Language:English
Pumas v Necaxa
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Pumas (Local)
Prediction 49.37%2.03fair odd
EV -1.26%
Edge -0.631%
Kelly -1.26%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.58%49.33%49.28%50.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.751.871.882.0057.14%53.44%53.19%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Necaxa (Visit)
Prediction 24.89%4.02fair odd
EV +0.794%
Edge +0.196%
Kelly +0.260%
Growth +0.002%
assuming max odds 4.05
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.53%24.87%24.89%26.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.673.654.0529.41%27.25%27.40%24.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 25.74%3.88fair odd
EV -2.43%
Edge -0.642%
Kelly -0.872%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.79
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.73%25.80%25.83%27.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.543.553.7930.30%28.26%28.17%26.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Pumas (Local): 49.37%; Necaxa (Visit): 24.89%; Draw: 25.74%. For Necaxa (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.02. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.05, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.794%.
Sportsbook Odds (49 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.88%EV -6.69%E -3.54%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.74%EV +0.794%E +0.196%K +0.260%G +0.002% | 3.79I 26.39%NM 25.37%EV -2.43%E -0.642%K -0.872%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-24 00:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.02%EV -4.72%E -2.44%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 3.94I 25.38%NM 24.50%EV -1.94%E -0.493%K -0.661%G +0.000% | 3.79I 26.39%NM 25.47%EV -2.43%E -0.642%K -0.872%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-24 00:49 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.02%EV -4.72%E -2.44%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 3.94I 25.38%NM 24.50%EV -1.94%E -0.493%K -0.661%G +0.000% | 3.79I 26.39%NM 25.47%EV -2.43%E -0.642%K -0.872%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-24 00:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.02%EV -4.72%E -2.44%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 3.94I 25.38%NM 24.50%EV -1.94%E -0.493%K -0.661%G +0.000% | 3.79I 26.39%NM 25.47%EV -2.43%E -0.642%K -0.872%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-24 00:54 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.38%EV -7.68%E -4.11%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.16%EV -2.94%E -0.754%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.46%EV -4.75%E -1.28%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-24 00:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.89%EV -7.19%E -3.82%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -2.94%E -0.754%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.06%EV -7.32%E -2.03%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-24 00:59 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.98%EV -11.14%E -6.19%K -13.92%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -2.94%E -0.754%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -7.32%E -2.03%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-24 00:39 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 49.84%EV -8.17%E -4.39%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 3.82I 26.18%NM 24.27%EV -4.93%E -1.29%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 25.89%EV -7.84%E -2.19%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-24 00:59 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -5.70%E -2.99%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -5.43%E -1.43%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -7.32%E -2.03%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-24 00:34 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.06%EV -7.68%E -4.11%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.64%EV -5.43%E -1.43%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.30%EV -4.75%E -1.28%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-24 00:59 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.06%EV -7.68%E -4.11%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.64%EV -5.43%E -1.43%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.30%EV -4.75%E -1.28%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-24 00:59 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.58%EV -7.19%E -3.82%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -5.43%E -1.43%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -7.32%E -2.03%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-24 00:59 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.58%EV -1.26%E -0.631%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.38%EV -6.67%E -1.78%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 27.04%EV -9.38%E -2.67%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-23 02:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.37%EV -5.70%E -2.99%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -6.67%E -1.78%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.49%EV -4.75%E -1.28%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-24 00:33 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -5.70%E -2.99%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.06%EV -6.67%E -1.78%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.74%EV -6.04%E -1.65%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-24 00:59 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -5.70%E -2.99%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.06%EV -6.67%E -1.78%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.74%EV -6.04%E -1.65%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-24 00:59 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.73%EV -7.68%E -4.11%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.80%EV -6.67%E -1.78%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.48%EV -6.04%E -1.65%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-24 00:39 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.15%EV -5.21%E -2.71%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.65%EV -6.67%E -1.78%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -12.47%E -3.67%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-24 01:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.73%EV -9.65%E -5.28%K -11.63%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.27%EV -6.67%E -1.78%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.00%EV -9.90%E -2.83%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-24 00:59 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.73%EV -9.65%E -5.28%K -11.63%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.27%EV -6.67%E -1.78%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.00%EV -9.90%E -2.83%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-24 00:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.18%EV -5.21%E -2.71%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -7.92%E -2.14%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.81%EV -11.18%E -3.24%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-24 00:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.18%EV -5.21%E -2.71%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -7.92%E -2.14%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.81%EV -11.18%E -3.24%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-24 00:54 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.57%EV -9.65%E -5.28%K -11.63%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.52%EV -7.92%E -2.14%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -9.90%E -2.83%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-24 00:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.91%EV -7.19%E -3.82%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.19%EV -9.16%E -2.51%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.90%EV -8.61%E -2.43%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-24 00:59 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.91%EV -7.19%E -3.82%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.19%EV -9.16%E -2.51%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.90%EV -8.61%E -2.43%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-24 00:59 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.91%EV -7.19%E -3.82%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.19%EV -9.16%E -2.51%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.90%EV -8.61%E -2.43%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-24 00:59 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.91%EV -7.19%E -3.82%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.19%EV -9.16%E -2.51%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.90%EV -8.61%E -2.43%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-24 00:59 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.91%EV -7.19%E -3.82%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.19%EV -9.16%E -2.51%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.90%EV -8.61%E -2.43%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-24 00:59 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.91%EV -7.19%E -3.82%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.19%EV -9.16%E -2.51%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.90%EV -8.61%E -2.43%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-24 00:59 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.16%EV -4.22%E -2.18%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 3.61I 27.70%NM 25.88%EV -10.16%E -2.81%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.95%EV -7.32%E -2.03%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-20 03:14 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.26%EV -4.72%E -2.44%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -10.41%E -2.89%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -7.32%E -2.03%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-23 16:22 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -5.70%E -2.99%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -10.41%E -2.89%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -9.90%E -2.83%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-24 00:34 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.91%EV -7.19%E -3.82%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -10.41%E -2.89%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -7.32%E -2.03%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-24 00:24 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.28%EV -11.14%E -6.19%K -13.92%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.64%EV -10.41%E -2.89%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -12.47%E -3.67%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-24 00:59 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.88%EV -9.65%E -5.28%K -11.63%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.20%EV -11.65%E -3.28%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.93%EV -11.18%E -3.24%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-24 00:59 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 48.56%EV -9.16%E -4.98%K -10.91%G +0.000% | 3.53I 28.33%NM 25.31%EV -12.15%E -3.44%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 26.13%EV -11.96%E -3.50%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-24 00:34 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.85%EV -13.60%E -7.77%K -18.14%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -12.89%E -3.68%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -3.46%E -0.923%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-24 01:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 48.65%EV -10.15%E -5.58%K -12.38%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.30%EV -12.89%E -3.68%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.04%EV -12.47%E -3.67%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-24 00:59 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 48.65%EV -10.15%E -5.58%K -12.38%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.30%EV -12.89%E -3.68%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.04%EV -12.47%E -3.67%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-24 00:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 48.65%EV -10.15%E -5.58%K -12.38%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.30%EV -12.89%E -3.68%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.04%EV -12.47%E -3.67%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-24 00:59 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.87%EV -8.67%E -4.68%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.30%EV -12.89%E -3.68%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -15.05%E -4.56%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-24 00:39 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.87%EV -8.67%E -4.68%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.30%EV -12.89%E -3.68%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -15.05%E -4.56%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-24 00:39 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.87%EV -8.67%E -4.68%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.30%EV -12.89%E -3.68%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -15.05%E -4.56%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-24 00:39 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.87%EV -8.67%E -4.68%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.30%EV -12.89%E -3.68%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -15.05%E -4.56%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-24 00:39 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 49.02%EV -12.12%E -6.81%K -15.54%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.93%EV -12.89%E -3.68%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.05%EV -13.76%E -4.11%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-08-24 00:59 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.98%EV -5.70%E -2.99%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -14.14%E -4.10%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.46%EV -7.32%E -2.03%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-24 00:59 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.58%EV -6.20%E -3.26%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -15.38%E -4.52%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -9.90%E -2.83%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-24 00:59 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.89%EV -8.67%E -4.68%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -15.38%E -4.52%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -12.47%E -3.67%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-24 00:49 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 48.76%EV -13.11%E -7.45%K -17.25%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.24%EV -15.38%E -4.52%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.00%EV -15.05%E -4.56%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 16.5% | 2026-08-24 00:59 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.36% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.20% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.44% | 0.8% | 2026-08-24 00:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.49% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.14% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.37% | 1.1% | 2026-08-24 01:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.49% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.14% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.37% | 1.1% | 2026-08-24 00:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.75% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.01% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.24% | 1.6% | 2026-08-24 00:59 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.83% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.27% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.89% | 3.0% | 2026-08-24 00:59 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.93% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.00% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.07% | 3.9% | 2026-08-24 00:59 |