The School of OddsPumas v Pachuca
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Pumas (Local)
Prediction 37.07%2.70fair odd
EV -0.274%
Edge -0.102%
Kelly -0.162%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.69
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.77%37.18%37.12%40.76%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.172.452.452.6946.08%40.84%40.82%37.17%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Pachuca (Visit)
Prediction 34.56%2.89fair odd
EV +3.68%
Edge +1.23%
Kelly +1.84%
Growth +0.068%
assuming max odds 3.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.45%34.42%34.52%35.96%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.502.732.703.0040.00%36.66%37.04%33.33%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Draw
Prediction 28.37%3.53fair odd
EV -1.57%
Edge -0.451%
Kelly -0.634%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.47
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.35%28.40%28.36%29.60%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.003.273.303.4733.33%30.62%30.30%28.82%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Sportsbook Odds (49 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.41%EV -12.88%E -5.48%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV +3.68%E +1.23%K +1.84%G +0.068% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.93%EV -3.55%E -1.04%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-18 22:55 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.41%EV -12.88%E -5.48%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV +3.68%E +1.23%K +1.84%G +0.068% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.93%EV -3.55%E -1.04%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-18 22:55 |
| Casumo | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.55%EV -14.73%E -6.41%K -11.33%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.61%EV +1.95%E +0.662%K +1.00%G +0.020% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -4.97%E -1.48%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-18 22:55 |
| Unibet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.55%EV -14.73%E -6.41%K -11.33%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.61%EV +1.95%E +0.662%K +1.00%G +0.020% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -4.97%E -1.48%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-18 22:55 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.55%EV -14.73%E -6.41%K -11.33%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.61%EV +1.95%E +0.662%K +1.00%G +0.020% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -4.97%E -1.48%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-18 22:55 |
| Grosvenor | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.55%EV -14.73%E -6.41%K -11.33%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.61%EV +1.95%E +0.662%K +1.00%G +0.020% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -4.97%E -1.48%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-18 22:55 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.55%EV -14.73%E -6.41%K -11.33%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.61%EV +1.95%E +0.662%K +1.00%G +0.020% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -4.97%E -1.48%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-18 22:55 |
| betPARX | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.55%EV -14.73%E -6.41%K -11.33%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.61%EV +1.95%E +0.662%K +1.00%G +0.020% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -4.97%E -1.48%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-18 22:55 |
| BetRivers | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.76%EV -15.47%E -6.79%K -12.09%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.50%EV +1.95%E +0.662%K +1.00%G +0.020% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.74%EV -4.97%E -1.48%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-18 22:35 |
| TABtouch | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.37%EV -15.47%E -6.79%K -12.09%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.74%EV +0.224%E +0.077%K +0.118%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -6.39%E -1.94%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-18 22:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.43%EV -16.59%E -7.37%K -13.27%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.58%EV -0.467%E -0.162%K -0.249%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.99%EV -7.81%E -2.40%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-07-18 22:55 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.43%EV -16.59%E -7.37%K -13.27%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.58%EV -0.467%E -0.162%K -0.249%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.99%EV -7.81%E -2.40%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-07-18 22:55 |
| Coolbet | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.76%EV -9.17%E -3.74%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.32%EV -1.50%E -0.528%K -0.813%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.93%EV -3.55%E -1.04%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-18 22:00 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.51%EV -17.33%E -7.77%K -14.09%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.70%EV -1.50%E -0.528%K -0.813%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.80%EV -7.81%E -2.40%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-07-18 22:55 |
| Pinnacle | 2.61I 38.31%NM 36.91%EV -3.24%E -1.24%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 34.16%EV -2.54%E -0.901%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 28.93%EV -5.54%E -1.66%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-18 22:50 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.17I 46.08%NM 40.59%EV -19.55%E -9.01%K -16.71%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.45%EV -3.23%E -1.15%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.96%EV -10.64%E -3.38%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-07-18 22:55 |
| Fanatics | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.32%E -2.93%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.09%EV -4.96%E -1.80%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -6.39%E -1.94%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-18 22:44 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.53I 39.53%NM 36.64%EV -6.21%E -2.45%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 33.83%EV -5.31%E -1.94%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.14I 31.85%NM 29.52%EV -10.93%E -3.48%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-18 22:55 |
| NordicBet | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.01%EV -6.58%E -2.61%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.29%EV -6.00%E -2.20%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -7.81%E -2.40%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-18 22:45 |
| Betsson | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.01%EV -6.58%E -2.61%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.29%EV -6.00%E -2.20%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -7.81%E -2.40%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-18 22:45 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.43%EV -1.76%E -0.663%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.75%EV -6.69%E -2.48%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 3.47I 28.82%NM 27.82%EV -1.57%E -0.451%K -0.634%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-07-18 22:50 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.43%EV -1.76%E -0.663%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.75%EV -6.69%E -2.48%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 3.47I 28.82%NM 27.82%EV -1.57%E -0.451%K -0.634%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-07-18 22:50 |
| BetUS | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.35%EV -3.61%E -1.39%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.01%EV -6.69%E -2.48%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.64%EV -6.39%E -1.94%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-18 22:55 |
| DraftKings | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.96%EV -5.46%E -2.14%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.91%EV -6.69%E -2.48%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.13%EV -4.97%E -1.48%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-18 22:45 |
