Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Pumas v Necaxa

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-24 01:01 UTC

Score final : Pumas 1–1 Necaxa

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

49 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Pumas (Local)

Prévision 49.37%2.03cote équitable
EV -1.26%
Avantage -0.631%
Kelly -1.26%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
47.58%49.33%49.28%50.98%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.751.871.882.0057.14%53.44%53.19%50.00%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Necaxa (Visiteur)

Prévision 24.89%4.02cote équitable
EV +0.794%
Avantage +0.196%
Kelly +0.260%
Croissance +0.002%

avec la cote maximale 4.05

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.53%24.87%24.89%26.59%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.403.673.654.0529.41%27.25%27.40%24.69%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 25.74%3.88cote équitable
EV -2.43%
Avantage -0.642%
Kelly -0.872%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.79

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.73%25.80%25.83%27.19%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.303.543.553.7930.30%28.26%28.17%26.39%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Pumas (Local) : 49.37% ; Necaxa (Visiteur) : 24.89% ; Match nul : 25.74%. Pour Necaxa (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 4.02. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 4.05, soit une espérance positive de +0.794%.

Cotes des opérateurs (49 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.88%EV -6.69%E -3.54%K -7.52%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.74%EV +0.794%E +0.196%K +0.260%G +0.002%3.79I 26.39%NM 25.37%EV -2.43%E -0.642%K -0.872%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-24 00:55
Pinnacle🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.02%EV -4.72%E -2.44%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 24.50%EV -1.94%E -0.493%K -0.661%G +0.000%3.79I 26.39%NM 25.47%EV -2.43%E -0.642%K -0.872%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-24 00:49
BetOnline.ag🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.02%EV -4.72%E -2.44%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 24.50%EV -1.94%E -0.493%K -0.661%G +0.000%3.79I 26.39%NM 25.47%EV -2.43%E -0.642%K -0.872%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-24 00:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.02%EV -4.72%E -2.44%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 24.50%EV -1.94%E -0.493%K -0.661%G +0.000%3.79I 26.39%NM 25.47%EV -2.43%E -0.642%K -0.872%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-24 00:54
FanDuel🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.38%EV -7.68%E -4.11%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.16%EV -2.94%E -0.754%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.46%EV -4.75%E -1.28%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-24 00:59
SportsBet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.89%EV -7.19%E -3.82%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -2.94%E -0.754%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.06%EV -7.32%E -2.03%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-24 00:59
Tipico (DE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.98%EV -11.14%E -6.19%K -13.92%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -2.94%E -0.754%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -7.32%E -2.03%K -2.82%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-24 00:39
Marathon Bet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 49.84%EV -8.17%E -4.39%K -9.50%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 24.27%EV -4.93%E -1.29%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 25.89%EV -7.84%E -2.19%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-24 00:59
Fanatics🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -5.70%E -2.99%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -5.43%E -1.43%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -7.32%E -2.03%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-24 00:34
betano_uk🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.06%EV -7.68%E -4.11%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.64%EV -5.43%E -1.43%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.30%EV -4.75%E -1.28%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-24 00:59
Bet Victor🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.06%EV -7.68%E -4.11%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.64%EV -5.43%E -1.43%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.30%EV -4.75%E -1.28%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-24 00:59
Betway🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.58%EV -7.19%E -3.82%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -5.43%E -1.43%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -7.32%E -2.03%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-24 00:59
Coolbet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.58%EV -1.26%E -0.631%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.38%EV -6.67%E -1.78%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 27.04%EV -9.38%E -2.67%K -3.72%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-23 02:30
DraftKings🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.37%EV -5.70%E -2.99%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -6.67%E -1.78%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.49%EV -4.75%E -1.28%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-24 00:33
Svenska Spel🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -5.70%E -2.99%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.06%EV -6.67%E -1.78%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.74%EV -6.04%E -1.65%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-24 00:59
ATG (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -5.70%E -2.99%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.06%EV -6.67%E -1.78%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.74%EV -6.04%E -1.65%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-24 00:59
BetUS🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.73%EV -7.68%E -4.11%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.80%EV -6.67%E -1.78%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.48%EV -6.04%E -1.65%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-24 00:39
PlayUp🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.15%EV -5.21%E -2.71%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.65%EV -6.67%E -1.78%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -12.47%E -3.67%K -5.20%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-24 01:00
Paddy Power🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.73%EV -9.65%E -5.28%K -11.63%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.27%EV -6.67%E -1.78%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.00%EV -9.90%E -2.83%K -3.96%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-24 00:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.73%EV -9.65%E -5.28%K -11.63%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.27%EV -6.67%E -1.78%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.00%EV -9.90%E -2.83%K -3.96%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-24 00:59
Betsson🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.18%EV -5.21%E -2.71%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -7.92%E -2.14%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.81%EV -11.18%E -3.24%K -4.57%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-24 00:55
NordicBet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.18%EV -5.21%E -2.71%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -7.92%E -2.14%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.81%EV -11.18%E -3.24%K -4.57%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-24 00:54
Fliff🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.57%EV -9.65%E -5.28%K -11.63%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.52%EV -7.92%E -2.14%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -9.90%E -2.83%K -3.96%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-24 00:59
Unibet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.91%EV -7.19%E -3.82%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.19%EV -9.16%E -2.51%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.90%EV -8.61%E -2.43%K -3.38%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-24 00:59
