L’École des cotes

Pumas v Pachuca

Coup d’envoi : 2026-07-18 23:00 UTC

Score final : Pumas 0–3 Pachuca

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

49 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Pumas (Local)

Prévision 37.07%2.70cote équitable
EV -0.274%
Avantage -0.102%
Kelly -0.162%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.69

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
35.77%37.18%37.12%40.76%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.172.452.452.6946.08%40.84%40.82%37.17%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Pachuca (Visiteur)

Prévision 34.56%2.89cote équitable
EV +3.68%
Avantage +1.23%
Kelly +1.84%
Croissance +0.068%

avec la cote maximale 3.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
31.45%34.42%34.52%35.96%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.502.732.703.0040.00%36.66%37.04%33.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 28.37%3.53cote équitable
EV -1.57%
Avantage -0.451%
Kelly -0.634%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.47

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.35%28.40%28.36%29.60%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.273.303.4733.33%30.62%30.30%28.82%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (49 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
ATG (SE)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.41%EV -12.88%E -5.48%K -9.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV +3.68%E +1.23%K +1.84%G +0.068%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.93%EV -3.55%E -1.04%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-18 22:55
Svenska Spel2.35I 42.55%NM 40.41%EV -12.88%E -5.48%K -9.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV +3.68%E +1.23%K +1.84%G +0.068%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.93%EV -3.55%E -1.04%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-18 22:55
Casumo2.30I 43.48%NM 40.55%EV -14.73%E -6.41%K -11.33%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.61%EV +1.95%E +0.662%K +1.00%G +0.020%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -4.97%E -1.48%K -2.11%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-18 22:55
Unibet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.55%EV -14.73%E -6.41%K -11.33%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.61%EV +1.95%E +0.662%K +1.00%G +0.020%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -4.97%E -1.48%K -2.11%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-18 22:55
Unibet (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.55%EV -14.73%E -6.41%K -11.33%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.61%EV +1.95%E +0.662%K +1.00%G +0.020%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -4.97%E -1.48%K -2.11%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-18 22:55
Grosvenor2.30I 43.48%NM 40.55%EV -14.73%E -6.41%K -11.33%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.61%EV +1.95%E +0.662%K +1.00%G +0.020%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -4.97%E -1.48%K -2.11%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-18 22:55
Unibet (NL)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.55%EV -14.73%E -6.41%K -11.33%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.61%EV +1.95%E +0.662%K +1.00%G +0.020%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -4.97%E -1.48%K -2.11%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-18 22:55
betPARX2.30I 43.48%NM 40.55%EV -14.73%E -6.41%K -11.33%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.61%EV +1.95%E +0.662%K +1.00%G +0.020%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -4.97%E -1.48%K -2.11%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-18 22:55
BetRivers2.28I 43.86%NM 40.76%EV -15.47%E -6.79%K -12.09%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.50%EV +1.95%E +0.662%K +1.00%G +0.020%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.74%EV -4.97%E -1.48%K -2.11%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-18 22:35
TABtouch2.28I 43.86%NM 40.37%EV -15.47%E -6.79%K -12.09%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.74%EV +0.224%E +0.077%K +0.118%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -6.39%E -1.94%K -2.78%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-18 22:55
LeoVegas (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.43%EV -16.59%E -7.37%K -13.27%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.58%EV -0.467%E -0.162%K -0.249%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.99%EV -7.81%E -2.40%K -3.47%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-18 22:55
LiveScore Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 40.43%EV -16.59%E -7.37%K -13.27%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.58%EV -0.467%E -0.162%K -0.249%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.99%EV -7.81%E -2.40%K -3.47%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-18 22:55
Coolbet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.76%EV -9.17%E -3.74%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.32%EV -1.50%E -0.528%K -0.813%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.93%EV -3.55%E -1.04%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-18 22:00
