L’École des cotes

Pumas v Monterrey

Coup d’envoi : 2026-02-22 23:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

50 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Pumas (Local)

Prévision 37.62%2.66cote équitable
EV +0.454%
Avantage +0.170%
Kelly +0.272%
Croissance +0.001%

avec la cote maximale 2.67

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
35.36%37.52%37.63%39.05%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.272.492.482.6744.05%40.24%40.32%37.45%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Monterrey (Visiteur)

Prévision 35.34%2.83cote équitable
EV -2.11%
Avantage -0.762%
Kelly -1.19%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.77

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
33.84%35.37%35.35%36.84%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.452.582.552.7740.82%38.80%39.22%36.10%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 27.04%3.70cote équitable
EV -2.39%
Avantage -0.663%
Kelly -0.917%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.61

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.20%27.12%27.01%29.38%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.883.353.353.6134.72%29.83%29.85%27.70%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (50 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet2.67I 37.45%NM 35.95%EV +0.454%E +0.170%K +0.272%G +0.001%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.63%EV -7.41%E -2.83%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.42%EV -5.37%E -1.53%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-22 22:54
Svenska Spel2.65I 37.74%NM 35.73%EV -0.299%E -0.113%K -0.181%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.42%EV -8.12%E -3.12%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -8.07%E -2.37%K -3.36%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-22 22:40
ATG (SE)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.73%EV -0.299%E -0.113%K -0.181%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.42%EV -8.12%E -3.12%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -8.07%E -2.37%K -3.36%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-22 22:40
Casumo2.60I 38.46%NM 35.77%EV -2.18%E -0.838%K -1.36%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.47%EV -9.89%E -3.88%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -9.42%E -2.81%K -4.01%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-22 22:34
Grosvenor2.60I 38.46%NM 35.77%EV -2.18%E -0.838%K -1.36%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.47%EV -9.89%E -3.88%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -9.42%E -2.81%K -4.01%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-22 22:35
Unibet2.60I 38.46%NM 35.77%EV -2.18%E -0.838%K -1.36%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.47%EV -9.89%E -3.88%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -9.42%E -2.81%K -4.01%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-22 22:35
Unibet (NL)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.77%EV -2.18%E -0.838%K -1.36%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.47%EV -9.89%E -3.88%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -9.42%E -2.81%K -4.01%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-22 22:35
BetRivers2.60I 38.46%NM 35.77%EV -2.18%E -0.838%K -1.36%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.47%EV -9.89%E -3.88%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -9.42%E -2.81%K -4.01%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-22 22:40
Unibet (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.77%EV -2.18%E -0.838%K -1.36%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.47%EV -9.89%E -3.88%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -9.42%E -2.81%K -4.01%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-22 22:35
betPARX2.60I 38.46%NM 35.77%EV -2.18%E -0.838%K -1.36%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.47%EV -9.89%E -3.88%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -9.42%E -2.81%K -4.01%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-22 22:35
TABtouch2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -2.18%E -0.838%K -1.36%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -11.65%E -4.66%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -10.78%E -3.27%K -4.69%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-22 22:39
LowVig.ag2.57I 38.91%NM 37.62%EV -3.31%E -1.29%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.15%EV -2.82%E -1.02%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.23%EV -4.02%E -1.13%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.4%2026-02-22 22:50
BetOnline.ag2.57I 38.91%NM 37.62%EV -3.31%E -1.29%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.15%EV -2.82%E -1.02%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.23%EV -4.02%E -1.13%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.4%2026-02-22 22:50
Bet Victor2.55I 39.22%NM 36.62%EV -4.06%E -1.59%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -8.12%E -3.12%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -8.07%E -2.37%K -3.36%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-22 22:48
