La escuela de los momios

Pumas v Monterrey

Inicio: 2026-02-22 23:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

50 corredores (17 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Pumas (Local)

Predicción 37.62%2.66momio equitativo
EV +0.454%
Ventaja +0.170%
Kelly +0.272%
Crecimiento +0.001%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.67

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
35.36%37.52%37.63%39.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.272.492.482.6744.05%40.24%40.32%37.45%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Monterrey (Visitante)

Predicción 35.34%2.83momio equitativo
EV -2.11%
Ventaja -0.762%
Kelly -1.19%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.77

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
33.84%35.37%35.35%36.84%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.452.582.552.7740.82%38.80%39.22%36.10%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 27.04%3.70momio equitativo
EV -2.39%
Ventaja -0.663%
Kelly -0.917%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.61

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.20%27.12%27.01%29.38%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.353.353.6134.72%29.83%29.85%27.70%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (50 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
1xBet2.67I 37.45%NM 35.95%EV +0.454%E +0.170%K +0.272%G +0.001%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.63%EV -7.41%E -2.83%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.42%EV -5.37%E -1.53%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-22 22:54
Svenska Spel2.65I 37.74%NM 35.73%EV -0.299%E -0.113%K -0.181%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.42%EV -8.12%E -3.12%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -8.07%E -2.37%K -3.36%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-22 22:40
ATG (SE)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.73%EV -0.299%E -0.113%K -0.181%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.42%EV -8.12%E -3.12%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -8.07%E -2.37%K -3.36%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-22 22:40
Casumo2.60I 38.46%NM 35.77%EV -2.18%E -0.838%K -1.36%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.47%EV -9.89%E -3.88%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -9.42%E -2.81%K -4.01%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-22 22:34
Grosvenor2.60I 38.46%NM 35.77%EV -2.18%E -0.838%K -1.36%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.47%EV -9.89%E -3.88%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -9.42%E -2.81%K -4.01%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-22 22:35
Unibet2.60I 38.46%NM 35.77%EV -2.18%E -0.838%K -1.36%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.47%EV -9.89%E -3.88%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -9.42%E -2.81%K -4.01%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-22 22:35
Unibet (NL)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.77%EV -2.18%E -0.838%K -1.36%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.47%EV -9.89%E -3.88%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -9.42%E -2.81%K -4.01%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-22 22:35
BetRivers2.60I 38.46%NM 35.77%EV -2.18%E -0.838%K -1.36%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.47%EV -9.89%E -3.88%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -9.42%E -2.81%K -4.01%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-22 22:40
Unibet (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.77%EV -2.18%E -0.838%K -1.36%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.47%EV -9.89%E -3.88%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -9.42%E -2.81%K -4.01%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-22 22:35
betPARX2.60I 38.46%NM 35.77%EV -2.18%E -0.838%K -1.36%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.47%EV -9.89%E -3.88%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -9.42%E -2.81%K -4.01%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-22 22:35
TABtouch2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -2.18%E -0.838%K -1.36%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -11.65%E -4.66%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -10.78%E -3.27%K -4.69%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-22 22:39
LowVig.ag2.57I 38.91%NM 37.62%EV -3.31%E -1.29%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.15%EV -2.82%E -1.02%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.23%EV -4.02%E -1.13%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.4%2026-02-22 22:50
BetOnline.ag2.57I 38.91%NM 37.62%EV -3.31%E -1.29%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.15%EV -2.82%E -1.02%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.23%EV -4.02%E -1.13%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.4%2026-02-22 22:50
Bet Victor2.55I 39.22%NM 36.62%EV -4.06%E -1.59%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -8.12%E -3.12%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -8.07%E -2.37%K -3.36%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-22 22:48