Virgin Bet2.23I 44.84%NM 40.51%EV -17.33%E -7.77%K -14.09%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.70%EV -1.50%E -0.528%K -0.813%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.80%EV -7.81%E -2.40%K -3.47%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-18 22:55
Pinnacle2.61I 38.31%NM 36.91%EV -3.24%E -1.24%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 34.16%EV -2.54%E -0.901%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.93%EV -5.54%E -1.66%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-18 22:50
PMU (FR)2.17I 46.08%NM 40.59%EV -19.55%E -9.01%K -16.71%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.45%EV -3.23%E -1.15%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.96%EV -10.64%E -3.38%K -4.95%G +0.000%13.5%2026-07-18 22:55
Fanatics2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.32%E -2.93%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.09%EV -4.96%E -1.80%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -6.39%E -1.94%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-18 22:44
Marathon Bet2.53I 39.53%NM 36.64%EV -6.21%E -2.45%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 33.83%EV -5.31%E -1.94%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 29.52%EV -10.93%E -3.48%K -5.11%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-18 22:55
NordicBet2.52I 39.68%NM 37.01%EV -6.58%E -2.61%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.29%EV -6.00%E -2.20%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -7.81%E -2.40%K -3.47%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-18 22:45
Betsson2.52I 39.68%NM 37.01%EV -6.58%E -2.61%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.29%EV -6.00%E -2.20%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -7.81%E -2.40%K -3.47%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-18 22:45
BetOnline.ag2.65I 37.74%NM 36.43%EV -1.76%E -0.663%K -1.06%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.75%EV -6.69%E -2.48%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 27.82%EV -1.57%E -0.451%K -0.634%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-18 22:50
LowVig.ag2.65I 37.74%NM 36.43%EV -1.76%E -0.663%K -1.06%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.75%EV -6.69%E -2.48%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 27.82%EV -1.57%E -0.451%K -0.634%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-18 22:50
BetUS2.60I 38.46%NM 36.35%EV -3.61%E -1.39%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.01%EV -6.69%E -2.48%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.64%EV -6.39%E -1.94%K -2.78%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-18 22:55
DraftKings2.55I 39.22%NM 36.96%EV -5.46%E -2.14%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.91%EV -6.69%E -2.48%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.13%EV -4.97%E -1.48%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-18 22:45
Betway2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -7.32%E -2.93%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -6.69%E -2.48%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -6.39%E -1.94%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-18 22:55
1xBet2.69I 37.17%NM 35.77%EV -0.274%E -0.102%K -0.162%G +0.000%2.69I 37.17%NM 35.77%EV -7.03%E -2.61%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.47%EV -4.12%E -1.22%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-18 22:54
GTbets2.59I 38.61%NM 36.71%EV -3.98%E -1.54%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.48%EV -7.38%E -2.75%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.80%EV -2.98%E -0.872%K -1.23%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-18 22:55
FanDuel2.60I 38.46%NM 36.11%EV -3.61%E -1.39%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.43%EV -8.42%E -3.18%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -6.39%E -1.94%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-18 22:54
Unibet (UK)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.56%EV -5.46%E -2.14%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.18%EV -8.42%E -3.18%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.25%EV -6.39%E -1.94%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-18 22:50
SportsBet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.40%EV -5.46%E -2.14%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.03%EV -8.42%E -3.18%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.56%EV -7.81%E -2.40%K -3.47%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-18 22:55
PlayUp2.50I 40.00%NM 37.02%EV -7.32%E -2.93%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.93%EV -8.42%E -3.18%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -6.39%E -1.94%K -2.78%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-18 22:55
Tipico (DE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -9.17%E -3.74%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.67%EV -8.42%E -3.18%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -6.39%E -1.94%K -2.78%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-18 22:45
Everygame2.50I 40.00%NM 36.37%EV -7.32%E -2.93%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.31%EV -8.42%E -3.18%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -12.06%E -3.89%K -5.74%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-18 22:45
