مدرسة الاحتمالات

Pumas v Toluca

البداية: 2026-03-04 03:12 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

47 شركة مراهنات (16 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Pumas (المضيف)

التنبؤ 25.72%3.89السعر العادل
EV +1.08%
الأفضلية +0.275%
Kelly +0.369%
النمو +0.004%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.93

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
23.49%25.58%25.74%26.46%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.383.673.653.9329.59%27.28%27.40%25.45%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Toluca (الضيف)

التنبؤ 48.10%2.08السعر العادل
EV -2.84%
الأفضلية -1.41%
Kelly -2.79%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.02

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
46.30%48.17%48.09%50.88%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.711.881.872.0258.48%53.05%53.48%49.50%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 26.18%3.82السعر العادل
EV -0.505%
الأفضلية -0.133%
Kelly -0.180%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.80

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
24.89%26.25%26.16%27.48%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.153.533.553.8031.75%28.30%28.17%26.32%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (47 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفتعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
GTbets3.93I 25.45%NM 24.01%EV +1.08%E +0.275%K +0.369%G +0.004%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.41%EV -8.14%E -4.26%K -8.94%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.58%EV -7.05%E -1.99%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-04 03:09
Coolbet3.90I 25.64%NM 24.58%EV +0.310%E +0.079%K +0.107%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.42%EV -4.77%E -2.41%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.00%EV -7.05%E -1.99%K -2.76%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-04 03:09
Svenska Spel3.90I 25.64%NM 24.32%EV +0.310%E +0.079%K +0.107%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.72%EV -10.06%E -5.38%K -11.56%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.96%EV -0.505%E -0.133%K -0.180%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-04 03:10
ATG (SE)3.90I 25.64%NM 24.32%EV +0.310%E +0.079%K +0.107%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.72%EV -10.06%E -5.38%K -11.56%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.96%EV -0.505%E -0.133%K -0.180%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-04 03:10
BetRivers3.90I 25.64%NM 23.73%EV +0.310%E +0.079%K +0.107%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.57%EV -11.98%E -6.55%K -14.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.71%EV -5.74%E -1.59%K -2.21%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-04 03:03
Unibet3.85I 25.97%NM 24.13%EV -0.976%E -0.254%K -0.343%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.76%EV -11.98%E -6.55%K -14.44%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV -3.12%E -0.844%K -1.16%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-04 03:10
Unibet (SE)3.85I 25.97%NM 24.13%EV -0.976%E -0.254%K -0.343%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.76%EV -11.98%E -6.55%K -14.44%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV -3.12%E -0.844%K -1.16%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-04 03:10
Unibet (NL)3.85I 25.97%NM 24.13%EV -0.976%E -0.254%K -0.343%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.76%EV -11.98%E -6.55%K -14.44%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV -3.12%E -0.844%K -1.16%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-04 03:10
Grosvenor3.85I 25.97%NM 24.13%EV -0.976%E -0.254%K -0.343%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.76%EV -11.98%E -6.55%K -14.44%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV -3.12%E -0.844%K -1.16%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-04 03:10
Casumo3.85I 25.97%NM 24.13%EV -0.976%E -0.254%K -0.343%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.76%EV -11.98%E -6.55%K -14.44%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV -3.12%E -0.844%K -1.16%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-04 03:10
betPARX3.85I 25.97%NM 24.13%EV -0.976%E -0.254%K -0.343%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.76%EV -11.98%E -6.55%K -14.44%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV -3.12%E -0.844%K -1.16%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-04 03:10
Pinnacle3.84I 26.04%NM 25.20%EV -1.23%E -0.321%K -0.434%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 48.14%EV -3.33%E -1.65%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 26.66%EV -4.96%E -1.37%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-04 03:09
BetOnline.ag3.80I 26.32%NM 25.43%EV -2.26%E -0.595%K -0.808%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.31%EV -3.81%E -1.90%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 26.26%EV -3.65%E -0.991%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-04 03:10
LowVig.ag3.80I 26.32%NM 25.43%EV -2.26%E -0.595%K -0.808%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.31%EV -3.81%E -1.90%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 26.26%EV -3.65%E -0.991%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-04 03:10
TABtouch3.80I 26.32%NM 24.23%EV -2.26%E -0.595%K -0.808%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 50.88%EV -12.95%E -7.15%K -15.98%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.89%EV -3.12%E -0.844%K -1.16%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-04 03:10
BetUS3.75I 26.67%NM 25.13%EV -3.55%E -0.946%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.33%EV -6.21%E -3.19%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.55%EV -7.05%E -1.99%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-04 02:59
Bet Victor3.75I 26.67%NM 24.90%EV -3.55%E -0.946%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.15%EV -8.62%E -4.53%K -9.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -5.74%E -1.59%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-04 03:10
Fliff3.75I 26.67%NM 24.27%EV -3.55%E -0.946%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.73%EV -11.98%E -6.55%K -14.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.00%EV -8.36%E -2.39%K -3.34%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-04 03:10
LiveScore Bet3.75I 26.67%NM 24.26%EV -3.55%E -0.946%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 50.82%EV -13.91%E -7.77%K -17.60%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.92%EV -4.43%E -1.21%K -1.67%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-04 03:10
LeoVegas (SE)3.75I 26.67%NM 24.26%EV -3.55%E -0.946%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 50.82%EV -13.91%E -7.77%K -17.60%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.92%EV -4.43%E -1.21%K -1.67%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-04 03:10
FanDuel3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -4.83%E -1.31%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.34%EV -6.21%E -3.19%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -5.74%E -1.59%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-04 03:10
Virgin Bet3.70I 27.03%NM 24.28%EV -4.83%E -1.31%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 50.76%EV -14.87%E -8.40%K -19.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.96%EV -5.74%E -1.59%K -2.21%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-04 03:10
