Language:English
Pumas v Cruz Azul
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Pumas (Local)
Prediction 30.69%3.26fair odd
EV -3.33%
Edge -1.06%
Kelly -1.55%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.15
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.62%30.76%30.60%32.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.752.993.003.1536.36%33.44%33.33%31.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Cruz Azul (Visit)
Prediction 41.63%2.40fair odd
EV -3.01%
Edge -1.29%
Kelly -2.26%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.33
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.00%41.64%41.54%43.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.032.212.222.3349.26%45.19%45.05%42.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 27.69%3.61fair odd
EV +3.27%
Edge +0.876%
Kelly +1.20%
Growth +0.039%
assuming max odds 3.73
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.91%27.60%27.86%29.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.283.253.7334.72%30.47%30.77%26.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Pumas (Local): 30.69%; Cruz Azul (Visit): 41.63%; Draw: 27.69%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.61. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.73, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.27%.
Sportsbook Odds (51 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.69%EV -6.40%E -2.10%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.39%EV -5.09%E -2.23%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.73I 26.81%NM 25.91%EV +3.27%E +0.876%K +1.20%G +0.039% | 3.5% | 2026-05-25 00:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.75%EV -7.94%E -2.65%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.78%EV -5.09%E -2.23%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.46%EV -0.332%E -0.092%K -0.128%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-25 00:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.75%EV -7.94%E -2.65%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.78%EV -5.09%E -2.23%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.46%EV -0.332%E -0.092%K -0.128%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-25 00:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -7.94%E -2.65%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -8.42%E -3.83%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -0.332%E -0.092%K -0.128%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-25 00:49 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.43%EV -8.55%E -2.87%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.19%EV -7.59%E -3.42%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.38%EV -1.72%E -0.483%K -0.673%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-25 00:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.43%EV -8.55%E -2.87%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.19%EV -7.59%E -3.42%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.38%EV -1.72%E -0.483%K -0.673%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-25 00:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.90%EV -11.01%E -3.80%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.05%EV -8.42%E -3.83%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.06%EV -1.72%E -0.483%K -0.673%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-25 00:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -11.01%E -3.80%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.34%EV -6.34%E -2.82%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -3.10%E -0.886%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-24 23:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.78%EV -11.01%E -3.80%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.89%EV -8.42%E -3.83%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -3.10%E -0.886%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-25 00:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.52%EV -4.87%E -1.57%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.05%EV -6.34%E -2.82%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.43%EV -4.48%E -1.30%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-25 00:30 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.73%EV -12.54%E -4.40%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.06%EV -10.50%E -4.88%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.21%EV -4.48%E -1.30%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-25 00:49 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.68%EV -4.87%E -1.57%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.35%EV -4.26%E -1.85%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.87%E -1.73%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-25 00:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.38%EV -11.62%E -4.03%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.04%EV -10.50%E -4.88%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -5.87%E -1.73%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-25 00:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.76%EV -7.94%E -2.65%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 43.98%EV -15.50%E -7.63%K -15.05%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.26%EV -5.87%E -1.73%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-25 00:38 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.13I 31.95%NM 30.51%EV -3.95%E -1.26%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.98%EV -3.01%E -1.29%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.51%EV -7.25%E -2.17%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-24 18:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.10%EV -3.33%E -1.06%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.59%EV -5.09%E -2.23%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.31%EV -7.25%E -2.17%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-25 00:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.10%EV -3.33%E -1.06%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.59%EV -5.09%E -2.23%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.31%EV -7.25%E -2.17%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-25 00:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -4.87%E -1.57%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -6.34%E -2.82%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -8.64%E -2.62%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-24 23:19 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -4.87%E -1.57%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -6.34%E -2.82%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -8.64%E -2.62%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-24 23:09 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -11.01%E -3.80%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -6.34%E -2.82%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -8.64%E -2.62%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-24 23:20 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.91%EV -9.47%E -3.21%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.45%EV -8.42%E -3.83%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -8.64%E -2.62%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-24 23:20 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -14.07%E -5.03%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.33%EV -10.50%E -4.88%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.93%EV -8.64%E -2.62%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-05-25 00:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -4.87%E -1.57%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -6.34%E -2.82%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -10.02%E -3.08%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-25 00:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -4.87%E -1.57%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -6.34%E -2.82%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -10.02%E -3.08%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-25 00:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -4.87%E -1.57%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -6.34%E -2.82%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -10.02%E -3.08%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-25 00:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -4.87%E -1.57%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -6.34%E -2.82%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -10.02%E -3.08%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-25 00:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -4.87%E -1.57%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -6.34%E -2.82%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -10.02%E -3.08%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-25 00:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -4.87%E -1.57%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -6.34%E -2.82%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -10.02%E -3.08%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-25 00:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -4.87%E -1.57%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -6.34%E -2.82%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -10.02%E -3.08%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-25 00:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.25%EV -6.40%E -2.10%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.37%EV -7.17%E -3.22%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.39%EV -10.02%E -3.08%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-25 00:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.25%EV -6.40%E -2.10%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.37%EV -7.17%E -3.22%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.39%EV -10.02%E -3.08%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-25 00:50 |
| Fliff🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.13%EV -7.94%E -2.65%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.05%EV -10.50%E -4.88%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -10.02%E -3.08%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-25 00:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.06I 32.68%NM 30.48%EV -6.10%E -1.99%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.55%EV -4.26%E -1.85%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 28.97%EV -10.85%E -3.37%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-25 00:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.04I 32.89%NM 30.51%EV -6.71%E -2.21%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.68%EV -5.09%E -2.23%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 28.81%EV -10.85%E -3.37%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-25 00:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -7.94%E -2.65%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.23%EV -4.26%E -1.85%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -11.41%E -3.56%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-24 23:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -7.94%E -2.65%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -8.42%E -3.83%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -11.41%E -3.56%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-25 00:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -7.94%E -2.65%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -8.42%E -3.83%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -11.41%E -3.56%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-25 00:50 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -11.62%E -4.03%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.79%EV -8.42%E -3.83%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -11.41%E -3.56%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-25 00:09 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.99%EV -7.94%E -2.65%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 41.46%EV -9.67%E -4.46%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.56%EV -12.79%E -4.06%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-25 00:50 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.62%EV -9.47%E -3.21%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.63%EV -14.67%E -7.15%K -13.97%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.74%EV -12.79%E -4.06%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-05-25 00:39 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.66%EV -12.54%E -4.40%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.61%EV -12.58%E -5.99%K -11.44%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.74%EV -12.79%E -4.06%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-05-24 23:19 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -7.94%E -2.65%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -8.42%E -3.83%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -14.17%E -4.57%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-25 00:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -7.94%E -2.65%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -8.42%E -3.83%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -14.17%E -4.57%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-25 00:39 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.27%EV -11.01%E -3.80%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 41.41%EV -11.75%E -5.54%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.32%EV -14.17%E -4.57%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-05-25 00:50 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.27%EV -11.01%E -3.80%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 41.41%EV -11.75%E -5.54%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.32%EV -14.17%E -4.57%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-05-25 00:50 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.22%EV -12.54%E -4.40%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.01%EV -14.67%E -7.15%K -13.97%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.78%EV -14.17%E -4.57%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 16.1% | 2026-05-25 00:39 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.44%EV -11.01%E -3.80%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.13%EV -8.42%E -3.83%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.43%EV -16.94%E -5.65%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-05-25 00:49 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.44%EV -11.01%E -3.80%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.13%EV -8.42%E -3.83%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.43%EV -16.94%E -5.65%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-05-25 00:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.44%EV -11.01%E -3.80%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.13%EV -8.42%E -3.83%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.43%EV -16.94%E -5.65%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-05-25 00:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.44%EV -11.01%E -3.80%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.13%EV -8.42%E -3.83%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.43%EV -16.94%E -5.65%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-05-25 00:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.20%EV -15.61%E -5.68%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.00%EV -8.42%E -3.83%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.79%EV -20.27%E -7.04%K -10.78%G +0.000% | 16.5% | 2026-05-25 00:50 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.05% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.46% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.49% | 0.7% | 2026-05-25 00:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.39% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.25% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.36% | 1.1% | 2026-05-25 00:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.39% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.25% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.36% | 1.1% | 2026-05-25 00:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.39% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.25% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.36% | 1.1% | 2026-05-25 00:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.27% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.46% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.27% | 1.5% | 2026-05-25 00:50 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.69% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.34% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.97% | 4.0% | 2026-05-25 00:50 |