Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Pumas v León

Inizio: 2026-09-06 18:00 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

48 bookmaker (17 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Pumas (Casa)

Previsione 47.35%2.11quota equa
EV -2.45%
Vantaggio -1.19%
Kelly -2.31%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.06

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
45.30%47.16%47.39%48.15%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.831.961.952.0654.64%51.04%51.28%48.54%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

León (Trasferta)

Previsione 26.14%3.83quota equa
EV -2.77%
Vantaggio -0.745%
Kelly -1.02%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.72

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
25.20%26.27%26.13%28.19%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.053.433.403.7232.79%29.19%29.41%26.88%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 26.51%3.77quota equa
EV -4.57%
Vantaggio -1.27%
Kelly -1.76%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.60

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
25.94%26.57%26.48%27.70%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.203.443.453.6031.25%29.08%28.99%27.78%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Pumas (Casa): 47.35%; León (Trasferta): 26.14%; Pareggio: 26.51%. Per Pumas (Casa), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 2.11. Nessun bookmaker idoneo offriva una quota di chiusura superiore a tale livello: la migliore era 2.06, con un valore atteso del -2.45%; non produceva valore atteso positivo.

Quote dei bookmaker (48 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
ATG (SE)🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 45.55%EV -2.45%E -1.19%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.01%EV -12.44%E -3.71%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.43%EV -5.89%E -1.66%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-31 01:00
Svenska Spel🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 45.55%EV -2.45%E -1.19%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.01%EV -12.44%E -3.71%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.43%EV -5.89%E -1.66%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-31 01:00
Unibet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.31%EV -4.35%E -2.15%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.16%EV -15.06%E -4.63%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.53%EV -8.54%E -2.48%K -3.49%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-31 01:00
Casumo🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.31%EV -4.35%E -2.15%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.16%EV -15.06%E -4.63%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.53%EV -8.54%E -2.48%K -3.49%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-31 01:00
Unibet (SE)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.31%EV -4.35%E -2.15%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.16%EV -15.06%E -4.63%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.53%EV -8.54%E -2.48%K -3.49%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-31 01:00
Unibet (NL)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.31%EV -4.35%E -2.15%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.16%EV -15.06%E -4.63%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.53%EV -8.54%E -2.48%K -3.49%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-31 01:00
BetRivers🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.31%EV -4.35%E -2.15%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.16%EV -15.06%E -4.63%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.53%EV -8.54%E -2.48%K -3.49%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-31 01:00
Grosvenor🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.31%EV -4.35%E -2.15%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.16%EV -15.06%E -4.63%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.53%EV -8.54%E -2.48%K -3.49%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-31 01:00
betPARX🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.31%EV -4.35%E -2.15%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.16%EV -15.06%E -4.63%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.53%EV -8.54%E -2.48%K -3.49%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-31 01:00
BetOnline.ag🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.60%EV -5.29%E -2.65%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.73%EV -3.29%E -0.890%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.67%EV -5.36%E -1.50%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-01 01:45
LowVig.ag🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.60%EV -5.29%E -2.65%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.73%EV -3.29%E -0.890%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.67%EV -5.36%E -1.50%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-01 01:45
Pinnacle🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.49%EV -5.29%E -2.65%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.67%EV -3.29%E -0.890%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.83%EV -6.16%E -1.74%K -2.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-02 14:20
DraftKings🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -5.29%E -2.65%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -5.91%E -1.64%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -7.22%E -2.06%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-03 18:00
Coolbet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -6.24%E -3.15%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -5.91%E -1.64%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -4.57%E -1.27%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-30 22:44
Unibet (UK)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.92%EV -6.24%E -3.15%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -8.52%E -2.43%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -7.22%E -2.06%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-02 23:15
Betsson🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.73%EV -6.24%E -3.15%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.06%EV -7.21%E -2.03%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -9.87%E -2.90%K -4.11%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-02 00:55
NordicBet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.73%EV -6.24%E -3.15%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.06%EV -7.21%E -2.03%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -9.87%E -2.90%K -4.11%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-02 00:55
1xBet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.25%EV -6.71%E -3.41%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.00%EV -6.43%E -1.80%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.75%EV -7.75%E -2.23%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-04 12:09
TABtouch🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 45.38%EV -6.71%E -3.41%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.94%EV -16.36%E -5.11%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.69%EV -11.19%E -3.34%K -4.76%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-31 01:00
GTbets🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.14%EV -7.19%E -3.67%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.36%EV -2.77%E -0.745%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.50%EV -5.63%E -1.58%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-31 21:44
Virgin Bet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 45.30%EV -7.19%E -3.67%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.19%EV -17.67%E -5.61%K -8.22%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.51%EV -11.19%E -3.34%K -4.76%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-31 01:00
LiveScore Bet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 45.30%EV -7.19%E -3.67%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.19%EV -17.67%E -5.61%K -8.22%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.51%EV -11.19%E -3.34%K -4.76%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-31 01:00
FanDuel🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.66%E -3.93%K -8.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -5.91%E -1.64%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -4.57%E -1.27%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-31 16:03
