Language:English
Pumas v León
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Pumas (Local)
Prediction 47.35%2.11fair odd
EV -2.45%
Edge -1.19%
Kelly -2.31%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.06
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.30%47.16%47.39%48.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.831.961.952.0654.64%51.04%51.28%48.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
León (Visit)
Prediction 26.14%3.83fair odd
EV -2.77%
Edge -0.745%
Kelly -1.02%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.72
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.20%26.27%26.13%28.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.053.433.403.7232.79%29.19%29.41%26.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.51%3.77fair odd
EV -4.57%
Edge -1.27%
Kelly -1.76%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.94%26.57%26.48%27.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.443.453.6031.25%29.08%28.99%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Pumas (Local): 47.35%; León (Visit): 26.14%; Draw: 26.51%. For Pumas (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.11. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.06, with an expected value of -2.45%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (48 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.55%EV -2.45%E -1.19%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.01%EV -12.44%E -3.71%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.43%EV -5.89%E -1.66%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-31 01:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.55%EV -2.45%E -1.19%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.01%EV -12.44%E -3.71%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.43%EV -5.89%E -1.66%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-31 01:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.31%EV -4.35%E -2.15%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.16%EV -15.06%E -4.63%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.53%EV -8.54%E -2.48%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-31 01:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.31%EV -4.35%E -2.15%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.16%EV -15.06%E -4.63%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.53%EV -8.54%E -2.48%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-31 01:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.31%EV -4.35%E -2.15%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.16%EV -15.06%E -4.63%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.53%EV -8.54%E -2.48%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-31 01:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.31%EV -4.35%E -2.15%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.16%EV -15.06%E -4.63%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.53%EV -8.54%E -2.48%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-31 01:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.31%EV -4.35%E -2.15%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.16%EV -15.06%E -4.63%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.53%EV -8.54%E -2.48%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-31 01:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.31%EV -4.35%E -2.15%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.16%EV -15.06%E -4.63%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.53%EV -8.54%E -2.48%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-31 01:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.31%EV -4.35%E -2.15%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.16%EV -15.06%E -4.63%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.53%EV -8.54%E -2.48%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-31 01:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.60%EV -5.29%E -2.65%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.73%EV -3.29%E -0.890%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 26.67%EV -5.36%E -1.50%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-01 01:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.60%EV -5.29%E -2.65%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.73%EV -3.29%E -0.890%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 26.67%EV -5.36%E -1.50%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-01 01:45 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.49%EV -5.29%E -2.65%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.67%EV -3.29%E -0.890%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 26.83%EV -6.16%E -1.74%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-02 14:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -5.29%E -2.65%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -5.91%E -1.64%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -7.22%E -2.06%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-03 18:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -6.24%E -3.15%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -5.91%E -1.64%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -4.57%E -1.27%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-30 22:44 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.92%EV -6.24%E -3.15%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -8.52%E -2.43%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -7.22%E -2.06%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-02 23:15 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.73%EV -6.24%E -3.15%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.06%EV -7.21%E -2.03%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -9.87%E -2.90%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-02 00:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.73%EV -6.24%E -3.15%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.06%EV -7.21%E -2.03%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -9.87%E -2.90%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-02 00:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.25%EV -6.71%E -3.41%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 26.00%EV -6.43%E -1.80%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 26.75%EV -7.75%E -2.23%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-04 12:09 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 45.38%EV -6.71%E -3.41%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.94%EV -16.36%E -5.11%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.69%EV -11.19%E -3.34%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-31 01:00 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.14%EV -7.19%E -3.67%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 3.72I 26.88%NM 25.36%EV -2.77%E -0.745%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 26.50%EV -5.63%E -1.58%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-31 21:44 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 45.30%EV -7.19%E -3.67%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.19%EV -17.67%E -5.61%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.51%EV -11.19%E -3.34%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-31 01:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 45.30%EV -7.19%E -3.67%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.19%EV -17.67%E -5.61%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.51%EV -11.19%E -3.34%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-31 01:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.66%E -3.93%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -5.91%E -1.64%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -4.57%E -1.27%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-31 16:03 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.66%E -3.93%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -5.91%E -1.64%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -4.57%E -1.27%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-03 18:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -7.66%E -3.93%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -5.91%E -1.64%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -7.22%E -2.06%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-31 16:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.51%EV -7.66%E -3.93%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 25.88%EV -6.43%E -1.80%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 26.62%EV -7.75%E -2.23%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-04 12:05 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -7.66%E -3.93%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -8.52%E -2.43%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -7.22%E -2.06%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-03 05:10 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -7.66%E -3.93%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -8.52%E -2.43%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -7.22%E -2.06%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-03 05:09 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -7.66%E -3.93%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.88%EV -7.21%E -2.03%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.02%EV -9.87%E -2.90%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-02 18:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -7.66%E -3.93%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -11.14%E -3.28%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -7.22%E -2.06%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-02 12:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.45%EV -7.66%E -3.93%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.86%EV -13.75%E -4.17%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.70%EV -15.17%E -4.74%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-30 19:35 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.45%EV -7.66%E -3.93%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.86%EV -13.75%E -4.17%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.70%EV -15.17%E -4.74%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-30 19:35 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.45%EV -7.66%E -3.93%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.86%EV -13.75%E -4.17%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.70%EV -15.17%E -4.74%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-30 19:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.45%EV -7.66%E -3.93%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.86%EV -13.75%E -4.17%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.70%EV -15.17%E -4.74%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-30 19:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.43%EV -7.66%E -3.93%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.12%EV -17.67%E -5.61%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.44%EV -11.19%E -3.34%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-31 01:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.13%EV -8.13%E -4.19%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -5.91%E -1.64%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -4.57%E -1.27%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-31 16:05 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.25%EV -8.13%E -4.19%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.57%EV -9.83%E -2.85%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -7.22%E -2.06%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-01 18:30 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.55%EV -8.61%E -4.46%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -8.52%E -2.43%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -7.22%E -2.06%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-02 23:19 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.33%EV -9.08%E -4.73%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.34%EV -9.83%E -2.85%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.34%EV -8.54%E -2.48%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-02 23:15 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.15%EV -9.55%E -5.00%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.20%EV -4.60%E -1.26%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.66%EV -8.54%E -2.48%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-04 01:29 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -9.55%E -5.00%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -8.52%E -2.43%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -7.22%E -2.06%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-01 18:15 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.09%EV -9.55%E -5.00%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -11.14%E -3.28%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -9.87%E -2.90%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-30 22:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.72%EV -9.55%E -5.00%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -11.14%E -3.28%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -12.52%E -3.79%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-01 18:04 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 47.17%EV -10.50%E -5.56%K -11.80%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.22%EV -11.14%E -3.28%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.61%EV -11.19%E -3.34%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-09-02 23:15 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 45.56%EV -10.97%E -5.84%K -12.47%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.08%EV -20.28%E -6.65%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.36%EV -13.84%E -4.26%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 16.7% | 2026-08-31 01:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 47.62%EV -11.45%E -6.12%K -13.16%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -11.14%E -3.28%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -9.87%E -2.90%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-31 22:05 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.89%EV -12.40%E -6.70%K -14.58%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -11.14%E -3.28%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -9.87%E -2.90%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-09-03 18:00 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 47.78%EV -13.34%E -7.29%K -16.08%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.72%EV -11.14%E -3.28%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.50%EV -12.52%E -3.79%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-09-03 05:09 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.62% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.21% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.16% | 3.1% | 2026-09-03 16:37 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.12% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.69% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.18% | 6.6% | 2026-09-02 14:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.99I 50.25%NM 46.75% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.49% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.77% | 7.5% | 2026-09-04 09:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.99I 50.25%NM 46.75% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.49% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.77% | 7.5% | 2026-09-04 09:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.99I 50.25%NM 46.75% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.49% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.77% | 7.5% | 2026-09-04 12:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 46.71% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.86% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.43% | 13.3% | 2026-09-03 05:35 |