LeoVegas2.55I 39.22%NM 35.70%EV -4.06%E -1.59%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.71%EV -12.36%E -4.98%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -10.78%E -3.27%K -4.69%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-22 14:04
LiveScore Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 35.70%EV -4.06%E -1.59%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.71%EV -12.36%E -4.98%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -10.78%E -3.27%K -4.69%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-22 14:04
LeoVegas (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.70%EV -4.06%E -1.59%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.71%EV -12.36%E -4.98%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -10.78%E -3.27%K -4.69%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-22 14:04
Virgin Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 35.39%EV -4.06%E -1.59%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.84%EV -13.42%E -5.48%K -9.25%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.77%EV -12.13%E -3.73%K -5.39%G +0.000%10.8%2026-02-22 22:35
Pinnacle2.53I 39.53%NM 38.25%EV -4.81%E -1.90%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.94%EV -2.11%E -0.762%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.81%EV -2.39%E -0.663%K -0.917%G +0.000%3.3%2026-02-22 22:45
GTbets2.51I 39.84%NM 37.55%EV -5.57%E -2.22%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 35.30%EV -5.64%E -2.11%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 27.16%EV -6.18%E -1.78%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-22 22:54
Coolbet2.50I 40.00%NM 38.02%EV -5.94%E -2.38%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.20%EV -4.58%E -1.70%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.78%EV -4.02%E -1.13%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-22 13:44
BetMGM2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -5.94%E -2.38%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -8.12%E -3.12%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -5.37%E -1.53%K -2.15%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-22 14:04
Unibet (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.23%EV -5.94%E -2.38%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -8.12%E -3.12%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV -6.72%E -1.95%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-22 14:04
Bet Right2.50I 40.00%NM 36.62%EV -5.94%E -2.38%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.21%EV -8.12%E -3.12%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -12.13%E -3.73%K -5.39%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-22 22:55
NordicBet2.48I 40.32%NM 37.82%EV -6.69%E -2.70%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.00%EV -5.29%E -1.97%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.19%EV -6.72%E -1.95%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-22 22:50
Betsson2.48I 40.32%NM 37.82%EV -6.69%E -2.70%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.00%EV -5.29%E -1.97%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.19%EV -6.72%E -1.95%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-22 22:50
Marathon Bet2.48I 40.32%NM 37.35%EV -6.69%E -2.70%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 35.08%EV -6.70%E -2.54%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 27.57%EV -9.15%E -2.72%K -3.88%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-22 22:50
BetUS2.47I 40.49%NM 37.41%EV -7.07%E -2.86%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 35.00%EV -6.70%E -2.54%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.58%EV -9.42%E -2.81%K -4.01%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-22 22:50
Bovada2.47I 40.49%NM 37.41%EV -7.07%E -2.86%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 35.00%EV -6.70%E -2.54%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.58%EV -9.42%E -2.81%K -4.01%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-22 22:53
DraftKings2.45I 40.82%NM 38.50%EV -7.82%E -3.19%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.93%EV -4.58%E -1.70%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.57%EV -4.02%E -1.13%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-22 22:40
FanDuel2.45I 40.82%NM 38.35%EV -7.82%E -3.19%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.80%EV -4.58%E -1.70%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.85%EV -5.37%E -1.53%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-22 22:34
Fanatics2.45I 40.82%NM 37.55%EV -7.82%E -3.19%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.39%EV -8.12%E -3.12%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -8.07%E -2.37%K -3.36%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-22 14:04
888sport2.45I 40.82%NM 36.10%EV -7.82%E -3.19%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.37%EV -11.65%E -4.66%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.53%EV -16.18%E -5.22%K -7.71%G +0.000%13.1%2026-02-22 22:54
William Hill2.45I 40.82%NM 36.10%EV -7.82%E -3.19%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.37%EV -11.65%E -4.66%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.53%EV -16.18%E -5.22%K -7.71%G +0.000%13.1%2026-02-22 22:55
