L’École des cotesPumas v Toluca
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Pumas (Local)
Prévision 25.72%3.89cote équitable
EV +1.08%
Avantage +0.275%
Kelly +0.369%
Croissance +0.004%
avec la cote maximale 3.93
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.49%25.58%25.74%26.46%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.383.673.653.9329.59%27.28%27.40%25.45%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Toluca (Visiteur)
Prévision 48.10%2.08cote équitable
EV -2.84%
Avantage -1.41%
Kelly -2.79%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.02
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
46.30%48.17%48.09%50.88%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.711.881.872.0258.48%53.05%53.48%49.50%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 26.18%3.82cote équitable
EV -0.505%
Avantage -0.133%
Kelly -0.180%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.80
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.89%26.25%26.16%27.48%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.153.533.553.8031.75%28.30%28.17%26.32%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (47 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GTbets | 3.93I 25.45%NM 24.01%EV +1.08%E +0.275%K +0.369%G +0.004% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.41%EV -8.14%E -4.26%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.58%EV -7.05%E -1.99%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-04 03:09 |
| Coolbet | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.58%EV +0.310%E +0.079%K +0.107%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.42%EV -4.77%E -2.41%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.00%EV -7.05%E -1.99%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-04 03:09 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.32%EV +0.310%E +0.079%K +0.107%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.72%EV -10.06%E -5.38%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.96%EV -0.505%E -0.133%K -0.180%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-04 03:10 |
| ATG (SE) | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.32%EV +0.310%E +0.079%K +0.107%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.72%EV -10.06%E -5.38%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.96%EV -0.505%E -0.133%K -0.180%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-04 03:10 |
| BetRivers | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.73%EV +0.310%E +0.079%K +0.107%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.57%EV -11.98%E -6.55%K -14.44%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.71%EV -5.74%E -1.59%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-04 03:03 |
| Unibet | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.13%EV -0.976%E -0.254%K -0.343%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.76%EV -11.98%E -6.55%K -14.44%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV -3.12%E -0.844%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-04 03:10 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.13%EV -0.976%E -0.254%K -0.343%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.76%EV -11.98%E -6.55%K -14.44%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV -3.12%E -0.844%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-04 03:10 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.13%EV -0.976%E -0.254%K -0.343%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.76%EV -11.98%E -6.55%K -14.44%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV -3.12%E -0.844%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-04 03:10 |
| Grosvenor | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.13%EV -0.976%E -0.254%K -0.343%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.76%EV -11.98%E -6.55%K -14.44%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV -3.12%E -0.844%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-04 03:10 |
| Casumo | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.13%EV -0.976%E -0.254%K -0.343%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.76%EV -11.98%E -6.55%K -14.44%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV -3.12%E -0.844%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-04 03:10 |
| betPARX | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.13%EV -0.976%E -0.254%K -0.343%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.76%EV -11.98%E -6.55%K -14.44%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV -3.12%E -0.844%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-04 03:10 |
| Pinnacle | 3.84I 26.04%NM 25.20%EV -1.23%E -0.321%K -0.434%G +0.000% | 2.01I 49.75%NM 48.14%EV -3.33%E -1.65%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.63I 27.55%NM 26.66%EV -4.96%E -1.37%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-03-04 03:09 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.43%EV -2.26%E -0.595%K -0.808%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.31%EV -3.81%E -1.90%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 26.26%EV -3.65%E -0.991%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-04 03:10 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.43%EV -2.26%E -0.595%K -0.808%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.31%EV -3.81%E -1.90%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 26.26%EV -3.65%E -0.991%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-04 03:10 |
| TABtouch | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.23%EV -2.26%E -0.595%K -0.808%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.88%EV -12.95%E -7.15%K -15.98%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.89%EV -3.12%E -0.844%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-04 03:10 |
| BetUS | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.13%EV -3.55%E -0.946%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.33%EV -6.21%E -3.19%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.55%EV -7.05%E -1.99%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-04 02:59 |
| Bet Victor | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.90%EV -3.55%E -0.946%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.15%EV -8.62%E -4.53%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -5.74%E -1.59%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-04 03:10 |
| Fliff | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.27%EV -3.55%E -0.946%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.73%EV -11.98%E -6.55%K -14.44%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.00%EV -8.36%E -2.39%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-04 03:10 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.26%EV -3.55%E -0.946%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 50.82%EV -13.91%E -7.77%K -17.60%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.92%EV -4.43%E -1.21%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-04 03:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.26%EV -3.55%E -0.946%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 50.82%EV -13.91%E -7.77%K -17.60%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.92%EV -4.43%E -1.21%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-04 03:10 |
| FanDuel | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -4.83%E -1.31%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.34%EV -6.21%E -3.19%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -5.74%E -1.59%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-04 03:10 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.28%EV -4.83%E -1.31%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 50.76%EV -14.87%E -8.40%K -19.31%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.96%EV -5.74%E -1.59%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-03-04 03:10 |
| 1xBet | 3.66I 27.32%NM 26.20%EV -5.86%E -1.60%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.46%EV -2.84%E -1.41%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 26.34%EV -4.69%E -1.29%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-04 02:59 |