| Betway | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -7.32%E -2.93%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -6.69%E -2.48%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -6.39%E -1.94%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-18 22:55 |
| 1xBet | 2.69I 37.17%NM 35.77%EV -0.274%E -0.102%K -0.162%G +0.000% | 2.69I 37.17%NM 35.77%EV -7.03%E -2.61%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 28.47%EV -4.12%E -1.22%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-18 22:54 |
| GTbets | 2.59I 38.61%NM 36.71%EV -3.98%E -1.54%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.48%EV -7.38%E -2.75%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.80%EV -2.98%E -0.872%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-18 22:55 |
| FanDuel | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.11%EV -3.61%E -1.39%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.43%EV -8.42%E -3.18%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -6.39%E -1.94%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-18 22:54 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.56%EV -5.46%E -2.14%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.18%EV -8.42%E -3.18%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.25%EV -6.39%E -1.94%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-18 22:50 |
| SportsBet | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.40%EV -5.46%E -2.14%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.03%EV -8.42%E -3.18%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.56%EV -7.81%E -2.40%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-18 22:55 |
| PlayUp | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.02%EV -7.32%E -2.93%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.93%EV -8.42%E -3.18%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -6.39%E -1.94%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-18 22:55 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -9.17%E -3.74%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.67%EV -8.42%E -3.18%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -6.39%E -1.94%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-07-18 22:45 |
| Everygame | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.37%EV -7.32%E -2.93%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.31%EV -8.42%E -3.18%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -12.06%E -3.89%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-07-18 22:45 |
| Bet Victor | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.87%EV -3.61%E -1.39%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.87%EV -10.14%E -3.90%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -6.39%E -1.94%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-18 22:55 |
| betano_uk | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.87%EV -3.61%E -1.39%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.87%EV -10.14%E -3.90%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -6.39%E -1.94%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-18 22:55 |
| Bet Right | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.40%EV -9.17%E -3.74%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.24%EV -10.14%E -3.90%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.35%EV -4.97%E -1.48%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-07-18 22:40 |
| LeoVegas | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.62%EV -7.32%E -2.93%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.21%EV -10.14%E -3.90%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -7.81%E -2.40%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-07-18 22:55 |
| Paddy Power | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -7.32%E -2.93%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -10.14%E -3.90%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -9.22%E -2.88%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-07-18 22:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -7.32%E -2.93%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -10.14%E -3.90%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -9.22%E -2.88%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-07-18 22:55 |
| betfred_uk | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.73%EV -11.03%E -4.59%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.83%EV -10.14%E -3.90%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -6.39%E -1.94%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-07-18 22:45 |
| Fliff | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.93%EV -9.17%E -3.74%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.80%EV -10.14%E -3.90%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.27%EV -9.22%E -2.88%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-07-18 22:55 |
| William Hill | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.25%EV -9.17%E -3.74%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.15%EV -10.14%E -3.90%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.60%EV -14.90%E -4.97%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-07-18 22:55 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.25%EV -9.17%E -3.74%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.15%EV -10.14%E -3.90%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.60%EV -14.90%E -4.97%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-07-18 22:55 |
| 888sport | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.25%EV -9.17%E -3.74%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.15%EV -10.14%E -3.90%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.60%EV -14.90%E -4.97%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-07-18 22:55 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.25%EV -9.17%E -3.74%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.15%EV -10.14%E -3.90%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.60%EV -14.90%E -4.97%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-07-18 22:55 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.26%EV -11.03%E -4.59%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 34.80%EV -11.18%E -4.35%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.94%EV -9.22%E -2.88%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-07-18 22:54 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.15%EV -12.88%E -5.48%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.23%EV -11.87%E -4.66%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.62%EV -13.48%E -4.42%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-07-18 22:50 |
| Neds | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -7.32%E -2.93%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -13.60%E -5.44%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.09%EV -9.22%E -2.88%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-07-18 22:55 |
| Sky Bet | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.10%EV -9.17%E -3.74%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.37%EV -13.60%E -5.44%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.53%EV -12.06%E -3.89%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-07-18 22:55 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.41% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.88% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.71% | 1.0% | 2026-07-18 22:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.65% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.09% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.27% | 1.1% | 2026-07-18 22:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.32% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.04% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.64% | 1.2% | 2026-07-18 22:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.32% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.04% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.64% | 1.2% | 2026-07-18 22:55 |
| Smarkets | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.67% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 34.85% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.48% | 1.8% | 2026-07-18 22:45 |
| Kalshi | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.28% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.27% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.45% | 2.0% | 2026-07-18 22:35 |