1xBet3.66I 27.32%NM 26.20%EV -5.86%E -1.60%K -2.20%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.46%EV -2.84%E -1.41%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 26.34%EV -4.69%E -1.29%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-04 02:59
DraftKings3.65I 27.40%NM 25.74%EV -6.12%E -1.68%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.17%EV -6.21%E -3.19%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -5.74%E -1.59%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-04 03:08
Bovada3.65I 27.40%NM 25.32%EV -6.12%E -1.68%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.89%EV -7.17%E -3.72%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.79%EV -9.67%E -2.80%K -3.95%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-04 03:03
LeoVegas3.65I 27.40%NM 24.08%EV -6.12%E -1.68%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 50.81%EV -16.79%E -9.71%K -23.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.11%EV -8.36%E -2.39%K -3.34%G +0.000%13.8%2026-03-04 03:10
NetBet (FR)3.65I 27.40%NM 23.49%EV -6.12%E -1.68%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 50.13%EV -17.75%E -10.38%K -25.01%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.38%EV -14.91%E -4.59%K -6.62%G +0.000%16.6%2026-03-04 03:10
Unibet (UK)3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -7.41%E -2.06%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.21%E -3.19%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -5.74%E -1.59%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-04 03:10
BetMGM3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -7.41%E -2.06%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -8.14%E -4.26%K -8.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -5.74%E -1.59%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-04 03:10
SportsBet3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -7.41%E -2.06%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.29%EV -8.62%E -4.53%K -9.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -8.36%E -2.39%K -3.34%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-04 03:10
Bet Right3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -7.41%E -2.06%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.05%EV -10.06%E -5.38%K -11.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -5.74%E -1.59%K -2.21%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-04 03:09
Everygame3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV -7.41%E -2.06%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.73%EV -8.62%E -4.53%K -9.57%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.07%EV -12.29%E -3.67%K -5.23%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-04 03:09
Marathon Bet3.58I 27.93%NM 25.89%EV -7.92%E -2.21%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.78%EV -6.69%E -3.45%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.33%EV -7.84%E -2.23%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-04 02:59
NordicBet3.55I 28.17%NM 26.16%EV -8.69%E -2.45%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.91%EV -4.77%E -2.41%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.92%EV -9.67%E -2.80%K -3.95%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-04 03:10
Betsson3.55I 28.17%NM 26.16%EV -8.69%E -2.45%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.91%EV -4.77%E -2.41%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.92%EV -9.67%E -2.80%K -3.95%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-04 03:10
Winamax (DE)3.55I 28.17%NM 25.48%EV -8.69%E -2.45%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 47.11%EV -7.65%E -3.99%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.41%EV -13.60%E -4.12%K -5.91%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-04 03:10
PlayUp3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -9.98%E -2.85%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -3.81%E -1.90%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -10.98%E -3.23%K -4.57%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-04 03:10
Betway3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -9.98%E -2.85%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -6.21%E -3.19%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -8.36%E -2.39%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-04 03:10
Fanatics3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -9.98%E -2.85%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -6.21%E -3.19%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -10.98%E -3.23%K -4.57%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-04 03:10
Paddy Power3.50I 28.57%NM 25.63%EV -9.98%E -2.85%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 47.98%EV -10.06%E -5.38%K -11.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%EV -10.98%E -3.23%K -4.57%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-04 03:10
BoyleSports3.40I 29.41%NM 26.11%EV -12.55%E -3.69%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.52%EV -11.98%E -6.55%K -14.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.37%EV -8.36%E -2.39%K -3.34%G +0.000%12.6%2026-03-04 03:10
888sport3.40I 29.41%NM 25.85%EV -12.55%E -3.69%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 47.51%EV -11.02%E -5.96%K -12.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.64%EV -13.60%E -4.12%K -5.91%G +0.000%13.8%2026-03-04 03:09
William Hill3.40I 29.41%NM 25.85%EV -12.55%E -3.69%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 47.51%EV -11.02%E -5.96%K -12.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.64%EV -13.60%E -4.12%K -5.91%G +0.000%13.8%2026-03-04 03:10
888sport (SE)3.40I 29.41%NM 25.85%EV -12.55%E -3.69%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 47.51%EV -11.02%E -5.96%K -12.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.64%EV -13.60%E -4.12%K -5.91%G +0.000%13.8%2026-03-04 03:09
Mr Green (SE)3.40I 29.41%NM 25.85%EV -12.55%E -3.69%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 47.51%EV -11.02%E -5.96%K -12.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.64%EV -13.60%E -4.12%K -5.91%G +0.000%13.8%2026-03-04 03:09
Winamax (FR)3.40I 29.41%NM 25.46%EV -12.55%E -3.69%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 47.05%EV -11.50%E -6.25%K -13.69%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.48%EV -17.52%E -5.56%K -8.15%G +0.000%15.5%2026-03-04 03:10
Betclic (FR)3.38I 29.59%NM 25.97%EV -13.06%E -3.87%K -5.49%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 48.22%EV -12.46%E -6.85%K -15.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.81%EV -10.98%E -3.23%K -4.57%G +0.000%13.9%2026-03-04 03:09
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.90I 25.64%NM 25.27%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.79%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.94%1.5%2026-03-04 03:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.90I 25.64%NM 25.23%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.21%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.56%1.6%2026-03-04 03:10
Smarkets3.85I 25.97%NM 25.39%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.88%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.73%2.3%2026-03-04 03:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.85I 25.97%NM 25.39%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.88%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.73%2.3%2026-03-04 03:10
Matchbook3.75I 26.67%NM 25.93%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.14%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.93%2.8%2026-03-04 03:10