LeoVegas2.55I 39.22%NM 35.70%EV -4.06%E -1.59%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.71%EV -12.36%E -4.98%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -10.78%E -3.27%K -4.69%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-22 14:04
LiveScore Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 35.70%EV -4.06%E -1.59%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.71%EV -12.36%E -4.98%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -10.78%E -3.27%K -4.69%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-22 14:04
LeoVegas (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.70%EV -4.06%E -1.59%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.71%EV -12.36%E -4.98%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -10.78%E -3.27%K -4.69%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-22 14:04
Virgin Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 35.39%EV -4.06%E -1.59%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.84%EV -13.42%E -5.48%K -9.25%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.77%EV -12.13%E -3.73%K -5.39%G +0.000%10.8%2026-02-22 22:35
Pinnacle2.53I 39.53%NM 38.25%EV -4.81%E -1.90%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.94%EV -2.11%E -0.762%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.81%EV -2.39%E -0.663%K -0.917%G +0.000%3.3%2026-02-22 22:45
GTbets2.51I 39.84%NM 37.55%EV -5.57%E -2.22%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 35.30%EV -5.64%E -2.11%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 27.16%EV -6.18%E -1.78%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-22 22:54
Coolbet2.50I 40.00%NM 38.02%EV -5.94%E -2.38%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.20%EV -4.58%E -1.70%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.78%EV -4.02%E -1.13%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-22 13:44
BetMGM2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -5.94%E -2.38%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -8.12%E -3.12%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -5.37%E -1.53%K -2.15%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-22 14:04
Unibet (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.23%EV -5.94%E -2.38%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -8.12%E -3.12%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV -6.72%E -1.95%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-22 14:04
Bet Right2.50I 40.00%NM 36.62%EV -5.94%E -2.38%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.21%EV -8.12%E -3.12%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -12.13%E -3.73%K -5.39%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-22 22:55
NordicBet2.48I 40.32%NM 37.82%EV -6.69%E -2.70%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.00%EV -5.29%E -1.97%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.19%EV -6.72%E -1.95%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-22 22:50
Betsson2.48I 40.32%NM 37.82%EV -6.69%E -2.70%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.00%EV -5.29%E -1.97%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.19%EV -6.72%E -1.95%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-22 22:50
Marathon Bet2.48I 40.32%NM 37.35%EV -6.69%E -2.70%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 35.08%EV -6.70%E -2.54%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 27.57%EV -9.15%E -2.72%K -3.88%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-22 22:50
BetUS2.47I 40.49%NM 37.41%EV -7.07%E -2.86%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 35.00%EV -6.70%E -2.54%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.58%EV -9.42%E -2.81%K -4.01%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-22 22:50
Bovada2.47I 40.49%NM 37.41%EV -7.07%E -2.86%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 35.00%EV -6.70%E -2.54%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.58%EV -9.42%E -2.81%K -4.01%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-22 22:53
DraftKings2.45I 40.82%NM 38.50%EV -7.82%E -3.19%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.93%EV -4.58%E -1.70%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.57%EV -4.02%E -1.13%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-22 22:40
FanDuel2.45I 40.82%NM 38.35%EV -7.82%E -3.19%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.80%EV -4.58%E -1.70%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.85%EV -5.37%E -1.53%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-22 22:34
Fanatics2.45I 40.82%NM 37.55%EV -7.82%E -3.19%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.39%EV -8.12%E -3.12%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -8.07%E -2.37%K -3.36%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-22 14:04
888sport2.45I 40.82%NM 36.10%EV -7.82%E -3.19%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.37%EV -11.65%E -4.66%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.53%EV -16.18%E -5.22%K -7.71%G +0.000%13.1%2026-02-22 22:54
William Hill2.45I 40.82%NM 36.10%EV -7.82%E -3.19%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.37%EV -11.65%E -4.66%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.53%EV -16.18%E -5.22%K -7.71%G +0.000%13.1%2026-02-22 22:55