Bet Victor2.60I 38.46%NM 35.87%EV -3.61%E -1.39%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.87%EV -10.14%E -3.90%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -6.39%E -1.94%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-18 22:55
betano_uk2.60I 38.46%NM 35.87%EV -3.61%E -1.39%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.87%EV -10.14%E -3.90%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -6.39%E -1.94%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-18 22:55
Bet Right2.45I 40.82%NM 37.40%EV -9.17%E -3.74%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.24%EV -10.14%E -3.90%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.35%EV -4.97%E -1.48%K -2.11%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-18 22:40
LeoVegas2.50I 40.00%NM 36.62%EV -7.32%E -2.93%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.21%EV -10.14%E -3.90%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -7.81%E -2.40%K -3.47%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-18 22:55
Paddy Power2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -7.32%E -2.93%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -10.14%E -3.90%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -9.22%E -2.88%K -4.19%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-18 22:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -7.32%E -2.93%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -10.14%E -3.90%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -9.22%E -2.88%K -4.19%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-18 22:55
betfred_uk2.40I 41.67%NM 37.73%EV -11.03%E -4.59%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.83%EV -10.14%E -3.90%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -6.39%E -1.94%K -2.78%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-18 22:45
Fliff2.45I 40.82%NM 36.93%EV -9.17%E -3.74%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.80%EV -10.14%E -3.90%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.27%EV -9.22%E -2.88%K -4.19%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-18 22:55
William Hill2.45I 40.82%NM 36.25%EV -9.17%E -3.74%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.15%EV -10.14%E -3.90%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.60%EV -14.90%E -4.97%K -7.45%G +0.000%12.6%2026-07-18 22:55
888sport (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 36.25%EV -9.17%E -3.74%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.15%EV -10.14%E -3.90%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.60%EV -14.90%E -4.97%K -7.45%G +0.000%12.6%2026-07-18 22:55
888sport2.45I 40.82%NM 36.25%EV -9.17%E -3.74%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.15%EV -10.14%E -3.90%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.60%EV -14.90%E -4.97%K -7.45%G +0.000%12.6%2026-07-18 22:55
Mr Green (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 36.25%EV -9.17%E -3.74%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.15%EV -10.14%E -3.90%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.60%EV -14.90%E -4.97%K -7.45%G +0.000%12.6%2026-07-18 22:55
Betclic (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.26%EV -11.03%E -4.59%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 34.80%EV -11.18%E -4.35%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.94%EV -9.22%E -2.88%K -4.19%G +0.000%11.8%2026-07-18 22:54
NetBet (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 37.15%EV -12.88%E -5.48%K -9.54%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.23%EV -11.87%E -4.66%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.62%EV -13.48%E -4.42%K -6.58%G +0.000%14.6%2026-07-18 22:50
Neds2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -7.32%E -2.93%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -13.60%E -5.44%K -9.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.09%EV -9.22%E -2.88%K -4.19%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-18 22:55
Sky Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 36.10%EV -9.17%E -3.74%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.37%EV -13.60%E -5.44%K -9.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.53%EV -12.06%E -3.89%K -5.74%G +0.000%13.1%2026-07-18 22:55
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook2.72I 36.76%NM 36.41%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.88%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.71%1.0%2026-07-18 22:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.70I 37.04%NM 36.65%2.82I 35.46%NM 35.09%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.27%1.1%2026-07-18 22:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.72I 36.76%NM 36.32%2.82I 35.46%NM 35.04%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.64%1.2%2026-07-18 22:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.72I 36.76%NM 36.32%2.82I 35.46%NM 35.04%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.64%1.2%2026-07-18 22:55
Smarkets2.68I 37.31%NM 36.67%2.82I 35.46%NM 34.85%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.48%1.8%2026-07-18 22:45
Kalshi2.56I 39.06%NM 38.28%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.27%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.45%2.0%2026-07-18 22:35