Idioma:Español
Pumas v León
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Pumas (Local)
Predicción 47.35%2.11momio equitativo
EV -2.45%
Ventaja -1.19%
Kelly -2.31%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.06
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
45.30%47.16%47.39%48.15%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.831.961.952.0654.64%51.04%51.28%48.54%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
León (Visitante)
Predicción 26.14%3.83momio equitativo
EV -2.77%
Ventaja -0.745%
Kelly -1.02%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.72
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.20%26.27%26.13%28.19%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.053.433.403.7232.79%29.19%29.41%26.88%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 26.51%3.77momio equitativo
EV -4.57%
Ventaja -1.27%
Kelly -1.76%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.60
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.94%26.57%26.48%27.70%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.203.443.453.6031.25%29.08%28.99%27.78%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Pumas (Local): 47.35%; León (Visitante): 26.14%; Empate: 26.51%. Para Pumas (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.11. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 2.06, con un valor esperado de -2.45%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (48 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.55%EV -2.45%E -1.19%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.01%EV -12.44%E -3.71%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.43%EV -5.89%E -1.66%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-31 01:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.55%EV -2.45%E -1.19%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.01%EV -12.44%E -3.71%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.43%EV -5.89%E -1.66%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-31 01:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.31%EV -4.35%E -2.15%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.16%EV -15.06%E -4.63%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.53%EV -8.54%E -2.48%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-31 01:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.31%EV -4.35%E -2.15%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.16%EV -15.06%E -4.63%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.53%EV -8.54%E -2.48%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-31 01:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.31%EV -4.35%E -2.15%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.16%EV -15.06%E -4.63%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.53%EV -8.54%E -2.48%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-31 01:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.31%EV -4.35%E -2.15%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.16%EV -15.06%E -4.63%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.53%EV -8.54%E -2.48%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-31 01:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.31%EV -4.35%E -2.15%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.16%EV -15.06%E -4.63%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.53%EV -8.54%E -2.48%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-31 01:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.31%EV -4.35%E -2.15%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.16%EV -15.06%E -4.63%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.53%EV -8.54%E -2.48%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-31 01:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.31%EV -4.35%E -2.15%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.16%EV -15.06%E -4.63%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.53%EV -8.54%E -2.48%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-31 01:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.60%EV -5.29%E -2.65%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.73%EV -3.29%E -0.890%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 26.67%EV -5.36%E -1.50%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-01 01:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.60%EV -5.29%E -2.65%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.73%EV -3.29%E -0.890%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 26.67%EV -5.36%E -1.50%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-01 01:45 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.49%EV -5.29%E -2.65%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.67%EV -3.29%E -0.890%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 26.83%EV -6.16%E -1.74%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-02 14:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -5.29%E -2.65%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -5.91%E -1.64%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -7.22%E -2.06%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-03 18:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -6.24%E -3.15%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -5.91%E -1.64%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -4.57%E -1.27%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-30 22:44 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.92%EV -6.24%E -3.15%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -8.52%E -2.43%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -7.22%E -2.06%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-02 23:15 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.73%EV -6.24%E -3.15%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.06%EV -7.21%E -2.03%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -9.87%E -2.90%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-02 00:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.73%EV -6.24%E -3.15%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.06%EV -7.21%E -2.03%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -9.87%E -2.90%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-02 00:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.25%EV -6.71%E -3.41%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 26.00%EV -6.43%E -1.80%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 26.75%EV -7.75%E -2.23%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-04 12:09 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 45.38%EV -6.71%E -3.41%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.94%EV -16.36%E -5.11%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.69%EV -11.19%E -3.34%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-31 01:00 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.14%EV -7.19%E -3.67%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 3.72I 26.88%NM 25.36%EV -2.77%E -0.745%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 26.50%EV -5.63%E -1.58%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-31 21:44 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 45.30%EV -7.19%E -3.67%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.19%EV -17.67%E -5.61%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.51%EV -11.19%E -3.34%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-31 01:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 45.30%EV -7.19%E -3.67%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.19%EV -17.67%E -5.61%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.51%EV -11.19%E -3.34%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-31 01:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.66%E -3.93%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -5.91%E -1.64%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -4.57%E -1.27%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-31 16:03 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.66%E -3.93%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -5.91%E -1.64%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -4.57%E -1.27%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-03 18:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -7.66%E -3.93%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -5.91%E -1.64%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -7.22%E -2.06%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-31 16:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.51%EV -7.66%E -3.93%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 25.88%EV -6.43%E -1.80%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 26.62%EV -7.75%E -2.23%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-04 12:05 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -7.66%E -3.93%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -8.52%E -2.43%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -7.22%E -2.06%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-03 05:10 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -7.66%E -3.93%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -8.52%E -2.43%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -7.22%E -2.06%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-03 05:09 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -7.66%E -3.93%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.88%EV -7.21%E -2.03%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.02%EV -9.87%E -2.90%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-02 18:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -7.66%E -3.93%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -11.14%E -3.28%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -7.22%E -2.06%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-02 12:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.45%EV -7.66%E -3.93%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.86%EV -13.75%E -4.17%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.70%EV -15.17%E -4.74%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-30 19:35 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.45%EV -7.66%E -3.93%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.86%EV -13.75%E -4.17%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.70%EV -15.17%E -4.74%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-30 19:35 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.45%EV -7.66%E -3.93%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.86%EV -13.75%E -4.17%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.70%EV -15.17%E -4.74%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-30 19:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.45%EV -7.66%E -3.93%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.86%EV -13.75%E -4.17%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.70%EV -15.17%E -4.74%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-30 19:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.43%EV -7.66%E -3.93%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.12%EV -17.67%E -5.61%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.44%EV -11.19%E -3.34%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-31 01:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.13%EV -8.13%E -4.19%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -5.91%E -1.64%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -4.57%E -1.27%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-31 16:05 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.25%EV -8.13%E -4.19%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.57%EV -9.83%E -2.85%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -7.22%E -2.06%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-01 18:30 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.55%EV -8.61%E -4.46%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -8.52%E -2.43%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -7.22%E -2.06%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-02 23:19 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.33%EV -9.08%E -4.73%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.34%EV -9.83%E -2.85%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.34%EV -8.54%E -2.48%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-02 23:15 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.15%EV -9.55%E -5.00%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.20%EV -4.60%E -1.26%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.66%EV -8.54%E -2.48%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-04 01:29 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -9.55%E -5.00%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -8.52%E -2.43%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -7.22%E -2.06%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-01 18:15 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.09%EV -9.55%E -5.00%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -11.14%E -3.28%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -9.87%E -2.90%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-30 22:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.72%EV -9.55%E -5.00%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -11.14%E -3.28%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -12.52%E -3.79%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-01 18:04 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 47.17%EV -10.50%E -5.56%K -11.80%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.22%EV -11.14%E -3.28%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.61%EV -11.19%E -3.34%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-09-02 23:15 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 45.56%EV -10.97%E -5.84%K -12.47%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.08%EV -20.28%E -6.65%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.36%EV -13.84%E -4.26%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 16.7% | 2026-08-31 01:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 47.62%EV -11.45%E -6.12%K -13.16%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -11.14%E -3.28%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -9.87%E -2.90%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-31 22:05 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.89%EV -12.40%E -6.70%K -14.58%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -11.14%E -3.28%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -9.87%E -2.90%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-09-03 18:00 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 47.78%EV -13.34%E -7.29%K -16.08%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.72%EV -11.14%E -3.28%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.50%EV -12.52%E -3.79%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-09-03 05:09 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.62% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.21% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.16% | 3.1% | 2026-09-03 16:37 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.12% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.69% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.18% | 6.6% | 2026-09-02 14:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.99I 50.25%NM 46.75% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.49% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.77% | 7.5% | 2026-09-04 09:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.99I 50.25%NM 46.75% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.49% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.77% | 7.5% | 2026-09-04 09:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.99I 50.25%NM 46.75% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.49% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.77% | 7.5% | 2026-09-04 12:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 46.71% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.86% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.43% | 13.3% | 2026-09-03 05:35 |