Casumo🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.91%EV -7.19%E -3.82%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.19%EV -9.16%E -2.51%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.90%EV -8.61%E -2.43%K -3.38%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-24 00:59
Unibet (NL)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.91%EV -7.19%E -3.82%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.19%EV -9.16%E -2.51%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.90%EV -8.61%E -2.43%K -3.38%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-24 00:59
Unibet (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.91%EV -7.19%E -3.82%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.19%EV -9.16%E -2.51%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.90%EV -8.61%E -2.43%K -3.38%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-24 00:59
Grosvenor🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.91%EV -7.19%E -3.82%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.19%EV -9.16%E -2.51%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.90%EV -8.61%E -2.43%K -3.38%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-24 00:59
betPARX🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.91%EV -7.19%E -3.82%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.19%EV -9.16%E -2.51%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.90%EV -8.61%E -2.43%K -3.38%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-24 00:59
GTbets🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.16%EV -4.22%E -2.18%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 25.88%EV -10.16%E -2.81%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.95%EV -7.32%E -2.03%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-20 03:14
Unibet (UK)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.26%EV -4.72%E -2.44%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -10.41%E -2.89%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -7.32%E -2.03%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-23 16:22
LeoVegas🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -5.70%E -2.99%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -10.41%E -2.89%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -9.90%E -2.83%K -3.96%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-24 00:34
BetRivers🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.91%EV -7.19%E -3.82%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -10.41%E -2.89%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -7.32%E -2.03%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-24 00:24
Sky Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.28%EV -11.14%E -6.19%K -13.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.64%EV -10.41%E -2.89%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -12.47%E -3.67%K -5.20%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-24 00:59
TABtouch🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.88%EV -9.65%E -5.28%K -11.63%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.20%EV -11.65%E -3.28%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.93%EV -11.18%E -3.24%K -4.57%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-24 00:59
Betclic (FR)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 48.56%EV -9.16%E -4.98%K -10.91%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 25.31%EV -12.15%E -3.44%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 26.13%EV -11.96%E -3.50%K -4.94%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-24 00:34
BoyleSports🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.85%EV -13.60%E -7.77%K -18.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -12.89%E -3.68%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -3.46%E -0.923%K -1.26%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-24 01:00
LiveScore Bet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 48.65%EV -10.15%E -5.58%K -12.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.30%EV -12.89%E -3.68%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.04%EV -12.47%E -3.67%K -5.20%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-24 00:59
Virgin Bet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 48.65%EV -10.15%E -5.58%K -12.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.30%EV -12.89%E -3.68%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.04%EV -12.47%E -3.67%K -5.20%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-24 00:59
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 48.65%EV -10.15%E -5.58%K -12.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.30%EV -12.89%E -3.68%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.04%EV -12.47%E -3.67%K -5.20%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-24 00:59
888sport🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 47.87%EV -8.67%E -4.68%K -10.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.30%EV -12.89%E -3.68%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -15.05%E -4.56%K -6.54%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-24 00:39
888sport (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 47.87%EV -8.67%E -4.68%K -10.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.30%EV -12.89%E -3.68%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -15.05%E -4.56%K -6.54%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-24 00:39
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 47.87%EV -8.67%E -4.68%K -10.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.30%EV -12.89%E -3.68%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -15.05%E -4.56%K -6.54%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-24 00:39
William Hill🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 47.87%EV -8.67%E -4.68%K -10.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.30%EV -12.89%E -3.68%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -15.05%E -4.56%K -6.54%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-24 00:39
NetBet (FR)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 49.02%EV -12.12%E -6.81%K -15.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.93%EV -12.89%E -3.68%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.05%EV -13.76%E -4.11%K -5.85%G +0.000%14.6%2026-08-24 00:59
Bet Right🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.98%EV -5.70%E -2.99%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -14.14%E -4.10%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.46%EV -7.32%E -2.03%K -2.82%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-24 00:59
betfred_uk🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 47.58%EV -6.20%E -3.26%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -15.38%E -4.52%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -9.90%E -2.83%K -3.96%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-24 00:59
Neds🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 47.89%EV -8.67%E -4.68%K -10.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -15.38%E -4.52%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -12.47%E -3.67%K -5.20%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-24 00:49
PMU (FR)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 48.76%EV -13.11%E -7.45%K -17.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.24%EV -15.38%E -4.52%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.00%EV -15.05%E -4.56%K -6.54%G +0.000%16.5%2026-08-24 00:59
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook◎1.97I 50.76%NM 50.36%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.20%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.44%0.8%2026-08-24 00:59
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.96I 51.02%NM 50.49%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.14%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.37%1.1%2026-08-24 01:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.96I 51.02%NM 50.49%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.14%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.37%1.1%2026-08-24 00:59
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.94I 51.55%NM 50.75%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.01%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.24%1.6%2026-08-24 00:59
Smarkets◎1.91I 52.36%NM 50.83%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.27%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.89%3.0%2026-08-24 00:59
Kalshi◎1.89I 52.91%NM 50.93%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.00%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.07%3.9%2026-08-24 00:59