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.66%E -3.93%K -8.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -5.91%E -1.64%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -4.57%E -1.27%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-03 18:00
Fanatics🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -7.66%E -3.93%K -8.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -5.91%E -1.64%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -7.22%E -2.06%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-31 16:10
Marathon Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.51%EV -7.66%E -3.93%K -8.06%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 25.88%EV -6.43%E -1.80%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.62%EV -7.75%E -2.23%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-04 12:05
betano_uk🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -7.66%E -3.93%K -8.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -8.52%E -2.43%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -7.22%E -2.06%K -2.89%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-03 05:10
Bet Victor🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -7.66%E -3.93%K -8.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -8.52%E -2.43%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -7.22%E -2.06%K -2.89%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-03 05:09
PlayUp🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -7.66%E -3.93%K -8.06%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.88%EV -7.21%E -2.03%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.02%EV -9.87%E -2.90%K -4.11%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-02 18:10
Betway🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -7.66%E -3.93%K -8.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -11.14%E -3.28%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -7.22%E -2.06%K -2.89%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-02 12:45
888sport🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.45%EV -7.66%E -3.93%K -8.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.86%EV -13.75%E -4.17%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.70%EV -15.17%E -4.74%K -6.90%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-30 19:35
William Hill🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.45%EV -7.66%E -3.93%K -8.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.86%EV -13.75%E -4.17%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.70%EV -15.17%E -4.74%K -6.90%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-30 19:35
888sport (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.45%EV -7.66%E -3.93%K -8.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.86%EV -13.75%E -4.17%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.70%EV -15.17%E -4.74%K -6.90%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-30 19:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.45%EV -7.66%E -3.93%K -8.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.86%EV -13.75%E -4.17%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.70%EV -15.17%E -4.74%K -6.90%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-30 19:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.43%EV -7.66%E -3.93%K -8.06%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.12%EV -17.67%E -5.61%K -8.22%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.44%EV -11.19%E -3.34%K -4.76%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-31 01:00
SportsBet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.13%EV -8.13%E -4.19%K -8.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -5.91%E -1.64%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -4.57%E -1.27%K -1.76%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-31 16:05
Bet Right🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 47.25%EV -8.13%E -4.19%K -8.65%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.57%EV -9.83%E -2.85%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -7.22%E -2.06%K -2.89%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-01 18:30
Tipico (DE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.55%EV -8.61%E -4.46%K -9.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -8.52%E -2.43%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -7.22%E -2.06%K -2.89%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-02 23:19
LeoVegas🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 47.33%EV -9.08%E -4.73%K -9.87%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.34%EV -9.83%E -2.85%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.34%EV -8.54%E -2.48%K -3.49%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-02 23:15
BetUS🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.15%EV -9.55%E -5.00%K -10.50%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.20%EV -4.60%E -1.26%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.66%EV -8.54%E -2.48%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-04 01:29
Paddy Power🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -9.55%E -5.00%K -10.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -8.52%E -2.43%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -7.22%E -2.06%K -2.89%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-01 18:15
betfred_uk🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.09%EV -9.55%E -5.00%K -10.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -11.14%E -3.28%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -9.87%E -2.90%K -4.11%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-30 22:45
Neds🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.72%EV -9.55%E -5.00%K -10.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -11.14%E -3.28%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -12.52%E -3.79%K -5.44%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-01 18:04
Betclic (FR)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 47.17%EV -10.50%E -5.56%K -11.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.22%EV -11.14%E -3.28%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.61%EV -11.19%E -3.34%K -4.76%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-02 23:15
PMU (FR)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 45.56%EV -10.97%E -5.84%K -12.47%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.08%EV -20.28%E -6.65%K -9.89%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.36%EV -13.84%E -4.26%K -6.15%G +0.000%16.7%2026-08-31 01:00
BoyleSports🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 47.62%EV -11.45%E -6.12%K -13.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -11.14%E -3.28%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -9.87%E -2.90%K -4.11%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-31 22:05
Sky Bet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 47.89%EV -12.40%E -6.70%K -14.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -11.14%E -3.28%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -9.87%E -2.90%K -4.11%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-03 18:00
NetBet (FR)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 47.78%EV -13.34%E -7.29%K -16.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.72%EV -11.14%E -3.28%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.50%EV -12.52%E -3.79%K -5.44%G +0.000%14.4%2026-09-03 05:09
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Kalshi◎2.08I 48.08%NM 46.62%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.21%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.16%3.1%2026-09-03 16:37
Matchbook◎1.99I 50.25%NM 47.12%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.69%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.18%6.6%2026-09-02 14:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.99I 50.25%NM 46.75%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.49%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.77%7.5%2026-09-04 09:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.99I 50.25%NM 46.75%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.49%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.77%7.5%2026-09-04 09:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.99I 50.25%NM 46.75%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.49%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.77%7.5%2026-09-04 12:20
Smarkets◎1.89I 52.91%NM 46.71%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.86%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.43%13.3%2026-09-03 05:35