默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Pumas v Necaxa

开赛时间: 2026-08-24 01:01 UTC

最终结果: Pumas 1–1 Necaxa

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

49 家博彩公司 (17 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Pumas (主队)

预测 49.37%2.03公平赔率
EV -1.26%
优势 -0.631%
Kelly -1.26%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.00

博彩公司预测分布
47.58%49.33%49.28%50.98%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.751.871.882.0057.14%53.44%53.19%50.00%最小值均值中位数最大值

Necaxa (客队)

预测 24.89%4.02公平赔率
EV +0.794%
优势 +0.196%
Kelly +0.260%
增长率 +0.002%

假设最高赔率为 4.05

博彩公司预测分布
23.53%24.87%24.89%26.59%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.403.673.654.0529.41%27.25%27.40%24.69%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 25.74%3.88公平赔率
EV -2.43%
优势 -0.642%
Kelly -0.872%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.79

博彩公司预测分布
23.73%25.80%25.83%27.19%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.303.543.553.7930.30%28.26%28.17%26.39%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Pumas (主队):49.37%;Necaxa (客队):24.89%;平局:25.74%。 对于“Necaxa (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为4.02。 当时有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为4.05,对应+0.794%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (49 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼平局利润率更新时间
1xBet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.88%EV -6.69%E -3.54%K -7.52%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.74%EV +0.794%E +0.196%K +0.260%G +0.002%3.79I 26.39%NM 25.37%EV -2.43%E -0.642%K -0.872%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-24 00:55
Pinnacle🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.02%EV -4.72%E -2.44%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 24.50%EV -1.94%E -0.493%K -0.661%G +0.000%3.79I 26.39%NM 25.47%EV -2.43%E -0.642%K -0.872%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-24 00:49
BetOnline.ag🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.02%EV -4.72%E -2.44%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 24.50%EV -1.94%E -0.493%K -0.661%G +0.000%3.79I 26.39%NM 25.47%EV -2.43%E -0.642%K -0.872%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-24 00:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.02%EV -4.72%E -2.44%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 24.50%EV -1.94%E -0.493%K -0.661%G +0.000%3.79I 26.39%NM 25.47%EV -2.43%E -0.642%K -0.872%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-24 00:54
FanDuel🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.38%EV -7.68%E -4.11%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.16%EV -2.94%E -0.754%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.46%EV -4.75%E -1.28%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-24 00:59
SportsBet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.89%EV -7.19%E -3.82%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -2.94%E -0.754%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.06%EV -7.32%E -2.03%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-24 00:59
Tipico (DE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.98%EV -11.14%E -6.19%K -13.92%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -2.94%E -0.754%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -7.32%E -2.03%K -2.82%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-24 00:39
Marathon Bet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 49.84%EV -8.17%E -4.39%K -9.50%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 24.27%EV -4.93%E -1.29%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 25.89%EV -7.84%E -2.19%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-24 00:59
Fanatics🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -5.70%E -2.99%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -5.43%E -1.43%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -7.32%E -2.03%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-24 00:34
betano_uk🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.06%EV -7.68%E -4.11%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.64%EV -5.43%E -1.43%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.30%EV -4.75%E -1.28%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-24 00:59
Bet Victor🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.06%EV -7.68%E -4.11%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.64%EV -5.43%E -1.43%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.30%EV -4.75%E -1.28%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-24 00:59
Betway🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.58%EV -7.19%E -3.82%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -5.43%E -1.43%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -7.32%E -2.03%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-24 00:59
Coolbet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.58%EV -1.26%E -0.631%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.38%EV -6.67%E -1.78%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 27.04%EV -9.38%E -2.67%K -3.72%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-23 02:30
DraftKings🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.37%EV -5.70%E -2.99%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -6.67%E -1.78%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.49%EV -4.75%E -1.28%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-24 00:33
Svenska Spel🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -5.70%E -2.99%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.06%EV -6.67%E -1.78%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.74%EV -6.04%E -1.65%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-24 00:59
ATG (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -5.70%E -2.99%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.06%EV -6.67%E -1.78%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.74%EV -6.04%E -1.65%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-24 00:59
BetUS🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.73%EV -7.68%E -4.11%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.80%EV -6.67%E -1.78%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.48%EV -6.04%E -1.65%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-24 00:39
PlayUp🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.15%EV -5.21%E -2.71%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.65%EV -6.67%E -1.78%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -12.47%E -3.67%K -5.20%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-24 01:00
Paddy Power🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.73%EV -9.65%E -5.28%K -11.63%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.27%EV -6.67%E -1.78%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.00%EV -9.90%E -2.83%K -3.96%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-24 00:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.73%EV -9.65%E -5.28%K -11.63%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.27%EV -6.67%E -1.78%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.00%EV -9.90%E -2.83%K -3.96%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-24 00:59
Betsson🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.18%EV -5.21%E -2.71%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -7.92%E -2.14%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.81%EV -11.18%E -3.24%K -4.57%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-24 00:55
NordicBet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.18%EV -5.21%E -2.71%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -7.92%E -2.14%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.81%EV -11.18%E -3.24%K -4.57%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-24 00:54
Fliff🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.57%EV -9.65%E -5.28%K -11.63%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.52%EV -7.92%E -2.14%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -9.90%E -2.83%K -3.96%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-24 00:59
Unibet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.91%EV -7.19%E -3.82%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.19%EV -9.16%E -2.51%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.90%EV -8.61%E -2.43%K -3.38%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-24 00:59
Casumo🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.91%EV -7.19%E -3.82%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.19%EV -9.16%E -2.51%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.90%EV -8.61%E -2.43%K -3.38%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-24 00:59
