La escuela de los momiosPumas v Toluca
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Pumas (Local)
Predicción 25.72%3.89momio equitativo
EV +1.08%
Ventaja +0.275%
Kelly +0.369%
Crecimiento +0.004%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.93
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.49%25.58%25.74%26.46%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.383.673.653.9329.59%27.28%27.40%25.45%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Toluca (Visitante)
Predicción 48.10%2.08momio equitativo
EV -2.84%
Ventaja -1.41%
Kelly -2.79%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.02
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
46.30%48.17%48.09%50.88%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.711.881.872.0258.48%53.05%53.48%49.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 26.18%3.82momio equitativo
EV -0.505%
Ventaja -0.133%
Kelly -0.180%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.80
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.89%26.25%26.16%27.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.153.533.553.8031.75%28.30%28.17%26.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (47 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GTbets | 3.93I 25.45%NM 24.01%EV +1.08%E +0.275%K +0.369%G +0.004% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.41%EV -8.14%E -4.26%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.58%EV -7.05%E -1.99%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-04 03:09 |
| Coolbet | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.58%EV +0.310%E +0.079%K +0.107%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.42%EV -4.77%E -2.41%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.00%EV -7.05%E -1.99%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-04 03:09 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.32%EV +0.310%E +0.079%K +0.107%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.72%EV -10.06%E -5.38%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.96%EV -0.505%E -0.133%K -0.180%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-04 03:10 |
| ATG (SE) | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.32%EV +0.310%E +0.079%K +0.107%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.72%EV -10.06%E -5.38%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.96%EV -0.505%E -0.133%K -0.180%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-04 03:10 |
| BetRivers | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.73%EV +0.310%E +0.079%K +0.107%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.57%EV -11.98%E -6.55%K -14.44%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.71%EV -5.74%E -1.59%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-04 03:03 |
| Unibet | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.13%EV -0.976%E -0.254%K -0.343%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.76%EV -11.98%E -6.55%K -14.44%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV -3.12%E -0.844%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-04 03:10 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.13%EV -0.976%E -0.254%K -0.343%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.76%EV -11.98%E -6.55%K -14.44%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV -3.12%E -0.844%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-04 03:10 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.13%EV -0.976%E -0.254%K -0.343%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.76%EV -11.98%E -6.55%K -14.44%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV -3.12%E -0.844%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-04 03:10 |
| Grosvenor | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.13%EV -0.976%E -0.254%K -0.343%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.76%EV -11.98%E -6.55%K -14.44%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV -3.12%E -0.844%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-04 03:10 |
| Casumo | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.13%EV -0.976%E -0.254%K -0.343%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.76%EV -11.98%E -6.55%K -14.44%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV -3.12%E -0.844%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-04 03:10 |
| betPARX | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.13%EV -0.976%E -0.254%K -0.343%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.76%EV -11.98%E -6.55%K -14.44%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV -3.12%E -0.844%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-04 03:10 |
| Pinnacle | 3.84I 26.04%NM 25.20%EV -1.23%E -0.321%K -0.434%G +0.000% | 2.01I 49.75%NM 48.14%EV -3.33%E -1.65%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.63I 27.55%NM 26.66%EV -4.96%E -1.37%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-03-04 03:09 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.43%EV -2.26%E -0.595%K -0.808%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.31%EV -3.81%E -1.90%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 26.26%EV -3.65%E -0.991%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-04 03:10 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.43%EV -2.26%E -0.595%K -0.808%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.31%EV -3.81%E -1.90%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 26.26%EV -3.65%E -0.991%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-04 03:10 |
| TABtouch | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.23%EV -2.26%E -0.595%K -0.808%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.88%EV -12.95%E -7.15%K -15.98%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.89%EV -3.12%E -0.844%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-04 03:10 |
| BetUS | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.13%EV -3.55%E -0.946%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.33%EV -6.21%E -3.19%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.55%EV -7.05%E -1.99%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-04 02:59 |
| Bet Victor | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.90%EV -3.55%E -0.946%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.15%EV -8.62%E -4.53%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -5.74%E -1.59%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-04 03:10 |
| Fliff | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.27%EV -3.55%E -0.946%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.73%EV -11.98%E -6.55%K -14.44%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.00%EV -8.36%E -2.39%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-04 03:10 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.26%EV -3.55%E -0.946%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 50.82%EV -13.91%E -7.77%K -17.60%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.92%EV -4.43%E -1.21%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-04 03:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.26%EV -3.55%E -0.946%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 50.82%EV -13.91%E -7.77%K -17.60%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.92%EV -4.43%E -1.21%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-04 03:10 |
| FanDuel | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -4.83%E -1.31%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.34%EV -6.21%E -3.19%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -5.74%E -1.59%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-04 03:10 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.28%EV -4.83%E -1.31%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 50.76%EV -14.87%E -8.40%K -19.31%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.96%EV -5.74%E -1.59%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-03-04 03:10 |
| 1xBet | 3.66I 27.32%NM 26.20%EV -5.86%E -1.60%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.46%EV -2.84%E -1.41%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 26.34%EV -4.69%E -1.29%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-04 02:59 |