| DraftKings | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.74%EV -6.12%E -1.68%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.17%EV -6.21%E -3.19%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -5.74%E -1.59%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-04 03:08 |
| Bovada | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.32%EV -6.12%E -1.68%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.89%EV -7.17%E -3.72%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.79%EV -9.67%E -2.80%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-04 03:03 |
| LeoVegas | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.08%EV -6.12%E -1.68%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 50.81%EV -16.79%E -9.71%K -23.00%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.11%EV -8.36%E -2.39%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-03-04 03:10 |
| NetBet (FR) | 3.65I 27.40%NM 23.49%EV -6.12%E -1.68%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 50.13%EV -17.75%E -10.38%K -25.01%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.38%EV -14.91%E -4.59%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 16.6% | 2026-03-04 03:10 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -7.41%E -2.06%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.21%E -3.19%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -5.74%E -1.59%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-04 03:10 |
| BetMGM | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -7.41%E -2.06%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -8.14%E -4.26%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -5.74%E -1.59%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-04 03:10 |
| SportsBet | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -7.41%E -2.06%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.29%EV -8.62%E -4.53%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -8.36%E -2.39%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-04 03:10 |
| Bet Right | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -7.41%E -2.06%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.05%EV -10.06%E -5.38%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -5.74%E -1.59%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-04 03:09 |
| Everygame | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV -7.41%E -2.06%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.73%EV -8.62%E -4.53%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.07%EV -12.29%E -3.67%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-03-04 03:09 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.58I 27.93%NM 25.89%EV -7.92%E -2.21%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.78%EV -6.69%E -3.45%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 26.33%EV -7.84%E -2.23%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-04 02:59 |
| NordicBet | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.16%EV -8.69%E -2.45%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.91%EV -4.77%E -2.41%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.92%EV -9.67%E -2.80%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-04 03:10 |
| Betsson | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.16%EV -8.69%E -2.45%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.91%EV -4.77%E -2.41%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.92%EV -9.67%E -2.80%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-04 03:10 |
| Winamax (DE) | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.48%EV -8.69%E -2.45%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.11%EV -7.65%E -3.99%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.41%EV -13.60%E -4.12%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-03-04 03:10 |
| PlayUp | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -9.98%E -2.85%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -3.81%E -1.90%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -10.98%E -3.23%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-04 03:10 |
| Betway | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -9.98%E -2.85%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -6.21%E -3.19%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -8.36%E -2.39%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-04 03:10 |
| Fanatics | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -9.98%E -2.85%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -6.21%E -3.19%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -10.98%E -3.23%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-04 03:10 |
| Paddy Power | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.63%EV -9.98%E -2.85%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 47.98%EV -10.06%E -5.38%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%EV -10.98%E -3.23%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-03-04 03:10 |
| BoyleSports | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.11%EV -12.55%E -3.69%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.52%EV -11.98%E -6.55%K -14.44%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.37%EV -8.36%E -2.39%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-03-04 03:10 |
| 888sport | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.85%EV -12.55%E -3.69%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.51%EV -11.02%E -5.96%K -12.97%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.64%EV -13.60%E -4.12%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-03-04 03:09 |
| William Hill | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.85%EV -12.55%E -3.69%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.51%EV -11.02%E -5.96%K -12.97%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.64%EV -13.60%E -4.12%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-03-04 03:10 |
| 888sport (SE) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.85%EV -12.55%E -3.69%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.51%EV -11.02%E -5.96%K -12.97%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.64%EV -13.60%E -4.12%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-03-04 03:09 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.85%EV -12.55%E -3.69%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.51%EV -11.02%E -5.96%K -12.97%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.64%EV -13.60%E -4.12%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-03-04 03:09 |
| Winamax (FR) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.46%EV -12.55%E -3.69%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 47.05%EV -11.50%E -6.25%K -13.69%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.48%EV -17.52%E -5.56%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 15.5% | 2026-03-04 03:10 |
| Betclic (FR) | 3.38I 29.59%NM 25.97%EV -13.06%E -3.87%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 48.22%EV -12.46%E -6.85%K -15.20%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.81%EV -10.98%E -3.23%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-03-04 03:09 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.27% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.79% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.94% | 1.5% | 2026-03-04 03:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.23% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.21% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.56% | 1.6% | 2026-03-04 03:10 |
| Smarkets | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.39% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.88% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.73% | 2.3% | 2026-03-04 03:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.39% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.88% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.73% | 2.3% | 2026-03-04 03:10 |
| Matchbook | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.93% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.14% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.93% | 2.8% | 2026-03-04 03:10 |