888sport (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 36.10%EV -7.82%E -3.19%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.37%EV -11.65%E -4.66%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.53%EV -16.18%E -5.22%K -7.71%G +0.000%13.1%2026-02-22 22:55
Mr Green (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 36.10%EV -7.82%E -3.19%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.37%EV -11.65%E -4.66%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.53%EV -16.18%E -5.22%K -7.71%G +0.000%13.1%2026-02-22 22:55
Betway2.40I 41.67%NM 38.54%EV -9.70%E -4.04%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.26%EV -4.58%E -1.70%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.20%EV -8.07%E -2.37%K -3.36%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-22 22:55
SportsBet2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -9.70%E -4.04%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.21%EV -7.41%E -2.83%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.36%EV -5.37%E -1.53%K -2.15%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-22 22:19
Winamax (DE)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -9.70%E -4.04%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.15%EV -11.65%E -4.66%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.20%EV -6.72%E -1.95%K -2.74%G +0.000%10.7%2026-02-22 14:05
Everygame2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -9.70%E -4.04%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.41%EV -9.89%E -3.88%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.96%EV -9.42%E -2.81%K -4.01%G +0.000%10.7%2026-02-22 22:50
Fliff2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -9.70%E -4.04%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.41%EV -9.89%E -3.88%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.96%EV -9.42%E -2.81%K -4.01%G +0.000%10.7%2026-02-22 22:55
Coral2.40I 41.67%NM 37.21%EV -9.70%E -4.04%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.72%EV -11.65%E -4.66%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -10.78%E -3.27%K -4.69%G +0.000%12.0%2026-02-22 14:04
Ladbrokes (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.21%EV -9.70%E -4.04%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.72%EV -11.65%E -4.66%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -10.78%E -3.27%K -4.69%G +0.000%12.0%2026-02-22 14:04
BoyleSports2.38I 42.02%NM 37.41%EV -10.46%E -4.39%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.61%EV -11.65%E -4.66%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.98%EV -10.78%E -3.27%K -4.69%G +0.000%12.3%2026-02-22 22:49
Winamax (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 37.58%EV -11.59%E -4.93%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.05%EV -13.42%E -5.48%K -9.25%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.37%EV -9.42%E -2.81%K -4.01%G +0.000%13.2%2026-02-22 14:04
Betclic (FR)2.32I 43.10%NM 37.75%EV -12.71%E -5.48%K -9.63%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 35.31%EV -12.36%E -4.98%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.94%EV -12.13%E -3.73%K -5.39%G +0.000%14.2%2026-02-22 22:34
Paddy Power2.30I 43.48%NM 39.05%EV -13.47%E -5.86%K -10.36%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.54%EV -8.12%E -3.12%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.41%EV -8.07%E -2.37%K -3.36%G +0.000%11.4%2026-02-22 22:40
Sky Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 38.74%EV -13.47%E -5.86%K -10.36%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.27%EV -8.12%E -3.12%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.00%EV -10.78%E -3.27%K -4.69%G +0.000%12.2%2026-02-22 22:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 36.78%EV -13.47%E -5.86%K -10.36%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 33.84%EV -11.65%E -4.66%K -7.77%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.38%EV -22.13%E -7.68%K -11.77%G +0.000%18.2%2026-02-22 22:25
NetBet (FR)2.27I 44.05%NM 37.78%EV -14.60%E -6.43%K -11.49%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 35.00%EV -13.42%E -5.48%K -9.25%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.22%EV -14.83%E -4.71%K -6.90%G +0.000%16.6%2026-02-22 22:54
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.60I 38.46%NM 38.29%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.81%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.90%0.5%2026-02-22 22:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 38.29%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.81%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.90%0.5%2026-02-22 22:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 38.19%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.97%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.84%0.7%2026-02-22 22:55
Matchbook2.60I 38.46%NM 38.19%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.97%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.84%0.7%2026-02-22 22:55
Smarkets2.58I 38.76%NM 38.14%2.82I 35.46%NM 34.90%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.96%1.6%2026-02-22 22:55