| DraftKings | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.74%EV -6.12%E -1.68%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.17%EV -6.21%E -3.19%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -5.74%E -1.59%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-04 03:08 |
| Bovada | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.32%EV -6.12%E -1.68%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.89%EV -7.17%E -3.72%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.79%EV -9.67%E -2.80%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-04 03:03 |
| LeoVegas | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.08%EV -6.12%E -1.68%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 50.81%EV -16.79%E -9.71%K -23.00%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.11%EV -8.36%E -2.39%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-03-04 03:10 |
| NetBet (FR) | 3.65I 27.40%NM 23.49%EV -6.12%E -1.68%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 50.13%EV -17.75%E -10.38%K -25.01%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.38%EV -14.91%E -4.59%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 16.6% | 2026-03-04 03:10 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -7.41%E -2.06%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.21%E -3.19%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -5.74%E -1.59%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-04 03:10 |
| BetMGM | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -7.41%E -2.06%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -8.14%E -4.26%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -5.74%E -1.59%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-04 03:10 |
| SportsBet | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -7.41%E -2.06%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.29%EV -8.62%E -4.53%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -8.36%E -2.39%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-04 03:10 |
| Bet Right | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -7.41%E -2.06%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.05%EV -10.06%E -5.38%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -5.74%E -1.59%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-04 03:09 |
| Everygame | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV -7.41%E -2.06%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.73%EV -8.62%E -4.53%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.07%EV -12.29%E -3.67%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-03-04 03:09 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.58I 27.93%NM 25.89%EV -7.92%E -2.21%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.78%EV -6.69%E -3.45%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 26.33%EV -7.84%E -2.23%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-04 02:59 |
| NordicBet | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.16%EV -8.69%E -2.45%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.91%EV -4.77%E -2.41%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.92%EV -9.67%E -2.80%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-04 03:10 |
| Betsson | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.16%EV -8.69%E -2.45%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.91%EV -4.77%E -2.41%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.92%EV -9.67%E -2.80%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-04 03:10 |
| Winamax (DE) | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.48%EV -8.69%E -2.45%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.11%EV -7.65%E -3.99%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.41%EV -13.60%E -4.12%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-03-04 03:10 |
| PlayUp | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -9.98%E -2.85%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -3.81%E -1.90%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -10.98%E -3.23%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-04 03:10 |
| Betway | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -9.98%E -2.85%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -6.21%E -3.19%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -8.36%E -2.39%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-04 03:10 |
| Fanatics | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -9.98%E -2.85%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -6.21%E -3.19%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -10.98%E -3.23%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-04 03:10 |
| Paddy Power | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.63%EV -9.98%E -2.85%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 47.98%EV -10.06%E -5.38%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%EV -10.98%E -3.23%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-03-04 03:10 |
| BoyleSports | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.11%EV -12.55%E -3.69%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.52%EV -11.98%E -6.55%K -14.44%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.37%EV -8.36%E -2.39%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-03-04 03:10 |
| 888sport | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.85%EV -12.55%E -3.69%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.51%EV -11.02%E -5.96%K -12.97%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.64%EV -13.60%E -4.12%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-03-04 03:09 |
| William Hill | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.85%EV -12.55%E -3.69%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.51%EV -11.02%E -5.96%K -12.97%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.64%EV -13.60%E -4.12%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-03-04 03:10 |
| 888sport (SE) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.85%EV -12.55%E -3.69%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.51%EV -11.02%E -5.96%K -12.97%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.64%EV -13.60%E -4.12%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-03-04 03:09 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.85%EV -12.55%E -3.69%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.51%EV -11.02%E -5.96%K -12.97%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.64%EV -13.60%E -4.12%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-03-04 03:09 |
| Winamax (FR) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.46%EV -12.55%E -3.69%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 47.05%EV -11.50%E -6.25%K -13.69%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.48%EV -17.52%E -5.56%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 15.5% | 2026-03-04 03:10 |
| Betclic (FR) | 3.38I 29.59%NM 25.97%EV -13.06%E -3.87%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 48.22%EV -12.46%E -6.85%K -15.20%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.81%EV -10.98%E -3.23%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-03-04 03:09 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.27% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.79% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.94% | 1.5% | 2026-03-04 03:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.23% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.21% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.56% | 1.6% | 2026-03-04 03:10 |
| Smarkets | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.39% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.88% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.73% | 2.3% | 2026-03-04 03:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.39% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.88% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.73% | 2.3% | 2026-03-04 03:10 |
| Matchbook | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.93% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.14% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.93% | 2.8% | 2026-03-04 03:10 |