A Escola das Odds

Pumas v Toluca

Início: 2026-03-04 03:12 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

47 casas de apostas (16 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Pumas (Local)

Previsão 25.72%3.89odd justa
EV +1.08%
Vantagem +0.275%
Kelly +0.369%
Crescimento +0.004%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.93

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
23.49%25.58%25.74%26.46%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.383.673.653.9329.59%27.28%27.40%25.45%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Toluca (Visitante)

Previsão 48.10%2.08odd justa
EV -2.84%
Vantagem -1.41%
Kelly -2.79%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.02

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
46.30%48.17%48.09%50.88%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.711.881.872.0258.48%53.05%53.48%49.50%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 26.18%3.82odd justa
EV -0.505%
Vantagem -0.133%
Kelly -0.180%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.80

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
24.89%26.25%26.16%27.48%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.153.533.553.8031.75%28.30%28.17%26.32%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (47 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
GTbets3.93I 25.45%NM 24.01%EV +1.08%E +0.275%K +0.369%G +0.004%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.41%EV -8.14%E -4.26%K -8.94%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.58%EV -7.05%E -1.99%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-04 03:09
Coolbet3.90I 25.64%NM 24.58%EV +0.310%E +0.079%K +0.107%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.42%EV -4.77%E -2.41%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.00%EV -7.05%E -1.99%K -2.76%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-04 03:09
Svenska Spel3.90I 25.64%NM 24.32%EV +0.310%E +0.079%K +0.107%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.72%EV -10.06%E -5.38%K -11.56%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.96%EV -0.505%E -0.133%K -0.180%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-04 03:10
ATG (SE)3.90I 25.64%NM 24.32%EV +0.310%E +0.079%K +0.107%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.72%EV -10.06%E -5.38%K -11.56%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.96%EV -0.505%E -0.133%K -0.180%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-04 03:10
BetRivers3.90I 25.64%NM 23.73%EV +0.310%E +0.079%K +0.107%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.57%EV -11.98%E -6.55%K -14.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.71%EV -5.74%E -1.59%K -2.21%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-04 03:03
Unibet3.85I 25.97%NM 24.13%EV -0.976%E -0.254%K -0.343%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.76%EV -11.98%E -6.55%K -14.44%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV -3.12%E -0.844%K -1.16%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-04 03:10
Unibet (SE)3.85I 25.97%NM 24.13%EV -0.976%E -0.254%K -0.343%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.76%EV -11.98%E -6.55%K -14.44%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV -3.12%E -0.844%K -1.16%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-04 03:10
Unibet (NL)3.85I 25.97%NM 24.13%EV -0.976%E -0.254%K -0.343%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.76%EV -11.98%E -6.55%K -14.44%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV -3.12%E -0.844%K -1.16%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-04 03:10
Grosvenor3.85I 25.97%NM 24.13%EV -0.976%E -0.254%K -0.343%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.76%EV -11.98%E -6.55%K -14.44%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV -3.12%E -0.844%K -1.16%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-04 03:10
Casumo3.85I 25.97%NM 24.13%EV -0.976%E -0.254%K -0.343%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.76%EV -11.98%E -6.55%K -14.44%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV -3.12%E -0.844%K -1.16%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-04 03:10
betPARX3.85I 25.97%NM 24.13%EV -0.976%E -0.254%K -0.343%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.76%EV -11.98%E -6.55%K -14.44%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV -3.12%E -0.844%K -1.16%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-04 03:10
Pinnacle3.84I 26.04%NM 25.20%EV -1.23%E -0.321%K -0.434%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 48.14%EV -3.33%E -1.65%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 26.66%EV -4.96%E -1.37%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-04 03:09
BetOnline.ag3.80I 26.32%NM 25.43%EV -2.26%E -0.595%K -0.808%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.31%EV -3.81%E -1.90%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 26.26%EV -3.65%E -0.991%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-04 03:10
LowVig.ag3.80I 26.32%NM 25.43%EV -2.26%E -0.595%K -0.808%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.31%EV -3.81%E -1.90%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 26.26%EV -3.65%E -0.991%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-04 03:10
TABtouch3.80I 26.32%NM 24.23%EV -2.26%E -0.595%K -0.808%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 50.88%EV -12.95%E -7.15%K -15.98%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.89%EV -3.12%E -0.844%K -1.16%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-04 03:10
BetUS3.75I 26.67%NM 25.13%EV -3.55%E -0.946%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.33%EV -6.21%E -3.19%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.55%EV -7.05%E -1.99%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-04 02:59
Bet Victor3.75I 26.67%NM 24.90%EV -3.55%E -0.946%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.15%EV -8.62%E -4.53%K -9.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -5.74%E -1.59%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-04 03:10
Fliff3.75I 26.67%NM 24.27%EV -3.55%E -0.946%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.73%EV -11.98%E -6.55%K -14.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.00%EV -8.36%E -2.39%K -3.34%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-04 03:10
LiveScore Bet3.75I 26.67%NM 24.26%EV -3.55%E -0.946%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 50.82%EV -13.91%E -7.77%K -17.60%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.92%EV -4.43%E -1.21%K -1.67%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-04 03:10
LeoVegas (SE)3.75I 26.67%NM 24.26%EV -3.55%E -0.946%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 50.82%EV -13.91%E -7.77%K -17.60%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.92%EV -4.43%E -1.21%K -1.67%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-04 03:10
FanDuel3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -4.83%E -1.31%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.34%EV -6.21%E -3.19%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -5.74%E -1.59%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-04 03:10
Virgin Bet3.70I 27.03%NM 24.28%EV -4.83%E -1.31%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 50.76%EV -14.87%E -8.40%K -19.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.96%EV -5.74%E -1.59%K -2.21%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-04 03:10
