A Escola das Odds

Pumas v Pachuca

Início: 2026-07-18 23:00 UTC

Final: Pumas 0–3 Pachuca

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

49 casas de apostas (16 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Pumas (Local)

Previsão 37.07%2.70odd justa
EV -0.274%
Vantagem -0.102%
Kelly -0.162%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.69

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
35.77%37.18%37.12%40.76%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.172.452.452.6946.08%40.84%40.82%37.17%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pachuca (Visitante)

Previsão 34.56%2.89odd justa
EV +3.68%
Vantagem +1.23%
Kelly +1.84%
Crescimento +0.068%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
31.45%34.42%34.52%35.96%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.502.732.703.0040.00%36.66%37.04%33.33%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 28.37%3.53odd justa
EV -1.57%
Vantagem -0.451%
Kelly -0.634%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.47

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
27.35%28.40%28.36%29.60%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.003.273.303.4733.33%30.62%30.30%28.82%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (49 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
ATG (SE)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.41%EV -12.88%E -5.48%K -9.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV +3.68%E +1.23%K +1.84%G +0.068%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.93%EV -3.55%E -1.04%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-18 22:55
Svenska Spel2.35I 42.55%NM 40.41%EV -12.88%E -5.48%K -9.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV +3.68%E +1.23%K +1.84%G +0.068%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.93%EV -3.55%E -1.04%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-18 22:55
Casumo2.30I 43.48%NM 40.55%EV -14.73%E -6.41%K -11.33%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.61%EV +1.95%E +0.662%K +1.00%G +0.020%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -4.97%E -1.48%K -2.11%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-18 22:55
Unibet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.55%EV -14.73%E -6.41%K -11.33%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.61%EV +1.95%E +0.662%K +1.00%G +0.020%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -4.97%E -1.48%K -2.11%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-18 22:55
Unibet (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.55%EV -14.73%E -6.41%K -11.33%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.61%EV +1.95%E +0.662%K +1.00%G +0.020%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -4.97%E -1.48%K -2.11%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-18 22:55
Grosvenor2.30I 43.48%NM 40.55%EV -14.73%E -6.41%K -11.33%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.61%EV +1.95%E +0.662%K +1.00%G +0.020%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -4.97%E -1.48%K -2.11%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-18 22:55
Unibet (NL)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.55%EV -14.73%E -6.41%K -11.33%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.61%EV +1.95%E +0.662%K +1.00%G +0.020%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -4.97%E -1.48%K -2.11%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-18 22:55
betPARX2.30I 43.48%NM 40.55%EV -14.73%E -6.41%K -11.33%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.61%EV +1.95%E +0.662%K +1.00%G +0.020%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -4.97%E -1.48%K -2.11%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-18 22:55
BetRivers2.28I 43.86%NM 40.76%EV -15.47%E -6.79%K -12.09%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.50%EV +1.95%E +0.662%K +1.00%G +0.020%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.74%EV -4.97%E -1.48%K -2.11%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-18 22:35
TABtouch2.28I 43.86%NM 40.37%EV -15.47%E -6.79%K -12.09%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.74%EV +0.224%E +0.077%K +0.118%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -6.39%E -1.94%K -2.78%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-18 22:55
LeoVegas (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.43%EV -16.59%E -7.37%K -13.27%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.58%EV -0.467%E -0.162%K -0.249%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.99%EV -7.81%E -2.40%K -3.47%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-18 22:55
LiveScore Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 40.43%EV -16.59%E -7.37%K -13.27%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.58%EV -0.467%E -0.162%K -0.249%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.99%EV -7.81%E -2.40%K -3.47%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-18 22:55
Coolbet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.76%EV -9.17%E -3.74%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.32%EV -1.50%E -0.528%K -0.813%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.93%EV -3.55%E -1.04%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-18 22:00
