Victor3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -6.10%E -1.74%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.95%E -3.47%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -6.74%E -1.93%K -2.70%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-19 03:05
betano_uk3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -6.10%E -1.74%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.95%E -3.47%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -6.74%E -1.93%K -2.70%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-19 03:05
Betway3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -6.10%E -1.74%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -9.27%E -4.76%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -4.08%E -1.13%K -1.57%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-19 03:05
PlayUp3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -6.10%E -1.74%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -6.95%E -3.47%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -9.41%E -2.77%K -3.92%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-19 03:05
Everygame3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -6.10%E -1.74%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.45%EV -11.13%E -5.83%K -12.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -9.41%E -2.77%K -3.92%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-19 03:05
PMU (FR)3.50I 28.57%NM 25.14%EV -6.10%E -1.74%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 48.60%EV -15.79%E -8.72%K -19.49%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.26%EV -10.74%E -3.21%K -4.57%G +0.000%13.7%2026-07-19 03:05
DraftKings3.45I 28.99%NM 27.46%EV -7.44%E -2.16%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.22%EV -4.62%E -2.25%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -4.08%E -1.13%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-19 03:05
Marathon Bet3.44I 29.07%NM 26.94%EV -7.71%E -2.24%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 46.11%EV -6.48%E -3.22%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 26.94%EV -8.34%E -2.43%K -3.42%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-19 02:45
Unibet (UK)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -8.78%E -2.58%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -4.62%E -2.25%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -6.74%E -1.93%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-18 19:15
Tipico (DE)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -8.78%E -2.58%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 46.68%EV -8.34%E -4.23%K -8.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -6.74%E -1.93%K -2.70%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-19 03:05
LeoVegas3.40I 29.41%NM 27.01%EV -8.78%E -2.58%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.38%EV -7.88%E -3.98%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.62%EV -8.08%E -2.34%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-19 03:05
Fliff3.40I 29.41%NM 26.82%EV -8.78%E -2.58%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.76%EV -9.27%E -4.76%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.43%EV -8.08%E -2.34%K -3.30%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-19 03:05
Paddy Power3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -8.78%E -2.58%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.45%EV -11.13%E -5.83%K -12.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -6.74%E -1.93%K -2.70%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-19 03:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -8.78%E -2.58%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.45%EV -11.13%E -5.83%K -12.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -6.74%E -1.93%K -2.70%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-19 03:05
BetUS3.35I 29.85%NM 27.51%EV -10.12%E -3.02%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 45.39%EV -5.55%E -2.73%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.10%EV -9.41%E -2.77%K -3.92%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-19 02:45
Bet Right3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -10.12%E -3.02%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 46.66%EV -8.34%E -4.23%K -8.60%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.90%EV -5.41%E -1.52%K -2.12%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-19 03:05
Betclic (FR)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -11.47%E -3.47%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 46.04%EV -9.74%E -5.02%K -10.36%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 26.90%EV -11.54%E -3.48%K -4.97%G +0.000%12.0%2026-07-19 02:44
Sky Bet3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -11.47%E -3.47%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.72%EV -11.13%E -5.83%K -12.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -9.41%E -2.77%K -3.92%G +0.000%12.1%2026-07-19 03:05
William Hill3.30I 30.30%NM 26.86%EV -11.47%E -3.47%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.45%EV -9.27%E -4.76%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.70%EV -14.74%E -4.61%K -6.70%G +0.000%12.8%2026-07-19 03:05
888sport (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 26.86%EV -11.47%E -3.47%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.45%EV -9.27%E -4.76%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.70%EV -14.74%E -4.61%K -6.70%G +0.000%12.8%2026-07-19 03:05
888sport3.30I 30.30%NM 26.86%EV -11.47%E -3.47%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.45%EV -9.27%E -4.76%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.70%EV -14.74%E -4.61%K -6.70%G +0.000%12.8%2026-07-19 03:05
Mr Green (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 26.86%EV -11.47%E -3.47%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.45%EV -9.27%E -4.76%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.70%EV -14.74%E -4.61%K -6.70%G +0.000%12.8%2026-07-19 03:05
betfred_uk3.25I 30.77%NM 27.60%EV -12.81%E -3.94%K -5.69%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.01%EV -9.27%E -4.76%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%EV -9.41%E -2.77%K -3.92%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-19 03:05
Neds3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -14.15%E -4.42%K -6.43%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -9.27%E -4.76%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -9.41%E -2.77%K -3.92%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-19 03:00
NetBet (FR)3.20I 31.25%NM 27.12%EV -14.15%E -4.42%K -6.43%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 46.17%EV -12.53%E -6.66%K -14.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.71%EV -13.41%E -4.12%K -5.96%G +0.000%15.2%2026-07-19 03:05
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.80I 26.32%NM 26.10%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.14%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.76%0.8%2026-07-19 03:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.90I 25.64%NM 25.36%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.96%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.69%1.1%2026-07-19 03:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.90I 25.64%NM 25.36%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.96%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.69%1.1%2026-07-19 03:05
Matchbook3.90I 25.64%NM 25.27%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.79%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.94%1.5%2026-07-19 03:05
Smarkets3.90I 25.64%NM 25.06%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.87%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.07%2.3%2026-07-19 03:05
Kalshi3.70I 27.03%NM 25.76%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.42%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.82%4.9%2026-07-19 03:05