888sport (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 36.10%EV -7.82%E -3.19%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.37%EV -11.65%E -4.66%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.53%EV -16.18%E -5.22%K -7.71%G +0.000%13.1%2026-02-22 22:55
Mr Green (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 36.10%EV -7.82%E -3.19%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.37%EV -11.65%E -4.66%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.53%EV -16.18%E -5.22%K -7.71%G +0.000%13.1%2026-02-22 22:55
Betway2.40I 41.67%NM 38.54%EV -9.70%E -4.04%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.26%EV -4.58%E -1.70%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.20%EV -8.07%E -2.37%K -3.36%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-22 22:55
SportsBet2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -9.70%E -4.04%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.21%EV -7.41%E -2.83%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.36%EV -5.37%E -1.53%K -2.15%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-22 22:19
Winamax (DE)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -9.70%E -4.04%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.15%EV -11.65%E -4.66%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.20%EV -6.72%E -1.95%K -2.74%G +0.000%10.7%2026-02-22 14:05
Everygame2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -9.70%E -4.04%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.41%EV -9.89%E -3.88%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.96%EV -9.42%E -2.81%K -4.01%G +0.000%10.7%2026-02-22 22:50
Fliff2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -9.70%E -4.04%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.41%EV -9.89%E -3.88%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.96%EV -9.42%E -2.81%K -4.01%G +0.000%10.7%2026-02-22 22:55
Coral2.40I 41.67%NM 37.21%EV -9.70%E -4.04%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.72%EV -11.65%E -4.66%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -10.78%E -3.27%K -4.69%G +0.000%12.0%2026-02-22 14:04
Ladbrokes (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.21%EV -9.70%E -4.04%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.72%EV -11.65%E -4.66%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -10.78%E -3.27%K -4.69%G +0.000%12.0%2026-02-22 14:04
BoyleSports2.38I 42.02%NM 37.41%EV -10.46%E -4.39%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.61%EV -11.65%E -4.66%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.98%EV -10.78%E -3.27%K -4.69%G +0.000%12.3%2026-02-22 22:49
Winamax (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 37.58%EV -11.59%E -4.93%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.05%EV -13.42%E -5.48%K -9.25%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.37%EV -9.42%E -2.81%K -4.01%G +0.000%13.2%2026-02-22 14:04
Betclic (FR)2.32I 43.10%NM 37.75%EV -12.71%E -5.48%K -9.63%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 35.31%EV -12.36%E -4.98%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.94%EV -12.13%E -3.73%K -5.39%G +0.000%14.2%2026-02-22 22:34
Paddy Power2.30I 43.48%NM 39.05%EV -13.47%E -5.86%K -10.36%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.54%EV -8.12%E -3.12%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.41%EV -8.07%E -2.37%K -3.36%G +0.000%11.4%2026-02-22 22:40
Sky Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 38.74%EV -13.47%E -5.86%K -10.36%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.27%EV -8.12%E -3.12%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.00%EV -10.78%E -3.27%K -4.69%G +0.000%12.2%2026-02-22 22:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 36.78%EV -13.47%E -5.86%K -10.36%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 33.84%EV -11.65%E -4.66%K -7.77%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.38%EV -22.13%E -7.68%K -11.77%G +0.000%18.2%2026-02-22 22:25
NetBet (FR)2.27I 44.05%NM 37.78%EV -14.60%E -6.43%K -11.49%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 35.00%EV -13.42%E -5.48%K -9.25%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.22%EV -14.83%E -4.71%K -6.90%G +0.000%16.6%2026-02-22 22:54
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.60I 38.46%NM 38.29%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.81%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.90%0.5%2026-02-22 22:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 38.29%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.81%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.90%0.5%2026-02-22 22:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 38.19%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.97%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.84%0.7%2026-02-22 22:55
Matchbook2.60I 38.46%NM 38.19%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.97%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.84%0.7%2026-02-22 22:55
Smarkets2.58I 38.76%NM 38.14%2.82I 35.46%NM 34.90%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.96%1.6%2026-02-22 22:55