1xBet3.66I 27.32%NM 26.20%EV -5.86%E -1.60%K -2.20%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.46%EV -2.84%E -1.41%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 26.34%EV -4.69%E -1.29%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-04 02:59
DraftKings3.65I 27.40%NM 25.74%EV -6.12%E -1.68%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.17%EV -6.21%E -3.19%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -5.74%E -1.59%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-04 03:08
Bovada3.65I 27.40%NM 25.32%EV -6.12%E -1.68%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.89%EV -7.17%E -3.72%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.79%EV -9.67%E -2.80%K -3.95%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-04 03:03
LeoVegas3.65I 27.40%NM 24.08%EV -6.12%E -1.68%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 50.81%EV -16.79%E -9.71%K -23.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.11%EV -8.36%E -2.39%K -3.34%G +0.000%13.8%2026-03-04 03:10
NetBet (FR)3.65I 27.40%NM 23.49%EV -6.12%E -1.68%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 50.13%EV -17.75%E -10.38%K -25.01%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.38%EV -14.91%E -4.59%K -6.62%G +0.000%16.6%2026-03-04 03:10
Unibet (UK)3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -7.41%E -2.06%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.21%E -3.19%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -5.74%E -1.59%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-04 03:10
BetMGM3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -7.41%E -2.06%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -8.14%E -4.26%K -8.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -5.74%E -1.59%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-04 03:10
SportsBet3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -7.41%E -2.06%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.29%EV -8.62%E -4.53%K -9.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -8.36%E -2.39%K -3.34%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-04 03:10
Bet Right3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -7.41%E -2.06%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.05%EV -10.06%E -5.38%K -11.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -5.74%E -1.59%K -2.21%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-04 03:09
Everygame3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV -7.41%E -2.06%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.73%EV -8.62%E -4.53%K -9.57%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.07%EV -12.29%E -3.67%K -5.23%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-04 03:09
Marathon Bet3.58I 27.93%NM 25.89%EV -7.92%E -2.21%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.78%EV -6.69%E -3.45%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.33%EV -7.84%E -2.23%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-04 02:59
NordicBet3.55I 28.17%NM 26.16%EV -8.69%E -2.45%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.91%EV -4.77%E -2.41%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.92%EV -9.67%E -2.80%K -3.95%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-04 03:10
Betsson3.55I 28.17%NM 26.16%EV -8.69%E -2.45%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.91%EV -4.77%E -2.41%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.92%EV -9.67%E -2.80%K -3.95%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-04 03:10
Winamax (DE)3.55I 28.17%NM 25.48%EV -8.69%E -2.45%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 47.11%EV -7.65%E -3.99%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.41%EV -13.60%E -4.12%K -5.91%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-04 03:10
PlayUp3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -9.98%E -2.85%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -3.81%E -1.90%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -10.98%E -3.23%K -4.57%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-04 03:10
Betway3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -9.98%E -2.85%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -6.21%E -3.19%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -8.36%E -2.39%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-04 03:10
Fanatics3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -9.98%E -2.85%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -6.21%E -3.19%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -10.98%E -3.23%K -4.57%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-04 03:10
Paddy Power3.50I 28.57%NM 25.63%EV -9.98%E -2.85%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 47.98%EV -10.06%E -5.38%K -11.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%EV -10.98%E -3.23%K -4.57%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-04 03:10
BoyleSports3.40I 29.41%NM 26.11%EV -12.55%E -3.69%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.52%EV -11.98%E -6.55%K -14.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.37%EV -8.36%E -2.39%K -3.34%G +0.000%12.6%2026-03-04 03:10
888sport3.40I 29.41%NM 25.85%EV -12.55%E -3.69%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 47.51%EV -11.02%E -5.96%K -12.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.64%EV -13.60%E -4.12%K -5.91%G +0.000%13.8%2026-03-04 03:09
William Hill3.40I 29.41%NM 25.85%EV -12.55%E -3.69%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 47.51%EV -11.02%E -5.96%K -12.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.64%EV -13.60%E -4.12%K -5.91%G +0.000%13.8%2026-03-04 03:10
888sport (SE)3.40I 29.41%NM 25.85%EV -12.55%E -3.69%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 47.51%EV -11.02%E -5.96%K -12.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.64%EV -13.60%E -4.12%K -5.91%G +0.000%13.8%2026-03-04 03:09
Mr Green (SE)3.40I 29.41%NM 25.85%EV -12.55%E -3.69%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 47.51%EV -11.02%E -5.96%K -12.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.64%EV -13.60%E -4.12%K -5.91%G +0.000%13.8%2026-03-04 03:09
Winamax (FR)3.40I 29.41%NM 25.46%EV -12.55%E -3.69%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 47.05%EV -11.50%E -6.25%K -13.69%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.48%EV -17.52%E -5.56%K -8.15%G +0.000%15.5%2026-03-04 03:10
Betclic (FR)3.38I 29.59%NM 25.97%EV -13.06%E -3.87%K -5.49%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 48.22%EV -12.46%E -6.85%K -15.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.81%EV -10.98%E -3.23%K -4.57%G +0.000%13.9%2026-03-04 03:09
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.90I 25.64%NM 25.27%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.79%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.94%1.5%2026-03-04 03:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.90I 25.64%NM 25.23%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.21%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.56%1.6%2026-03-04 03:10
Smarkets3.85I 25.97%NM 25.39%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.88%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.73%2.3%2026-03-04 03:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.85I 25.97%NM 25.39%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.88%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.73%2.3%2026-03-04 03:10
Matchbook3.75I 26.67%NM 25.93%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.14%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.93%2.8%2026-03-04 03:10