Virgin Bet2.23I 44.84%NM 40.51%EV -17.33%E -7.77%K -14.09%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.70%EV -1.50%E -0.528%K -0.813%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.80%EV -7.81%E -2.40%K -3.47%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-18 22:55
Pinnacle2.61I 38.31%NM 36.91%EV -3.24%E -1.24%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 34.16%EV -2.54%E -0.901%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.93%EV -5.54%E -1.66%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-18 22:50
PMU (FR)2.17I 46.08%NM 40.59%EV -19.55%E -9.01%K -16.71%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.45%EV -3.23%E -1.15%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.96%EV -10.64%E -3.38%K -4.95%G +0.000%13.5%2026-07-18 22:55
Fanatics2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.32%E -2.93%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.09%EV -4.96%E -1.80%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -6.39%E -1.94%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-18 22:44
Marathon Bet2.53I 39.53%NM 36.64%EV -6.21%E -2.45%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 33.83%EV -5.31%E -1.94%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 29.52%EV -10.93%E -3.48%K -5.11%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-18 22:55
NordicBet2.52I 39.68%NM 37.01%EV -6.58%E -2.61%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.29%EV -6.00%E -2.20%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -7.81%E -2.40%K -3.47%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-18 22:45
Betsson2.52I 39.68%NM 37.01%EV -6.58%E -2.61%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.29%EV -6.00%E -2.20%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -7.81%E -2.40%K -3.47%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-18 22:45
BetOnline.ag2.65I 37.74%NM 36.43%EV -1.76%E -0.663%K -1.06%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.75%EV -6.69%E -2.48%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 27.82%EV -1.57%E -0.451%K -0.634%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-18 22:50
LowVig.ag2.65I 37.74%NM 36.43%EV -1.76%E -0.663%K -1.06%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.75%EV -6.69%E -2.48%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 27.82%EV -1.57%E -0.451%K -0.634%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-18 22:50
BetUS2.60I 38.46%NM 36.35%EV -3.61%E -1.39%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.01%EV -6.69%E -2.48%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.64%EV -6.39%E -1.94%K -2.78%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-18 22:55
DraftKings2.55I 39.22%NM 36.96%EV -5.46%E -2.14%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.91%EV -6.69%E -2.48%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.13%EV -4.97%E -1.48%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-18 22:45
Betway2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -7.32%E -2.93%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -6.69%E -2.48%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -6.39%E -1.94%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-18 22:55
1xBet2.69I 37.17%NM 35.77%EV -0.274%E -0.102%K -0.162%G +0.000%2.69I 37.17%NM 35.77%EV -7.03%E -2.61%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.47%EV -4.12%E -1.22%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-18 22:54
GTbets2.59I 38.61%NM 36.71%EV -3.98%E -1.54%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.48%EV -7.38%E -2.75%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.80%EV -2.98%E -0.872%K -1.23%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-18 22:55
FanDuel2.60I 38.46%NM 36.11%EV -3.61%E -1.39%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.43%EV -8.42%E -3.18%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -6.39%E -1.94%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-18 22:54
Unibet (UK)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.56%EV -5.46%E -2.14%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.18%EV -8.42%E -3.18%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.25%EV -6.39%E -1.94%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-18 22:50
SportsBet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.40%EV -5.46%E -2.14%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.03%EV -8.42%E -3.18%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.56%EV -7.81%E -2.40%K -3.47%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-18 22:55
PlayUp2.50I 40.00%NM 37.02%EV -7.32%E -2.93%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.93%EV -8.42%E -3.18%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -6.39%E -1.94%K -2.78%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-18 22:55
Tipico (DE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -9.17%E -3.74%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.67%EV -8.42%E -3.18%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -6.39%E -1.94%K -2.78%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-18 22:45
Everygame2.50I 40.00%NM 36.37%EV -7.32%E -2.93%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.31%EV -8.42%E -3.18%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -12.06%E -3.89%K -5.74%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-18 22:45