Unibet (NL)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.91%EV -7.19%E -3.82%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.19%EV -9.16%E -2.51%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.90%EV -8.61%E -2.43%K -3.38%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-24 00:59
Unibet (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.91%EV -7.19%E -3.82%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.19%EV -9.16%E -2.51%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.90%EV -8.61%E -2.43%K -3.38%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-24 00:59
Grosvenor🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.91%EV -7.19%E -3.82%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.19%EV -9.16%E -2.51%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.90%EV -8.61%E -2.43%K -3.38%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-24 00:59
betPARX🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.91%EV -7.19%E -3.82%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.19%EV -9.16%E -2.51%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.90%EV -8.61%E -2.43%K -3.38%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-24 00:59
GTbets🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.16%EV -4.22%E -2.18%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 25.88%EV -10.16%E -2.81%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.95%EV -7.32%E -2.03%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-20 03:14
Unibet (UK)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.26%EV -4.72%E -2.44%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -10.41%E -2.89%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -7.32%E -2.03%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-23 16:22
LeoVegas🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -5.70%E -2.99%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -10.41%E -2.89%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -9.90%E -2.83%K -3.96%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-24 00:34
BetRivers🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.91%EV -7.19%E -3.82%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -10.41%E -2.89%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -7.32%E -2.03%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-24 00:24
Sky Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.28%EV -11.14%E -6.19%K -13.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.64%EV -10.41%E -2.89%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -12.47%E -3.67%K -5.20%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-24 00:59
TABtouch🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.88%EV -9.65%E -5.28%K -11.63%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.20%EV -11.65%E -3.28%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.93%EV -11.18%E -3.24%K -4.57%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-24 00:59
Betclic (FR)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 48.56%EV -9.16%E -4.98%K -10.91%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 25.31%EV -12.15%E -3.44%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 26.13%EV -11.96%E -3.50%K -4.94%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-24 00:34
BoyleSports🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.85%EV -13.60%E -7.77%K -18.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -12.89%E -3.68%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -3.46%E -0.923%K -1.26%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-24 01:00
LiveScore Bet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 48.65%EV -10.15%E -5.58%K -12.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.30%EV -12.89%E -3.68%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.04%EV -12.47%E -3.67%K -5.20%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-24 00:59
Virgin Bet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 48.65%EV -10.15%E -5.58%K -12.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.30%EV -12.89%E -3.68%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.04%EV -12.47%E -3.67%K -5.20%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-24 00:59
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 48.65%EV -10.15%E -5.58%K -12.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.30%EV -12.89%E -3.68%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.04%EV -12.47%E -3.67%K -5.20%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-24 00:59
888sport🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 47.87%EV -8.67%E -4.68%K -10.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.30%EV -12.89%E -3.68%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -15.05%E -4.56%K -6.54%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-24 00:39
888sport (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 47.87%EV -8.67%E -4.68%K -10.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.30%EV -12.89%E -3.68%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -15.05%E -4.56%K -6.54%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-24 00:39
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 47.87%EV -8.67%E -4.68%K -10.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.30%EV -12.89%E -3.68%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -15.05%E -4.56%K -6.54%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-24 00:39
William Hill🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 47.87%EV -8.67%E -4.68%K -10.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.30%EV -12.89%E -3.68%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -15.05%E -4.56%K -6.54%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-24 00:39
NetBet (FR)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 49.02%EV -12.12%E -6.81%K -15.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.93%EV -12.89%E -3.68%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.05%EV -13.76%E -4.11%K -5.85%G +0.000%14.6%2026-08-24 00:59
Bet Right🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.98%EV -5.70%E -2.99%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -14.14%E -4.10%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.46%EV -7.32%E -2.03%K -2.82%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-24 00:59
betfred_uk🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 47.58%EV -6.20%E -3.26%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -15.38%E -4.52%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -9.90%E -2.83%K -3.96%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-24 00:59
Neds🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 47.89%EV -8.67%E -4.68%K -10.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -15.38%E -4.52%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -12.47%E -3.67%K -5.20%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-24 00:49
PMU (FR)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 48.76%EV -13.11%E -7.45%K -17.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.24%EV -15.38%E -4.52%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.00%EV -15.05%E -4.56%K -6.54%G +0.000%16.5%2026-08-24 00:59
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (6)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Matchbook◎1.97I 50.76%NM 50.36%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.20%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.44%0.8%2026-08-24 00:59
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.96I 51.02%NM 50.49%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.14%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.37%1.1%2026-08-24 01:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.96I 51.02%NM 50.49%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.14%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.37%1.1%2026-08-24 00:59
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.94I 51.55%NM 50.75%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.01%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.24%1.6%2026-08-24 00:59
Smarkets◎1.91I 52.36%NM 50.83%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.27%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.89%3.0%2026-08-24 00:59
Kalshi◎1.89I 52.91%NM 50.93%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.00%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.07%3.9%2026-08-24 00:59