Language:English
Pumas v Monterrey
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Pumas (Local)
Prediction 37.62%2.66fair odd
EV +0.454%
Edge +0.170%
Kelly +0.272%
Growth +0.001%
assuming max odds 2.67
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.36%37.52%37.63%39.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.272.492.482.6744.05%40.24%40.32%37.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Monterrey (Visit)
Prediction 35.34%2.83fair odd
EV -2.11%
Edge -0.762%
Kelly -1.19%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.77
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.84%35.37%35.35%36.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.452.582.552.7740.82%38.80%39.22%36.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 27.04%3.70fair odd
EV -2.39%
Edge -0.663%
Kelly -0.917%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.61
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.20%27.12%27.01%29.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.353.353.6134.72%29.83%29.85%27.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Pumas (Local): 37.62%; Monterrey (Visit): 35.34%; Draw: 27.04%. For Pumas (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.66. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.67, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.454%.
Sportsbook Odds (50 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.67I 37.45%NM 35.95%EV +0.454%E +0.170%K +0.272%G +0.001% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.63%EV -7.41%E -2.83%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.42%EV -5.37%E -1.53%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-02-22 22:54 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.73%EV -0.299%E -0.113%K -0.181%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.42%EV -8.12%E -3.12%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -8.07%E -2.37%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-22 22:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.73%EV -0.299%E -0.113%K -0.181%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.42%EV -8.12%E -3.12%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -8.07%E -2.37%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-22 22:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.77%EV -2.18%E -0.838%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.47%EV -9.89%E -3.88%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -9.42%E -2.81%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-02-22 22:34 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.77%EV -2.18%E -0.838%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.47%EV -9.89%E -3.88%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -9.42%E -2.81%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-02-22 22:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.77%EV -2.18%E -0.838%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.47%EV -9.89%E -3.88%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -9.42%E -2.81%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-02-22 22:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.77%EV -2.18%E -0.838%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.47%EV -9.89%E -3.88%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -9.42%E -2.81%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-02-22 22:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.77%EV -2.18%E -0.838%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.47%EV -9.89%E -3.88%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -9.42%E -2.81%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-02-22 22:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.77%EV -2.18%E -0.838%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.47%EV -9.89%E -3.88%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -9.42%E -2.81%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-02-22 22:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.77%EV -2.18%E -0.838%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.47%EV -9.89%E -3.88%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -9.42%E -2.81%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-02-22 22:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -2.18%E -0.838%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -11.65%E -4.66%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -10.78%E -3.27%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-02-22 22:39 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.62%EV -3.31%E -1.29%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.15%EV -2.82%E -1.02%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.23%EV -4.02%E -1.13%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-02-22 22:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.62%EV -3.31%E -1.29%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.15%EV -2.82%E -1.02%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.23%EV -4.02%E -1.13%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-02-22 22:50 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.62%EV -4.06%E -1.59%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -8.12%E -3.12%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -8.07%E -2.37%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-22 22:48 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.70%EV -4.06%E -1.59%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.71%EV -12.36%E -4.98%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -10.78%E -3.27%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-02-22 14:04 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.70%EV -4.06%E -1.59%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.71%EV -12.36%E -4.98%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -10.78%E -3.27%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-02-22 14:04 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.70%EV -4.06%E -1.59%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.71%EV -12.36%E -4.98%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -10.78%E -3.27%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-02-22 14:04 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.39%EV -4.06%E -1.59%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.84%EV -13.42%E -5.48%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.77%EV -12.13%E -3.73%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-02-22 22:35 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.53I 39.53%NM 38.25%EV -4.81%E -1.90%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.94%EV -2.11%E -0.762%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 3.61I 27.70%NM 26.81%EV -2.39%E -0.663%K -0.917%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-02-22 22:45 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.51I 39.84%NM 37.55%EV -5.57%E -2.22%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 35.30%EV -5.64%E -2.11%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.47I 28.82%NM 27.16%EV -6.18%E -1.78%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-02-22 22:54 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.02%EV -5.94%E -2.38%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.20%EV -4.58%E -1.70%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.78%EV -4.02%E -1.13%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-22 13:44 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -5.94%E -2.38%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -8.12%E -3.12%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -5.37%E -1.53%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-22 14:04 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.23%EV -5.94%E -2.38%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -8.12%E -3.12%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV -6.72%E -1.95%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-22 14:04 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.62%EV -5.94%E -2.38%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.21%EV -8.12%E -3.12%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -12.13%E -3.73%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-02-22 22:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.82%EV -6.69%E -2.70%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.00%EV -5.29%E -1.97%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.19%EV -6.72%E -1.95%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-02-22 22:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.82%EV -6.69%E -2.70%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.00%EV -5.29%E -1.97%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.19%EV -6.72%E -1.95%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-02-22 22:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.35%EV -6.69%E -2.70%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 35.08%EV -6.70%E -2.54%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.36I 29.76%NM 27.57%EV -9.15%E -2.72%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-02-22 22:50 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.47I 40.49%NM 37.41%EV -7.07%E -2.86%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 35.00%EV -6.70%E -2.54%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.58%EV -9.42%E -2.81%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-02-22 22:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.47I 40.49%NM 37.41%EV -7.07%E -2.86%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 35.00%EV -6.70%E -2.54%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.58%EV -9.42%E -2.81%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-02-22 22:53 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.50%EV -7.82%E -3.19%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.93%EV -4.58%E -1.70%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.57%EV -4.02%E -1.13%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-22 22:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.35%EV -7.82%E -3.19%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.80%EV -4.58%E -1.70%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.85%EV -5.37%E -1.53%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-02-22 22:34 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.55%EV -7.82%E -3.19%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.39%EV -8.12%E -3.12%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -8.07%E -2.37%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-02-22 14:04 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.10%EV -7.82%E -3.19%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.37%EV -11.65%E -4.66%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.53%EV -16.18%E -5.22%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-02-22 22:54 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.10%EV -7.82%E -3.19%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.37%EV -11.65%E -4.66%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.53%EV -16.18%E -5.22%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-02-22 22:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.10%EV -7.82%E -3.19%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.37%EV -11.65%E -4.66%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.53%EV -16.18%E -5.22%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-02-22 22:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.10%EV -7.82%E -3.19%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.37%EV -11.65%E -4.66%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.53%EV -16.18%E -5.22%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-02-22 22:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.54%EV -9.70%E -4.04%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.26%EV -4.58%E -1.70%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.20%EV -8.07%E -2.37%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-02-22 22:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -9.70%E -4.04%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.21%EV -7.41%E -2.83%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.36%EV -5.37%E -1.53%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-02-22 22:19 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -9.70%E -4.04%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.15%EV -11.65%E -4.66%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.20%EV -6.72%E -1.95%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-02-22 14:05 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -9.70%E -4.04%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.41%EV -9.89%E -3.88%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.96%EV -9.42%E -2.81%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-02-22 22:50 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -9.70%E -4.04%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.41%EV -9.89%E -3.88%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.96%EV -9.42%E -2.81%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-02-22 22:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.21%EV -9.70%E -4.04%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.72%EV -11.65%E -4.66%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -10.78%E -3.27%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-02-22 14:04 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.21%EV -9.70%E -4.04%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.72%EV -11.65%E -4.66%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -10.78%E -3.27%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-02-22 14:04 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.41%EV -10.46%E -4.39%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.61%EV -11.65%E -4.66%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.98%EV -10.78%E -3.27%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-02-22 22:49 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.58%EV -11.59%E -4.93%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.05%EV -13.42%E -5.48%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.37%EV -9.42%E -2.81%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-02-22 14:04 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 37.75%EV -12.71%E -5.48%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 35.31%EV -12.36%E -4.98%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.94%EV -12.13%E -3.73%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-02-22 22:34 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.05%EV -13.47%E -5.86%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.54%EV -8.12%E -3.12%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.41%EV -8.07%E -2.37%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-02-22 22:40 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.74%EV -13.47%E -5.86%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.27%EV -8.12%E -3.12%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.00%EV -10.78%E -3.27%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-02-22 22:35 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 36.78%EV -13.47%E -5.86%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 33.84%EV -11.65%E -4.66%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.38%EV -22.13%E -7.68%K -11.77%G +0.000% | 18.2% | 2026-02-22 22:25 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 37.78%EV -14.60%E -6.43%K -11.49%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 35.00%EV -13.42%E -5.48%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.22%EV -14.83%E -4.71%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 16.6% | 2026-02-22 22:54 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.29% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.81% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.90% | 0.5% | 2026-02-22 22:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.29% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.81% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.90% | 0.5% | 2026-02-22 22:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.19% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.97% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.84% | 0.7% | 2026-02-22 22:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.19% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.97% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.84% | 0.7% | 2026-02-22 22:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.14% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 34.90% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.96% | 1.6% | 2026-02-22 22:55 |