Bet Victor2.60I 38.46%NM 35.87%EV -3.61%E -1.39%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.87%EV -10.14%E -3.90%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -6.39%E -1.94%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-18 22:55
betano_uk2.60I 38.46%NM 35.87%EV -3.61%E -1.39%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.87%EV -10.14%E -3.90%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -6.39%E -1.94%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-18 22:55
Bet Right2.45I 40.82%NM 37.40%EV -9.17%E -3.74%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.24%EV -10.14%E -3.90%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.35%EV -4.97%E -1.48%K -2.11%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-18 22:40
LeoVegas2.50I 40.00%NM 36.62%EV -7.32%E -2.93%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.21%EV -10.14%E -3.90%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -7.81%E -2.40%K -3.47%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-18 22:55
Paddy Power2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -7.32%E -2.93%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -10.14%E -3.90%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -9.22%E -2.88%K -4.19%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-18 22:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -7.32%E -2.93%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -10.14%E -3.90%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -9.22%E -2.88%K -4.19%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-18 22:55
betfred_uk2.40I 41.67%NM 37.73%EV -11.03%E -4.59%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.83%EV -10.14%E -3.90%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -6.39%E -1.94%K -2.78%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-18 22:45
Fliff2.45I 40.82%NM 36.93%EV -9.17%E -3.74%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.80%EV -10.14%E -3.90%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.27%EV -9.22%E -2.88%K -4.19%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-18 22:55
William Hill2.45I 40.82%NM 36.25%EV -9.17%E -3.74%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.15%EV -10.14%E -3.90%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.60%EV -14.90%E -4.97%K -7.45%G +0.000%12.6%2026-07-18 22:55
888sport (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 36.25%EV -9.17%E -3.74%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.15%EV -10.14%E -3.90%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.60%EV -14.90%E -4.97%K -7.45%G +0.000%12.6%2026-07-18 22:55
888sport2.45I 40.82%NM 36.25%EV -9.17%E -3.74%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.15%EV -10.14%E -3.90%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.60%EV -14.90%E -4.97%K -7.45%G +0.000%12.6%2026-07-18 22:55
Mr Green (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 36.25%EV -9.17%E -3.74%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.15%EV -10.14%E -3.90%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.60%EV -14.90%E -4.97%K -7.45%G +0.000%12.6%2026-07-18 22:55
Betclic (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.26%EV -11.03%E -4.59%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 34.80%EV -11.18%E -4.35%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.94%EV -9.22%E -2.88%K -4.19%G +0.000%11.8%2026-07-18 22:54
NetBet (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 37.15%EV -12.88%E -5.48%K -9.54%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.23%EV -11.87%E -4.66%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.62%EV -13.48%E -4.42%K -6.58%G +0.000%14.6%2026-07-18 22:50
Neds2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -7.32%E -2.93%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -13.60%E -5.44%K -9.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.09%EV -9.22%E -2.88%K -4.19%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-18 22:55
Sky Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 36.10%EV -9.17%E -3.74%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.37%EV -13.60%E -5.44%K -9.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.53%EV -12.06%E -3.89%K -5.74%G +0.000%13.1%2026-07-18 22:55
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook2.72I 36.76%NM 36.41%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.88%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.71%1.0%2026-07-18 22:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.70I 37.04%NM 36.65%2.82I 35.46%NM 35.09%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.27%1.1%2026-07-18 22:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.72I 36.76%NM 36.32%2.82I 35.46%NM 35.04%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.64%1.2%2026-07-18 22:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.72I 36.76%NM 36.32%2.82I 35.46%NM 35.04%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.64%1.2%2026-07-18 22:55
Smarkets2.68I 37.31%NM 36.67%2.82I 35.46%NM 34.85%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.48%1.8%2026-07-18 22:45
Kalshi2.56I 39.06%NM 38.28%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.27%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.45%2.0%2026-07-18 22:35